Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

Adding:

3.174 units on Torres/Johnson to go the distance at -120 to win 2.645 units.

[Mr.Kitty]

Adding: 3.174 units on Torres/Johnson to go the distance at -120 to win 2.645 units.

This I like!

[Dave--M]

my bad read it wrong

[MMAbetMASTA]

Adding:

3.174 units on Torres/Johnson to go the distance at -120 to win 2.645 units.

I like this play dude, I think this will def go the distance....

What is a unit to you? What was the max bet on this play?

Also Vaughany, I just sent you a long private message.

Please check it out when you get a chance. I just joined on here, but we've chatted on sherdog forums before. Thanks man!!!

[MMAbetMASTA]

Also Vaughany, I just sent you a long private message.

Please check it out when you get a chance. I just joined on here, but we've chatted on sherdog forums before. Thanks man!!!

[spargament]

All about catching openers Mr 209

yup. struve opened as a fav everywhere

[Vaughany]

Adding:

Parlay: 5 units on Tibau, McDonald, & Barao to win 6.523 units.

[Vaughany]

Adding:

2.5 units on Any non-main card fighter getting Submission of the Night at +200 to win 5 units.


Like this play a lot! Down to +175 on Skybet now. Covers 50% of the fighters on the card and I think only Santiago has a chance of getting a sub on the main card while I think Barao and McDonald have a high chance of getting submission wins, and Grove, Tibau and Torres small chance. Only other way is if somebody like Nelson gets rocked and Mir follows up with a sub like he did against Kongo but that for me is unlikely to happen. May hedge with Santiago SOTN at +800 or better.

[Ladle]

Adding:

2.5 units on Any non-main card fighter getting Submission of the Night at +200 to win 5 units.


Like this play a lot! Down to +175 on Skybet now. Covers 50% of the fighters on the card and I think only Santiago has a chance of getting a sub on the main card. Only other way is if somebody like Nelson gets rocked and Mir follows up with a sub like he did against Kongo but that for me is unlikely to happen. May hedge with Santiago SOTN at +800 or better.

I think Struve could tap Browne, but I do like that play a lot. Plenty of potential for submission wins on the undercard (Torres, Barão, McDonald, and maybe even Grove).

[Vaughany]

I think Struve could tap Browne, but I do like that play a lot. Plenty of potential for submission wins on the undercard (Torres, Barão, McDonald, and maybe even Grove).

Ah yes, Struve probably has as much chance if not more than any other fighter on main card. Can get Struve SOTN at 10/1 so could even hedge with that without losing much!

I'm also looking forward to seeing the Barao and McDonald "Quickest Submission of Night" lines as well as I really like one of them to get it.

[jesuseatsnubs]

I am betting $2682 in total for this UFC 130 event .. how much u guys betting ?

[Vaughany]

I am betting $2682 in total for this UFC 130 event .. how much u guys betting ?

Not that much that's for sure! More like $750 probably for me. Saving bigger plays for TUF Finale, UFC131 and UFC on Versus.

[sirchadwick1]

For this event, it will probably end up around $85-$100. I'm also going bigger on 131 and VS at probably around $200 per card.
Still working my way up slowly to a larger bankroll... and hoping that we US'ers don't get shutdown.

[rafa martin]

UFC 130 Plays so far (excluding arbs):


Single outright plays:

6.124 units on Travis Browne at +130 to win 7.961 units;

4 units on Stann at +110 to win 4.4 units;


Prop plays:

6.445 units on Struve/Browne to not go the distance at -162.5 to win 3.966 units;

11.7 units on Struve/Browne to not go the distance at -187.5 to win 6.24 units;


1.365 units on Rampage/Hamill to go the distance at Evens to win 1.365 units;

0.824 units on Rampage/Hamill to go the distance at -120 to win 0.687 units;


6.875 units on Alves/Story to go the distance at -137.5 to win 5 units;

1.982 units on Alves/Story to go the distance at Evens to win 1.982 units;

3.556 units on Alves by decision at +225 to win 8 units;

0.427 units on Alves by decision at +162.5 to win 0.694 units;


0.8 units on Nelson by TKO/KO at +500 to win 4 units;


0.2 units on Stann by TKO/KO at +250 to win 0.5 units.

thanks a lot for the plays bro! the way you display now the bets make it much easier for novice gamblers to place them,,,you know is not easy for novice bettors...i will check now in this paddy book,,thanks and best of luck

[v1y]

Adding:

Parlay: 5 units on Tibau, McDonald, & Barao to win 6.523 units.

