man i dont know...gmen dline should be all up in romo's grill. dal oline is not good, hell they just signed a freaking center cause that didnt have one on roster, not a good thing against that d imo...nyg secondary may be suspect but even so they gonna look a lot better when romo on his back...dal d is very good so not sure eli gonna just move up and down the field...all that said this the new pussy nfl and 45 not all that hard to hit these days as almost everyone scores in the 20's...personally just think playing nyg is the stronger bet...no real lean on total... gl bro
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thanks for your input. nittany fact that idiots like you are thinking under is such a lock is reason I believe line will drop and over will cash.
all the dumbass matchup websites and game previews are touting under too....so go figure where you got your opinion (especially since your provide no insight)....just gives me more confidence....my anaylsis says differently....Comment -
Ya I see the mismatch on the line, but Romos the type-a quaterback who can deal well with moving around/pocket pressure and things should be open in secondary....we may even get a nice classic romo sack/fumble for a TD that will work in my favor....
as for Dallas D.....I believe they are overrated....been reading about they been play real well in preseason but havent seen them play any competition like the giants offense...Comment -
another big problem i have with over is dal was fukkin horrendous in the red zone last yr if i remember correctly and from what ive seen this preseason not much has changed in that regard (not that preseason means anything), just dont trust that suspect oline, that shakey qb, or that ginger coach... like i said todays nfl any gm with some offensive weapons involved and it hard to make super strong case for under as these gay rules are all about scoring points,,,,in the end tho ill prob just be on nyg and root for them to put up 30 for you!Comment -
in a rivalry like the one with dallas and new york and being th efirst game of the season the under will be gone by the third quarter specially if one of them is ahead by 10 pts or more dallas gives points in the last 2 quarters if they are ahead and teh cowboys have the weapons to put more than 20 pts i dont see the under in any play well maybe the under of the 1st quarter but after that its going to be a scoring gameComment -
ya 2dabank, hopefully I get a couple roughing the passers in this rivalry matchup too....biggest thing that concerns me is its opening game/rust.....
BTW, heres a pick I love tomrrow night....
9/3/12
Georgia Tech Team Total Under 21 (-115) Risking 1.15 to win 1Comment -
This fool nittany boy raping lions is talkin sh!t n ur 6-1 ovwr the last 2 days dan hahahaComment -
lol joco you want a real good laugh.....read this link....he posted his drivers license/picture/address....hes a ******* midgit, hes like 5'3 , go figure, hes got small-dog syndrome
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lmao that was one of the funniest things ive seen all weekComment -
also id like to add...louisville cashed...Comment -
For Haters, My spreadsheet, it feels good to be stupid....
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Hope you all cashed in on that Team total yesterday....lines been on the move....down to 20.....
and the NYG/Dallas games total is on the move to ....45.5...as soon as It drops to 45 Ill record it as an official bet...atleast I hope it does.....
Fun fact about game: Tony Romo has highest QBR under pressure.....combine that with the weak secondary of NYG and we have the making of a nice over fellas...Comment -
Damn, really had to sweat that one out but It was a good pick. biggest thing I overlooked was the brilliance paul johnson (gtech head coach) damn he was making some hella good 2nd half adjustments, giving GTECH best opportunity to win....
Anyways, Another STRAIGHT CASH....
for the SB and Friends.....to all the haters like nittanylions, your just looking even more dumb and childish, calling me an idiot based off one pick........(that hasnt even lost yet)
Thanks 2dabank too for the Under in 1st half pick....put it on my spreadsheet which reflects all my bets (now 11-3 +8.2 units!)
SB and Friends. Official Thread Tracking Results.
YTD:
8-2 +5.25 unitsComment -
if nittylittlebitch could smoke a little of what i got maybe he be more happy.....oh well...
i started a nfl thread drop by as you know im more into discussion than anything else...good stat on Homo and his qbr under pressure..Comment -
Also, NYG/DAL line is on the move (as predicted) and going lower than even predicted (good sign when were on the bookies side
)
anyways, still holding off, because the way that ESPN is reporting this, I feel like more and more public money is gonna go on under (they are reporting Witten will most likely not play, (but I think he will, dudes a badass, and that play he got hurt on didnt look like a big enough hit to "lacerate a spleen" , and they reporting that Nicks will most likely not play (atleast for last couple days) although its clear with some research, that he most likely will....anyways just keep trying to point out why I see this line dropping even more, If it goes up tmrw Ill probably just lock it in at 45....
