Vaughany's MMA Picks...

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 04:31 AM

Originally posted by defactocrippler

it reminds me of the time i went to vegas for my first ufc show. I was drinking heavily to try and quell the anxiety of being around so many hogs at one time. There was literally one chick there for every 9 dudes. And those chicks were fat as hell. I figured the chances of me getting some hog that night were +ev. And by hog i mean penis, not the fat chicks.

So i walk into the mens washroom (looking for hogs) and see a guy in an affliction shirt at the urinal and i don't want him to think im gay so i say "this guys a phaget i dont want him looking at my hog". So i went to use a stall but they were all locked. I had to take a leak really bad so i ended up kicking one open and just starting pissing.

I was floored when i realized uriah faber was in there getting head from the focking hensel twins man. The fockin hensel twins. And here i was urinating all over them. I didn't even know they sucked hog. I guess they are adults now and can do whatever they want. What happens in vegas...

lmao

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 04:35 AM

12/7/12 1:11pm

$120.00

$100.00

Pending

12/8/12 4:00pm MMA Fighting 3007 Scott Askham -120* vs Denniston Sutherland

12/6/12 5:18am	$200.00	$140.74	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	12/8/12 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Dennis Siver -300* vs Nam Phan
				Pending	12/8/12 9:30pm Props Fighting 1055 Diaz/Henderson starts round 3 -360* vs Fight won't start round 3

11/17/12 11:11pm	$100.00	$174.77	Pending	5 Team Parlay
				Win	11/17/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1057 Condit/St-Pierre starts round 2 -620* vs Fight won't start round 2
				Win	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1128 Any other result -3205* vs Hendricks wins by submission
				Pending	12/8/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 1003 Diaz/Henderson goes 5 round distance -210* vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
				Pending	12/15/12 10:00pm Props Fighting 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance -230* vs Palhares/Lombard goes 3 round distance
				Pending	12/29/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -1200* vs Velasquez/Dos Santos goes 5 rnd distance

Risk free plays on Easton, Brown and Proctor. Have Lil Heathen at -175 as well but may arb or hedge with Yves by decision

gabe · 12-08-12, 05:20 AM

So nothing to tail you on for this card

gabe · 12-08-12, 05:26 AM

I'm getting Ashkam for -165... worth it?

I actually like all the favs on this card

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I'm getting Ashkam for -165... worth it?

I actually like all the favs on this card

Nooo, I was back and forth on taking him at -120 so def wouldnt at -165. 2 weeks notice and still an unproven commodity, not faced any decent opposition, at least Sutherland has faced and beaten somebody like Sizeland who is half-decent for Cage Warriors standards. I think Askham blitzes him early and lands an uppercut or headkick, but if he doesnt end it early he might be in trouble

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 04:01 PM

Think I'm gonna leave Lil Heathen play without hedging or arbing, Yves by decision was +300 and now +246 so missed tht. Will look at hedging live-in-play maybe if he wins round 1 convincingly

gabe · 12-08-12, 05:12 PM

made a big play on askham and he just won =)

shoulda been more confident, homie!

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by gabe

made a big play on askham and he just won =)

shoulda been more confident, homie!

yee should of. Short notice was my concern

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 05:34 PM

lol 30-24!

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 05:34 PM

Thanks for coming Phan!

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 06:11 PM

PunisherIND · 12-08-12, 06:14 PM

good god, did he steal alan belchers tattoo?

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 07:47 PM

Adding Rory Mac by decision at +124

Beelzebubzy · 12-08-12, 07:52 PM

good thinking you didnt hedge with Yves by decision

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 07:57 PM

Also more to Diaz/Henderson Distance @ -165

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

good thinking you didnt hedge with Yves by decision

yeah, bad thinking not arbing tho completely! Yves hit +216 according to bestfightodds

Beelzebubzy · 12-08-12, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Also more to Diaz/Henderson Distance @ -165

nice adding this.
Plus 5u on Rory -270. As long as he can wall hump randy style in round 1 this is his.

