Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[jjaycuny]

haha, i like the clay guida currency better

[Educ8d Degener8]

My units are called "Guidas"

I spit soda on my keyboard f*cker! LOLZ

[FightFightFight]

See, even Chairib gets it. Lol.

[cheeese]

lol

[Vaughany]

Nice job vaughany, just to let you know, im 369 units up! not to steal your glory, even though i do...

haha Gd job, though Im closer to 500 units up if you include arbs and boxing plays!

[snufflyjoe]

lol @ Guida! love the carpenter

[Vaughany]

Adding:


2.135 units on Hendricks/Pierce to go the Distance at -162.5 to win 1.314 units;


1.591 units on Menjivar/Pace to go the Distance at -120 to win 1.326 units;


0.588 units on Brown by Decision at +225 to win 1.323 units.

[bjpenn85]

****. i gotta start cap boxing as well.

[Vaughany]

****. i gotta start cap boxing as well.

Most of my boxing plays are risk free arbs tho which is why I dont both posting them on here.

[bjpenn85]

how is that?

[Vaughany]

how is that?

same as MMa arbs, catching opening lines and playing fight go distance against not distance, and/or "Fighter X not to win by decision" against "Fighter X to win by decision".

[bjpenn85]

were do i start? When i got into mma. I started off by working through ufc 1, and so on.

which organisations do have the best betting opportunities and aall that.

[Vaughany]

Parlay:


6.089 units on Not Yahya Inside the Distance, Gustafsson/Hamill Starts Rnd 2, MacDonald/Pyle Starts Rnd 2, Not Hallman by TKO/KO, Not Akiyama by Submission, & Evans/Ortiz Starts Rnd 2 to win 6.094 units.

84932955-18/3/11 10:59am$100.00$100.09Pending6 Team ParlayPending8/6/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1037 Ortiz/Evans starts round 2 -645* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1228 Any other result -1750* vs Y.Akiyama wins by submission Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1330 Any other result -2570* vs D.Hallman wins by TKO/KO Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1537 Pyle/MacDonald starts round 2 -530* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1637 Gustafsson/Hamill starts round 2 -490* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1706 Not Yahya inside distance -980* vs Yahya wins inside distance
84932955-18/3/11 10:59am$100.00$100.09Pending6 Team ParlayPending8/6/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1037 Ortiz/Evans starts round 2 -645* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1228 Any other result -1750* vs Y.Akiyama wins by submission Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1330 Any other result -2570* vs D.Hallman wins by TKO/KO Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1537 Pyle/MacDonald starts round 2 -530* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1637 Gustafsson/Hamill starts round 2 -490* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1706 Not Yahya inside distance -980* vs Yahya wins inside distance

[SportsPedagogy]

I kinda like Yahya in this spot .... he dominated mike brown ... i dont think he is my fav to win this fight ... but when this fight goes to the ground, hes going to make alot of Mendes backers very nervous.

[Vaughany]

I kinda like Yahya in this spot .... he dominated mike brown ... i dont think he is my fav to win this fight ... but when this fight goes to the ground, hes going to make alot of Mendes backers very nervous.

Yeah he's good and made Brown look poor, but Brown has been a shadow of him self in his last couple of fights and fought a very poor strategy in that fight just looking for the one-punch KO. And regarding this fight Im not so sure it's going to go to the ground much. I think Mendes will be happy to keep it standing and trying and KO Yahya

[DDT]

Can you send a recap of all your picks for this upcoming fight on Sat night?

[sirchadwick1]

At +500, I think Yahya in addition to Mendes by DEC (-110) is a solid play. I know Mendes could GnP or TKO Yahya on the feet... but I think Rani is underrated at this point in his career and will take it the distance. Chad hasn't finished anyone since Best of Both Worlds.

[BIGDAY]

Parlay:


6.089 units on Not Yahya Inside the Distance, Gustafsson/Hamill Starts Rnd 2, MacDonald/Pyle Starts Rnd 2, Not Hallman by TKO/KO, Not Akiyama by Submission, & Evans/Ortiz Starts Rnd 2 to win 6.094 units.

84932955-18/3/11 10:59am$100.00$100.09Pending6 Team ParlayPending8/6/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1037 Ortiz/Evans starts round 2 -645* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1228 Any other result -1750* vs Y.Akiyama wins by submission Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1330 Any other result -2570* vs D.Hallman wins by TKO/KO Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1537 Pyle/MacDonald starts round 2 -530* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1637 Gustafsson/Hamill starts round 2 -490* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1706 Not Yahya inside distance -980* vs Yahya wins inside distance
84932955-18/3/11 10:59am$100.00$100.09Pending6 Team ParlayPending8/6/11 11:00pm Props Fighting 1037 Ortiz/Evans starts round 2 -645* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1228 Any other result -1750* vs Y.Akiyama wins by submission Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1330 Any other result -2570* vs D.Hallman wins by TKO/KO Pending8/6/11 9:00pm Props Fighting 1537 Pyle/MacDonald starts round 2 -530* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1637 Gustafsson/Hamill starts round 2 -490* vs Fight won't start round 2 Pending8/6/11 8:00pm Props Fighting 1706 Not Yahya inside distance -980* vs Yahya wins inside distance

I'm liking this a lot! GL Vaug.

[Vaughany]

Can you send a recap of all your picks for this upcoming fight on Sat night?

