picks || UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis || by: gabe

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  • gabe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-12-11
    • 7405

    #106
    Went against the herd w/ the Camozzi fight and it paid off! (as well as with Nurmagodemov last week, and a bunch of times before)
    Comment
    • gabe
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-12-11
      • 7405

      #107
      Originally posted by gabe
      Lavar Johnson +175 > Joey Beltran (4/5) I see this as the best value play on the entire card. I see Lavar outstriking Beltran for at least 2 out of 3 rounds, so Lavar Johnson +1.5 would be a beautiful play. Lavar Johnson by Decision is a good bet, too, as Beltran is known for his durability/chin. That said, I won't be surprised if Beltran receives the first KO loss of his career Saturday night. If odds on Lavar by KO are good, it's def worth a shot. I expect a solid performance from Lavar; he should win at least 2 of 3 rounds, if not earn a KO.
      Respek.


      Originally posted by bjpenn85
      no, wait. Play him round 1 or just leave it. He wont win a decision here.
      Originally posted by NunyaBidness
      Lavar just isn't ufc calibre. He gasses quickly and has no ground game. If he doesn't KO Beltran in round 1 I think it's very difficult for him to win. Luckily for him Beltran is very hittable, but Beltran is very capable of taking him down if he wants to fight a smart fight.
      Originally posted by bogbat
      I agree with Nunya here. I'm surprised the UFC even brought him over. I'm more looking forward to Shane Del Rosario's UFC debut. Now there is a prospect with some potential to do well in the UFC.
      Originally posted by sideloaded
      Lavar Johnson = can
      Joey Beltran = can crusher
      2-0 against the herd tonight.
      Last edited by gabe; 01-28-12, 05:26 PM.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #108
        Originally posted by gabe
        Lavar Johnson +175 > Joey Beltran (4/5)

        I see this as the best value play on the entire card. I see Lavar outstriking Beltran for at least 2 out of 3 rounds, so Lavar Johnson +1.5 would be a beautiful play. Lavar Johnson by Decision is a good bet, too, as Beltran is known for his durability/chin. That said, I won't be surprised if Beltran receives the first KO loss of his career Saturday night. If odds on Lavar by KO are good, it's def worth a shot. I expect a solid performance from Lavar; he should win at least 2 of 3 rounds, if not earn a KO.


        Vaughany,

        Nice start Gabriel
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #109
          Shiit didnt realise Camozzi had already happened. Nice one on tht too
          Comment
          • gabe
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-12-11
            • 7405

            #110
            Originally posted by Vaughany
            Nice start Gabriel
            Originally posted by Vaughany
            Shiit didnt realise Camozzi had already happened. Nice one on tht too
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #111
              Da Menace lookin gooood as well
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #112
                ha shiiit might of jinxed u!
                Comment
                • gabe
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-12-11
                  • 7405

                  #113
                  lol
                  Comment
                  • sideloaded
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-21-10
                    • 7561

                    #114
                    nice call on lavar
                    Comment
                    • gabe
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-12-11
                      • 7405

                      #115
                      Woo! Locked him up at +210 -- 3-0 tonight against the herd. Need Mr. Wonderful to make it 4-0
                      Comment
                      • illmatick
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 5456

                        #116
                        Well done gabe, looks like you're cleaning up.
                        Comment
                        • gabe
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-12-11
                          • 7405

                          #117
                          Need Evan Dunham to come through!!!
                          Comment
                          • gabe
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-12-11
                            • 7405

                            #118
                            Originally posted by gabe
                            Charles Oliveira -500 > Eric Wisely (5/5)

                            Charles Olivera Inside the Distance for a prop bet, also Charles Oliveira via Submission.
                            Respek.

