Christ like MMA betting

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  • Jesus Christ
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-25-11
    • 935

    #1541
    Originally posted by gabe
    A month of not having a card wasn't enough, you gotta wait til the last minute to post? shame'd
    I norm never post my bets prior to weigh ins
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #1542
      The Lord never rushes
      Comment
      • gabe
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-12-11
        • 7405

        #1543
        Dang'd
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #1544
          Originally posted by Jesus Christ
          I norm never post my bets prior to weigh ins
          Are you gonna join the contest me Lord?
          Comment
          • Jesus Christ
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 05-25-11
            • 935

            #1545
            YTD 54-51-2 +$7,681.72


            Finally! UFC is back...I got 4 plays for UFC 152...hopefully I can continue making money since my Year long experiment ends at UFC 154

            My first play is on
            Simeon Thoresen..easy analysis here...for once Seth won't have a huge size advantage on someone and this is gonna hurt him in the fight..it's no secret Thoresen wants this one on the mat and I think once he gets it there Seth is gonna drown down there...I'll say Simeon Thoresen wins via Submission (Arm-bar) Round 1

            My second play is on TJ Grant..Grant has this weight cut perfect and has looked pretty damn good in his new weight class...I see no massive edge for Dunham in any area..he has a slight edge on the feet but doesn't posses the power to stop Grant...I see Grant clinching up with him and taking it to him on the mat...Dunham may be a good grappler but don't be fooled..when this hits the ground it will be all Grant..I'll say TJ Grant wins via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)


            Third play is a bit more juice than I normally lay but I see value...I think Stann has absolutely nothing for Bisping..line prolly should be closer to -250 so I'm taking a shot...The pace Bisping fights as is truly incredible..he is going to combine pot shotting Stann from the outside and mixing in well timed take downs till Stann is really beat up...I think after two dominant rounds he puts Stann away in the third..I think this will prolly look very Similar to the Miller fight...I'll say Michael Bisping wins via TKO (Knees and punches) Round 3


            My last play is on Demetrious Johnson...it may not be popular around these parts but I am in love with this play...I think people are overreacting to this flyweight tournament..Johnson didn't look great cause Mccall is really really good..on the flip side Benavidez looked awesome cause Urushitani isn't anything special and had no route to victory..I believe Johnson is gonna be faster than Joe..a lot faster...any take down attempts by Joe will cause scrambles which Johnson is a master at..I think this looks like a normal Johnson fight and ends with him having his raised...I'll say Demetrious Johnson wins via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 50-45)









            Good Luck
            Comment
            • gabe
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-12-11
              • 7405

              #1546
              Damn... one of us is going to have a terrible day.
              Comment
              • v1y
                SBR MVP
                • 05-02-11
                • 1138

                #1547
                I'm with ya on thoresen, grant, and bisping.

                AMEN.
                Comment
                • Jesus Christ
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-25-11
                  • 935

                  #1548
                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                  Are you gonna join the contest me Lord?

                  Good call I'm now in.
                  Comment
                  • brokenbrain
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-13-12
                    • 138

                    #1549
                    Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                    YTD 54-51-2 +$7,681.72


                    Finally! UFC is back...I got 4 plays for UFC 152...hopefully I can continue making money since my Year long experiment ends at UFC 154

                    My first play is on
                    Simeon Thoresen..easy analysis here...for once Seth won't have a huge size advantage on someone and this is gonna hurt him in the fight..it's no secret Thoresen wants this one on the mat and I think once he gets it there Seth is gonna drown down there...I'll say Simeon Thoresen wins via Submission (Arm-bar) Round 1

                    My second play is on TJ Grant..Grant has this weight cut perfect and has looked pretty damn good in his new weight class...I see no massive edge for Dunham in any area..he has a slight edge on the feet but doesn't posses the power to stop Grant...I see Grant clinching up with him and taking it to him on the mat...Dunham may be a good grappler but don't be fooled..when this hits the ground it will be all Grant..I'll say TJ Grant wins via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)


                    Third play is a bit more juice than I normally lay but I see value...I think Stann has absolutely nothing for Bisping..line prolly should be closer to -250 so I'm taking a shot...The pace Bisping fights as is truly incredible..he is going to combine pot shotting Stann from the outside and mixing in well timed take downs till Stann is really beat up...I think after two dominant rounds he puts Stann away in the third..I think this will prolly look very Similar to the Miller fight...I'll say Michael Bisping wins via TKO (Knees and punches) Round 3


                    My last play is on Demetrious Johnson...it may not be popular around these parts but I am in love with this play...I think people are overreacting to this flyweight tournament..Johnson didn't look great cause Mccall is really really good..on the flip side Benavidez looked awesome cause Urushitani isn't anything special and had no route to victory..I believe Johnson is gonna be faster than Joe..a lot faster...any take down attempts by Joe will cause scrambles which Johnson is a master at..I think this looks like a normal Johnson fight and ends with him having his raised...I'll say Demetrious Johnson wins via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 50-45)









                    Good Luck

                    Nice picks, JC. I see you've got a judge scoring it 5 rounds to none for Mighty Mouse...blessed be your balls
                    Comment
                    • Jesus Christ
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 05-25-11
                      • 935

                      #1550
                      Originally posted by brokenbrain
                      Nice picks, JC. I see you've got a judge scoring it 5 rounds to none for Mighty Mouse...blessed be your balls
                      Demetrious has that style where one guy can see something completely diff than another
                      Comment
                      • DirtyX
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-05-11
                        • 686

                        #1551
                        Lord have mercy I hope your are wrong about Benavidez. I tailed you on Grant,
                        I also have a line play on Joe B. but I can't post the ticket number from the site apparently. GL to all.



