John Morrison 2010-11 NHL thread

[Wallco99]

Thanks for the help Wallco. Ill eagerly be following this thread daily. Seems like you guys have a profitable system going here. Ok so to sum it all up (please point out anything i might have wrong):

Looking for road trips of 3 or more games.
One opponent must be from the opposite conference.
Play only the first 3 games of the road trip.
Bet the ML if you're betting the favorite, PL if you're betting the underdog.

That's about it correct? Im using an NBA system that is relatively similar. I have a calendar with all of the NBA plays on it, and i wanted to add these NHL plays to it as well. Thats why i want to make sure i have the details down pat.

Are there ever any plays that fit the system that you DONT end up playing?

Also look into my Chase 110 NBA system I devised. You can find info in the JM NBA forum. This is where I post all plays and results.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/617575-john-morrison-2010-nba-p103.html

This system is 50-0 so far this season. Go to posts #3891 and #3862 in that forum for description of that system. I love it. There is one thing I forgot to add in post #3862 that is very important, we bet M/L on favorites and (-110) on dogs. It says (-110) on everything, but that was a misprint.

[jas19illini]

I play them all, there aren't as many games in this system as I would wish, but sometimes less is more. V2 has a lot more games, but much too many losses for me. Last I checked, v2 was -90 units. I haven't checked in a few weeks, but I am certain there haven't been 90 wins in 2 weeks to even it out. I will stick with this simple system for now. I am backtesting the data results for playing both M/L and puck line on all plays, some say this is more profitable. I will post these results when I have finished. I hope it is! Also keep an eye out for my strong plays and +1/2 favorite picks if they should happen to come up. They are not part of the system and you don't have to play them if you don't wish, but they have been good to me so far. Looking forward to having you join us. If you come up with any profitable systems, feel free to share. I'll let you know if they are forum worthy. Thanks.

This part confuses me.

[Wallco99]

This part confuses me.

What does? Please elaborate.

[jas19illini]

Sorry, are you saying for example betting a favorite on both -1.5 PL AND ML? Or vice versa, an underdog at +1.5 and ML?

[jas19illini]

Here's the NBA one im currently following:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/740283-nba-road-system-2010-11-a.html

Similar in theory to your Chase 110 system.

[Wallco99]

Sorry, are you saying for example betting a favorite on both -1.5 PL AND ML? Or vice versa, an underdog at +1.5 and ML?

Yes, that is what I've been told by several people. But I will only believe it after I backtest for myself. They say they are +62 units, our way is +34 units. I'll let you know what I come up with. Personally, I find it hard to believe, but who knows. I am also trying to find out what the criteria is for stopping a series. A M/L win, a P/L win, or both. Don't know that either.

[Wallco99]

Here's the NBA one im currently following:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/740283-nba-road-system-2010-11-a.html

Similar in theory to your Chase 110 system.

It's actually the anti-JM NBA system, for halves. I know about that system. Haven't played it yet but heard good reviews.

[jas19illini]

Yes, that is what I've been told by several people. But I will only believe it after I backtest for myself. They say they are +62 units, our way is +34 units. I'll let you know what I come up with. Personally, I find it hard to believe, but who knows. I am also trying to find out what the criteria is for stopping a series. A M/L win, a P/L win, or both. Don't know that either.

So currently you're just playing ML on favorites and PL on underdogs?

[Wallco99]

So currently you're just playing ML on favorites and PL on underdogs?

Correct. I will let you know if that changes.

[jas19illini]

Correct. I will let you know if that changes.

Alright great, think i have all the details then. Tomorrow Im gonna compile a list of this years remaining games that fit this system. Let me know if you would like me to post it or not.

[Wallco99]

Alright great, think i have all the details then. Tomorrow Im gonna compile a list of this years remaining games that fit this system. Let me know if you would like me to post it or not.

I have it if you need it

[jas19illini]

Man that would save me a lot of time actually. You can pm me or just post here, either way. Thanks a ton.

[Wallco99]

Man that would save me a lot of time actually. You can pm me or just post here, either way. Thanks a ton.

Will get it on here for you Tomorrow morning.

[jas19illini]

Will get it on here for you Tomorrow morning.

Thank you kind sir.

[Wallco99]

Here are the v1 plays for the remainder of the season. I will still post them as they come up.

