Vaughany's MMA Picks...

[Vaughany]

Which books?

If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.

ha yes those are max bets! From Sportbet and a Euro book.

[snake11eyes]

If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.

Thanks captain obvious. Vaughany, what do you think about Marquardt/Benavidez parlay bet 300 get back 225.

[Vaughany]

Thanks captain obvious. Vaughany, what do you think about Marquardt/Benavidez parlay bet 300 get back 225.

Seems solid...but almost too solid to be true! Loveland did seem a bit bigger than Benavidez at weigh-ins and may have good enough wrestling to keep things interesting. Regarding Marquardt I'll be SHOCKED if he doesnt win this one...no doubt Marquardt is perennially overrated, but against a guy like Miller who is a small middleweight and who hasn't faced anybody with Marquardt's power I find it hard to imagine Miller beatin Nate. I'd actually be more confident with a Marquardt and Barboza double.

[snake11eyes]

Yea I noticed that loveland was bigger too. It worried me a little, but Benavidez should be able to out work him rather easily. I also liked Barboza, but don't know as much about him as I do Benavidez. Probably do two parlays one with each of them and Nate in both.

[urge2kill]

Which books?

If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.

First time you have one book cancel your bet and are left holding the loser you won't think it's impossible to lose.

[Jordan23]

Good luck tomorrow night Pal.. I have a feeling you won't be seeing any red!

[phillybadboy]

jones for the win

[thesox0311]

GL tonight Sir, lets have a positive night!

[Vaughany]

Good luck tomorrow night Pal.. I have a feeling you won't be seeing any red!

GL tonight Sir, lets have a positive night!

BOL to u both as well....gonna be an awesome event!

[daimoshokage]

Hey Vaughany, Rua or Jones?

[Vaughany]

Hey Vaughany, Rua or Jones?

Im also on this one I'm afraid! I've got 5 units on Jon Jones at -160 opener but I intend to hedge this with Shogun KO of the Night. I'd recommend a play on FOTN over betting on either of them to win straight up!

[rocky mattioli]

anxious to see barbosa....but i noticed on one of the youtube vids i watched(vs jose figueroa),that his hands,although powerful,aren`t particularly fast.....

the legs are amazing....power in his hands....but the hands aren`t what i`d call quick...

he struggled with figueroa until he landed the big counter shot....was on his back for a good while taking some strikes...btw...figueroa isn`t a dog...he`s fighting in the main event at next week`s m-1 showtime card...

not worried about njok`s ground game at all....but he has fairly quick hands and dangerous muay thai......so i`m probably hedging both barbosa pars with a njok. play...either straight at roughly +250 or by k.o. at 440...

even though barbosa looks amazing,he`s facing a tall dangerous muay thai guy that has power...neither guy has much foot movement...neither seem to back up much....and even though barboza is talking ground game,i haven`t seen it in any videos...doesn`t mean it`s not there...

this should end violently....

g.l.

this goes 3 i`ll be shocked...

[99Boxster]

Im also on this one I'm afraid! I've got 5 units on Jon Jones at -160 opener but I intend to hedge this with Shogun KO of the Night. I'd recommend a play on FOTN over betting on either of them to win straight up!

V, Will you ask SBR to put the rest of the UFC lines up in the SBR sportsbook?

[Vaughany]

V, Will you ask SBR to put the rest of the UFC lines up in the SBR sportsbook?

Sorted, they should be up shortly.

[Vaughany]

Final Summary of UFC 128 Plays:

5 units on Jon Jones at -160 to win 3.125 units;

1 unit on Shogun KO of the Night at +700 to win 7 units;


2 units on Shogun/Jones Fight of the Night at +333.33 to win 6.667 units;

2 units on Faber/Wineland Fight of the Night at +600 to win 12 units;


6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units;

1.5 units on Faber Submission of the Night at +500 to win 7.5 units;

0.043 units on Wineland KO of the Night at +3300 to win 1.419 units;

0.086 units on Wineland by decision at +800 to win 0.688 units;


