UFC on ESPN+: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan (August 01, 2020)

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  • WolfTicketDealer
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-05-17
    • 384
    #36
    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
    Another last minute pullout for Borg. Time to give him the axe once and for all.
    Antonio Cromartie could learn from Borg's pullout skills.
      Comment
      • Hugo de Naranja
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-16
        • 14140
        #37
        Originally posted by WolfTicketDealer
        Borg needs to be cut at this point. Ridiculous how often he pulls out and/or misses weight.
        He's made it to 12 UFC fights. He's pulled out of 9 and missed weight 4 times.

        I've devised a metric called the Fuckup Ratio. It's calculated as (Fighter Initiated Withdrawals + Weight Misses) / Fights That Happen

        Borg has one of the highest Fuckup Ratios ever at 1.08. He's pulled out or missed weight for more than he's actually fought in the UFC.
          Comment
          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140
            #38
            This is Borg's history of pullouts/withdrawals before his son was born in 2018. He has been missing weight and pulling out due to illnesses for years prior.

            9/29/14 pulls out of 11/7/14 bout with Richie Vaculik due to injury

            8/8/15 misses weight by 0.75 pounds for a bout against Geanne Herrera

            7/21/16 pulls out week before 7/30/16 Fredy Serrano fight due to injury

            9/8/16 pulls out days before 9/10/16 Ian McCall fight due to "illness"

            12/30/16 misses weight by 3.5 pounds for a bout against Louis Smolka

            9/7/17 pulls out days before 9/9/17 PPV Main Event Title Fight against Demetrious Johnson due to "illness"
              Comment
              • THE_LOCKSMITH
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-25-08
                • 7237
                #39

                Derek Brunson and Edmen Shahbazyan


                Joanne Calderwood and Jennifer Maia


                Vicente Luque and Randy Brown


                Lando Vannata and Bobby Green


                Kevin Holland and Trevin Giles


                Frankie Saenz and Jonathan Martinez
                  Comment
                  • Demonata
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-12-11
                    • 25829
                    #40
                    Anyone else like bobby green today? I feel like he should be the favorite.
                      Comment
                      • BIGDAY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 48245
                        #41
                        It’s FIIIIIIIIGHT NIGHT!!

                          Comment
                          • frankieunits2685
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-19-17
                            • 3575
                            #42
                            Fight Night WOOOOOOOO

                            Underrated card
                              Comment
                              • Teem
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-11-17
                                • 343
                                #43
                                Got JoJo by decision + Shahbazyan ITD
                                Also on Luque and Meerschaert
                                  Comment
                                  • inspektr
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 05-28-18
                                    • 210
                                    #44
                                    lets go shahbaz + luque !
                                      Comment
                                      • Sanity Check
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-30-13
                                        • 10962
                                        #45
                                        Originally posted by Demonata
                                        Anyone else like bobby green today? I feel like he should be the favorite.
                                        Was thinking Green should be the favorite.

                                        Lando Vannata looked sharper and improved fighting in his hometown last time out. Looks like he's made big changes in his training. Which could give him the edge here. But its hard to say with Lando fighting in his hometown last time out and Yancy looking the worst prepared he's ever looked in the UFC. Lando paced himself enough that we don't know if he still only has 1 to 2 rounds of cardio in a firefight.

                                        Would like to see Bobby Green wrestle Lando. Vannata's cardio has been suspect. It might not hold up and Green could break him.

                                        Slow paced kickboxing is the gameplan that would work most in Lando's favor.



                                        Too many question marks for me to feel one way or the other about it.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sanity Check
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-30-13
                                            • 10962
                                            #46
                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                            This is Borg's history of pullouts/withdrawals before his son was born in 2018. He has been missing weight and pulling out due to illnesses for years prior.

                                            I think Borg is like Priscila Cachoeira.

                                            The UFC feels Cachoeira was done dirty by Mario Yamasaki so they give her a little more of a chance than they would normally give fighters.

                                            Ray Borg got glass shards in his eyes when Conor threw the dolly into the bus window. So they're giving him more of a chance than normal since he was done dirty that way.


