Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

Just wrapped up an arb on Brookins at +196 and Koch at -175 so 3 units profit if the Albino wins or 4.286 units profit if Koch wins. This helps cover the parlay involving Baszynski and Koch in case Koch loses.

[Vaughany]

Dont think I'm gonna make any plays on FOTN, SOTN or KOTN as only bookmaker offering them and I think there are a few good possibilities for each. But if I did I'd be inclined to play Vagner Rocha SOTN, Brookins/KOch FOTN, and Belcher KO of the Night. However, if Shields subs Ellenberger he'll get SOTN and if Ellenberger KO's Shields he'll get KO of the Night. Of course Koch has a decent chance of getting KO of the Night as well.

[Vaughany]

Off to a good start with Edwards/Lopez going over 2.5

[v1y]

couldn't pull the trigger on baczynski. considering how edwards just looked against lopez, it's not encouraging.

[Vaughany]

couldn't pull the trigger on baczynski. considering how edwards just looked against lopez, it's not encouraging.

ha bad luck man. For me Edwards was always better fighter than Clay Harvison and he IMO won tht fight, only didnt dominate because he gassed out and was too aggressive and gave up position.

[Mr.Kitty]

Ken Stone slapped his bitch up!

[Vaughany]

ha yeah complete different class.

Pissed I didnt go bigger on Stone and Seth, the Schaub loss made me tentative

[ghost kid]

Don't get down on yourself. Tremendous work.



Picked two even money fights for big winners. Thumbs up.

[Vaughany]

Don't get down on yourself. Tremendous work.



Picked two even money fights for big winners. Thumbs up.

Cheers bro, just bad timing really that those fights came around after my worst run so far in betting on MMA so was airing on side of caution so to speak

[Vaughany]

Ken Stone slapped his bitch up!

Dude Inter look like they're missing Eto'ooooo big time! Don't think Zarate is gonna cut it. Juve on the other hand are bouncing back.... Pirlo & Vidal leading us back to the promised land!!

[scofflaw]

Good job so far V. I wish I had gone bigger on Stone he looked great. I took a significant loss on Schaub too so I'm a little hesitant as well. I sure hope everyone here is wrong on Ellenberger because a Shields loss breaks my whole night.

[ghost kid]

How bout that Orleans crowd booing Benoist after that 29-28 decision. ******* assholes - shouldn't boo a guy after a performance like that. Guy could have quit with a broken nose, but fought his ASS of for 15 minutes. F U New Orleans - should be the last trip for the UFC to Louisiana

[Vaughany]

How bout that Orleans crowd booing Benoist after that 29-28 decision. ******* assholes - shouldn't boo a guy after a performance like that. Guy could have quit with a broken nose, but fought his ASS of for 15 minutes. F U New Orleans - should be the last trip for the UFC to Louisiana

Yeah total bullshit

[Mr.Kitty]

Dude Inter look like they're missing Eto'ooooo big time! Don't think Zarate is gonna cut it. Juve on the other hand are bouncing back.... Pirlo & Vidal leading us back to the promised land!!

Still early tho, but I totally agree that Etoó will be missed, he was our most important player last season who carried the team almost alone at periods. Obviously its gonna be hard to replace such an outstanding player and Forlan/Zarate won´t match him but I think together they will play their part and eventually fit in quite good. Forlan is very versitile and a real team player, in many aspects the complete opposite to Zarate who is quite selfish as we saw today when he only passed the ball when he had to. At the same time thats what can make him useful, today we played aweful, without any ideas and with little people attacking. When Zarate came in he created something with his dribbling skills and quickness. If he can learn to be a little more team oriented he can be a big success because he´s got lots of potential in both scoring and assisting.

I´ve never liked Gasperini and I suspected something like this would happen with our pathetic start. I´ts very hard to see how he want´s the team to play, today we played aweful offense, better defense and in other games its been the opposite. Sneijder should NOT play so low in the field, he needs to play in the trequartista role! I sincerely hope Gasperini get´s fired even tho that could create even more panic and add to our problems.

