**Square Bet No More - NCAAF Season Thread**

[SquareBetNoMore]

Southern Miss +21 (2u)

[SquareBetNoMore]

Thanks Kid, just grinding away!

[Rylow17]

Any game you like a lot today?

[SquareBetNoMore]

FAU is the strong play today, I've got some on it right now, I'll prob tack on another unit if it stays above 4, just wanna wait to see how the line moves closer to kick

[Rylow17]

Okay so fau +4 right now right?

[SquareBetNoMore]

I laid 3u on FAU +5 yesterday, but I'd lay 2u or 3u at +4, but probably not tack on anything unless you can get 4.5 or better. I'll post later if I'm bumping it to 4u overall.

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Excellent start SBNM and thanks a bunch for sharing. continued sucess and BOL

[SquareBetNoMore]

Illinois -13.5 (2u)

[theorudy]

Interesting stuff. Good luck.

[Rylow17]

Do you use a bookie or website

[SquareBetNoMore]

I have a local guy, don't bet enough to use a website. It's also easier when trying to get paid.

[PrinceD]

Why so much love for FAU??

Just don't know much about them.

[SquareBetNoMore]

My algorithm has it at a pick so I think they could win outright. As I stated earlier in the thread, it's week one so I have toned back the units since there is uncertainty across the board. FAU qualified as a best play (90% last year). It would regularly be a 5u play but week 1 w/ no extra info it's a 3u play at +5. Since its moved to 3 I'd do 2u at 3 or 3.5. I'd prob bump to 3u if I could get +4 or more. Value is gone at 2.5. Hope this helps.

[ToPHeR]

Why Illinois? they fired the coach last week

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

Why all the questions? Let the man share his plays and then you decide on what to do. Use his plays to help with your own capping. BOL to all

[SquareBetNoMore]

Thanks CTOWN, I don't mind giving a little insight later in the year, but there isn't much more I know than most of you know in week 1 outside of what my algorithm and filters tell me haha.

Topher, thanks for following, but the answer is pretty much the same, Illinois hit a filter that has proven successful in the past, I trust my numbers over the long haul, hopefully they continue to hit. Maybe not at a 6 of 7 clip like we've done so far, but maybe still in the black

[Rylow17]

Keep it up SBNM. I'm loving the thread.

[gs]

Good work brother

[SquareBetNoMore]

FAU +4 (1u) bumping original play from 3u to 4u. 3u at FAU +5 and 1u at FAU +4

[byrdpickem]

Tailed Illinois and FAU today. Great start! Have a feeling the evil counterparts in Starkville will roll USM though

[SquareBetNoMore]

Me too, but hey, I'm trusting the system

[griffey_mojo]

SquareBetNoMore

Thanks for all your help !!

-Griff

[SquareBetNoMore]

Troy +25 (2u)

[SquareBetNoMore]

UL Lafayette +17 (2u)

[Rylow17]

Hey square you do NFL?

[SquareBetNoMore]

I bet the a little Rylow, but there isn't a large enough sample to really trust any statistics. There really just isn't a chance for a ton of value in 13-16 games a week. Vegas has those lines rock solid. I like 3 team 10 point teasers, it's usually just a token bet though. If I decide I'm doing okay then I'll let you guys know here before I start posting on the nfl board

[SquareBetNoMore]

Another good day of bets. 11-4 start for just over 17u! Detailed results below! Let's win some more!!!

Hawaii +7.5 (4u) - W
FIU +14 (3u) - W
Vanderbilt +3 (2u) - W
Oklahoma St -21 (2u) - L
Ohio -7 (2u) - W
UTSA +31.5 (2u) - W
Washington +11 (2u) - W
Bama -10 (3u) -W
FAU +5 (3u) - W
Illinois -13.5 (2u) - W
Georgia Southern +17.5 (2u) - L
Southern Miss +21 (2u) - W
Penn state -6.5 (2u) - L
FAU +4 (1u) - W
Troy +25 (2u) - L
ULL +17 (2u) - W
Marshall -7 (3u) pending

11-4 (73.3%), +17.4u

[mp5070]

[Rylow17]

Yes marshall!!!!

[SquareBetNoMore]

Couldn't have asked for a better start! 12-4 start for +20.1 units! I'm sure I'm due to come back down to earth from 75%, but until then, let's enjoy a good week!

[Semper Fidelis]

Great job so far buddy! Does your system have a play for tonight's game? Really wanting to put a little on VA Tech but wanted to wait and see what you may have before wagering. Thanks for sharing your system and plays, and BOL to any wagers you have today!

[SquareBetNoMore]

Hey Semper, tonight's game is a no bet for me, games with top ten to fifteen teams don't quite hit at the same rate as the other 110 teams. With that said, I would have leaned VT if I could have gotten +14.5, but I wouldn't be surprised if OSU rolls, don't know how inept VT's offense will be. Good luck if you dropped a few dollars on it for action!

[Semper Fidelis]

Thanks for the response my friend! Haven't placed a wager on this one yet, but considering hopping on VA Tech spread either 1sr half or for game now that it's a bit inflated after two quick scores from OSU. Will wait and see how this next offensive drive goes for Tech first.

[Semper Fidelis]

Ended up taking VT for 2nd qtr, got some amazing value at +285, pretty much a winner now as they're up 10-0 and about to score again! Then will most likely roll that into something on VT for 2nd half as well, depending on how this first half ends.

[SquareBetNoMore]

Awesome!!! If VT can keep from turning the ball over they'll have a shot! Good luck my friend!