Pags' Plays 11/8

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  • manofmyth
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-19-08
    • 115

    #106
    Thanks for the info Pags. You got me interested in that Louisville game. Will be watching the Nebraska game only. As mentioned earlier, feel strongly with the other picks.

    What's you're feeling on the Rutgers and Minnesota games?
    Comment
    • pags11
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-18-05
      • 12264

      #107
      cougar bait,

      glad you enjoyed the write-ups...thank you...BOL to you as well...

      manofmyth,

      thanks for your thoughts and well wishes...I have no interest in laying two TD's with Rutgers but not in a hurry to play Syracuse either...had a slight lean to Michigan at double digits, but no play for me in the 8ish range...most Big Ten games are pretty tough to figure out IMO...GL this week...
      Comment
      • kalum
        SBR Rookie
        • 07-30-08
        • 35

        #108
        pags

        so far I only have one play in nc -4, what do you think

        thank you in advance
        Comment
        • wal66
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-14-08
          • 5305

          #109
          pag11, I am new here obviously but I respect the way you give information as well as opinions on games. I also thinks it's a asset to the forum that you take the time to acknowledge those that post in your threads. Even when an opinion differs from your you don't take it as an insult but handle it with maturity and experience.

          BOL on your plays this weekend sir.
          Comment
          • CaneDawg
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-25-08
            • 6256

            #110
            Pags,

            On the Fsu pick with you.

            Big Bowden takes care of Clemson for son.

            They did suspend 3 players this morning...they just cannot keep there noses clean.

            LOL
            Comment
            • SaltyDog
              SBR Rookie
              • 10-04-08
              • 21

              #111
              Hey Pags - Great work you do and really admire the way you handle yourself here - I've actually noticed you wishing others well at another site - never knew you posted plays and were so damn good, why don't you post at that other place? Just curious.

              Wondering if you have any feel or opinions on Bama? Thanks very much...and BOL to you this weekend
              Comment
              • spongerat
                SBR MVP
                • 10-01-08
                • 2023

                #112
                pags what do you think of oregon state -7, minnesota -7, and north carolina -4? I like them in addition to a couple of your plays.
                Comment
                • taurus
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-11-05
                  • 206

                  #113
                  pags- I just finished my required Friday reading and as usual I enjoyed it immensely. As you know, I'm more comfortable with underdogs. I see no reason, therefore, not to join you on all seven. Good Luck
                  Comment
                  • Rixsaw
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-23-08
                    • 4532

                    #114
                    Sir Pag,
                    Just saw this on Yahoo sports (Rivals) "
                    Bowden said wide receivers Bert Reed and Jarmon Fortson and linebacker Nigel Carr will not play this weekend for the 24th-ranked Seminoles (6-2). He said they were being disciplined for “not meeting their responsibilities.” He did not elaborate."

                    Is FL St still a play? I'm contemplating.
                    Comment
                    • clowncar
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-25-08
                      • 227

                      #115
                      Enjoyed the writeups pags.

                      Best of luck this weekend.

                      Tcu game was a kick in the nuts for me. Probably one of my best capped games of the year and it's a loser.

                      Anyway , after tht game , I did not want to talk football so I missed the thursday release of the write-ups but found out they are enjoyable on fridays as well.
                      Comment
                      • pags11
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-05
                        • 12264

                        #116
                        kalum,

                        honestly, I have a slight lean the other way in that game but it isn't a strong opinion...I can make cases for both sides in that game so I'd have to recommend a no play...

                        wal,

                        I've been known to have my moments if someone comes at me in a bad way, but thank you for recognizing that I try to give people the same respect they give me...I appreciate it...GL this weekend...

                        canedawg,

                        yeah, dissapointed Reed was suspended, but still think FSU is worthy of a play...thanks for the info. though...GL this weekend...

                        saltydog,

                        thanks very much for the recognition and kind words...just kind of superstitious and have enjoyed my time posting at SBR for the most part, plus I feel pretty loyal to Bill Dozier (owner of the site) who helped me many years ago find good books to play with...no way I would take LSU in that game, but I'm not in a rush to play Alabama either because of all of the emotion surrounding the game...GL with what you decide...

                        spongerat,

                        no real opinion in any of those three games...OSU is a good team and I'm seeing 7.5 currently in that one...UCLA is off a bye and should put up a good fight but I feel there's a pretty big talent gap in the game, especially with the suspensions of 3 UCLA starters this week...I'm seeing 8 in the Minnesota game and I mentioned earlier in the thread it's a no play for me, feel free to check out my reasoning above...just posted my thoughts about the Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina game above...glad to hear we will be on some games together...GL this weekend...

                        taurus,

                        appreciate it very much my friend, glad you enjoyed the write-ups and glad we will be on some of the same games together...BOL to you this weekend with the bullsheet...

                        rixsaw,

                        thanks for the info., I'm sticking with my FSU play...you are welcome to do whatever you'd like...GL with what you decide...