I'll post a summary in a bit

[Hannibal]

You mentioned you like both pierce and ebersole, but not enough for straight plays? They are both at + money. I'm confident at least one will hit.

[Vaughany]

You mentioned you like both pierce and ebersole, but not enough for straight plays? They are both at + money. I'm confident at least one will hit.

I've got at least 12 units on Pierce at the moment (6 at +110 and 6 at +115). Still considering whether to arb out or not. And I've got about 6 units on Ebersole/Hallman going the distance at -120 which was great value when you consider the -210 or something that it's now at. And Im more confident on it going the distance than I am of either fighter winning.

But yes a good strategy would be to bet same amount on each as I agree at least one of the two should win.

[cheeese]

V, how do you feel about the style matchup between Menjivar and Pace?

[Vaughany]

V, how do you feel about the style matchup between Menjivar and Pace?

I think the line is creeping in to value territory for a play on Pace. Public is clearly high on Menjivar after tht brutal elbow KO against Valencia, however I've never rated Valencia very highly. I'm more confident in this one going the distance as Menjivar is very durable and very experienced so will be tough to submit even with Pace's array of submissions. I also cant see either fighter dominating in one postion, they will both struggle to get the takedown and if one does get on top they will find it difficult to keep it there and advance position. For Pace to win I think u'd have to rely on him just being the busier fighter and having better cardio due to Menjivar's age and stealing a close decision.

[Vaughany]

Meant to say tht Menjivar has lost to guys like Caol Uno so do think it's out of the realms of possibility that Pace pulls off the upset in this one.

[FightFightFight]

Meant to say tht Menjivar has lost to guys like Caol Uno so do think it's out of the realms of possibility that Pace pulls off the upset in this one.

Not out of the realm, especially with limited knowledge of Pace, but Menjivar often gave up size against his opponents. Hes two weight classes down now.
Whats Paces wrestling background? I dont think its much, but dont remember now...wasnt enough against Demetrious, and even I could dominate Campuzano.

[SHALOMbagelBOMB]

I like pierce too vaugany...gonna buy a lot of dreidles, bagels, yamakas, and and kosher foods with my winnings.

[DDT]

I'll post a summary in a bit

???

[Vaughany]

Summary of UFC 133 Plays so far:


Parlay: 6.089 units on Not Yahya Inside the Distance, Gustafsson/Hamill Starts Rnd 2, MacDonald/Pyle Starts Rnd 2, Not Hallman by TKO/KO, Not Akiyama by Submission, & Evans/Ortiz Starts Rnd 2 to win 6.094 units;


6.095 units on Pierce at +115 to win 7.009 units;

6.095 units on Pierce at +110 to win 6.705 units;


5 units on Gustafsson at -178 to win 2.809 units;


Parlay: 6.228 units on Ebersole & Evans/Ortiz goes the distance to win 8.71 units;


7.427 units on Hallman/Ebersole to go the Distance at -120 to win 6.188 units;


2.135 units on Hendricks/Pierce to go the Distance at -162.5 to win 1.314 units;


1.591 units on Menjivar/Pace to go the Distance at -120 to win 1.326 units;


0.588 units on Brown by Decision at +225 to win 1.323 units.


May still arb out of the Pierce play. I've got over a 12 units guaranteed from a Evans/Ortiz arb. Will make over 35 units if Evans wins by decision.

[Vaughany]

I like pierce too vaugany...gonna buy a lot of dreidles, bagels, yamakas, and and kosher foods with my winnings.

ha As if you've created another account!

[Vaughany]

Adding:


1.068 units on Gustafsson/Hamill to go the distance at +125 to win 1.335 units;


0.959 units on Hallman/Ebersole to go the distance at +137.5 to win 1.319;


0.545 units on Bradley by decision at +250 to win 1.363;


0.392 units on MacDonald by Decision at +350 to win 1.372 units;

0.763 units on MacDonald/Pyle at +175 to win 1.335 units.

[sirchadwick1]

Like em V! Rory Mac by DEC at +350 is mind boggling... it's currently at -110 at my book.
I would have unloaded at that price.

[Vaughany]

Like em V! Rory Mac by DEC at +350 is mind boggling... it's currently at -110 at my book.
I would have unloaded at that price.

So would I if I wasnt limited.

[kmdubya]

1.068 units on Gustafsson/Hamill to go the distance at +125 to win 1.335 units;

I like this one a lot. Nice one.

[Vaughany]

Adding:


1.068 units on Gustafsson/Hamill to go the distance at +125 to win 1.335 units;


0.959 units on Hallman/Ebersole to go the distance at +137.5 to win 1.319;


0.545 units on Bradley by decision at +250 to win 1.363;


0.392 units on MacDonald by Decision at +350 to win 1.372 units;

0.763 units on MacDonald/Pyle at +175 to win 1.335 units.

^^ Should be on "MacDonald/Pyle to go distance at +175" ... for some reason I can't edit any of my posts

[Vaughany]

Just deposited £380 in to my pinnacle account and £500 in to Betfred with intention of adding more to Pierce at +109 and then arbing out on my Pierce plays with Hendricks at Evens. But just as I went to place the bets Hendricks changed to -137.5 on Betfred! So looks like I'll be riding my Pierce plays at +110 and +115 out. Got guaranteed profit from Ortiz/Evans arb so won't be a disaster if Hendricks wins.