backed off uconn since the line reverted back to a .05 spread,,,,,
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Comment -
will track these .05 plays but want plays to be a min -1 or largerComment -
bob thanks for you picks and effortComment -
Hi Bob,
This is a ton of work to keep up with it daily, but I know you enjoy it. Two thoughts:
1. Weekday games are a different beast. I have said that already but I will say it again. Tread lightly with line movement midweek.
2. What are you trying to find? It seems that as opposed to differentiating at each .5 maybe just find a threshold. AND also find a day when you compare the opener to the line at that time. IE, with Uconn tonight late money came in on the fav to get you off Uconn. Line movement tends to be most indicative if it is identifying EARLY money, ie people who arent watching the games they bet on, but capping next weeks...Wed or Thursday's line would seem to indicate early money vs late.
just my .02 - best of luck.
I have early money (lines as of wed morning) on
Steam: OR ST, FL, UNLV, Wmich, Kentst, UNC, LAtech, Tenn
RLM: UCF, ASU, Marshall, Vandy, Cal,Cmich, TX, FresnoComment -
Week record,,11/8/2010 thru 11/13/10
N Ill ,,,,,,,,open -11.5 Game -11,,,,-5 drop,,,,,,,win for favorite
Mia Ohio,,,open -3.5,,Game - 2.5,,-1 drop,,,,,,,,win for Favorite
Pitt,,,,,,,,,open -6.5,,,Game -6,,,,,,-5 drop,,,,,,,win for Dog,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,-5 is (1-1)
Buffalo,,,, open -3,,,,,curr -3,,Pending
Boise,,,,,, open -35,,,,curr -34.5 pending
I will work up saturdays fare later todayComment -
Bando i'm tracking all fractions of line movements for next year,,,,,
My focus on plays is def the - 1.5 to the dogs or favorites,, or higher,,,,,,Comment -
-05 to the positive went (2-3),, overall 3 weeks,,,14-5,, this needs watching,,,
Winners
S Miss
Nevada
_______________
Losers
FSU
FIU
FAU
__________________________
___________________________
-05 to the negative,, RLM Direction much better (3-6),, overall 3 weeks (7-13)
winners against RLM
Temple
stanford
TCU
_________________________________
Losers supporting RLM,,
Michigan
ECU
Okla
Cal
Mizz
SDS
Overall for day went (5-9) last 3 weeks 21-18
one note the -05 to the Positive is a better play as that alone after 3 weeks is 14-5 although today was just 2-3Comment -
Saturdays opening lines with pending strong lines as of friday( My RLM's have no rules rules)
MD,,open -1
WV,,open -6.5
CFU,,open -9.5
Syrc,,open -3
B/C,,open -3
Mia,,open -3
Iowa,,open -12,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -9.5 = -2.5 drop,,,RLM
Mich,,open -13
Wisc,,open -21.5
ILL,,open -20.5
NC St open -19
FSU open -7.5
Okla open -16,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -14.5 = -1.5 drop,,RLM
A&M open - 3
Neb open -34.5
Fla open - 6.5
Tucky open -15
Alab open - 14,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -13 = -1 drop,,,RLM
Iowa St open -2
WMU open - 16,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -19 = 3 point drop,,,RLM
Army open - 3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at +1,,,total reversal
BYU open - 6
ARK open - 30,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at - 28.5 = 1.5 drop,,,RLM
Utah open - 5.5
marsh open - 16.5
AUB open - 8.5
Oreg open - 20
Stanf open - 6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -4.5 = 2 point drop,,,RLM
Navy open - 15
Tul open - 5.5
OKl St open - 6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -5 = 1.5 drop,,,RLM
Mizz open - 12.5
Ohio St open -17,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at 18 = a 1 point rise
V/T open - 5.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -3.5 = 2 point drop,,,RLM
Louv open -2
TCU open -27
A/F open - 31.5
Lou Tch open - 13.5
Oreg St open - 22.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr -23.5 = 1 point rise
Tenn open 0,,this is confusing and curr - 2.5 need to watch this one
Ariz open -5.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -4.5 = 1 point drop