                        clowncar,

                        yeah, I know that game was extremely dissapointing for you yesterday...was quite a strange game to watch...I do appreciate you checking in and glad you enjoyed the write-ups...GL the rest of the weekend brother...
                        Comment
                        • Henry
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 11-07-08
                          • 33

                          #117
                          Thanks,

                          Pags for leading me here this is my first post!!! Now, I'm going to start reading your whole thread.
                          Comment
                          • GoSooners
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 10-03-08
                            • 18

                            #118
                            Pags...I'm with you on most of these plays...Though I have a feeling we're going to be sweating the OSU and Nebraska games...BOL my friend. Let's make the bookie weep.
                            Comment
                            • masr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-20-07
                              • 4773

                              #119
                              Thanks for the write ups again.....Im having a good week so far w/ weekday plays...Im ready to keep it going!
                              thanks for the insight..keep up the great work...hope you go for the because im on OSU,IOWA,NCSt, Neb...w/ you
                              GOOD LUCK this week!!
                              Comment
                              • bautmike
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 10-02-08
                                • 8

                                #120
                                Piggy Back My Picks

                                Hey Pags,

                                Thanks for the thread. It appears you a the big capper on this site and always do well. I have been on fire the past couple weeks but no one listens to a rookie. I was filling out the spreadsheet but gave it up. Took way to long to fill out. I have been playing games for over 8 years and have cashed every year. As for this week in NCAAF, I feel some of the lines are way off. I know you are all set with your picks pags and you followers too, but if you don't mind, I want to piggy back your thread to show what I can do. So if anyone out there is interested, here is what I'm taking for Saturday (11/8/08)

                                Thanks again Pags for all your plays.

                                OHIO ST -11 12:00 PM Too Much Talen and any team off a bye week I love. Historically these teams are rested and preped well. In all honesty, I don't see why this line is not more. I feel this may be a trap game, but with OSU defense and a banged up NW team, I can't see OSU keeping this close. 31-14. OSU

                                N. CAROLINA -4 12:00 PM Once again, this falls into a team coming off a bye week. This team has shown that defensively at home they are great. This team is rested and playing a team off a huge victory of FSU last week. G.Tech loves to run but I don't see them being very successfull as they have been all year. Davis will have his boys ready, although I don't think this will be a blow out, I feel UNC at home has the advantage. 23-10 UNC

                                OKLAHOMA -28 3:30 PM Should not even be close. Sorry, not much to write but the Sooners have not had issues since Texas. People are not talking about the Sooners so to wake up the pollsters about Bradford (heisman) and Oklahoma, they need to run up the score and Stoops knows this. 49-13 SOOOONERS

                                BAMA -3.5 3:30 PM Too much talent for LSU to handle. Death Valley is a tough place to play, but Bama has just too much talent on Defense. Sorry Beaux's, but Tide rolls in second half and its not pretty. Bamam 31-21

                                CINCY +7 7:00 PM
                                Speed, Speed, Speed. Was I the only one who thought that this Cincy team looked like a top contender last week agains S. Florida. Momentum is a great thing and Cincy has it. Granted, I know W. Va. is feeling that they have there offensive swagger back, but Pat White will not be able to carry the load. Cincy wins this one outright. 31-27 Cats!

                                MISSOURI -27.5 7:00 PM
                                At home vs. a non opponent, seriously. this is over by 1/2 time. Don't let last weeks Baylor game fool everyone. Mizzou jumped out to a 14-0 lead and got lazy. I do not expect that to happen at home. Mizzou rolls 52- 3

                                OKLAHOMA ST. +4 8:00 PM
                                Yes, I will say this and probably get smashed but I think OK State is one of the best teams out there. I think this is a let down game for Tex Tech. After watching last weeks game, OK state can run the ball and keeping Tech off the field will be a big advantage. For every team coming off a high, there has to be a low and I think Tech gets that low this week. Cowboys 42-31.

                                3 team Teaser 7 points!
                                LOUISVILLE +6 (13) 12:00 PM
                                DUKE -3.5 (+4.5)3:30 PM
                                SAN JOSE ST. -7 (0) 8:00 PM

                                4 BIG PLAYS THIS WEEK! No write up because I have way too many points in my system that justifies why each one of these teams covers. If you have my games above, please play these 4 games as they should all cover convincingly.

                                RUTGERS -14 12:00 PM
                                BYU -37 2:00 PM
                                RICE -9.5 3:00 PM
                                FLORIDA ST. -4 3:30 PM

                                this is just plain revenge for his son, Dum Gummit, Clemson will not be ready for what Bobby Boy has for them.
                                Comment
                                • pags11
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-18-05
                                  • 12264

                                  #121
                                  henry,

                                  thanks for posting...hope you enjoy the thread...GL this week...

                                  gosooners,

                                  thanks very much brother...glad we are on a lot of the same games as I respect your opinion very much...you are probably right about those two games...BOL to you this week as well...

