UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes

[Vaughany]

On the flip side, does this make a Belfort bonus slightly more likely?

Yep good thinking! I took Belfort KO of the Night at +720, down to +450 now

[NunyaBidness]

Just woke up and read that and it's given me a blinding headache! Confusing as hell. Which book is it, 5dimes?

Bookmaker. Hopefully it's a win by a longshot so I don't have to go through another round of arguing over a $100 bet.

[Kaladarus]

Bookmaker. Hopefully it's a win by a longshot so I don't have to go through another round of arguing over a $100 bet.

They would need to win 5/6 for sure. It's hard to understand how a guy working at a sportsbook doesn't understand how a spread works.

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[The HOFF]

[urge2kill]

Bookmaker. Hopefully it's a win by a longshot so I don't have to go through another round of arguing over a $100 bet.

They did the same shit last Brazil event.

[5mike5]

need some advice guys...

if menedes wins would it be a decent price by submission at +1050?

seems like a woth-while longshot

[Educ8d Degener8]

1.00u Tavares -120
0.50u Arantes +170
0.50u Gonzaga -116
0.25u Prater +460
0.13u Massenzio by dec +846, Palhares has a cement block head (see Hendo fight), if playing MM as a dog, might as well go dec prop

0.13u Anthony Johnson +120 / Prater +435 / Mendes by dec +423, 60-1 hail mary parlay
0.13u AJ Vitor not distance -400 / Palhares by sub -140 / Gonzaga EO distance +350 / Michi Alcantara distance -115
0.13u Aldo/Palhares/Gonzaga/Barboza/Tavares/Packers/Ravens/Saints -- admittedly, rooting for Giants and 49ers


Waffling on an Aldo-Mendes play. May go Aldo ITD + Mendes by dec.

GL all.

[MMAbetMASTA]

Decided to puss out on aldo and gonzaga. Wish I would have got on aldo earlier at a better line, but too pricey for me now. Just not confident in gonzaga, but I think it's a solid play for those of you on it. Did play another line on alcantra, and took the overs for stout / tavares, etim / barboza.

Now I gotta go help my mom move into her new place lol, so I am probably gonna miss my prelim plays - hopefully I don't get a text from a buddy spoiling it for me, especially if I lose haha! Going to be either a great night or definitely my worst night if alcantra doesn't come through...

GL today everyone and enjoy, cheers
My ufc 142 final plays (updated):

Ticket#:63642098
Jan 14 08:30 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 14 03:51 AM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24229] Y ALCANTARA -195
(Y ALCANTARA vrs M OMIGAWA)

488 / 250
---------------------
Ticket#:63642100
Jan 14 11:20 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 14 03:51 AM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24206] V BELFORT -110
(A JOHNSON vrs V BELFORT)

121 / 110
-------------------------------
Ticket#:63684282
Jan 14 10:05 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 14 03:38 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24219] TOTAL o2½+105
(ETIM/BARBOZA TOT RDS vrs ETIM/BARBOZA TOT RDS)

105 / 110
--------------------------
Ticket#:63684975
Jan 14 09:50 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 14 03:42 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24223] TOTAL o2½-130
(TAVARES/STOUT TOT RDS vrs TAVARES/STOUT TOT RDS)

143 / 110
----------------------------------------
Ticket#:63690964
Jan 14 08:30 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 14 04:08 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24229] Y ALCANTARA -200
(Y ALCANTARA vrs M OMIGAWA)

200 / 100

[BIGDAY]

Anyone else think books are giving a ton of plus money or fights going the dist?

Might lay a few prop bets on going the dist for some of these main card fights. I see at least two going dist that could make for an easy profit.

[more_betterness]

Anyone else think books are giving a ton of plus money or fights going the dist? Might lay a few prop bets on going the dist for some of these main card fights. I see at least two going dist that could make for an easy profit.

Is one of those two Barboza Etim? Because I'm considering putting a little on that at +120.

[The HOFF]

need some advice guys...

if menedes wins would it be a decent price by submission at +1050?

seems like a woth-while longshot

I really only see Mendes winning by DEC and even that prop is worthless as it is barely better than Mendes ML. I think if you play it, just take Mendes ML.

[5mike5]

I really only see Mendes winning by DEC and even that prop is worthless as it is barely better than Mendes ML. I think if you play it, just take Mendes ML.

thank you for the advice...i appreciate it

didnt want to bet much, so im looking at a 2 team parlay with longer odds thats actually possible to win

[Vaughany]

I really only see Mendes winning by DEC and even that prop is worthless as it is barely better than Mendes ML. I think if you play it, just take Mendes ML.

Mendes decision is like +400 or better on sportbet last time I checked...much better than money line

[Vaughany]

Another great Dana White video blog part 2... (Shows Belfort's reaction to being told Rumble won't make weight).. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...v=2mcjR3TsK4s#!

[Educ8d Degener8]

Adding Mendes by dec +403, 0.25u... value in Aldo line moved away from me.

GL fawkers.

[bogbat]

Have you guys made any o/u plays tonight? If so post them up.

[Vaughany]

Have you guys made any o/u plays tonight? If so post them up.

I like the Silva/Prater Over 1.5, got it in a few parlays

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

the live betting started on the SPIKE prelims, i wonder when they will start tonight with 4 fights on FX?

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

looks like we can live bet the whole card

[jacktheknife]

Damn, line just went batshit on Aldo and Arantes.

[koscheckbaby]

Massenzio seems much bigger and it's not all height. Perhaps Paul is just sucked out from the cut though. Massenzio didn't seem like he's THAT big

[bogbat]

I like the Silva/Prater Over 1.5, got it in a few parlays

I'll tail. Nothing particularly is jumping out at me which is unusual because I'm usually relatively confident on at least a couple of Overs.

[jacktheknife]

1u Alcantara -173
1u Palhares -500/ Silva -500/ Aldo -260
.8u Palhares -500/ Gonzaga -110
.7u Palhares -500/ Stout +110
.5u Arantes +180

Was into Johnson, but shit got real weird. Might see how things go.

[Vaughany]

Arantes Carvalho starting now

[Vaughany]

damn not a good start from Arantes...slipping from first head kick

[Vaughany]

Beautiful hip escape from being mounted by Arantes