SB and Friends. Thread.

[Smutbucket]

Locking these early gems in now: lets get 3-0

9/16/12
Ravens +3 (-125) (bought half pt) Risking 3.75 units to win 3 units
Saints/Panthers over 51 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
NYG -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

9/15/12 CFB Picks:

Penn State -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Vtech/Pitt Under 45 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
USC -10 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
ND Team Total Under 20 (-125) Riskin 1.25 units to win 1 unit
Tennessee (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
UCF -17 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

might add 1 or 2 tmrw when I see some other things unfold

really wanna pull the trigger on alabama but think Im gonna lay off unless someone else has a good reason to take (anyone know if the backup is good ? I heard arkansas starting QBs gonna be out..

really love ND team total under, biffts pick pointed out in his thread....

[Smutbucket]

Rough Day for the good guys....

1-4-1 -4.6 units

gotta learn to lay off action on days I dont do enough research like today....usc should have been avoided, didnt know center was sitting out....ND was a lame push....

lets get it back tmrw:

full nfl card:
Ravens +3 (-125) risking 3.75 units to win 3 units
Saints/Panthers over 51 (-110) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
NYG -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Broncos +3 (-110) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

2 team 6 pt teaser: Giants -1 and Broncos +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

Locking these early gems in now: lets get 3-0

9/16/12
Ravens +3 (-125) (bought half pt) Risking 3.75 units to win 3 units
Saints/Panthers over 51 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
NYG -7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

2-0-1 +4 units

still got
Denver +3 (-110) risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
and
2 team teaser: NYG -1 and Denver +9 (-110) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


freaking NYG made me sweat that one out by playing stupid, giving up that stupid ass td at end of 1st half....

2dabank I got bennett now on both my fantasy teams....manning gonna make a stud out of him, my other buddy who loves dallas was talking shit about bennett, saying he was a pussy in dallas, I hope your right about em,

[Smutbucket]

NFL weekend totals: 3-1-1 +3.9 units

Total YTD Results: Thread Tracking SB and Friends
15-12-3 +2.25 units

[Smutbucket]

Putting in 1 early teaser.

3 team 6 pt teaser. UM +20 / Clemson +20 / K. State +20
Risking 2 units to win 3.6 units

UM plays gtech tough, plus gtech offense wont be able to exploit UMs weak secondary. Clemson should easily cover 20....Kstate just might beat out oklahoma outright, feel this is a real safe teaser to start off next weekends betting.

[2daBank]

k-st scares me, trendy dog i would imagine and they dont really matchup well at all with sooners..

early leans wvu and over

miz/scary un...

havnt got far yet,,ill do more work tonight when i get off work and home from gym...

[Smutbucket]

ya oklahoma beat them 58-17 last year, think thats part of the reason getting so many points, with 20 points I feel pretty confident ....I watched oklahoma in week 1, and kansas st week 2 against miami, oklahoma wont be able to beat anyone with that o line they got....havent really done much looking into games, this is just based off of what I saw these 2 games....

nice little article I just found on the oklahoma offensive line troubles

http://www.crimsonandcreammachine.com/2012/9/18/3338176/ou-football-do-other-elite-programs-have-this-many-offensive-line

last I read theres best starting line man or 2 got hurt, not really sure on injury updates/if they made any changes....

[Smutbucket]

just made some very potent pot brownies, used hash instead of bud to make the butter, never done that before, gotta be a lot more potent, got fridge stocked with kahula/vodka and creamer for my white russians, its gonna be a very fun saturday.....looking over card now make some final picks by the morning

putting in: 9/22/12
Clemson/FSU over 56 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[blackeyeshamus]

mmmmm hash butter mmmmm

[Smutbucket]

9/22/12 Full Card:

6 pt teaser: UM +20/ K. State +20/ Clemson +20 . Risking 2 units to win 3.6 units
Clemson/FSU over 56 risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Oregon -20.5 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
UCLA -7 (-115) Risking 2.3 units to win 2 units
2 team 6 pt. teaser: Cal +21 and ND -.5 Risking 1.1u to win 1 u

[Smutbucket]

Putting in 1 early teaser.

3 team 6 pt teaser. UM +20 / Clemson +20 / K. State +20
Risking 2 units to win 3.6 units

UM plays gtech tough, plus gtech offense wont be able to exploit UMs weak secondary. Clemson should easily cover 20....Kstate just might beat out oklahoma outright, feel this is a real safe teaser to start off next weekends betting.

