Plays that do not fit rules of RLM but appear over last 2 weeks as poss winners

[goallinebob]

there are other games still in play and will update all tomorrow for final calculations,,,,,

[goallinebob]

Miss BEST PLAY t Nite -27 to - 30-5 = -3.5 to the positive ( I'm pounding this),, hope i'm right,,,,,,,,,,,,, i was wrong,,,,

[Bando]

This week RLM plays

Clemson
Idaho
UCLA

I am already on those three but for different reasons.

Ttech (I am oppo this one) Think Mizzou is in a much better spot/bounceback
UTEP, havent looked at it but if I have any more money....

GL with these plays.

Look like 3-2 - better than I did today

[goallinebob]

Final Saturday results

-1.5 plays were the ones to be on as all went 9-2 and over last 3 weeks now are 15-3

[goallinebob]

-1.5 favorites to the positive all did not cover (0-3) play the dog
fav that lost

Clem
Syrcause
S /Carolina
_______________________________
-1.5 Favorites to the negative that lost and RLM
Miami
Ball
Colorado
Oregon St
SMU
Troy
____________________________
-1.5 favorites that bucked the trend for RLM and covered
Air Force
Boise

totals for day went 2-9 for favorites,, or in reverse 9-2 for dogs add last 2 weeks = 15-3

[goallinebob]

-1 favorites to the positive today ( 3-3)
winners
BYU
B/C
Tenn ,,,,was on this BIG
____________________
Losers were
Iowa
Virginia
Alabama
_____________________________________
-1 Favorites to the negative,, RLM material,,,
Loser
USC
_________
Winners and against RLM
CMU
Tulsa

overall for day 5-4,, over all for last 3 weeks 16-9,,,,,Combined

[goallinebob]

-05 to the positive went (2-3),, overall 3 weeks,,,14-5,, this needs watching,,,
Winners
S Miss
Nevada
_______________
Losers
FSU
FIU
FAU
__________________________
___________________________
-05 to the negative,, RLM Direction much better (3-6),, overall 3 weeks (7-13)

winners against RLM
Temple
stanford
TCU
_________________________________
Losers supporting RLM,,
Michigan
ECU
Okla
Cal
Mizz
SDS
Overall for day went (5-9) last 3 weeks 21-18

one note the -05 to the Positive is a better play as that alone after 3 weeks is 14-5 although today was just 2-3

[goallinebob]

Misc plays

Teams whose opening lines did not change thru game time went 3-3
winners

Florida -14
Wisc -20
Penn st -6.5

Losers
Texas -4
Uab -10
Mich st - 24

________________________________________
-2.5 to the negative Wyoming lost and a Big RLM
________________________________________ __
-2.5 to the positive split (1-1)
Oklahoma St won
Utah St Lost
_______________________________________
-3 Nebraska to the negative a RLM canidate did not cover so a RLM winner
________________________________________
-3.5 Mississippi to the positive Lost so a reverse RLM poss.... lost
________________________________________ __________________
Finally Oregon with a - 9.5 to the negative,,,,,,,,,PUSH,,,,

[goallinebob]

what has been learned from yesterday,,,,,,,,,

play all -1.5 plays regardless if to the positive or negative and go against the favorite,, had that been done yesterday you would be 9-2 and 15 -3 over the last 3 weeks,, and you need no rules,,

cancel # of bets
Percentages
and all the other bull shit

[goallinebob]

also watch -05 to the positive as appears it needs to be watched as not good today(2-3) but was good last 2 weeks ( 12-2)

-1 plays to the Positive also looks promising for Favorites although 3-3 Saturday as was 4-1 last 2 weeks

Teams with opening / closing lines with no change were at 16-7 although yesterday went 3-3

That pretty much sums up yesterday,, next week focus on all -1.5's at game time as they are MONEY

[goallinebob]

i had to do this twice as had all in one post and system cut me off,,

[goallinebob]

gonna be very easy next week if you see a -1.5 spread between opening and closing lines just play the DOGGIE,, 15-3 last 3 weeks

[goallinebob]

Please understand last week was exceptional as the dogs went 9-2 against all -1.5 lines,,, will this happen this week,, i'll let you know next sunday

the -1's went 4-5 not good,,,,,for Dogs

the -05's went 8-6,,,

understand all # to the positive .05 higher,,, -1 higher and -1.5 higher are expected to cover,,,,,
total reverse RLM dog plays,,,,.05,,,-1,,,-1.5 lower favorites expected to lose so the play is the dog