As much as I don´t like Juventus i´m certain they will finish higher then 7th place, great additions in Pirlo and especially Vidal as you mention. Vucinic will play a big role and together with Quagliarella and Matri they have good alternatives up front.

Hopefully we can get our shit together and put you and Milan in place!

[Vaughany]

About 24 units profit for the night including the arb I had on Koch/Brookins (about +20 without the arb). Also have parlay pending involving Baszynski, Koch and BJ Penn, so essentially now have 2.5 units on BJ to win 9.714 units. Would of been a perfect night had Shields of won or Ellenberger won by decision....thought the night was going to good to be true! Will do a proper review of my losses/profits for last few events tomorrow.

Next up 135 next wknd, a few big parlays resting on Jon Jones' shoulders, also have Kos in a couple, and a play on Travis Browne. Will be looking to catch the Ferguson opener at -225 or better. If not he will be parlay material along with Rothwell (and hedge Rothwell plays with HUnt by TKO/KO or KO of the Night).

[Vaughany]

Oh and also like James Te Huna over Romero. Odds should be close to even either way I guess. Romero is a small LHW and I think Te Huna's size and strength combined with Romero's poor stand-up defence could be the key

[Vaughany]

Review of UFC Battle on the Bayou Plays:

Summary of UFC Battle on the Bayou Plays:


13.8 units on Baczynski at -138 to win 10 units;


12.002 units on Ken Stone at -120 to win 10.001 units;


6.334 units on Belcher by TKO/KO at +235 to win 14.885 units;

6.334 units on Belcher/MacDonald to Go the Distance at +145 to win 9.184 units;


6.333 units on Ellenberger by Decision at +297 to win 18.809 units;


3.167 units on Brookins/Koch to Go the Distance at +135 to win 4.275 units;


1 unit on Edwards/Lopez to Go Over 2.5 Rnds at +119 to win 1.19 units;


Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


Parlay (double): 5 units on Shields/Ellenberger to Go the Distance (-200), & Koscheck (-375) to win 4.5 units;


Parlay: 3.484 units on Dunham, Belcher, Shields, Koscheck, & Cruz to win 10.572;


Parlay: 0.613 units on Shields, Not Jackson by Decision, Sonnen by Decision, Aldo by Decision, Ward by Decision, Not Nick Diaz by Decision, & Penn/Condit to Go the Distance to win 18.176 units;


Parlay: 0.613 units on Ellenberger/Shields to Go the Distance, Dawson/Hopkins Over 9.5 rnds, Ward/Froch Over 9.5 rnds, Not Jackson by Decision, Not Florian Inside the Distance, & Velasquez by Decision to win 7.362 units.

Forgot to add these two plays:


0.5 units on McGee by Decision at +215 to win 1.075 units;


0.218 units on Ellenberger by TKO/KO at +650 to win 1.417 units.

Just wrapped up an arb on Brookins at +196 and Koch at -175 so 3 units profit if the Albino wins or 4.286 units profit if Koch wins. This helps cover the parlay involving Baszynski and Koch in case Koch loses.

Total risk: 59.398 units

Total Return (excluding risk-free arb): 79.864 units

Profit (excluding risk-free arb): +20.466 units (+24.752 units inc' arb)

[Mr.Kitty]

Can´t do anything else then applaud for your success, anyone can find all those arbs and make profit even tho that involves some work, but you almost always end up winning lots of units on your straight plays aswell. Many kudos to ya Vaughany!

[Vaughany]

Can´t do anything else then applaud for your success, anyone can find all those arbs and make profit even tho that involves some work, but you almost always end up winning lots of units on your straight plays aswell. Many kudos to ya Vaughany!