[Smutbucket]

9/22/12 Results:
4-1 +4.3 units

Total YTD :
19-13-3 +6.55 units

[Smutbucket]

9/23/12

Detroit -3 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 u
Houston -1 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Packers -3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Ravens (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 units

[pacocn]

Smut, just noticed your thread, bol
on the season

[Smutbucket]

Day Results: 2-1 +.35 units

thinking about adding a unit on the packers ML, will post by tmrw, Im flying back to florida tmrw so I wont be able to see the game, lets chill joco Im gonna be back in florida for a month, then Im moving out west for good, only 2 hrs from vegas, once I start making money Im gonna be taking weekend trips to vegas,

paco, you in so cal? whats the best beaches out here? or good bars in the city?


YTD:
21-14-3 +6.9 units

[Smutbucket]

Lame 2 losses this weekend....detroit game was retarded, 105 yard kickoff return/music city miracle and stafford went out and just barely loss in OT after 4th and 1, then the GB loss, dont need to talk about that....glad I didnt double down on packers.....

seahawks got a good team though I was actually able to watch the game on my flight, UNITED airlines got directtv now on their flights so thats pretty sweet, they got a strong D,

Thread YTD: 21-15-3 +5.7 units

Heres my spreadsheet, I ****** up a little on it by mistakenly not making all picks units, but you can see that my overall im up +9.65 units,

[Smutbucket]

Putting this in now: safe teaser to start off weekend.

2 team 6 pt teaser:
Broncos -1/2 and Redskins +9. Risking 2.2 units to win 2 unit

[Smutbucket]

Love this line, gotta pound it, why so much eagle love from the bookies? maybe theres a good michael vick I dont know about, but the chances of him having atleast 2 turnovers is like 95%

9/30/12
Giants +1.5 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units

[Smutbucket]

Whats up fellas....got a lot of plays this weekend, and Im uping my bets per unit too, because things are going well, hopefully dont end up busting....

any thoughts on these games?

9/29/12

UCF +5 / UCF/Missouri Under 54
2 team teaser. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


LA tech (-165) Risking 1.65 units to win 1 unit


Ohio State +3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit


Cal +1 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


Wisconsin +11.5 risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


SMU +17 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


Kentucky Team Total Under 14.5 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[blackeyeshamus]

Good luck this weekend, SB.
Lovin' LA Tech, leanin' Cal...
Haven't done any real work yet, though.
Good luck, brah. Let's stack 'em and cash 'em.

[Smutbucket]

Whats up fellas....got a lot of plays this weekend, and Im uping my bets per unit too, because things are going well, hopefully dont end up busting....

any thoughts on these games?

9/29/12

UCF +5 / UCF/Missouri Under 54
2 team teaser. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - PUSH


LA tech (-165) Risking 1.65 units to win 1 unit - WIN


Ohio State +3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit - WIN


Cal +1 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - LOSS


Wisconsin +11.5 risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - WIN


SMU +17 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - WIN


Kentucky Team Total Under 14.5 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - LOSS

Day Results: 4-2-1 + 1.8 units

Thread YTD: 25-17-4 +7.5 units

working on a couple more for tmrw, another good day, I continue to lose most of my bets on california teams, I am a victim of showing bias to any cali team so make sure to take that into account, USC 2 weeks ago, UCLA last week, CAL for the 2nd time....I disgust myself.....

[Smutbucket]

Full NFL CARD:
9/30/12
Giants +1.5 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
2 team 6pt teaser. Denver -.5 and Redskins +9 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
Vikings +4 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
2 team 6 pt teaser. Packers -1.5 and 49ers +2 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

(Some people have issues with crossing the zero, honestly Ive seen numerical explanations why this is so and I understand that, but you gotta understand points are points, just look at UCF pick this morning, just because there is less value in the tease crossing zero than the teases that dont doesnt mean that it cant be profitable/used effectively....)

[joco]

i like the eagles over the giants and think the lions beat the vikings this week. im feelin both ur teasers tho. especially the first one bud

[BiffTFinancial]

morning, smut. really like both teasers. BOL today pal.

[pacocn]

Smut, bol today

[2daBank]

minny secondary scares me going to det....not playing tho...like the under on sunday night, would think nyg good teaser candidate..we opposite on bucs/skins but hopefully we land in middle.....gl today

[Smutbucket]

Full NFL CARD:
9/30/12
Giants +1.5 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units - LOSS
2 team 6pt teaser. Denver -.5 and Redskins +9 Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units - WIN
Vikings +4 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit -WIN
2 team 6 pt teaser. Packers -1.5 and 49ers +2 Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit - LOSS

(Some people have issues with crossing the zero, honestly Ive seen numerical explanations why this is so and I understand that, but you gotta understand points are points, just look at UCF pick this morning, just because there is less value in the tease crossing zero than the teases that dont doesnt mean that it cant be profitable/used effectively....)