Gotta try to get all my capping done in the next 2 days, Im flying out to LA on wednesday, to look for a place to live . Anyone live out there? - how is it? places I should see/go....specific beaches that are better than others? Im bout to make my first trip out there and most likely make the permanent move in a couple months if all goes well (not seeing any reason why it wouldnt )....Comment -
lol 2dabank, I hate that asshole romo, too,Comment -
Also, NYG/DAL line is on the move (as predicted) and going lower than even predicted (good sign when were on the bookies side)
anyways, still holding off, because the way that ESPN is reporting this, I feel like more and more public money is gonna go on under (they are reporting Witten will most likely not play, (but I think he will, dudes a badass, and that play he got hurt on didnt look like a big enough hit to "lacerate a spleen" , and they reporting that Nicks will most likely not play (atleast for last couple days) although its clear with some research, that he most likely will....anyways just keep trying to point out why I see this line dropping even more, If it goes up tmrw Ill probably just lock it in at 45....
Gotta try to get all my capping done in the next 2 days, Im flying out to LA on wednesday, to look for a place to live . Anyone live out there? - how is it? places I should see/go....specific beaches that are better than others? Im bout to make my first trip out there and most likely make the permanent move in a couple months if all goes well (not seeing any reason why it wouldnt )....
i like nyg te (the cat they picked up from dal) bennett i think? he got the physical tools to be a lot like gronk and graham, eli will learn to luv him..... like i said i cant argue w over (yu bout got me talked into it!) i mean even with the d's this pussy nfl you can be pretty damn sure both these teams score 20 minimum..so on low side we right next to total...damn im pretty sure a nyg ml/over parlay in order!Comment -
Ok fellas, Im officially locking in the first NFL play! (think the line bottom'd out and really not that big of advantage from 43-44.5....) anyways here it is
9/5/12
NYG/DAL Over 44.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
two things:
1st, I wont be able to get as much capping/discussion done this week since Im taking this trip out to LA tmrw, soo this is gonna be a light weekend for me, feel free to post any questions, thoughts on any games, later tonight Im gonna point on some games Im leaning on early,
2nd, something to think about: I see all the handicappers on this forum jumping on all these NCAAF football lines early, and recommending everyone jumps on the lines while they last, if youve been SBR long enough, youd understand that this is a rookie mistake, and its very egotistical to think that these self-proclaimed great handicappers on SBR are sharper than the oddsmakers....oddsmakers know what theyre doing....I noticed the "lines that stood out" and am waiting to see which direction they move, if it moves too much, chances are its better to just lay off, vegas moves lines to entice action more than anything,Comment -
Putting in one game early (yes I am a UM fan so tail with caution in understanding Im human and bias is part of my nature)
but I really see UM even winning this game (my books not offering ML right now) so Ill settle with points, Im putting it in now because I definately think this line is gonna drop, like last weeks against BC,
9/8/12
Miami Hurricanes +7 (-115) Riskng 1.15 to win 1 units
I see the Miami secondary stepping up a bit and not making the big mistakes they made early (and late) in the game....they are a hard hitting team that will wear down the kansas state offense. Plus, Kansas St. Offense is a run-oriented team, dont think they'll be able to run against the UM front and theyre passing game has been effective in the past but against very weak teams. Theyve seen klein before and will be ready for him. Miami lost to Kansas St last year (28-24), and will be looking for revenge and to dethrone the very first ranked team they play without much pressure because they are banned from a bowl game (based on some bs a dude made up in prison, might I add)....Once I get the option for a ML bet, Ill probably throw a .5 unit on it.....
add edit: Forgot to mention I think Duke Johnson will run for 200 yards....Comment -
keep it bumpinComment -
Hey Danny-Hope I'm a friend anyway
Nice start to the season. Stay your butt out of trouble and have a great year. I'll check in now and again.
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Good luck on your season Smut and nice start. Kind of like that Giants Over but like Giants a little better. Might do a 7pt teaser of Giants +3.5 Over 37.5 or maybe Giants TT over.Comment -
haha ya befus, howd ur MLB season go? I started off real hott with my picks in the thread. "promising system tracked" my biggest problem then was though I really had nothing going on in my life, (no work/job) so I literally was consumed by MLB and trying to make money quick with it, I wasnt being patient, I was trying to make money fast, betting 4-5 games a day, when In reality, the only way I can profit in MLB (atleast for me) is picking maybe 1-2 games a day (maybe even none), and just betting them strong (especially in the beginning of season, towards end I was struggling, but I wasnt putting the time into it because I was tired of putting so much time into trying to cap all the games, picking 5-6 and still losing)
honestly Ive been betting for many years now, although in the past, I struggled with addiction to pain killers, going to jail was best thing for me, because I was able to see how negatively my addiction was affecting my life, now that I got my life in order, and my mind is thinking clearly, Im able to profit a lot more, just basically being patient, and not making emotional bets, when your abusing opiates its literally impossible to control your emotions.
anyways, hot wings I was thinking something along the same lines but for some reason something about giants is scaring me....not sure if I can put my finger on exactly one thing, just a combination of factors, returning super bowl champions, just feel safer with the total, and waiting for weekend....