Understand there are no rules on these plays,,,,just line movements,,,,Naturally the -1.5 are usually the better plays and yes the dogs with a + 1.5 line movement

[goallinebob]

RLM's did very well in NFL yesterday

Brears were a push
Giants winner
Chargers were a winner
Cardinals were a winner
Browns were a winner
Jets should had covered but missed it by 3 points,,should took them on ML
Dallas was to cover but who can play them as Panthers,, both very bad ,, stay away,,,,

[goallinebob]

Steelers looking like a massive winner t night,,,Opening line of -3.5 and now a -6 = 2.5 line change,to the positive for Steelers,,,,,,,Books gonna lose a lot of money t night,,,,they can't get any money on Bunglers
would not surprise me to see line move upward more

[bundyman]

where do you post your NFL RLM plays? Thank you

[goallinebob]

i normally don't as just follow TOTO's thread but develop my plays in NFL alone but maybe i'll just post them as i see it here in this thread as i usually know what they will be by saturday,, but will update here Sun Morn,,,,,,,

looking at Ncaaf Lines and already see some -1.5 spreads popping up,,,,,,

Pitt opened at -6.5 and curr at -5 = -1.5 to the negative,, a poss RLM play to uconn
Iowa - 12 now - 10.5 = -1.5 to the negative poss play Northwestern
WMU opposite -16 and curr - 17.5 to the Positive,, play is WMU,,,,
Arkansas ( this one scares me,,,,),,,-30 and curr -28.5,, play supposed to be dog,,-1.5 UTEP
Stanford opened at -6.5 and curr - 5 = -1.5 to the dog
Tulane opened at -5.5 and curr at -4 = -1.5 to the negative which is a RLM play IMO
V Tech opened at - 5.5 and curr at - 4 = -1.5 to the negative which is a RLM play IMO
Lou tech opened at -13.5 and curr at -16 which is a - 2.5 to the favorite positive ,,play for me is lou Tech
Miss opened at -1 and now a +1.5,,,,need to watch this one
Ariz opened at - 5.5 and curr at - 4 = -1.5 to the Negative = RLM play,,,USC
Ark St opened at -11 and curr at -12.5,= which is a -1.5 to the favorite
MTS opened at -9 and curr at -10.5 which is a - 1.5 to the favorite
LSU opened at -31 and curr at 32.5 which is a -1.5 to the favorite

have a lot of -1's watching along with these so we will see how all proceed thru the week,,,,

[goallinebob]

Favorites with the -1.5 line in their favor ( only 3 last week) all lost so am skeptical on them to cover,, poss plays are on the ML in lieu of allowing points,, need to watch and review till game time,,,favorites with -1.5 to the negative and lost RLM play went 2-6 so the plays are DOGS,,,,,

[AdamL2424]

So when are you playing the dogs or whatever went 12-3?

[goallinebob]

i will play them on saturday unless they happen to fall during the week,,,you have the list i'm watching,,,

[goallinebob]

Going to monitor all plays this week at all levels forgetting about ALL RULES just watching the Line moves

First game on tuesday,,,
NIU open line was -11.5,, curr - 11 = -.05 to the negative,,Favorites ( 3-6 last week) and (7-13) last 3 weeks,, If line remains the same Toledo should cover and we should get our first fav loss and first Dog win,,,,,

Will watch lines and post final thoughts Tues Afternoon,,,,,,
All opening lines are my Gospel ( Sportsinsights ) web site only,,,,Good luck this week

[AdamL2424]

Bump

[goallinebob]

Have to leave office so i may not get back,, if line stays the same although not crazy about week night games i will still be on Toledo but for 1/2 a unit,,,,,GL t nite ,,

[balls2wall]

Keep up the hard work bob


one suggestion...


I would make your official picks in bold or something and after they are over grade them in similar fashion with the W and Ls to the side of each play.

With all the posts, numbers etc... it is a bit hard to follow the way you did it this week. All of that is good, but I would just make the official picks and results stand out a bit more and have the results scored to the side of the picks so it is easy to follow.

