BJPENNs thread

**bjpenn85** · 09-29-14, 11:51 PM

that document 200 units a year? How much do a capper need to win annually to be taken serious in your book? 500? a trillion?

Ive been on this forum 5 year, betting on MMA 7 years. Shiet i was betting MMA when the bookies forgot to take down lines list and i could bet on lines with the result already out. Shiiiieeeeeet. Expect, unibet, Skybet bet 365 etc etc they didnt even offer mma betting when i started.

Im thrown out from: SKybet, paddypower, expect etc because i win too much, jibby? who the f are you??

**JIBBBY** · 09-30-14, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

that document 200 units a year? How much do a capper need to win annually to be taken serious in your book? 500? a trillion?

Ive been on this forum 5 year, betting on MMA 7 years. Shiet i was betting MMA when the bookies forgot to take down lines list and i could bet on lines with the result already out. Shiiiieeeeeet. Expect, unibet, Skybet bet 365 etc etc they didnt even offer mma betting when i started.

Im thrown out from: SKybet, paddypower, expect etc because i win too much, jibby? who the f are you??

Oh I'm just a MMA fan that gambles on the side.. I'll take notice to ya from now on then big shot... Hope ya tell no lies and are winning then..

I said no offense... Don't get angry and hostile now on an internet brother.....

Just trying to find out who is winning consistently in this sport and who is on this forum.. Not that I really need the help though.. Just fishing and curious...

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-14, 12:54 AM

im just playing. Never angry up in this joint. Only joking. Well heres who win consistenly: V, MD, Punisher, Hannibal, Illmatick, Nunya, hm..probably a few other guys, but they above mentioned have been around for years and years. Experienced gangsters. I can PM them anytime and they are usually are spot on with everything. After all this year am just here for fun, for shits and giggles, mocking idiots. Winning is easy becoming a gandalf the grey type of person. Telling people you shall not pass.

**JIBBBY** · 09-30-14, 01:03 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

im just playing. Never angry up in this joint. Only joking. Well heres who win consistenly: V, MD, Punisher, Hannibal, Illmatick, Nunya, hm..probably a few other guys, but they above mentioned have been around for years and years. Experienced gangsters. I can PM them anytime and they are usually are spot on with everything. After all this year am just here for fun, for shits and giggles, mocking idiots. Winning is easy becoming a gandalf the grey type of person. Telling people you shall not pass.

I figured those guys were big time gangsters on this forum when I first joined.. That's funny.... LOL..... All good BJ...

**Vaughany** · 09-30-14, 03:39 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

that document 200 units a year? How much do a capper need to win annually to be taken serious in your book? 500? a trillion?

Ive been on this forum 5 year, betting on MMA 7 years. Shiet i was betting MMA when the bookies forgot to take down lines list and i could bet on lines with the result already out. Shiiiieeeeeet. Expect, unibet, Skybet bet 365 etc etc they didnt even offer mma betting when i started.

Im thrown out from: SKybet, paddypower, expect etc because i win too much, jibby? who the f are you??

Hahah yee those were the days! the Glory Years

**Vaughany** · 09-30-14, 06:06 AM

One of the greatest scenes ever made!

**PunisherIND** · 09-30-14, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Just trying to find out who is winning consistently in this sport and who is not on this forum.. Not that I really need the help though.. Just fishing and curious...

BJ is a top tier capper in my humble opinion.

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-14, 01:05 PM

its great when hes nodding to the beat afterwards!!!

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-14, 01:53 PM

**bjpenn85** · 09-30-14, 01:58 PM

Hey fellas. What you think about steven Merchants new series "Hello ladies"?:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xETLdYC-zU4

Its actually VERY FUNNY

**Vaughany** · 09-30-14, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Hey fellas. What you think about steven Merchants new series "Hello ladies"?:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xETLdYC-zU4

Its actually VERY FUNNY

Yee its very good. Came out last year tho bud!
the guy in wheelchair is awesome. Best character is merchants IT assistant tho who deals with his website. Some hilarious scenes with him in!