Im pissed I just found out my flight back to west palm is sunday at 7am, and dont get back in town till 4:30 pm eastern so Im gonna miss the 1clock games
anyways gonna probably bet lightly this week, any input on games would be apprecited, anyone see an edge for thursday night? think theres way too many question marks to pull the trigger on anything, pitt was bad but had 6 starters suspended just before the game, plus Cinns first game....gonna lay off unless someones got a real good reason to bet it, something Ive overlooked?Comment -
Dan i like the hurricanes pick but remember since ur a fan of the u..its not an unbiased bet. Be carefulComment -
im being careful by only putting 1 unit on it, normally I would be putting atleast 2....
in duke johnson we trust
morris looked like a stud last game too, I just dont see a kansas state def who gave up 423 total yards to southwest missouri state last week, stopping miami at all, and I see miami stopping them, not completely, buut atleast making some good defensive plays, and the UM ofense will keep the Kstate def on the field and tire them out....atleast I hopeComment -
Unfortunately about the same results as yours, if for different reasons. I had the bankroll up to 150% and went on a 12 day period where I just about lost every bet (and they were the largest of the season of course) and went to about -20% on the year. I cut way back and now am within about 5% of where I began, so my goal this year is to break even. Some guys will bash that, but as you well know, some years to break even is a win.
Glad the downer years are behind you and you know I'll be rooting for you here and in general.Comment -
dan i was just glancing over this weeks college games...
like utah tonite...-6.5(bought the hook)
also feelin hurricanes +7, notre dame -14, fiu -24, northwestern +3.5...mite be a few more...have a good trip to caliComment -
Might add another couple tmrw, just posting my early ones, freaking timezones all ****** with me, anyways real busy out here so not as much time as I would like to cap,
9/8/12 adding:
NC State -3 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
already got:
UM +7 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unitsComment -
i think im gonna stick to baseball from now on danComment -
argh stupid push in nc state
adding:
Arizona State ML (-240) Risking 2.4 units to win 1 unit
also had syracuse +pts and missou +3 right now posted on spreadsheet......
be back on late tonight with nfl picksComment -
SB and Friends: 9/8/12 Day Results:
1-1-1 -.1 u
9-9-12
3 team parlay: Risking 2 units to win 1.6 units
4 team / 6 pt Teaser : Risking 1 unit to win 3 unitsSep 09 01:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 460 New Orleans Saints -400 for Game Sep 09 01:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 466 Houston Texans -750 for Game Sep 10 07:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 480 Baltimore Ravens -350 for Game
Sep 09 01:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 460 New Orleans Saints -3½ for Game (taking 6 points) Sep 09 01:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 461 New England Patriots -½ for Game (taking 6 points) Sep 09 08:25 PM EST - Football NFL - 478 Denver Broncos +4 for Game (taking 6 points) Sep 10 07:00 PM EST - Football NFL - 480 Baltimore Ravens -1 for Game (taking 6 points) Comment -
remind me to just bet single games and no more big teasers. stupid mistake for first day of NFL, got blown up on new orleans
adding:
9/9/12
Denver -2 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Carolina -3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
2 team 6 pt teaser.
Denver +4 and Ravens -1 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unitsComment -
9/9/12-9/10/12
Results:
2-3 -1.1 units
Weekend went: 3-4 -1.2units, rough weekend, woulda been in plus if nc state didnt give up stupid td at end of game, should bought .5 pt....anyways im staying out in cali longer than expected, gonna stay out here another week or 2 before going home, gonna be working a lot/dont have much time to cap so wont have as much action as usual but action I do have Ill post on this thread......
gonna look at lines later tonight and post some early thoughts
Total YTD Results:
11-7-1 +2.95 unitsComment -
got my eyes on these for saturday:
tennesee -3
wash. st -8.5
northwestern -3
vtech -10
usc -7.5
anything sticking out to anyone else?Comment