                                  masr,

                                  no problem at all...glad you enjoyed the write-ups...thank you sir...GL to you as well this week...
                                  Comment
                                  • Henry
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 11-07-08
                                    • 33

                                    #122
                                    Pags,

                                    I'm with you on the following,

                                    Neb -1.5 (the wait cost me)

                                    Louis +6.5

                                    NC ST. +3.5

                                    FSU -5 & -4 (glad I waited. Suspensions overblown. Reed is good, but FSU won without him when he was first suspended)

                                    Iowa +7.5

                                    OK St. +3.5

                                    CIN (passed on this one the value is gone. Down to+6.5)

                                    GL to you bud!!
                                    Comment
                                    • pags11
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-05
                                      • 12264

                                      #123
                                      bautmike,

                                      thanks for your post and kind words...GL with your card...

                                      henry,

                                      glad we will be on those games together...GL tomorrow bud...
                                      Comment
                                      • sportsguy04
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-21-08
                                        • 11885

                                        #124
                                        Pags would you still take Minnesota if it was at -8.5? Or Oregon State at -8?
                                        Comment
                                        • Aces
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-22-05
                                          • 1278

                                          #125
                                          Come on Pags you know you want some Bama.
                                          Comment
                                          • sportsguy04
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-21-08
                                            • 11885

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Aces
                                            Come on Pags you know you want some Bama.
                                            BAMA is my biggest play tomorow.
                                            Comment
                                            • Aces
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-05
                                              • 1278

                                              #127
                                              Its my only play I took the moneyline for a bundle but I think the first half line would be good as well. Alabama starts fast LSU plays well in the 2nd half.
                                              Comment
                                              • Aces
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-22-05
                                                • 1278

                                                #128
                                                I like your Florida State play. Bobby B has to be pissed they dumped his son in mid-season. Do you think Tommy watched some film with Bobby ? ......OK DAD WHEN THEY GET IN THIS FORMATION WATCH FOR.....
                                                Comment
                                                • masr
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-20-07
                                                  • 4773

                                                  #129
                                                  TIDE big play tomm....ROLL TIDE !!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • paulbutz37
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 11-08-08
                                                    • 52

                                                    #130
                                                    tearers

                                                    i'm looking at a couple:
                                                    3 team 10 point
                                                    OSU -1
                                                    UGA-2
                                                    IOWA+17

                                                    AL +3.5
                                                    LOU +16.5
                                                    OKL ST +13.5

                                                    RICE -1
                                                    NEB +8.5
                                                    FSU +6
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paulbutz37
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 11-08-08
                                                      • 52

                                                      #131
                                                      teaSers

                                                      i'm looking at a couple:
                                                      3 team 10 point
                                                      OSU -1
                                                      UGA-2
                                                      IOWA+17

                                                      AL +3.5
                                                      LOU +16.5
                                                      OKL ST +13.5

                                                      RICE -1
                                                      NEB +8.5
                                                      FSU +6
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pags11
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-18-05
                                                        • 12264

                                                        #132
                                                        sportsguy,

                                                        I didn't play any of those two games and don't recommend plays on either of them...hope this clears things up for you...

                                                        aces,

                                                        you are right part of me does, but I'll be sitting that one out...glad you agree on the Florida St. play...GL though bud...

                                                        masr,

                                                        GL with your Alabama play...

                                                        paulbutz37,

                                                        I could never recommend playing teasers, especially in college...GL tomorrow...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cashflow50
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-23-07
                                                          • 140

                                                          #133
                                                          gl today pags. I will be on the pokes, huskers and cards with you. lets get um!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pags11
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-18-05
                                                            • 12264

                                                            #134
                                                            cashflow,

                                                            glad we will be on those three games together...BOL to you as well...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jackpot269
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-24-07
                                                              • 12842

                                                              #135
                                                              GL this week pags nice picks I will be playing all of them except Iowa again GL and thanks for sharing your insight
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paulbutz37
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 11-08-08
                                                                • 52

                                                                #136
                                                                teasers

                                                                Thanks for the advice Pags11. I will try to just do straight bets today then. like your line up. I have been watching the WVA line drop to 6.5, not as confident with that one. Do you think PSU QB'S concussion will slow him down ? thanks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GatorFan
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-19-07
                                                                  • 2969

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Sir Pags,

                                                                  With you on Nebraska. Against you on Florida St. Good luck Coach.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jesse Black
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 06-02-08
                                                                    • 129

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Over 9,000 views already ! Not bad for a quiet, classy guy who does not participate in shameless self promotion.
                                                                    What about some merchandise soon? Coffee mugs, tee shirts etc.
                                                                    Good luck this week with your investments.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kingctb27
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-16-08
                                                                      • 2258

                                                                      #139
                                                                      BOL Pags. On most of these games besides Nebraska. I just can't trust them today.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • icemantbi
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 07-18-07
                                                                        • 944

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Thanks for the plays and writeups Pags, I like all your plays, especially Louisville against Pitt, this is a great spot for them. Also love the Florida St. play, especially now as the line has dropped to 3.5 at my book, Clemson has been a total disappointment this year
                                                                        Comment
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