Day results: 2-2 -.3 units

freaking lost both bets by .5 pts, mark this one up for the books, they got my on sharp lines, NYG ending was really retarded too, wish I woulda had some balls and just bet my teasers straight up, even without extra points they woulda went 3-1, we'll get em next weekend,

[Smutbucket]

Risked: $10.55 64.85u

Won: $5.00 31.65u

Lost: -$3.50 -20.90u

Net: $1.50 10.75u

Win Percentage 63.83% | 30-17-6

up 12.25 units on my spreadsheet (which encompasses all my actual bets) (screwed up a few picks accidently had them as $ instead of units but you just add them together)

Thread YTD Results:
27-19-4 +7.2 units

[2daBank]

Day results: 2-2 -.3 units

freaking lost both bets by .5 pts, mark this one up for the books, they got my on sharp lines, NYG ending was really retarded too, wish I woulda had some balls and just bet my teasers straight up, even without extra points they woulda went 3-1, we'll get em next weekend,

that my biggest issues with teasers bro (not that i dont play them, lol) but more times than not they could have been parlays, then the times i miss obviously the points didnt matter anyways,,,tht said i do find value with certain gms being teased and on back to bck weeks i have hit 1 where the points did matter, i do tend to either make small parlay on my teasers or if i tease a short dog i almost always play that ml as well...

still great season you have going,,,my record keeping not as good as yours (more like non existent, lol) but im up little over 8 units on the yr for ncaa and nfl,,hopefully the good times keep rolling..

[Smutbucket]

Thanks bud, Also another thing I like to do is go back and look at my losses after a couple weeks/at end of season....kinda like a review to try to see why I lost certain picks....

In NFL doing real well, 3 of the games were losses for a combined 2 pts. (.5, .5, and 1 pt) and 2 were on Packers....which is my fav NFL team, Im not like most newbie gamblers who believe in bullshit like jinxes for betting on your team, been a Packer fan my whole life, passed on from dad always watching them, grew up watching Brett Favre, the best NFL QB of all time, hate the media blowing up all about how much of a "diva" he is, come on, dude just wants to keep playing football, who the hell cares, plus you cant be a "diva" and have the record for most consecutive starts, and have played literally every freaking game of your career. My other loss in the NFL was titans-detroit game, where titans had like 3-4 rediculous 80 yard+ plays, stafford got hurt, and lions still had opportunity to win down by 3 in OT, in FG range but went for it and missed on 4th and 1, so if thats not "negative variance" for my losses than I dunno what is.....

Ya I think Im gonna start putting small half unit bets on my favorite sides of the teasers as well/ If I would have done this for my NFL picks I would be 3-1, but in NCAAF the extra pts saved me on more than 1 bet, so.....


glanced over both cards for the weekend, dont think Im gonna have much in NFL this week, for NCAAF I do see some gems, Im gonna start with this one, because I think the lines gonna move with all the florida fans with money betting on them, (Im buying extra half pt too, which I will always do at -/+ 2.5) Like florida a lot this year from what Ive watched of them, Driskel looks like he developed real well, also Jenkins should be back on defense for Florida which looks real solid too, really really love Will Muschamp too (which In past I have hated all florida coaches) hes had some great accomplishments as a defensive coordinator for LSU, Auburn, and Texas, and I think this year they are gonna be a lot better than last year (had whole new coaching staffs implemented last year), plus Brantley was terrible that and they were still figuring out their QB situation, also in the LSU blowout last year, brissett was starting and did terrible, so... here it is....

10/6/12
Florida Gators +3 (-125) Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units

[Smutbucket]

Love this pick, by 2dabank for thursday night, Im all over it, check his thread for explanation/discussions.....


10/4/12
2 team 6pt teaser. Rams +8.5 and Rams/Arz Under 45. Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

Here My 1 Early Teaser for Saturdays Card.....been hitting these pretty nice, don't like to go above 3 teams on any teasers....

games are won and lost at the line, these 3 games have big advantages/disadvantages at the line of scrimmage, thats why I picked the teams I did....

6.5 pt 3 team Teaser. Risking 1 units to win 1.6 units
Boston College -3.5 / Texas Tech +13 / Miss. St -4

Also adding....

Miss. St -10 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

[Smutbucket]

cash the teaser easily. gotta go back and look at records but when me and bank agree on a pick. its as good as gold.....


Thread YTD Results:
28-19-4 +8.2 units

[Smutbucket]

gonna be a loooooooong night looking at games. feel free to discuss any games....ask me questions about picks.....

notice a lot of people on army....not sure why....worst defense in ncaaf, and BC should get some stops....Im assuming their defense will be prepared for this offense that rushs 91% of their plays....