Vaughany's MMA Picks...

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Be smart Gabe. Look at the styles.

Be smart? You said -160 is too much juice for Baker. lol if it's such a stylistic mismatch, you should max it at -160.

**BIGDAY** · 07-20-12, 01:27 PM

Nevermind, I thought you said somewhere that you were big on Karl. Sorry.

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

Nevermind, I thought you said somewhere that you were big on Karl. Sorry.

no, i just called him big karl lol

**BIGDAY** · 07-20-12, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by gabe

Baker has looked terrible in his wins, Amassou has looked great in his. Taking BIG KARL.............

My bad, this is where I messed up. Lol

Was just trying to say that I don't think this is a fight to go BIG on but I miss read your post.

Just saying that I believe baker is the rightful fav not that I see a crapton of value.

**GigaOuts** · 07-20-12, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

GL...could well see another Baker/Vitor Vianna situation

wow, great minds think alike. This is what I wrote when I place this bet yesterday.

Amoussou $500 to win $700 @ +140
notes: I think Karl Amoussou is the quicker and younger version of Vitor Vianna, and he hit harder too.

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-20-12, 02:50 PM

At the point baker has improved since that fight. He alsoswitched to Jackson's aka gameplan gameplan gameplan. Winning fights aka tourney finals will get you paid more.

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

wow, great minds think alike. This is what I wrote when I place this bet yesterday.

Amoussou $500 to win $700 @ +140
notes: I think Karl Amoussou is the quicker and younger version of Vitor Vianna, and he hit harder too.

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

At the point baker has improved since that fight. He alsoswitched to Jackson's aka gameplan gameplan gameplan. Winning fights aka tourney finals will get you paid more.

ha yeah, although the there is certainly a reasonable chance that a Vitor Vianna situation repeats itself, the very fact that that happened makes me more confident in playing Baker as he will be well aware what will happen if you ignore defence and have no respect for opponents striking

**GigaOuts** · 07-20-12, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

At the point baker has improved since that fight. He alsoswitched to Jackson's aka gameplan gameplan gameplan. Winning fights aka tourney finals will get you paid more.

Most of the gameplan I have see from Jackson camp is evading damage and scoring point, don't really look for ko or kill. It works good for Carlos Condit and Clay Guida since they have quicker movement than their opponent. That gameplan will get backfire went facing a explosive striker like Lyoto Machida, Eric Silva, and Karl Amoussou, I think. Chris Lozano have some kind of gameplan too, very tentative and evasive compare to his other fight and Amoussou explosive kick catch him. Lozano is hurt and he have no choice but initiate the TD. I hope Bryan Baker take the gameplan to heart and lose his killer instinct.

explosiveness/quickness: Karl Amoussou >> Bryan Baker.
I can see Amoussou win 1st round and lose 3rd round, that is the type of fighter Amoussou is. If Amoussou can't catch Baker in the 1st round, than likely 2rd round is the whole fight! Whoever win the 2rd round likely win the fight.

**spargament** · 07-20-12, 03:52 PM

This is every single ITD Threat vs Someone who actually has a gastank fight embodied. So cliche at this point. Arb the ITD guy ITD with the tank by decision.

Not even looking at the odds available but I'd assume it should be possible?

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by spargament

This is every single ITD Threat vs Someone who actually has a gastank fight embodied. So cliche at this point. Arb the ITD guy ITD with the tank by decision.

Not even looking at the odds available but I'd assume it should be possible?

Not tht im aware of

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-20-12, 03:57 PM

Bisping is ripping it. Lombard is a dwarf. Munoz barber is the same guy as Alan belcher tattoo artist.

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 05:04 PM

Logan Stanton and Leah back!

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-20-12, 05:13 PM

Cormier vs Timmy!!!!!!!!! Putting the engagement ring on this one
cormeir wil be +300 right nick?

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 05:21 PM

lol is this seriously happening?

**PunisherIND** · 07-20-12, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Cormier vs Timmy!!!!!!!!! Putting the engagement ring on this one
cormeir wil be +300 right nick?

my bad, didnt see this when i posted in the monthly news thread.

seriously though, i think cormier will be more like -200 to -300, nah mean?

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 05:58 PM

lol -350 max

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-20-12, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

lol -350 max

if kalikas is stupid enough to put sylvia at anything more than +150 me and my syndicate are going to POUND the shit out of that line.

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler

if kalikas is stupid enough to put sylvia at anything more than +150 me and my syndicate are going to POUND the shit out of that line.

**Vaughany** · 07-20-12, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Bellator 72 play:

9:51am 20-Jul-12

6:45pm 20-Jul-12

Mixed Martial Arts
Money Line

Karl Amoussou vs Bryan Baker for Match.

-152

200.00

131.58

Pending

Buying back on this with Psycho at +156 so that now have £44 on Baker to win £31.58.

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-20-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Buying back on this with Psycho at +156 so that now have £44 on Baker to win £31.58.