                        Ticket#:74481855
                        Sep 22 08:25 PM
                        INTERNET / -1Sep 20 12:19 PM
                        MU
                        STRAIGHT BET
                        [24176] L BENOIST -165
                        (S PIERSON vrs L BENOIST)

                        $200 / $121

                        Ticket#:74534889
                        Sep 22 07:25 PM
                        INTERNET / -1Sep 20 10:55 PM
                        MU
                        STRAIGHT BET
                        [24183] S THORESEN +115
                        (S THORESEN vrs S BACZYNSKI)

                        $100 / $115


                        Ticket#:74535006
                        Sep 22 10:35 PM
                        INTERNET / -1Sep 20 11:05 PM
                        MU
                        STRAIGHT BET
                        [24159] R HOLLETT +285
                        (R HOLLETT vrs M HAMILL)

                        $35 / $100


                        Ticket#:74572767
                        Sep 22 09:00 PM
                        INTERNET / -1Sep 21 07:48 PM
                        MU
                        STRAIGHT BET
                        [24171] TJ GRANT +155
                        (TJ GRANT vrs E DUNHAM)

                        $100 / $155
                        Comment
                        • brokenbrain
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 05-13-12
                          • 138

                          #1552
                          Very true, GL
                          Comment
                          • Jesus Christ
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-25-11
                            • 935

                            #1553
                            I took long long look at Hollett but just couldn't pull the trigger...def like your plays GL
                            Comment
                            • gabe
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-12-11
                              • 7405

                              #1554
                              JC, I'm surprised you passed on Benoist... if I recall correctly, you took him against Seth B. He fell from -175 to -205 since I locked it in.
                              Comment
                              • TheCalculator
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-10-11
                                • 1683

                                #1555
                                YES! TJ Grant and Thoresen are my 2 favorite plays of the card. Both of those guys are being severely underrated by the MMA bettors.

                                TJ Grant's skills have gone up EXPONENTIALLY compared to his lightweight battles. He looked amazing in his last 2 fights and TJ will go all out with the home crowd cheering.

                                Thoresen is one of the best grapplers in the division. His striking is fairly crisp as well, as he has solid technique. I expect his striking to steadily improve fight to fight. Simeon BEAT John Maguire a couple of years back by decision, NO EASY FEAT. Simeon also has a solid chin (only been KOed once). I think he will surprise people and win this fight by choke.

                                BTW: BIG VALUE PLAY ON -2.5 ROUNDS FOR THE SIMEON FIGHT. Almost NONE of both of these guys's fights has gone the distance. Why are these odds close to even? I have no clue... As Big Day says: POUND THE FAWKER!
                                Comment
                                • Jesus Christ
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-25-11
                                  • 935

                                  #1556
                                  Originally posted by gabe
                                  JC, I'm surprised you passed on Benoist... if I recall correctly, you took him against Seth B. He fell from -175 to -205 since I locked it in.
                                  I was gonna take Benoist against Seth B but was thankfully talked out of it by the board..I think he should have got the nod in that fight but that's neither here nor there...Benoist cardio is a big question and I fear a hometown decision if Pierson has a late push..Benoist was prolly about 30 points away from me making a play.

                                  Gun to my head tho I think he is gonna take this fight. GL
                                  Comment
                                  • Jesus Christ
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-25-11
                                    • 935

                                    #1557
                                    Originally posted by TheCalculator
                                    YES! TJ Grant and Thoresen are my 2 favorite plays of the card. Both of those guys are being severely underrated by the MMA bettors.

                                    TJ Grant's skills have gone up EXPONENTIALLY compared to his lightweight battles. He looked amazing in his last 2 fights and TJ will go all out with the home crowd cheering.

                                    Thoresen is one of the best grapplers in the division. His striking is fairly crisp as well, as he has solid technique. I expect his striking to steadily improve fight to fight. Simeon BEAT John Maguire a couple of years back by decision, NO EASY FEAT. Simeon also has a solid chin (only been KOed once). I think he will surprise people and win this fight by choke.

                                    BTW: BIG VALUE PLAY ON -2.5 ROUNDS FOR THE SIMEON FIGHT. Almost NONE of both of these guys's fights has gone the distance. Why are these odds close to even? I have no clue... As Big Day says: POUND THE FAWKER!