Vaughany · 12-08-12, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

12/7/12 1:11pm

$120.00

$100.00

Pending

12/8/12 4:00pm MMA Fighting 3007 Scott Askham -120* vs Denniston Sutherland

12/6/12 5:18am	$200.00	$140.74	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	12/8/12 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Dennis Siver -300* vs Nam Phan
				Pending	12/8/12 9:30pm Props Fighting 1055 Diaz/Henderson starts round 3 -360* vs Fight won't start round 3

11/17/12 11:11pm	$100.00	$174.77	Pending	5 Team Parlay
				Win	11/17/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1057 Condit/St-Pierre starts round 2 -620* vs Fight won't start round 2
				Win	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1128 Any other result -3205* vs Hendricks wins by submission
				Pending	12/8/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 1003 Diaz/Henderson goes 5 round distance -210* vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
				Pending	12/15/12 10:00pm Props Fighting 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance -230* vs Palhares/Lombard goes 3 round distance
				Pending	12/29/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -1200* vs Velasquez/Dos Santos goes 5 rnd distance

Risk free plays on Easton, Brown and Proctor. Have Lil Heathen at -175 as well but may arb or hedge with Yves by decision

Originally posted by Vaughany

Adding Rory Mac by decision at +124

Originally posted by Vaughany

Also more to Diaz/Henderson Distance @ -165

Oh well tht fuckker Lil Heathen screwed me out of what would of been a perfect night...

[ # 130645614 ] STRAIGHT BET( Risking: 350.00 - To Win: 200.00 )

LOSE

12/08/2012
05:05 PM

MU

[2426] JEREMY STEPHENS PK-175 (YVES EDWARDS vrs JEREMY STEPHENS)Score: YVES EDWARDS(1) - JEREMY STEPHENS(0)

LOSE

$250.00

$310.00

$560.00

Win

12/8/12 9:00pm Props Fighting 1211 MacDonald wins by 3 round decision +124*

$577.50

$350.00

$927.50

Win

12/8/12 10:00pm Props Fighting 1003 Diaz/Henderson goes 5 round distance -165*

$200.00	$140.74	$340.74	Win	2 Team Parlay
					Win	12/8/12 5:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Dennis Siver -300* vs Nam Phan
					Win	12/8/12 9:30pm Props Fighting 1055 Diaz/Henderson starts round 3 -360* vs Fight won't start round 3

Single To Win

Dennis Siver @ 2/5
Match Betting
Dennis Siver v Nam Phan

Pending

£50.87

$100.00	$174.77	Pending	5 Team Parlay
				Win	11/17/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1057 Condit/St-Pierre starts round 2 -620* vs Fight won't start round 2
				Win	11/17/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1128 Any other result -3205* vs Hendricks wins by submission
				Win	12/8/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 1003 Diaz/Henderson goes 5 round distance -210* vs Fight won't go 5 round distance
				Pending	12/15/12 10:00pm Props Fighting 1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance -230* vs Palhares/Lombard goes 3 round distance
				Pending	12/29/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -1200* vs Velasquez/Dos Santos goes 5 rnd distance

And made about £120 from the Matt Brown arb....so about £345 profit for night in total.

bjpenn85 · 12-08-12, 11:04 PM

Not bad with 345 pounds either!!

Vaughany · 12-09-12, 06:22 PM

Vaughany · 12-09-12, 06:41 PM

Beelzebubzy · 12-09-12, 06:53 PM

like it V
I got 2u at +130. might play Okami by Decision

gabe · 12-10-12, 12:00 AM

Fight won't go 5 round distance -1200*

i don't like that bet. if cain wins, it's probably gonna be by 5 round decision, so i guess i would rather bet fight goes distance than bet on cain straight... also, if he loses, i think this time he loses a decision...