I just realized the psychology behind why people get mad when you arb out. If they tail and lose, YOU HAVE TO LOSE TOO, or else it just isn't "fair".

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler

I just realized the psychology behind why people get mad when you arb out. If they tail and lose, YOU HAVE TO LOSE TOO, or else it just isn't "fair".

No, people tail when they believe he's confident in a play, unassuming that he can arb out of it any any given moment.

I'm waiting to see what V's next real play is. The last two were Francisco Rivera and Damacio Page.

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-20-12, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by gabe

No, people tail when they believe he's confident in a play, unassuming that he can arb out of it any any given moment.

What does it matter if he arbs out? I tailed him on the baker play for an "action" bet because I liked the breakdown he gave. I got it at -150 and I can currently arb out for Ammousu at +155. I don't care to arb out cause the play was just for action but the info he gave me was still valuable no matter what, albeit for a small amount.

It's like he bought a stock for low and sold it for high.

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-20-12, 08:17 PM

Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler

if kalikas is stupid enough to put sylvia at anything more than +150 me and my syndicate are going to POUND the shit out of that line.

I agree. Once Timmay survivies the first two pucnhes its game over. Here is the play by play Marty Mcfly Style
Cormier throws a right hook, oh no his hand breaks. Cormier throws a left jab, oh no his hand breaks. Timmay lands his amazing jab for three rounds and wins

Timmay -200 on Bubzy Book (Max bet 1 yen, 15 US Dollar transaction fee)

**GigaOuts** · 07-20-12, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

wow, great minds think alike. This is what I wrote when I place this bet yesterday.

Amoussou $500 to win $700 @ +140
notes: I think Karl Amoussou is the quicker and younger version of Vitor Vianna, and he hit harder too.

Add $200 on Amoussou @ +167 to win $334

UFC on Fuel 4
2g on Francis Carmont to win $1200+
Bellator 72 +$1242
4.5g downswing cut down to 2.1g .................Let's go Hippo and Jordan!!!!

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by gabe

So the play is Amassou ITD? Ressspek.

Ressssssssssssssssssspek.

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

Add $200 on Amoussou @ +167 to win $334

UFC on Fuel 4
2g on Francis Carmont to win $1200+
Bellator 72 +$1242
4.5g downswing cut down to 2.1g .................Let's go Hippo and Jordan!!!!

You mean, Jimmo and Jordan!!!!!!!

**GigaOuts** · 07-20-12, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by gabe

You mean, Jimmo and Jordan!!!!!!!

Nope! Anthony Perosh is a BEAST, a quiet beast. The the Hippo do looks like a he belong in amateur European basketball league so I see why you want to pick Ryan Jimmo and Jimmo record looks good too. It good to know Jesus leaning on Perosh too but no one is 100% with their pick. I have $200 on Hippo @ +145, add $200 on Hippo @ +160 and might add more if line get crazy at the end since I luck out on Vegt fight. I didn't see the fight but it sound like a robbery.

**gabe** · 07-20-12, 11:38 PM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

Nope! Anthony Perosh is a BEAST, a quiet beast. The the Hippo do looks like a he belong in amateur European basketball league so I see why you want to pick Ryan Jimmo and Jimmo record looks good too. It good to know Jesus leading on Perosh too but no one is 100% with their pick. I have $200 on Hippo @ +145, add $200 on Hippo @ +160 and might add more if line get crazy at the end since I luck out on Vegt fight. I didn't see the fight but it sound like a robbery.

A beast would not get completely dominated by Cyrille Diabate.

**Grabaka** · 07-20-12, 11:42 PM

Jimmy is just as nuts as a referee. Blind motherfucher...i scored it for Vegh....but it was pretty damn close. Jimmy was swinging wildly from Newtons nuts. I was semi watching BTW

**Grabaka** · 07-20-12, 11:43 PM

lol wrong thread....whatever...hope vagooney likes it.

**GigaOuts** · 07-21-12, 01:58 AM

Originally posted by gabe

A beast would not get completely dominated by Cyrille Diabate.

You can look at that with 2 different perspective, Hippo sucks he got dominated so easily by Cyrille Diabate or
man! that Hippo got a heart of champion, most fighter give up after that beating....lol

**Bradbatross** · 07-21-12, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by gabe

A beast would not get completely dominated by Cyrille Diabate.

I don't think Perosh is going to have any trouble taking Jimmo down and submitting him. I changed my mind with Jordan also, I'm gaining confidence that he's going to win, have him in two parlays.

**Vaughany** · 07-21-12, 06:52 AM

**gabe** · 07-21-12, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by GigaOuts

You can look at that with 2 different perspective, Hippo sucks he got dominated so easily by Cyrille Diabate or
man! that Hippo got a heart of champion, most fighter give up after that beating....lol

Either way, he's no beast.

**Sykes** · 07-21-12, 02:21 PM

So you guys say Perosh can take this guy down? never heard of him but have seen Perosh a few times and if he gets you down its over. My plan was to bet him and McGee.

PS. V my pms were banned! Will hit you up sometime soon!