Utah St open - 3.5
Houst open -2
Nev open -9.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -8.5 = 1 point drop
Wyo -7,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,Curr at -4.5 = 2.5 drop,,,RLM
Ark St open -11,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -12.5 = 1.5 rise RLM in Reverse
Troy open -8.5
MYS open -9
FAU open -6,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Cur r at -10.5 = 3.5 Rise,,RLM in reverse
LSU open -31
I will monitor all these plays that have drastic line moves currently,,,,,
Comment -
correction
WMU open - 16,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -19 = 3 point Rise,,,RLMComment -
couple updates,,,
WV,,open -6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,curr -5 = 1.5 drop,,pending RLM
FSU,open -7.5,,,,,,,,,,,,curr -6 = 1.5 drop,,pending RLMComment -
Saturdays opening lines with pending strong lines as of friday( My RLM's have no rules)
MD,,open -1
WV,,open -6.5
CFU,,open -9.5
Syrc,,open -3
B/C,,open -3
Mia,,open -3
Iowa,,open -12,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -9.5 = -2.5 drop,,,RLM,,winner
Mich,,open -13
Wisc,,open -21.5
ILL,,open -20.5
NC St open -19
FSU open -7.5
Okla open -16,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -14.5 = -1.5 drop,,RLM,,,Okla won,, RLM loss
A&M open - 3
Neb open -34.5
Fla open - 6.5
Tucky open -15
Alab open - 14,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -13 = -1 drop,,,RLM,, alab won RLM loss
Iowa St open -2
WMU open - 16,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -19 = 3 point rise,,,RLM to fav ???? loss
Army open - 3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at +1,,,total reversal
BYU open - 6
ARK open - 30,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at - 28.5 = 1.5 drop,,,RLM,,, loss ARK won
Utah open - 5.5
marsh open - 16.5
AUB open - 8.5
Oreg open - 20
Stanf open - 6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -4.5 = 2 point drop,,,RLM,,, winner
Navy open - 15
Tul open - 5.5
OKl St open - 6.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -5 = 1.5 drop,,,RLM,, okla St won Loss
Mizz open - 12.5
Ohio St open -17,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at 18 = a 1 point rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,winner
V/T open - 5.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr at -3.5 = 2 point drop,,,RLM,,,,Loss
Louv open -2
TCU open -27
A/F open - 31.5
Lou Tch open - 13.5
Oreg St open - 22.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,curr -23.5 = 1 point rise,,,,,,,,,Loss
Tenn open 0,,this is confusing and curr - 2.5 need to watch this one
Ariz open -5.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -4.5 = 1 point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Loss,, winner
Utah St open - 3.5
Houst open -2
Nev open -9.5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -8.5 = 1 point drop,,winner
Wyo -7,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,Curr at -4.5 = 2.5 drop,,,RLM,,,,,,winner
Ark St open -11,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Curr at -12.5 = 1.5 rise RLM in Reverse,,,,,Loss
Troy open -8.5
MYS open -9
FAU open -6,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Cur r at -10.5 = 3.5 Rise,,RLM in reverse,,, loss
LSU open -31,,,,,,,,,,,,W
I will monitor all these plays that have drastic line moves currently,,,,,
Final results for all line moves
.5 to the positive,,,,,2-3
.5 to the negative,,,,,3-3
-1 to the positive,,,,,,2-4
-1 to the negative,,,,,4-5
-.5 to the positive,,,,,,1-1
-1.5 to the negative ,,,,,,3-4
-2 to the positive,,,,,,,2-0,,,a good area to play and watch
-2 to the negative ,,,,,2-1
-2.5 to the positive,,,,,0-0
-2.5 to the negative,,,0-2,,,,,,,,finally a good area to play
-3 to the positive ,,,,,,2-2
Army orig was a -3 and reverted to a +1.5,,,,,winner
-4 to the positive FAU,,,loss
All teams who's lines were the same from opening to game time (8),,went 2-6,,,,,Comment
