NHL Situational Plays

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  • smithah2
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-01-14
    • 743

    #596
    I love this thread. I just wish I spoke your guys language. Have trouble understanding the jargon as I have never made a system myself and excelled in English not math in school
    Comment
    • nash13
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-14
      • 1122

      #597
      Oilers won. Good work.
      Comment
      • nash13
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-14
        • 1122

        #598
        Originally posted by smithah2
        I love this thread. I just wish I spoke your guys language. Have trouble understanding the jargon as I have never made a system myself and excelled in English not math in school
        it all starts with understanding of the code. i did that 2 years ago by looking for a database on sports results. the simple angle here is that you look for situations in which teams have a higher value in picking them on ML, ATS or the Totals. These are defined by code, H stands for Home Team for example and there are a lo more, once you generate a code with a situation, you can see the results effected by that. there are great videos. google SDQL Consultancy. Or if nothing works write me a pm.
        Comment
        • nash13
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-14
          • 1122

          #599
          Arizona wins and the big under comes too, NHL up to 50 units+ in 2 weeks of covering. NBA though a whole different story. NCAAB is up in until to, but the yield is around 3% in the last two weeks.
          Comment
          • emceeaye
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-20-13
            • 704

            #600
            Originally posted by nash13
            Oilers won. Good work.
            Comment
            • emceeaye
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-20-13
              • 704

              #601
              a number of under-supporting queries for tomorrow

              H and season >= 2010 and tA(shots on goal) <= 29.5 and p:shots on goal <= 26 and pp:shots on goal <= 26 and ppp:shots on goal <= 26 and pppp:shots on goal <= 26 and ppppp:shots on goal <= 26

              tA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2 or month=5)

              tA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and oA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2 or month=5)

              tA(goals/minutes)>tA(goals/minutes, N=14) +.000009 and oA(goals/minutes) > oA(goals/minutes, N=14) + .000009 and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2):

              day = Tuesday and tA(oower play goals) / tA(minutes short handed) <= .029 and oA(tower play goals) / oA(minutes short handed) <= .029 and season >= 2011 and day=Tuesday and (month = 2)


              another under query pointing to the same games:

              total = 5.5 and 14< p:shots on goal < 32 and playoffs = 0 and day != Thursday and day != Friday and day != Sunday and rest < 4 and o:rest < 4 and rest + o:rest > 0 and 7 > streak > -4 and (game number < 38 or game number > 51) and ou streak < 5 and pu margin > -3 and 4.5 > opu margin > -3 and 43 > op:shots on goal > 19

              add "and season>=2012"

              I'll be doing volume betting for the card supported by these queries
              Last edited by emceeaye; 02-10-15, 05:09 PM.
              Comment
              • emceeaye
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-20-13
                • 704

                #602
                Above queries on today's games
                Comment
                • nash13
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-14
                  • 1122

                  #603
                  NHL seems to amaze me. up 82 units in 2 weeks.
                  53 win - 33 losses
                  33% yield. 2.8 stake avg.
                  Last edited by nash13; 02-10-15, 10:55 PM.
                  Comment
                  • emceeaye
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-20-13
                    • 704

                    #604
                    Originally posted by emceeaye
                    H and season >= 2010 and tA(shots on goal) <= 29.5 and p:shots on goal <= 26 and pp:shots on goal <= 26 and ppp:shots on goal <= 26 and pppp:shots on goal <= 26 and ppppp:shots on goal <= 26

                    tA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2 or month=5)

                    tA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and oA(goals/minutes) + .000009 < A(goals/minutes) and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2 or month=5)

                    tA(goals/minutes)>tA(goals/minutes, N=14) +.000009 and oA(goals/minutes) > oA(goals/minutes, N=14) + .000009 and season >= 2010 and day=Tuesday and (month=2):

                    day = Tuesday and tA(oower play goals) / tA(minutes short handed) <= .029 and oA(tower play goals) / oA(minutes short handed) <= .029 and season >= 2011 and day=Tuesday and (month = 2)


                    another under query pointing to the same games:

                    total = 5.5 and 14< p:shots on goal < 32 and playoffs = 0 and day != Thursday and day != Friday and day != Sunday and rest < 4 and o:rest < 4 and rest + o:rest > 0 and 7 > streak > -4 and (game number < 38 or game number > 51) and ou streak < 5 and pu margin > -3 and 4.5 > opu margin > -3 and 43 > op:shots on goal > 19

                    add "and season>=2012"

                    I'll be doing volume betting for the card supported by these queries
                    those unders went 6-3 for me yesterday.
                    Last edited by emceeaye; 02-11-15, 06:32 PM.
                    Comment
                    • Cutler'sThumb
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-06-11
                      • 287

                      #605
                      It really has been silly, hasn't it? I'm sure we're benefiting from good timing to some degree, but I think we're on a good foundation. Now just gotta figure out the NBA.
                      Comment
                      • escism
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-12-14
                        • 105