1 unit on Schaub by decision at +400 to win 4 units;

0.5 units on Schaub KO of the Night at +700 to win 3.5 units;


9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;

9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

5.981 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 9.885 units

10 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win 16.25 units;

0.062 units on Marquardt KO of the Night at +2100 to win 1.302 units;


25 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +120 to win 30 units;

3 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +110 to win 3.3 units (also have a free bet worth 5 units on the fight going distance but won't include this on my record on here);

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +160 to win 9.949 units;

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +150 to win 9.327 units;

7.5 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +140 to win 10.05 units;


Parlay (double): 1 unit on Barboza & Pyle/Almeida to go the distance to win 1.222 units;

0.064 units on Pyle by TKO/KO at +1400 to win 0.896 units;


0.186 units on Barboza by submission at +1200 to win 2.234 units;

0.086 units on Barboza by submission at +1000 to win 0.86 units;

0.1 units on Barboza by decision at +400 to win 0.4 units;


0.2 units on Benavidez by decision at +300 to win 0.6 units;

0.013 units on Benavidez/Loveland fight will finish the quickest at +1600 to win 0.208 units.

[The HOFF]

Best of luck. Barboza ITD is my biggest bet, so a sub would be fine by me.

[Vaughany]

Best of luck. Barboza ITD is my biggest bet, so a sub would be fine by me.

Yeah fingers crossed! GL bro

[Pete0]

can any1 tell me if hes arbing this or its a straight wager ??

"6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units"

[Vaughany]

can any1 tell me if hes arbing this or its a straight wager ??

"6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units"

I don't see Faber finishing Wineland by TKO/KO and if he Subs Wineland it's likely to get Submission of the Night as I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.

[Pete0]

I don't see Faber finishing Wineland by TKO/KO and if he Subs Wineland it's likely to get Submission of the Night as I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.

thanks vaughany

so as far as i understand, this wager is supposed to be played along with teh sub of the night.

good luck tonight

[Vaughany]

thanks vaughany

so as far as i understand, this wager is supposed to be played along with teh sub of the night.

good luck tonight

Yeah that's it, so basically I'm counting on Jones/Rua not ending in a submission and Faber not winning by TKO/KO. BOL to u too

[MMAdisciple]

I dont see Jones or Shogun winning by sub.

I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?

[The HOFF]

I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?

A good chin doesn't matter when elbows and cuts come into play though.

[Vaughany]

I always thought Jones' only route to victory would be by submission. Shogun has one of the best chins so are you thinking if Jones wins it would be a decision or?

Yee I think Jones by decision is most likely...of course there is a chance Jones finishes him with elbows or something, but I will be surprised if he subs Shogun.

[shaggy3000]

you got all these picks i cant get but im going to take Jones and MARQUARDT with you it looks like

[Vaughany]

Decent start so far...Benavidez by decision, Barboza and Pyle/Almeida distance parlay, and Barboza by decision all hit.

[WIZARDOFBEANTOWN]

nice ko for shaub

[xelance]

that was KO of the night material. huge KO

[Vaughany]

nice ko for shaub

that was KO of the night material. huge KO

Yeah hope so

[xelance]

me too vaughany, I got him and Shogun for my KO of the night props looking decent so far

[Vaughany]

Trevor Whittman makes my skin scrawl!

[bringdownthehous]

yoo vaughany...alrdy locked up jones...you think its worth taking any of the other 2 fights left with wineland/faber or shalorous/miller..odds in both are pretty hefty tho if you take the favs

[Vaughany]

yoo vaughany...alrdy locked up jones...you think its worth taking any of the other 2 fights left with wineland/faber or shalorous/miller..odds in both are pretty hefty tho if you take the favs

Unless u wanna do a double of Miller and Faber but I wouldnt play either straight up because as u say thers a lot of chalk, plus I like Wineland at the +350 odds as a value play. Miller by decision might be worth a play as well.

[bringdownthehous]

word good stuff thanks man

[Vaughany]

Marquardt gets the decision as I'd hoped....15.469 units profit in the bag.