                                            If it was heartless and cold bellator both Cahoeira and Borg would have been cut a long time ago.
                                              Comment
                                              • Thrilla
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-10-15
                                                • 13809
                                                #47


                                                  Comment
                                                  • 63M1N1
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-18-16
                                                    • 167
                                                    #48
                                                    Good whiskey, nice spliff and no strong bets today, just chill.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                        • 14140
                                                        #49
                                                        Meerschaert out with COVID.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • frankieunits2685
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-19-17
                                                            • 3575
                                                            #50
                                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                            Meerschaert out with COVID.
                                                            Wow really?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • frankieunits2685
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-19-17
                                                                • 3575
                                                                #51
                                                                Looks like he was forced to withdraw, how did they just find this out 20 mins before prelims kick off?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rsynweap84
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-24-16
                                                                    • 622
                                                                    #52
                                                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                    Another last minute pullout for Borg. Time to give him the axe once and for all.
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                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • hwgfb
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 11-27-15
                                                                        • 92
                                                                        #53
                                                                        will 4 fights go the Distance? May Parlay??
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • frankieunits2685
                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                            • 11-19-17
                                                                            • 3575
                                                                            #54
                                                                            Prelims pushed back to 7pm eastern now instead of 6pm.
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                • 04-14-16
                                                                                • 14140
                                                                                #55
                                                                                ​UFC on ESPN+ 31: Shahbazyan vs. Brunson Picks:
                                                                                Chris Gutierrez Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                                                                Jamall Emmers Round 3 TKO (Punches)
                                                                                Johnny Munoz Jr. Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                                                                                Jonathan Martinez Round 1 KO (Flying Knee)
                                                                                Kevin Holland Round 3 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
                                                                                Lando Vannata Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                                                                                Vicente Luque Round 1 KO (Punches)
                                                                                Joanne Calderwood Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                                                                Edmen Shahbazyan Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                    • 04-14-16
                                                                                    • 14140
                                                                                    #56
                                                                                    UFC on ESPN+ 31: Shahbazyan vs. Brunson

                                                                                    ESPN+ Prelims:

                                                                                    Fight #1: Gutierrez vs. Durden (DEBUT)
                                                                                    No Bet

                                                                                    Fight #2: Emmers vs. Cachero (DEBUT)
                                                                                    No Bet

                                                                                    Fight #3: Munoz Jr. (DEBUT) vs. Maness (DEBUT)
                                                                                    Munoz Jr. ITD (+280) 0.36u

                                                                                    Fight #4: Martinez vs. Saenz
                                                                                    No Bet

                                                                                    Main Card:

                                                                                    Fight #5: Holland vs. Giles
                                                                                    Holland+Giles Over 1.5 (-185) 1.85u to win 1u
                                                                                    Holland Round 3 (+725) 0.25u

                                                                                    Fight #6: Vannata vs. Green
                                                                                    Vannata (-120) 0.9u to win 0.75u
                                                                                    Vannata+Green Draw (+5000) 0.15u

                                                                                    Fight #7: Luque vs. Brown
                                                                                    Luque (-182) 3.3u to win 1.81u
                                                                                    Luque KO/TKO (+244) 0.75u
                                                                                    Luque+Brown Draw (+6500) 0.1u

                                                                                    Hedge(s):
                                                                                    Brown Decision (+450) 0.5u
                                                                                    Brown Round 3 (+1500) 0.1u

                                                                                    Fight #8: Calderwood vs. J. Maia
                                                                                    No Bet

                                                                                    Fight #9: Shahbazyan vs. Brunson
                                                                                    Shahbazyan+Brunson Under 1.5 (-120) 1.5u to win 1.25u
                                                                                    Shahbazyan KO/TKO (+100) 0.5u
                                                                                    Shahbazyan+Brunson Won’t Start Round 2 (+140) 0.75u
                                                                                    Shahbazyan Round 1 (+200) 0.75u
                                                                                    Shahbazyan+Brunson Goes Distance (+240) 0.75u
                                                                                    Shahbazyan+Brunson Draw (+7000) 0.1u

                                                                                    Hedge:
                                                                                    Brunson (+249) 3u

                                                                                    Prop Parlays:
                                                                                    Green Decision/Shahbazyan+Brunson GD (+1277) 0.25u
                                                                                    Green Decision/Brown Decision (+1877) 0.1u