                        #606
                        Originally posted by nash13
                        NHL seems to amaze me. up 82 units in 2 weeks.
                        53 win - 33 losses
                        33% yield. 2.8 stake avg.
                        Holy smokes! I go away for a couple of months and sh*t hits the fan!!! Way to go Nash. I'm trying to catch up on all the posts and apparently this amazing Trend Analyzer. Man that's impressive. I'm getting back into it all so hopefully I'll be able to start contributing again. Cheers for keeping it all going and progressing.
                        Comment
                        • nash13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-14
                          • 1122

                          #607
                          Originally posted by escism
                          Holy smokes! I go away for a couple of months and sh*t hits the fan!!! Way to go Nash. I'm trying to catch up on all the posts and apparently this amazing Trend Analyzer. Man that's impressive. I'm getting back into it all so hopefully I'll be able to start contributing again. Cheers for keeping it all going and progressing.
                          Thanks for the nice reply. I know there is a lot of money to make from it, but sadly the power and energy of the whole group stopped. I hope you have still access to the dataset we all developed? If not shoot me a PM.
                          NHL has been consistent. A bit up and down as it should be yield is around 20% now.
                          NCAA is doing fine too, only bad apple is NBA.
                          Comment
                          • nash13
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-14
                            • 1122

                            #608
                            A short round up for everyone interested:
                            Overall record since Jan. 29th
                            I use variable staking

                            Win-Loss-Void: 313-280-11
                            Win rate: 53%
                            Stake avg.: 1.8
                            Odd avg.: 2
                            Staked: 1100
                            Returned: 1187.98







                            NBA Only
                            Win-Loss-Void: 83-72-1
                            Win rate: 54%
                            Stake avg.: 2.2
                            Odd avg.: 1.97
                            Staked: 341
                            Returned: 323.88










                            NCAAB only
                            Win-Loss-Void: 142-128-5
                            Win rate: 53%
                            Stake avg.: 1.1
                            Odd avg.: 1.95
                            Staked: 310
                            Returned: 318.66







                            NHL only
                            Win-Loss-Void: 80-70-5
                            Win rate: 53%
                            Stake avg.: 2.7
                            Odd avg.: 2.05
                            Staked: 413
                            Returned: 499.25








                            Maybe flat betting would be better for NBA results but I will stick to the System
                            Comment
                            • escism
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-12-14
                              • 105

                              #609
                              Originally posted by nash13
                              Thanks for the nice reply. I know there is a lot of money to make from it, but sadly the power and energy of the whole group stopped. I hope you have still access to the dataset we all developed? If not shoot me a PM.
                              NHL has been consistent. A bit up and down as it should be yield is around 20% now.
                              NCAA is doing fine too, only bad apple is NBA.
                              Yeah I still have access to the DB that we all helped build. I have some of my own queries still too that I've been collecting. I'm interested in that Trend Analyzer, I watch the video seems interesting. I may have to do a bit more recon on it! I'm bummed this thread lost steam, but it looks like the NBA one is still cruising along.
                              Comment
                              • Ayer
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-03-14
                                • 4

                                #610
                                Hi! I'm quite new to situational betting and SDQL, and I want to thank you guys for what I've learned from this thread. It has helped me enormously. I have tried to make some of my own that I think is logical:

                                P:shots on goal > 35 and F and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and op:shots on goal < 35

                                opo:shots on goal < 15 and opo:shots on goal > 10 and op:W and line<140

                                openalty minutes > 27 and openalty minutes < 38 and WP>30

                                The first and last one doesn't have the biggest ROI, but I think they really make sense and they have a great sample size, so I'm quite sure that they are not a coincidence, and really will be profitable in the future. Does anyone have any thoughts on these?
                                Last edited by Ayer; 02-27-15, 02:28 PM.
                                Comment
                                • nash13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-14
                                  • 1122

                                  #611
                                  Originally posted by Ayer
                                  Hi! I'm quite new to situational betting and SDQL, and I want to thank you guys for what I've learned from this thread. It has helped me enormously. I have tried to make some of my own that I think is logical:

                                  P:shots on goal > 35 and F and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and op:shots on goal < 35

                                  opo:shots on goal < 15 and opo:shots on goal > 10 and op:W and line<140

                                  openalty minutes > 27 and openalty minutes < 38 and WP>30

                                  The first and last one doesn't have the biggest ROI, but I think they really make sense and they have a great sample size, so I'm quite sure that they are not a coincidence, and really will be profitable in the future. Does anyone have any thoughts on these?
                                  they look good, will try to tweak or strengthen them a bit by looking at some filter codes.
                                  Comment
                                  • nash13
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-14
                                    • 1122

                                    #612
                                    add streak >=-2 to the last one. boosts the result but is reasonable.
                                    Comment
                                    • Ayer
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-03-14
                                      • 4

                                      #613
                                      Thanks!
                                      Comment
                                      • chopperocker
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-16-09
                                        • 1784

                                        #614
                                        Im not suggesting a bet but this is interesting http://killersports.com/nhl/query?sd...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                        Comment
                                        • TheLineShifter
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 12-11-14
                                          • 9

                                          #615
                                          Yesterday NHL had an astonishing 7-1 record with the sheet. Thanks to whomever contributed.
                                          Comment
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