                                    Comment
                                    • gabe
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 7405

                                      #1558
                                      Originally posted by Jesus Christ
                                      I was gonna take Benoist against Seth B but was thankfully talked out of it by the board..I think he should have got the nod in that fight but that's neither here nor there...Benoist cardio is a big question and I fear a hometown decision if Pierson has a late push..Benoist was prolly about 30 points away from me making a play.

                                      Gun to my head tho I think he is gonna take this fight. GL
                                      Pierson's cardio is worse, so I'm not worried about that...
                                      Comment
                                      • gabe
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-12-11
                                        • 7405

                                        #1559
                                        Originally posted by TheCalculator
                                        YES! TJ Grant and Thoresen are my 2 favorite plays of the card. Both of those guys are being severely underrated by the MMA bettors.

                                        TJ Grant's skills have gone up EXPONENTIALLY compared to his lightweight battles. He looked amazing in his last 2 fights and TJ will go all out with the home crowd cheering.

                                        Thoresen is one of the best grapplers in the division. His striking is fairly crisp as well, as he has solid technique. I expect his striking to steadily improve fight to fight. Simeon BEAT John Maguire a couple of years back by decision, NO EASY FEAT. Simeon also has a solid chin (only been KOed once). I think he will surprise people and win this fight by choke.

                                        BTW: BIG VALUE PLAY ON -2.5 ROUNDS FOR THE SIMEON FIGHT. Almost NONE of both of these guys's fights has gone the distance. Why are these odds close to even? I have no clue... As Big Day says: POUND THE FAWKER!
                                        If you bet both Simeon and the under, then you might be in for a bad night if Seth wins... My prediction is Seth B by Decision.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheCalculator
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-10-11
                                          • 1683

                                          #1560
                                          Originally posted by gabe
                                          If you bet both Simeon and the under, then you might be in for a bad night if Seth wins... My prediction is Seth B by Decision.
                                          Could be. But the bets are out in the ether. Out of my hands now.

                                          BTW -- I like EVERY OTHER pick you had on your list (except those 2).
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #1561
                                            Originally posted by gabe
                                            Pierson's cardio is worse, so I'm not worried about that...
                                            Benoist also didnt have a full camp for the Seth fight due to his brother dying...according to his coach the last 4 weeks of tht camp were not good
                                            Comment
                                            • gabe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 7405

                                              #1562
                                              Originally posted by TheCalculator
                                              Could be. But the bets are out in the ether. Out of my hands now.

                                              BTW -- I like EVERY OTHER pick you had on your list (except those 2).
                                              What? You don't like the Benoist pick? or Dunham?
                                              Comment
                                              • Crassus
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-08-12
                                                • 1538

                                                #1563
                                                Aww yeah, JC is with me on the mouse!
                                                Comment
                                                • bjpenn85
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                  • 5059

                                                  #1564
                                                  And nik kalikas..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Crassus
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-12
                                                    • 1538

                                                    #1565
                                                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                    And nik kalikas..
                                                    And the joys gone.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bjpenn85
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 5059

                                                      #1566
                                                      who?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Jesus Christ
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-25-11
                                                        • 935

                                                        #1567
                                                        1-1 +125 going into the main card..not terrible..gonna miss the main card hopefully Johnson rolls...gl everybody
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tr4sh
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-06-12
                                                          • 311

                                                          #1568
                                                          found this forum recently and tailed this guy except for the Bisbing pick. But great call on that Demetrius Johnson fight. His speed and technique was unreal.

                                                          thx
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MMAbetMASTA
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-24-11
                                                            • 1931

                                                            #1569
                                                            this fuckinnn guy... Once again I'm amazed... You really are a supernatural, the fact you went fairly large on mighty is crazy. I understood a small play, but I'll admit I compeltely disagreed that it was a large play for you. but once again your ass was right, bravo.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheCalculator
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-10-11
                                                              • 1683

                                                              #1570
                                                              JC -- not sure how you do it. BUT YOU DO IT. Amen.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • v1y
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-02-11
                                                                • 1138

                                                                #1571
                                                                AMEN jc, AMEN.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Jesus Christ
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-25-11
                                                                  • 935

                                                                  #1572
                                                                  YTD 57-52-2 +$9,806.72

                                                                  3-1 +$2,125

                                                                  Prolly the best night I have had on here
                                                                  ...thanks for the kind words..bout to watch the main card now..I saw the Johnson decision was split was it the right call for Johnson to win?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheCalculator
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-10-11
                                                                    • 1683

                                                                    #1573
                                                                    Yes -- it was the right call.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sykes
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-23-12
                                                                      • 2714

                                                                      #1574
                                                                      Close fight but right call I say. Look at there faces at the end of the fight you see who got more damage. Awesome picks Jesus, awesome thread!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Grabaka
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-19-11
                                                                        • 3216

                                                                        #1575
                                                                        Holy cow....well done Jesus!
                                                                        Comment
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