Yeap i made the same parlay, although my payout is lower

[jesuseatsnubs]

Vaughany what sportsbook do you use may i ask ?

also if $2682 shocks you .. for UFC 131 I am gonna bet $8000 lol

[rafa martin]

odds are way down!!! bookies knows everything about you and your crew vaughany,, this way the patient must be enormous and bets must place right away,,, i get odds like 1.22 fight not go the distance,,with those kind of odds,,imposible for me....up to next time,,,bol.

[Ladle]

Vaughany what sportsbook do you use may i ask ?

also if $2682 shocks you .. for UFC 131 I am gonna bet $8000 lol

Dear God. Please tell me you've got some more stable picks than Daniel Straus?

[Vaughany]

Dear God. Please tell me you've got some more stable picks than Daniel Straus?

haha I think the bet on Santiago based on the dreams he's been having about them making out in the middle of the cage is pretty stable basis to be fair! Also 95% confidence in Story is understandable ! I jest Mr Nubs...Im sure the Straus bet was just a minor hiccup!

[Vaughany]

odds are way down!!! bookies knows everything about you and your crew vaughany,, this way the patient must be enormous and bets must place right away,,, i get odds like 1.22 fight not go the distance,,with those kind of odds,,imposible for me....up to next time,,,bol.

Yep all about catching the opening lines on a lot of these I'm afraid...there are plenty of events coming up in next 5 weeks tho and a lot more picks that I'll be more confident with

[Dave--M]

ive around 1100 dollors i think it works out at

555 pounds anyway

[Dave--M]

may add more, i really like story alves fight of the night at +900

[Vaughany]

may add more, i really like story alves fight of the night at +900

Yeah is good value for sure Paddypower have got Story/Alves as joint favourite along with Stann/Santiago at +350 which I expected most sites to have something similar and expect 5dimes to have Alves/Story at +350 to +550 range. So +900 in comparison is very enticing!

[Dave--M]

defo

i want to parlay it up with something though because i feel ive already gone ott on betting and if rampage loses ill be in big trouble

so i only want to bet another 10pound max, who do you think i should parlay with ?

[Vaughany]

defo

i want to parlay it up with something though because i feel ive already gone ott on betting and if rampage loses ill be in big trouble

so i only want to bet another 10pound max, who do you think i should parlay with ?

If your worried about Rampage losing I'd add Hammill by decision or fight goes distance in to some parlays as a hedge.

Barao, Mcdonald, Tibau are all parlay material even if the odds are pretty steep now on most euro sites.

[Dave--M]

nah, i refuse to waste money on hammil now, ive made my bed im going to lie in it all my eggs in the rampage basket lol

ok im going to do mcdonald tibau with story alves fight of the night, 5 returns 80

not bad

[jesuseatsnubs]

jeez I get one of my picks wrong and you guys are down and up my ass barking like a wild dog .. lol

Wait till ufc 130 2 days from now .. I will post a screenshot of the money I will win

for UFC 131 though I am going big $8000 straight bet on 1 specific fight probably

[Vaughany]

jeez I get one of my picks wrong and you guys are down and up my ass barking like a wild dog .. lol

Wait till ufc 130 2 days from now .. I will post a screenshot of the money I will win

for UFC 131 though I am going big $8000 straight bet on 1 specific fight probably

ha Just keepin u on your toes, that's all Jesus!

[NunyaBidness]

for UFC 131 though I am going big $8000 straight bet on 1 specific fight probably

Lemme guess, Igor Pokrajac ALL IN!

[sweepem]

Lemme guess, Igor Pokrajac ALL IN!

Junior Dos Santos would be my guess.

[Vaughany]

Adding:

1 unit on Alves/Story FOTN at +900 to win 9 units;

0.672 units on Renan Barao by Submission at +200 to win 1.344 units;

0.216 units on McDonald by Submission at +650 to win 1.404 units;

0.195 units on Rampage KO of the Night at +750 to win 1.463 units.

[BIGDAY]

Best of luck Vaughany! We should be in for a good night of fights on Saturday.

[v1y]

jeez I get one of my picks wrong and you guys are down and up my ass barking like a wild dog .. lol

Wait till ufc 130 2 days from now .. I will post a screenshot of the money I will win

for UFC 131 though I am going big $8000 straight bet on 1 specific fight probably

I'm going to guess florian.

[Hannibal]

just make sure to let us know jesus!
so i can jump on your plays too.
You cant be wrong twice in a row.... that's science!

[rafa martin]

best of luck for this sabado.....what tv channel have these fights? i used to watch them in eurosports but i think they quit showing them.