San Jose Sharks

2/2/11

2/5/11

2/8/11

N.Y. Rangers

2/5/11

2/7/11

2/11/11

Ottawa Senators

2/5/11

2/7/11

2/9/11

Pittsburgh Penguins

2/11/11

2/13/11

2/16/11

Washington Capitals

2/14/11

2/16/11

2/17/11

Atlanta Thrashers

2/17/11

2/19/11

2/23/11

Boston Bruins

2/17/11

2/18/11

2/22/11

Montreal Canadians

2/17/11

2/20/11

2/22/11

Detroit Red Wings

2/17/11

2/18/11

2/20/11

New Jersey Devils

2/19/11

2/22/11

2/25/11

Phoenix Coyotes

2/19/11

2/22/11

2/23/11

San Jose Sharks

2/22/11

2/23/11

2/25/11

Detroit Red Wings

2/26/11

2/28/11

3/2/11

Chicago Black Hawks

3/5/11

3/8/11

3/9/11

Edmonton Oilers

3/5/11

3/8/11

3/9/11

Boston Bruins

3/11/11

3/15/11

3/17/11

Philadelphia Flyers

3/15/11

3/17/11

3/19/11

Washington Capitals

3/15/11

3/16/11

3/18/11

New Jersey Devils

3/20/11

3/22/11

3/25/11

Florida Panthers

3/22/11

3/23/11

3/25/11

Toronto Maple Leafs

3/22/11

3/24/11

3/26/11

Vancouver Canucks

3/23/11

3/25/11

3/27/11

Chicago Black Hawks

3/28/11

3/29/11

4/1/11

Tampa Bay Lightning

4/2/11

4/3/11

4/5/11

[Wallco99]

Sorry for how they printed out.

[jas19illini]

Thanks for saving me some time Wallco. Its too bad there arent more of these plays in the remainder of the season.

[Wallco99]

There are if you play v2, but as I've stated several times, too risky this season. GL

[jas19illini]

So do you play any other systems for NHL outside of JM?

[Wallco99]

Not yet

[Wallco99]

One More Day!

[jas19illini]

Cant wait!

[jas19illini]

I hope we start out on a roll tomorrow.

[jas19illini]

Question: How profitable can this system really be considering PL's are in the -200 to -250 range? That's a decent chunk of cash in order to win a somewhat small profit.

[Wallco99]

Question: How profitable can this system really be considering PL's are in the -200 to -250 range? That's a decent chunk of cash in order to win a somewhat small profit.

There have only been two (C) bets out of 34 opportunities so far. 34-0

[jas19illini]

I guess what im saying is you it seems like you need to start with a pretty decent size bankroll to really make this system profitable.

[Wallco99]

I guess what im saying is you it seems like you need to start with a pretty decent size bankroll to really make this system profitable.

I didn't create it, I just follow it!

[FlashinLeather]

So are you going to be posting plays daily for A B and C? I'm still not totally sure how this system works, but i'm very interested in following it

[Wallco99]

2/2/11 - JM NHL v1 Plays


San Jose Sharks (M/L) vs. Anaheim - v1(A)

[Wallco99]

JM NHL v1 System
2010-11 System to date: 34-0


(A) 19-8
(B) 6-2
(C) 2-0

* Note: I did not play the first seven games this season. The (A), (B), and, (C) results reflect games played as of 11/9/10 (play #8). To my knowledge, there were no (C) bets in first seven games, all were won on (A) or (B).

[jas19illini]

2/2/11 - JM NHL v1 Plays


San Jose Sharks (M/L) vs. Anaheim - v1(A)

Why are you playing the ML with San Jose? I thought it was PL for underdogs, which San Jose is tonight. ????

[Wallco99]

Why are you playing the ML with San Jose? I thought it was PL for underdogs, which San Jose is tonight. ????

San Jose is (-115). They opened as a dog, but weren't for long. If you are still getting San Jose +1 1/2, play it that way. Actually, in that case, I would probably play it both ways M/L and P/L.

[jas19illini]

San Jose is (-115). They opened as a dog, but weren't for long. If you are still getting San Jose +1 1/2, play it that way. Actually, in that case, I would probably play it both ways M/L and P/L.

I see. I was looking at the SBR sportsbook. Looks like they havent adjusted yet.

[Wallco99]

JM NHL v1 System
2010-11 System to date: 43-0

(2/2/11) San Jose M/L v1 (A) - WIN

(A) 31-12
(B) 8-4
(C) 4-0

Next JM v1 plays:
(2/5/11) Ottawa Senators @ N.Y. Islanders v1 (A)
(2/5/11) N.Y. Rangers @ Montreal v1 (A)

That is 9 straight (A) bet wins.

* I updated the season results to include all the games that won before I started playing system. When lifting the “first three game filter”, there were several more wins, and a few more that I just missed. These will be accurate throughout the rest of the season.

[815Sox]

Keep it up! Thanks for sharing.