MD · 12-10-12, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by gabe

Fight won't go 5 round distance -1200*

i don't like that bet. if cain wins, it's probably gonna be by 5 round decision, so i guess i would rather bet fight goes distance than bet on cain straight... also, if he loses, i think this time he loses a decision...

If Cain wins, it's probably going to be a TKO. There's no way he controls the fight enough to win a decision without getting close to a finish on a couple of occassions. He's most likely not going to out-point Junior standing, and if he gets Junior on the ground, his ground-and-pound is some of the best in the entire sport. Also, I think if Junior hasn't knocked Cain out by the end of round two, Cain will cruise to victory.

Apart from that, I agree with you completely. It's a terrible, terrible bet at those odds, and the value is certainly on the other side.

Vaughany · 12-10-12, 05:51 AM

Will be last leg of the parlay if Palhares/Lombard Not Distance hits so can easily arb out live-in-play if fight goes a three rounds and looks like it might go distance. If any HW title fight is going the distance it would be this one though, but when was last time a HW title fight went the distance?

gabe · 12-10-12, 07:47 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Will be last leg of the parlay if Palhares/Lombard Not Distance hits so can easily arb out live-in-play if fight goes a three rounds and looks like it might go distance. If any HW title fight is going the distance it would be this one though, but when was last time a HW title fight went the distance?

Been a while, but this could be the one. Cain has already been finished by JDS, but if you consider that a fluke and restore my previous thought of Cain being very durable, then I will tell you both these guys durability holds up til the final bell. Minus the lucky punch, both guys should be able to endure anything for 5 rounds.

Beelzebubzy · 12-10-12, 09:14 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Will be last leg of the parlay if Palhares/Lombard Not Distance hits so can easily arb out live-in-play if fight goes a three rounds and looks like it might go distance. If any HW title fight is going the distance it would be this one though, but when was last time a HW title fight went the distance?

randy and timmay
Cormier and Barnett

Vaughany · 12-10-12, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

randy and timmay
Cormier and Barnett

ah yes Cormier

Sacrelicious · 12-10-12, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by gabe

Been a while, but this could be the one. Cain has already been finished by JDS, but if you consider that a fluke and restore my previous thought of Cain being very durable, then I will tell you both these guys durability holds up til the final bell. Minus the lucky punch, both guys should be able to endure anything for 5 rounds.

Sorry Gabe, not happening. I'm fading you hard on that.

Very little chance this goes over 3 rounds.

A strong chin is good and all, but a dozen punches in the face from either heavyweight known for knockout power is still a dozen shots to the face. Ref's have a job, and its to stop the fight when injury is apparent, even if a dude can "keep going".

Sacrelicious · 12-10-12, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

randy and timmay
Cormier and Barnett

Cormier and Barnett is the easiest 2 team parlay on the same card in the near future.

Unless Nandor is a sleeper GOAT....but I have my doubts about that.

gabe · 12-10-12, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Sorry Gabe, not happening. I'm fading you hard on that.

Very little chance this goes over 3 rounds.

A strong chin is good and all, but a dozen punches in the face from either heavyweight known for knockout power is still a dozen shots to the face. Ref's have a job, and its to stop the fight when injury is apparent, even if a dude can "keep going".

Um ok, fade me HARD with a -1200 bet, you're smart.

MD · 12-10-12, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by gabe

Um ok, fade me HARD with a -1200 bet, you're smart.

Yeah, I was just thinking that, too. Comical.

Sacrelicious · 12-10-12, 11:49 AM

I'm not.

However I'm also not putting money on it that it will go over x amount of rounds.

I'm betting on JDS ITD, that is all.

gabe · 12-10-12, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I'm not.

However I'm also not putting money on it that it will go over x amount of rounds.

I'm betting on JDS ITD, that is all.

Then why did you say you are fading me hard? I guess your words mean nothing. Probably should stop posting. Somebody call Officer DeFacto to chase another member away.

Sacrelicious · 12-10-12, 12:18 PM

Having a bad day? :P