ElCapitan's 2010-2011 NHL Season

[ElCapitan]

We are always betting to win one unit (or get back what we lost plus one unit). For tonight's bet we have lost 2.19 units on the A and B bets so we are betting to win 3.19.

[Kev the Brit]

And against all the odds, Atlanta won both bets.

[ElCapitan]

10/15/10 Results

Atlanta Thrashers (C) ML +120 (2.66 to win 3.19) *WIN*
Atlanta Thrashers (C) PL -250 (22.53 to win 9.01) *WIN*


Record:
ML: 8(A)-4(B)-3(C) (-1.50)
PL: 8(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-15.68)

[ElCapitan]

10/16/10 Plays

Ottawa Senators (A) ML +102 (1 to win 1.02)
Ottawa Senators (A) PL -315 (3.15 to win 1)

St. Louis Blues (B) ML +109 (1.83 to win 2)

[teecee]

-315 pl!! yowza!!

[knugen]

Odds herr reeaally suck!

[doublej95]

Odds herr reeaally suck!

Puck Line is going to be high, you don't have to play it you know. You can just play the money line instead.

[cmdyrds]

cap glad you're back.

[ElCapitan]

10/16/10 Results

Ottawa Senators (A) ML +102 (1 to win 1.02) *LOSS*
Ottawa Senators (A) PL -315 (3.15 to win 1) *WIN*

St. Louis Blues (B) ML +109 (1.83 to win 2) *LOSS*



Record:
ML: 9(A)-5(B)-3(C) (-4.33)
PL: 9(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-14.68)

[ElCapitan]

10/17/10 Plays

Just one play for Sunday on the ML

Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +162 (1.23 to win 2)

[ElCapitan]

10/17/10 Results

Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +162 (1.23 to win 2) *LOSS*


Record:
ML: 9(A)-6(B)-3(C) (-5.56)
PL: 9(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-14.68)

[ElCapitan]

10/18/10 Plays

New York Islanders (A) ML +161 (1 to win 1.61)
New York Islanders (A) PL -181 (1.81 to win 1)

Ottawa Senators (B) ML +152 (1.32 to win 2)

St. Louis Blues (C) ML +136 (2.82 to win 3.83)

[ElCapitan]

10/18/10 Results

New York Islanders (A) ML +161 (1 to win 1.61) *WIN*
New York Islanders (A) PL -181 (1.81 to win 1) *WIN*

Ottawa Senators (B) ML +152 (1.32 to win 2) *LOSS*

St. Louis Blues (C) ML +136 (2.82 to win 3.83) *LOSS*



Record:
ML: 10(A)-7(B)-4(C) (-8.09)
PL: 10(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-13.68)

[stevex]

Tough start, but have faith will turn this around!

stevex

[PockyStick]

Blues gave up a 2 goal lead in the last 10 mins and dominated OT. I guess it evens out with the Ducks win last week.

[bauerranch]

This will turn around- thanks for your work

[ElCapitan]

10/19/10 Plays

Carolina Hurricanes (C) ML +175 (1.85 to win 3.23)

Calgary Flames (A) ML +136 (1 to win 1.36)
Calgary Flames (A) PL -225 (2.25 to win 1)

[mitchp]

Now the system is rolling! Hope everyone realizes we won our last 8 PL bets (too bad the spreads are terrible). And if we were playing the system with the filter that you don't play a team that starts out on the road at the beginning of the season, we would be 10 for 10 series (7A - 2B - 1C). Let's get excited people!!!!!

[Kev the Brit]

Calgary are currently playing OT, so thats another unit in the bag for the PL system (11-0)

[stevex]

Nice night for both the PL and ML as both games won outright. ElCapitan just a quick question. Is there some filter where you don't play the worst 4 or 5 road teams or something of that nature? Obviously you can't figure that out right now, but is that an official JM filter?

[bauerranch]

Good question

[mitchp]

II can answer for El Capitan, the filter is you don't play the worst road team. The filter of the 4 or 5 worst team was an idea from someone in the forum to better your chances of a win since the lines can bet tough in hockey.

[ElCapitan]

Yeah, what Mitch said.