**bjpenn85** · 10-01-14, 01:05 AM

Agreed! Damn im literally so last year

**Vaughany** · 10-01-14, 03:42 AM

"No one can teach the master....may, may i have your attention"

**bjpenn85** · 02-11-19, 07:17 AM

Ok so thread is back, finally. For this event, im betting small, for fun. Im expecting some of the underdogs to win, without having any hope that everyone will cash. So my mentality is, there will be better opportunities in the future, im not go heavy and hard on these fights. Last event is an example where i went hardcore with many mismatches. This is a good card overall imo, but what does that mean, even fights? What does even fights mean? Reduced confidence level. What does that mean? Betting less.

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ

0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit

**bjpenn85** · 02-11-19, 05:37 PM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGO8IgBwya8

This dude is a good listen. If youre on the wrong end of his picks, youre most likely going to loose. You can also check out his record for validity here: https://www.betmma.tips/prommabetting

He do have some horrible picks from time to time, like Lipinski and Kara France, but i guess no one is perfect.

**praisebuddha** · 02-11-19, 07:49 PM

BJ, thanks for the links and picks, they are helpful as well as interesting. What are your thoughts on Vick/Felder? I'm just starting to watch UFC steadily so have only watched a couple of each of their fights each but came away really impressed with Felder v. Oliveira. I've never seen anyone welcome being on the mat with Charles and thought if Felder can take the fight to the mat he should be able to handle Vick. I haven't seen many Vicks fights and I haven't seen his ground game at all but I can't imagine he has anything on Oliveira besides size. Cheers and congrats on the 14-1 run you're on!

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-11-19, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Ok so thread is back, finally. For this event, im betting small, for fun. Im expecting some of the underdogs to win, without having any hope that everyone will cash. So my mentality is, there will be better opportunities in the future, im not go heavy and hard on these fights. Last event is an example where i went hardcore with many mismatches. This is a good card overall imo, but what does that mean, even fights? What does even fights mean? Reduced confidence level. What does that mean? Betting less.

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ

0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit

my man

**bjpenn85** · 02-12-19, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

my man

ha ha, long time my friend

**bjpenn85** · 02-15-19, 05:16 AM

Adding 2.5 units on James Vick @ 1.83 to win - 2.07 units

**bjpenn85** · 02-15-19, 05:19 AM

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ
2.5 units on James vick to win - 2.07 units
0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit

**SmellMyFinger** · 02-15-19, 09:43 AM

with you on all those pick BOL

**bjpenn85** · 02-15-19, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by SmellMyFinger

with you on all those pick BOL

Cool. As long as Vick is able to not get clipped i think he will win.

**jacharron17** · 02-16-19, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Ok so thread is back, finally. For this event, im betting small, for fun. Im expecting some of the underdogs to win, without having any hope that everyone will cash. So my mentality is, there will be better opportunities in the future, im not go heavy and hard on these fights. Last event is an example where i went hardcore with many mismatches. This is a good card overall imo, but what does that mean, even fights? What does even fights mean? Reduced confidence level. What does that mean? Betting less.

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ

0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit

Love those 3!

**bjpenn85** · 02-16-19, 04:16 PM

Adding:

Paul Felder round 1 @ 5.0 to win back - 2 units

**bjpenn85** · 02-16-19, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by jacharron17

Love those 3!

I know, lets go.

**bjpenn85** · 02-16-19, 04:19 PM

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ
2.5 units on James vick to win - 2.07 units
0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit
0.5 units on Paul Felder round 1 @ 5.0 to win back - 2 units

**The HOFF** · 02-17-19, 05:52 PM

Good luck with the bets tonight. Like Sterling and the line you got. I'd probably be on it if the line were still around there. I'll only be rooting against you on one!