Cheers bro, appreciated

[Vaughany]

Record Review:

Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):

Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units*
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units

(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):

UFC 130: +45.077 units*
TUF 13 Finale: -16.766 units
UFC 131: +17.688 units*
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum: +11.474 units
UFC Versus 4: +25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units
Cage Warriors 43: +1.308 units
Strikeforce: Henderson vs Fedor: +3.274 units
UFC 133: -12.302 units
UFC Versus 5: -5.073 units
UFC 134: -10.214 units
UFC Battle on the Bayou: +20.466

Total profit: +360.726 units

[Vaughany]

Pending plays going in to UFC 135:


5.508 units on Travis Browne at -190 to win 2.9 units;


Parlay: 10 units on Jon Jones (-400), Cruz (-400), & Munoz (-187.5) to win 13.958 units;


Parlay: 10 units on Koscheck (-333.33), Jon Jones (-400), Cruz (-400), & Munoz (-187.5) to win 21.146 units;


Parlay (double): 10 units on Jon Jones (-400), & Mark Munoz (-188.5) to win 9.167 units;


Parlay: 10 units on Barboza (-250), Anderson Silva (-400), & Jon Jones (-350) to win 12.5 units;


Parlay: 6.121 units on Not Schaub by Submission (-13725), Travis Browne (-190), Not Rampage Jackson by Decision (-3870), & Cruz (-390) to win 6.008 units.


Other pending parlays for future events:


Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


Parlay: 10 units on P.Thiago (-450), Palhares (-275), & Munoz (-188) to win 15.556 units.

[Chairib]

http://www.earwolf.com/show/comedy-bang-bang-podcast/?page=1

[Vaughany]

http://www.earwolf.com/show/comedy-b...odcast/?page=1

ha Nice one, will check the Adam Scott and Amy Poehler ones out tonight

See they lost out to Modern Family at the Emmys last night, I haven't seen any episodes of Modern Family yet...can't imagine it's better than Parks and Rec though. Just been blitzing through Season 3, Rob Lowe is superb in it and Adam Scott's character gets better every episode. The one were Swanson goes to see his favourite steakhouse and finds it's closed down was sheer genius!

[rocky mattioli]

nice call on baczynski.....wasn`t competitive....

congrats....

[Vaughany]

[Chairib]

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

Adding:


Parlay (treble): 6.368 units on Rothwell (-350), Diaz (-250), & Koscheck/Hughes to Not go the Distance (-185) to win 11.29 units.

[BIGDAY]

Lowest I found Ferguson was -285 at bmaker.

Wishfull thinking, that I thought I'd find him around -200. oh well, I'll most likely throw him in a few parlays.

GL Vaug

[Vaughany]

Lowest I found Ferguson was -285 at bmaker.

Wishfull thinking, that I thought I'd find him around -200. oh well, I'll most likely throw him in a few parlays.

GL Vaug

Yeah I got him at -265 in a couple doubles on Sportbet....not ideal but I'm happy to put him in parlays up to -300. See he opened at -235 on Bookmaker. One of the doubles is with Boetsch as underdog on Sportbet as well at +110 so equals out at good value I think. Bare in mind that Ferguson fight is on Spike so Sportbet/5dimes will probably offer props on it. I may well play Ferguson by TKO/KO hedged with Ferguson by decision I'm that confident in him!

[Vaughany]

Adding:


Parlay (double): 6.357 units on Boetsch (+110), & Ferguson (-265) to win 12.031 units;

Parlay (double): 6.357 units on Ferguson (-265), & Koscheck Inside the Distance (-185) to win 7.132 units.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


3.974 units on Te-Huna at -125 to win 3.179 units.

[BIGDAY]

Yeah I got him at -265 in a couple doubles on Sportbet....not ideal but I'm happy to put him in parlays up to -300. See he opened at -235 on Bookmaker. One of the doubles is with Boetsch as underdog on Sportbet as well at +110 so equals out at good value I think. Bare in mind that Ferguson fight is on Spike so Sportbet/5dimes will probably offer props on it. I may well play Ferguson by TKO/KO hedged with Ferguson by decision I'm that confident in him!

Yep, I saw that. I was in a morning meeting that lasted through lunch and didn't have access.

Placed a Parlay with Ferguson, Jones, and Kos that is paying EV. I like the chances of that hitting. I will most likely be taking Ferguson by dec as well as a strait.

GL

[more_betterness]

Boetsch at +110! You lucky bastard! Thats what I get for sleeping in!

[illmatick]

Nice Job getting Tehuna at -125. His gas tank worries me too much to play him at the current -160.