                            I also had Under 2.5 rounds at -240.. but it's parlayed with Einemo/Russow under 2.5 at -190-- need that to hit.
                            Comment
                            • GoGoGadget
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-18-09
                              • 570

                              #119
                              was on johnson and johnson small, good value picks mr Gabe. GL with dunham
                              Comment
                              • illmatick
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-05-09
                                • 5456

                                #120
                                What price did you get on Camozzi?
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #121
                                  Ah well, had to end eventually. Hopefully Dunham gets the win
                                  Comment
                                  • gabe
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-12-11
                                    • 7405

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by illmatick
                                    What price did you get on Camozzi?
                                    -150

                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                    Ah well, had to end eventually. Hopefully Dunham gets the win
                                    yeah, all i need is him to win and i'll be good regardless of whatever else happens in other fights.
                                    Comment
                                    • bogbat
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-21-10
                                      • 1843

                                      #123
                                      Camozzi wasn't against the herd. Congrats on Lavar though.
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #124
                                        Think he meant herd as in people on here like Ecco and Ill backing Jacoby
                                        Comment
                                        • illmatick
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-05-09
                                          • 5456

                                          #125
                                          I didn't see the fight but from what I read on the playbyplay I'd definitely play him at +165 again.
                                          Comment
                                          • gabe
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-12-11
                                            • 7405

                                            #126
                                            rather have the fight end under 2.5 than have russow win, although both would be beautiful!!!!!!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • gabe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 7405

                                              #127
                                              YES!!!!!!!!!!!!! Dunham + under 2.5!!!!!!!!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Oblivian
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-27-12
                                                • 163

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by Oblivian
                                                In my opinion, Oliveira is way overpriced in this fight. Wisely has had some tough fights when he was undersized, but that was at 155 lbs against large 155 lbs fighters like Healy. I really don't know if you can say that he's undersized for 145 lbs as it appeared to me he cut quite a bit. I'm not sure he could make 135 lbs. Anyhow, Wisely is crafty. He's great at avoiding damage. I'm not saying that I'm convinced he'll win this fight, but I think -500 is overpriced for Oliveira. I'd also be very hesitant to take Oliveira inside the distance as Wisley has never lost by anything other than decision. IMO, the best bet for that fight is "fight completes one" for -135. Oliveira pushes a tough pace and is a finisher, but Wisley has looked pretty damn competitive even in his losses.
                                                Glad you didn't listen to this idiot!
                                                Comment
                                                • gabe
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                  • 7405

                                                  #129
                                                  lol

                                                  Alright, need Weidman to make it happen...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SATERSTYLE
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-07-11
                                                    • 691

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Oblivian

                                                    Glad you didn't listen to this idiot!
                                                    Humility in this forum? Stop it, right now. To correct your mistake you must now say that you went all in on Oliveira and that you are a professional fighter and the best capper alive
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gabe
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                      • 7405

                                                      #131
                                                      only losses so far tonight are george roop (although i cashed in on the under 2.5 rounds at + money) and russow/einemo under 2.5 (although i cashed in big on russow. doubled up when he fell to -105)

                                                      won 2930789384 other bets and parlays

                                                      beautiful night. will be better if weidman cashes.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • varkolek
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 07-17-11
                                                        • 230

                                                        #132
                                                        Congrats on Johnson. My original instinct was to pick him by decision, but then I thought Roller might take him down and Roller has submitted a lot of good guys. I think I lost all my small prelim bets except Lavar which was my biggest bet. Johnson by dec would have got me a nice profit.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gabe
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-12-11
                                                          • 7405

                                                          #133
                                                          what a night... these last 2 will probably lose, i'll be happy if one cashes. bisping and davis, let's gooooooooo!!!!!!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #134
                                                            Davis wins my night is screwed! Need Sonnen decision here as well
                                                            Comment
                                                            • gabe
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-12-11
                                                              • 7405

                                                              #135
                                                              If Bisping wins over 2.5 rounds, it'll be BEEEAAAAAAUUUUTIFUL!!

                                                              taking over 2.5 instead of sonnen straight up. i think if he wins, it'll be a decision. if either one wins, i'm golden. if both do (bisping + over) then wow
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Beelzebubzy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-06-11
                                                                • 6995

                                                                #136
                                                                congrats on your night gabe
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gabe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 7405

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                  congrats on your night gabe



                                                                  Wow, Bisping was robbed...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Bad luck brah
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Beelzebubzy
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-06-11
                                                                      • 6995

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by gabe



                                                                      Wow, Bisping was robbed...
                                                                      Did I come off as a di ck? IIRC, you are up, right?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • gabe
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-12-11
                                                                        • 7405

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                        Did I come off as a di ck? IIRC, you are up, right?
                                                                        Yeah, like I said, after Dunham wins, doesn't matter what else happens... I came up winning on the Bisping fight though. I won more on fight going over 2.5 than i lost betting bisping.
                                                                        Comment
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