**bjpenn85** · 02-17-19, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Good luck with the bets tonight. Like Sterling and the line you got. I'd probably be on it if the line were still around there. I'll only be rooting against you on one!

Hehe, good luck man!

**bjpenn85** · 02-18-19, 08:14 AM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

UFC ON ESPN 1: NGANNOU VS. VELASQUEZ
2.5 units on James vick to win - 2.07 units
0.5 units on Francis Ngannou @ 2.70 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Aljemain Sterling @ 2.55 to win - 0.77 units
0.5 units on Andre Fili @ 2.55 to win - 0.85 units
0.5 units on Benito Lopez @ 3.0 to win - 1 unit
0.5 units on Courtney Casey @ 3.40 - to win 1.2 unit
0.5 units on Paul Felder round 1 @ 5.0 to win back - 2 units

+ 0.97 units

I dont know if correct strategy was choosen here, i sure had some luck with 3 out of 4 underdogs hitting. Ngannou could easily have lost. Cain screamed out of pain long before Ngannou even touch him, KO isnt really the correct call. Lopez was a bad bet, Casey was in hindsight also a bad bet, and Vick seemed to be a good bet, but he fought scared and a little bit more hesitant than i expected, and when he got hurt as well the fight was more or less over. I may have done a miscalculation here in terms of what type of mental state James Vick came into this fight. I didnt consider it as an important enough factor, so i believe i got the technical aspect correct, from tape, but a bad miscalculation not letting Vick having one more fight in between to see if he still got the fire we saw him had in the Duffy, or Trinaldo fight.

This card had a lot of even matchup, a dog or pass it situation. Trying to find safe bet in the likes of unexperienced fighters like albu and what not is a sign of the betting disease. The urge of just placing a bet. In the pursuit of finding a safe bet, you get tunnel vision and suddenly you sit there with many bets you really cant actually stand behind. I got lucky with this one, next time i will be even more careful, maybe just pass, as difficult as it is.

**praisebuddha** · 02-18-19, 10:53 AM

Technical Difficulty*

**praisebuddha** · 02-18-19, 10:54 AM

BJ, do you ever use parlays? I made about 14 units this card primarily from using Sanders, Lee, Gracie ITD and Ngannou with some NBA sprinkled in. I did lose on Albu just from following blindly and wanting some action ironically enough.

**bjpenn85** · 02-18-19, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by praisebuddha

BJ, do you ever use parlays? I made about 14 units this card primarily from using Sanders, Lee, Gracie ITD and Ngannou with some NBA sprinkled in. I did lose on Albu just from following blindly and wanting some action ironically enough.

Love parlays, i didnt play any this time, but i had a bunch last event. Sometimes i use them as main play, sometimes i use them when im not confident enough, and the risk is too high to play straight. Congrats with the win!

**Hugo de Naranja** · 02-18-19, 12:25 PM

I don’t think that math is correct

0 - 2.5 + 0.85 + 0.77 + 0.85 - 0.5 - 0.5 - 0.5 = -1.53 not +0.97

Did the Vick ML play get left out?

**bjpenn85** · 02-18-19, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

I don’t think that math is correct

0 - 2.5 + 0.85 + 0.77 + 0.85 - 0.5 - 0.5 - 0.5 = -1.53 not +0.97

Did the Vick ML play get left out?

Yes, sorry. The correct score is -1,53 unit. Dont know how i missed that.

**bjpenn85** · 02-23-19, 08:04 AM

UFC Blachowicz vs Santos

3 units on P.Yan @ 1.40 to win - 1.2 units
2 units on Damir Ismagulov+M.Prezares @ 1.72 to win - 1.44 units
1 units on M.Prezares + Naurdiev not going the distance @1.55 to win - 0.55 units
0.5 units on P.Yan to win by TKO @ 5.55 to win - 2.25 units
0.5 units on Yan dec @ 1.71 to win back - 0.35 units