Playing the day's biggest ML underdog on the PL

[groovey]

Good job groovey.

It all depends on your bank roll and how much you want to win per line.
My line is 4 numbers to win 5% of my roll. You want to keep your win %
low, because those numbers in your line can get up there.

I use Long Terms method of Lab lines. 5-5-5-5 win, 5-5, lose, $11 take the amount you lost
add to your remaining numbers, divide by 4, that is your new line. You are only two wins
from completing your line. New line is 5.25-5.25-5.25-5.25.

Ok 4 number is what?

Ok to make it easy our roll is 100 we want to win 5 dollars

so would it be 5-5-5-5



I get the 5%


I'm lost

[rkelly110]

Your line represents what you want to win. If you want to win $5, divide by 4.
Your line is 1.25-1.25-1.25-1.25. You will bet to win, two numbers off your line.
In this case, you want to win $2.50. When you win, you have two numbers remaining.
1.25-1.25. You will bet to win $2.50 on your next game. If that wins, you cleared your
line and you won $5

If you lose, add the amount you lost and the amount in your line, divide by 4, that
is your new line. Keep doing that until you win two games to clear the line. Once
that line is complete, start another line.

Each line completed, is your profit.

The only draw back on using lab lines is betting on one game.

Sometimes I cheat and bet multiple games to try and clear a line in one shot.

[groovey]

Thanks buddy!!

Looks like the PL doggies for 3/5 are Shitsburgh, Stars, and Sabres (sticking to +145 ML or higher theory)

[rkelly110]

Todays plays for +PL are:

Buffalo +1.52 -190
Pittsburg +1.64 -164 (co-dog)
Dallas +1.66 -166 (co-dog)

ML plays for today are:

St Louis @ 1.95 -105
Edmonton @ 2.25 +125
Dallas @ 2.90 +190

NBA dog is Charlotte +11 6.50 ML is 1-4 25%

GL guys.

[bombCanada]

Pittsburgh and Dallas tonight. Despite my sunny optimism, Carolina got snuffed last night.

[groovey]

Hey the Oilers now went to +155 on the ml since we had a couple winners with shitsburg and Buffalo I am putting 1/2 unit on the pl

[rkelly110]

Get 'em groovey!

[groovey]

outstanding!!


Looks like we are sitting on the sidelines today!

[rkelly110]

Way to go buddy, we had a groovey night last night!

[rkelly110]

+PL play for today is Florida (5:00pm) +1.45, our dog also. (Florida is 4-1 on +PL last 5 games)

ML dog is Anaheim @ 2.05 +105 (won last 3 gms SU)

GL

[bombCanada]

Yes, Dallas and Pittsburgh both win SU last night.

[bombCanada]

Looks Florida tonight is our rare Dog of the night playing at home. Good luck!

[rkelly110]

Good job, BC. Took a while to clear that line. With those two wins, I got 'er done!

Not to take away from our dog, but your team looks good on the ML, BC.

[rkelly110]

All I can say is ...WOW! Last 3 dog winners in a row on the PL.

This month on the +PL 1.45 and over plays are 18-2 90%.

[bombCanada]

No play tonight. Bark tomorrow.

[rkelly110]

One +PL over 1.45 play today, Dallas +1.50

Two ML plays, Washington @ 2.05 +105
Columbus @ 2.10 +110

NBA dog is New Orleans +10.5 5.50 +450 ML is 8-4 67%

GL guys

[bombCanada]

Edmonton tonight. Should be a good game in Philly!

[rkelly110]

Oops, I disobeyed our 4 game rule yesterday and bet Dallas to clear another line.

+PL 1.45 and over plays are:

Edmonton +1.83 -120 (our dog)
Ottawa +1.74 -138
Florida +1.60 -166
Colorado +1.52 -190
Nashville +1.52 -190

ML dogs are:

Edmonton @ 3.20 +220
NY Islanders +PL 1.33 1.83 ML (ML fav and PL dog, these hit at a high rate)
Montreal @ 2.00 -100

No NBA dogs 5.00 and over plays today.

Let's get 'em!

[Bswitz32]

LIkeing EDM,COL,OTT as dogs as well

As far as NO I wouldnt put my money on this team especially with PAUL out

BOL today

[Himalaya]

What about florida 1.61?