But last year, I did not use the filter and don't believe I will this year either.

[ElCapitan]

10/19/10 Results

Hopefully we're picking up some steam now and we'll be in the black in no time!

Carolina Hurricanes (C) ML +175 (1.85 to win 3.23) *WIN*

Calgary Flames (A) ML +136 (1 to win 1.36) *WIN*
Calgary Flames (A) PL -225 (2.25 to win 1) *WIN*


Record:
ML: 11(A)-7(B)-5(C) (-3.58)
PL: 11(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-12.68)

[ElCapitan]

10/20/10 Plays

Just one today...

Anaheim Ducks (A) ML +123 (1 to win 1.23)
Anaheim Ducks (A) PL -246 (2.46 to win 1)

[JW Cash]

Hopefully we're picking up some steam now and we'll be in the black in no time!

Carolina Hurricanes (C) ML +175 (1.85 to win 3.23) *WIN*

Calgary Flames (A) ML +136 (1 to win 1.36) *WIN*
Calgary Flames (A) PL -225 (2.25 to win 1) *WIN*


Record:
ML: 11(A)-7(B)-5(C) (-3.58)
PL: 11(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-12.68)

Are you just counting individual wins and losses and not System Wins...

I am doing labby so I dont chase and have a good profit this year.....

I have the Puckline system record as 10-1
and ML record as 8-2....

[ElCapitan]

Yes. Individual.

I think the "system record" is misleading because it doesn't show how often you have to lay a LOT of money out there.

[bauerranch]

Sorry since I came in late however used the system from JM last year.The records you show above are individual games and not systems. How has the system done so far this year. Have you had any losses. I saw someone say they thought JM had two losses last year. Somehow I thought there were more however I could be wrong

Thanks for anyone's help

[stevex]

JW, are you doing labby with ML?

stevex

[ElCapitan]

10/20/10 Results

God damn, Anaheim is terrible. I'm thinking about not betting on them anymore.

Anaheim Ducks (A) ML +123 (1 to win 1.23) *LOSS*
Anaheim Ducks (A) PL -246 (2.46 to win 1) *LOSS*


Record:
ML: 12(A)-7(B)-5(C) (-4.58)
PL: 12(A)-3(B)-2(C) (-15.14)

[mitchp]

We really shouldn't be betting Anaheim, they currently have the worst road record (key filter). I'm checking the stats from now on before each bet

http://espn.go.com/nhl/standings/_/sort/roadWinPercent

[stevex]

It's tough because it's basically the start of the season so you really don't 'know' who has the worst road record yet, even though Anaheim is 0 - 4. ElCapitan, I know you answered this before, but last year you played every team, no matter there road record, correct?

stevex

[rkelly110]

Looking back on games, picking +PL's over 1.44 odds decimal, won 18 of 24, 75% SU no chasing.
ML on the same teams won 11 of 24, 46%, (odds in the 2.5 range) SU no chasing.

If you would do a 70-30% with your bet per game (70% +PL 30% ML)= pure money.

Todays games that fit the above are Anaheim, Calgary and the Islanders.

I'm not bashing, taking over your thread or suggesting how you picks games. These
are just stats I noticed. GL in all you do.

[ElCapitan]

It's tough because it's basically the start of the season so you really don't 'know' who has the worst road record yet, even though Anaheim is 0 - 4. ElCapitan, I know you answered this before, but last year you played every team, no matter there road record, correct?

stevex

Yes, Steve, last year I played everyone. I made notes on my Google spreadsheet as to which team was the worst so we could keep track.

[ElCapitan]

10/21/10 Plays

Anaheim Ducks (B) ML +183 (1.09 to win 2)
Anaheim Ducks (B) PL -169 (5.85 to win 3.46)

Los Angeles Kings (A) ML +120 (1 to win 1.20)
Los Angeles Kings (A) PL -250 (2.50 to win 1)

Pittsburgh Penguins (A) ML +100 (1 to win 1)
Pittsburgh Penguins (A) PL -315 (3.15 to win 1)

San Jose Sharks (A) ML -111 (1.11 to win 1)
San Jose Sharks (A) PL (favorite, play ML) (1.11 to win 1)