                                                                                    Multi-Event Parlays:
                                                                                    Brunson/Oliynik (+1151) 0.27u
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • rsynweap84
                                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                                        • 06-24-16
                                                                                        • 622
                                                                                        #57
                                                                                        Meersh*t f****()&_&*()^&*^^!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                                                            • 14140
                                                                                            #58
                                                                                            I think Shahbazyan wins the main event more than 50% of the time but there is massive value on Brunson at current odds of (+335). Brunson has never been taken down in the UFC and has never lost a legitimate UFC decision. If Brunson can survive Shahbazyan's early KO threat, he's got a great shot to pull the upset.
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • wlulaxer
                                                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                                                • 12-24-12
                                                                                                • 285
                                                                                                #59
                                                                                                Thanks as always for sharing your picks Hugo. What was the underdog you liked a lot? Just wondering. Thanks again and good luck
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                    • 04-14-16
                                                                                                    • 14140
                                                                                                    #60
                                                                                                    Originally posted by wlulaxer
                                                                                                    Thanks as always for sharing your picks Hugo. What was the underdog you liked a lot? Just wondering. Thanks again and good luck
                                                                                                    Brunson
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • Thrilla
                                                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                        • 03-10-15
                                                                                                        • 13809
                                                                                                        #61
                                                                                                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                        Brunson
                                                                                                        Undersized. Explosive overhand his best shot at a W by the looks of it.
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                                                                            • 14140
                                                                                                            #62
                                                                                                            Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                                                                            Undersized. Explosive overhand his best shot at a W by the looks of it.
                                                                                                            How is he undersized?
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                                                • 11-30-08
                                                                                                                • 81450
                                                                                                                #63
                                                                                                                1.1u Durden / Gutierrez Fight won’t go 3 round distance +125


                                                                                                                1.1u Cachero / Emmers Fight won't go 3 round distance* -135


                                                                                                                0.4u Munoz Jr wins by submission +255


                                                                                                                1.1u Parlay
                                                                                                                Jonathan Martinez -255
                                                                                                                Kevin Holland -238
                                                                                                                (-102)


                                                                                                                1.1u Giles / Holland Fight won’t go 3 round distance -140
                                                                                                                0.45u Kevin Holland to Win by Submission - Yes +220
                                                                                                                0.15u Kevin Holland wins in round 2 +530
                                                                                                                0.15u Kevin Holland wins in round 3 +950


                                                                                                                1.1u Bobby Green +132
                                                                                                                0.13u Bobby Green vrs Lando Vannata: Draw +4183


                                                                                                                1.1u parlay
                                                                                                                Bobby Green/Lando Vannata over 2½ -260
                                                                                                                Jennifer Maia/Joanne Calderwood over 2½ -400
                                                                                                                Edmen Shahbazyan -373
                                                                                                                (+119)


                                                                                                                1.1u Vicente Luque -185


                                                                                                                1.1u Joanne Calderwood -159


                                                                                                                1.1u u1½-119 - (Derek Brunson vrs Edmen Shahbazyan)
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • Thrilla
                                                                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                                    • 03-10-15
                                                                                                                    • 13809
                                                                                                                    #64
                                                                                                                    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                                    How is he undersized?
                                                                                                                    He looked smaller than Shabazzy boy at faceoffs
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                                                        • 11-30-08
                                                                                                                        • 81450
                                                                                                                        #65
                                                                                                                        Originally posted by hwgfb
                                                                                                                        will 4 fights go the Distance? May Parlay??
                                                                                                                        That's almost half of the fights now
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                                                                                            • 14140
                                                                                                                            #66
                                                                                                                            Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                                                                                            He looked smaller than Shabazzy boy at faceoffs
                                                                                                                            Brunson is listed as an inch shorter but has a 3" longer reach. Size not too big of a factor for this bout. Will come down to skills and attributes. Will Brunson's chin hold up long enough for Shahbazyan to tire out?
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • Thrilla
                                                                                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                                                • 03-10-15
                                                                                                                                • 13809
                                                                                                                                #67
                                                                                                                                Diggity did you see JayLA's picture post in poster of the month thread?
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                                                                    • 11-30-08
                                                                                                                                    • 81450
                                                                                                                                    #68
                                                                                                                                    Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                                                                                                    Diggity did you see JayLA's picture post in poster of the month thread?
                                                                                                                                    Haha Yup!

                                                                                                                                    That's post of the month right there.
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • Thrilla
                                                                                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                                                        • 03-10-15
                                                                                                                                        • 13809
                                                                                                                                        #69
                                                                                                                                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                                                                                        Haha Yup!

                                                                                                                                        That's post of the month right there.
                                                                                                                                        Lol more like post of the century. How many times have you fapped to it already? I will after the event. Lets encourage him to post more.
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • Thrilla
                                                                                                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                                                                            • 03-10-15
                                                                                                                                            • 13809
                                                                                                                                            #70
                                                                                                                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                                                                                                            Brunson is listed as an inch shorter but has a 3" longer reach. Size not too big of a factor for this bout. Will come down to skills and attributes. Will Brunson's chin hold up long enough for Shahbazyan to tire out?
                                                                                                                                            I have no strong take here. You're saying Brunson has better cardio?
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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