[rkelly110]

GL Bswitz, get 'em.

Thanks Himalaya, over looked that one. I edited it in. GL

[groovey]

Thanks Himalaya, over looked that one. I edited it in. GL

Its tough getting old Rob isn't it?

[rkelly110]

Just wait buddy, you're next. Guys used to laugh at me for wearing glasses.
I laughed back when they started wearing them. It's all fun.

[groovey]

I wear glasses and I am older then you!!

See that hit on Max Pacioretty? From the Z man it was vicious

[rkelly110]

I'm glad someone's older than me.

No, I didn't see that hit. I saw a cheap shot on my local news, where a player was hit in the
face with a stick and was going back to the bench, when an asshole blasted him. Uh, head
hung low and skating slow, means injured player, duh!

[rkelly110]

Saw the video on that hit. I didn't think it was that bad. I guess he hit his head on something.
Then again Dale Earnharts crash didn't look bad either.

Todays plays are:

Edmonton +1.83 -120 (our dog) 4-1 on +PL
Atlanta +1.47 -212

Edmonton @ 3.40 +240
Calgary @ 2.00 -100
NY Rangers @ 2.00 -100

NBA dogs are: (not worth it)

LA Clippers +9 5.25 ML +425 is 4-8 33% SU
Cleveland +9.5 5.25 ML
Detroit +11 7.50 +650 ML is 1-5 17%

GL guys.

[bombCanada]

I DO NOT UNDERSTAND why when they were down 1-3, Edmonton pulled the goalie and predictably lost 1-4. What were they going to do, score 2 goals in 3 minutes? All they needed was 1.

Tonight is Edmonton again, an even bigger dog against the Caps, who are on a 4 or 5 game win streak... all we need to do is lose by 1... and I can watch the game on my basic local crappy Comcast cable. Good luck guys!

[rkelly110]

Maybe I need to go back and do a check to see what odds hit better on our dogs
like I have for NBA dogs. It would be interesting to see anyway. I know the odds
went up, closer to game time. Sometimes that works in our favor. Just going by
memory, Edmonton's ML odds do seem to be the highest I've seen.

[groovey]

real bad night for the dogs!

[rkelly110]

Did a quick back test to Jan for ML odds comparison for our big dog on ML.

We had the most ML dogs @ 2.70 +170 and 2.60 +160. Betting on the +PL.

2.70 for our biggest dog +PL is even @ 7-7

2.60 for our biggest dog +PL is 12-3 80%

I checked all games (up to Jan) @ 2.60 ML. +PL is 25-7 78%. 2.60 ML SU is 50%

Other winning odds on the +PL are, 2.45 3-2, 2.65 2-0, 2.90 4-0, 3.00 3-1 & 3.20 2-1.

We had 3- 3.40 ML odds on +PL is 1-2.

So, if you don't want to bet all of my +PL 1.45 and over plays, look for ML odds of 2.60 +160
and only bet that on the PL. You'll have a 78% chance of winning.

When our dog play comes up and it's at 2.60, we have an 80% chance of winning.

[rkelly110]

+PL play for today is Buffalo +1.45 -222 (our dog) 4-1 SU and +PL last 5 gms.

ML play today is Ottawa @ 2.25 +125 3-1 SU as dogs last 5 gms.

No NBA 5.00 and over plays today.

GL Gentlemen.

[Himalaya]

I got MIN PL+1.465

[rkelly110]

Alright Himalaya, get 'em!

[rkelly110]

+PL plays for today are:

Carolina +1.47 -212
Ottawa +1.74 -135
Edmonton +1.86 -115 (our dog 3-2 SU as dogs)
Minnesota +1.45 -222

One ML play, Ottawa @ 3.00 +200 (3-1 SU as dogs)

One NBA 5.00 ML and over play, Sacramento +11 7.50 +650 ML is 2-5 28%

Let's get 'em boys!

[bombCanada]

rkelly, I always enjoy when you go back and do your analysis of the past. Interesting stuff.

Sorry I missed posting last night.

So for the first time I find myself hesitating to make a wager in this system. EDM lost 2 straight for us before our win last night with Buffalo. But if you check the standings, EDM is still 38-30 on the season against the spread... so despite my emotional reaction to recent events, my Dog of the Night NHL wager is on EDM on the +PL. Good luck guys.