[goallinebob]

getting screwed with Toledo,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

balls will do that as week progresses,,, plz understand all plays listed strictly tenative till Saturday or final post just watching lines at this time

[BeBrave]

Great Work BoB

[goallinebob]

well got screwed with Toledo and oddsmakers got screwed too giving Toledo 11 they should gave them 30

Pathetic and just a -05 line move,,,,,,,,,,

Tonight is looking much better,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Miami Ohio -3.5 to -2.5,, a full -1 point to the negative and a play on Bowling green,,,,and 78% on Mia Ohio,, and plenty of bets too,, A TRUE RLM play,, but just a -1

________________________________________ ___________________
Play #2

Pittsburg -6.5 to a -5.5 = a -1 point to the negative,, play is Uconn and 77% on pittsburg but under the # of bets,, but i'm not worried about that so i will be on Uconn ( not a true RLM play )

[goallinebob]

bebrave,,,,love your little guy,,,,,so cute

[goallinebob]

just ran thru sporsinsights and a lot of changes and only Wednesday,, some -1 changes too occuring,,but will await them later,,,,,,

Iowa now at open at -12 and curr - 10,,-2 point drop
Okla open at -16 and curr - 14.5,,= -1.5 Point drop
WMU open at - 16 and curr at - 19 = a -3 point rise
Army open at -3 and curr at 0,,a -3 = a 3 point rise
Arkansas open ayt -30 and curr at -28 = a 2 point drop
V tech open at -5.5 and curr at -3.5 = a -2 point drop
Lou tech open 13-5 and holding curr at -16 a -2.5 rise
Wyo open at -7 and curr at -4.5 = a -2.5 point drop
LSU open at -31 and curr at -32.5 = a -1.5 rise
MTS open at -9 and curr at -10.5 = -1.5 rise
FAU open at -6 and curr at -8.5 = -2.5 rise

[goallinebob]

Week record,,11/8/2010

Toledo,,,,,,,,,-.05,,,,, Loss
Uconn ,,,,,,,,,-1,,,,,Pending
Bowl green,,,,-1,,,,,Pending

[goallinebob]

Week record,,11/8/2010 thru 11/13/10

Toledo,,,,,,,,,-.05,,,,, Loss
Uconn ,,,,,,,,,-1,,,,,Pending
Bowl green,,,,-1,,,,,Loss ( Missed cover by .05),,

[goallinebob]

this uconn play looks like a true RLM play with all the rules but a -1 in lieu of a -1.5,,,,from pitt

[goallinebob]

thursday updates


just ran thru sporsinsights and a lot of changes and only Wednesday,, some -1 changes too occuring,,but will await them later,,,,,,

Iowa now at open at -12 and curr - 10,,-2 point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Now-2.5 drop
Okla open at -16 and curr - 14.5,,= -1.5 Point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Now same -1.5 drop
WMU open at - 16 and curr at - 19 = a -3 point rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Now same -3
Army open at -3 and curr at 0,,a -3 = a 3 point rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Now -3 to a +1
Arkansas open at -30 and curr at -28 = a 2 point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Now -1.5 a .05 drop
V tech open at -5.5 and curr at -3.5 = a -2 point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Same -2 drop
Lou tech open 13-5 and holding curr at -16 a -2.5 rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Same -2.5 drop
Wyo open at -7 and curr at -4.5 = a -2.5 point drop,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Same - 2.5 drop
LSU open at -31 and curr at -32.5 = a -1.5 rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Same - 1.5 drop
MTS open at -9 and curr at -10.5 = -1.5 rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Same -1.5 rise
FAU open at -6 and curr at -8.5 = -2.5 rise,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,N ow a -3 rise
________________________________________ ___________________
Adds,, need watching
Ariz open at -5.5 and curr at - 4 = a -1.5 drop to USC
tenn at a -1 and curr -2.5 = a -1.5 to Miss
Stanf open at -6.5 and curr at - 4.5 = a -2 drop to Ariz st
Tulane open at - 5.5 and curr at -4 = -1.5 drop to Rice
Okla St opened at -6.5 and curr at -5 = a -1.5 drop to Texas

[goallinebob]

not playing this but want to post for record purposes

-05 to the negative,, RLM Direction much better (3-6),, overall 3 weeks (7-13)

UAB - 2.5 and curr at -2 = -05 to the Negative and per records,, should not cover ( 7-13)

( This goes exactly against the NIU WIN vs Toledo play as that was -11.5 to close -11 = .05 negative)