UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw - January 19th

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  • bjpenn85
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-11
    • 5059

    #1
    UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw - January 19th
    Flyweight Henry Cejudo (c) vs. T.J. Dillashaw [a]
    Heavyweight Greg Hardy vs. Allen Crowder
    Lightweight Gregor Gillespie vs. Yancy Medeiros
    Flyweight Joseph Benavidez vs. Dustin Ortiz
    Women's Flyweight Paige VanZant vs. Rachael Ostovich
    Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira vs. Ion Cuțelaba
    Lightweight Donald Cerrone vs. Alexander Hernandez
    Women's Flyweight Joanne Calderwood vs. Ariane Lipski
    Light Heavyweight Alonzo Menifield vs. Vinicius Moreira
    Bantamweight John Lineker vs. Cory Sandhagen
    Lightweight Dennis Bermudez vs. Te'Jovan Edwards
    Welterweight Belal Muhammad vs. Geoff Neal
    Welterweight Randy Brown vs. Chance Rencountre
  • bjpenn85
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-17-11
    • 5059

    #2
    Lets talk
    Comment
    • rsynweap84
      Restricted User
      • 06-24-16
      • 622

      #3
      ok so fight pass is no use now?
      Comment
      • bjpenn85
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5059

        #4
        Originally posted by rsynweap84
        ok so fight pass is no use now?
        I dont know. It may be, but do think that they still will post fights but how often? no clue.
        Comment
        • THE_LOCKSMITH
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-25-08
          • 7237

          #5
          Comment
          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140

            #6
            Thanks Locky! Much appreciated!
            Comment
            • Thrilla
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-10-15
              • 13809

              #7
              Size em up

              Comment
              • bjpenn85
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5059

                #8
                5 units on my boy Killashaw!
                Comment
                • CasaBonita
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-09-18
                  • 122

                  #9
                  I just put 7units con Dillashaw... and run to this video tbh i dont like it he looks tired and slopy when talking almost like Max cuting to fight Ortega the first time, what do u guys think? Myabe his just tired? Hope SO!

                  Comment
                  • Thrilla
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-10-15
                    • 13809

                    #10
                    Originally posted by CasaBonita
                    I just put 7units con Dillashaw... and run to this video tbh i dont like it he looks tired and slopy when talking almost like Max cuting to fight Ortega the first time, what do u guys think? Myabe his just tired? Hope SO!

                    In Holloway's case Bisping started saying shit after a FOX TV interview and the ball got rolling from there. Like Paul Felder said during 231: that's just the way Holloway normally talks. It's just Max being Max.

                    In TJ's case he seems fine to me + I can see right away the camera isn't recording proper so...Not much to draw conclusions over here either.
                    Comment
                    • Hugo de Naranja
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-14-16
                      • 14140

                      #11
                      What do people think about Greg Hardy?
                      Comment
                      • bjpenn85
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5059

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                        What do people think about Greg Hardy?

                        I havent watched tape, but the odds are so juiced right now that i dont know if breaking fights down is any point. Are you thinking of betting inside distance prop @ -400?
                        Comment
                        • CasaBonita
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-09-18
                          • 122

                          #13
                          I got Hardy ITD he has power and super athletic, also i think UFC want to make him a star so his gonna get all the good matchups

                          At the same time, he dosent have that much experience and is HW... but ill gamble a lil bit
                          Last edited by CasaBonita; 01-04-19, 05:52 AM.
                          Comment
                          • bjpenn85
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 5059

                            #14
                            But is so much juice is it worth it? Is round 1 to risky?
                            Comment
                            • CasaBonita
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-09-18
                              • 122

                              #15
                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                              But is so much juice is it worth it? Is round 1 to risky?
                              maybe not
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                I havent watched tape, but the odds are so juiced right now that i dont know if breaking fights down is any point. Are you thinking of betting inside distance prop @ -400?
                                I parlayed some at the opening price of (-280)
                                Comment
                                • ichiro4thehall
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-02-09
                                  • 241

                                  #17
                                  I think Cejudo has huge value here. I thought the fight was at 135lbs at first but being at flyweight this is a big advantage for Cejudo. If this was bantamweight these odds would be reasonable, but I'd be shocked if Cejudo's odds don't shorten a lot by fight night.
                                  Comment
                                  • CasaBonita
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-09-18
                                    • 122

                                    #18
                                    I saw more interview from TJ i think he dosent look good at all i have allready bets on him and ill just roll wiht them, but gonna hedge maybe getting near to fight week if TJ looks unhealthy and slow...
                                    Comment
                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-14-16
                                      • 14140

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                                      I think Cejudo has huge value here. I thought the fight was at 135lbs at first but being at flyweight this is a big advantage for Cejudo. If this was bantamweight these odds would be reasonable, but I'd be shocked if Cejudo's odds don't shorten a lot by fight night.
                                      Why did he have huge value aside from the weight class?
                                      Comment
                                      • ichiro4thehall
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-02-09
                                        • 241

                                        #20
                                        The weight class is the huge value. At bantamweight Dillishaw is maybe -200, but the lower weight class helps Cejudo so much as he is primarily a wrestler and he's going to have a relative strengh advantage at this weight compared to bantamweight, plus Dillashaw is going to be lighter and easier for him to control on the ground and keep down.

                                        I'm not saying Cejudo is a fav at the lower weight class, simply that Cejudo should be a shorter price fighting at a lower weight class.

                                        If this fight were at bantamweight, are you saying you think the odds would be exactly the same?
                                        Last edited by ichiro4thehall; 01-04-19, 05:13 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • Hugo de Naranja
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-14-16
                                          • 14140

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                                          The weight class is the huge value. At bantamweight Dillishaw is maybe -200, but the lower weight class helps Cejudo so much as he is primarily a wrestler and he's going to have a relative strengh advantage at this weight compared to bantamweight, plus Dillashaw is going to be lighter and easier for him to control on the ground and keep down.

                                          I'm not saying Cejudo is a fav at the lower weight class, simply that Cejudo should be a shorter price fighting at a lower weight class.

                                          If this fight were at bantamweight, are you saying you think the odds would be exactly the same?
                                          No I'm not. I think TJ should be an even bigger favorite at Bantamweight. He has a MASSIVE advantage in the striking, excellent Takedown Defense, and great getups for the rare times that he is taken down. This is a very tough style matchup of Cejudo, who in my opinion lost to DJ in their second fight (though it was very close).
                                          Comment
                                          • ichiro4thehall
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-02-09
                                            • 241

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                            No I'm not. I think TJ should be an even bigger favorite at Bantamweight. He has a MASSIVE advantage in the striking, excellent Takedown Defense, and great getups for the rare times that he is taken down. This is a very tough style matchup of Cejudo, who in my opinion lost to DJ in their second fight (though it was very close).
                                            We completely agree on almost everything. I agree DJ edged second fight and Cejudo def didn't win clear enough to take belt away from P4P champ and double-digit defending champ. I think Dillishaw should be -200 and -150 ish at 135 and 125 lbs respectively. You think he should be a clearer fav in each.

                                            What happened about plans to get rid of flyweight? When DJ switched organisations the rumour was one of the main reasons Dana allowed it was he planned to abolish flyweight. That, and the fact in his second DJ fight post-fight interview Cejudo called out Dillishaw, and I thought he called him out at bantamweight, made me think this fight was happening at 135.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hugo de Naranja
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-14-16
                                              • 14140

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                                              We completely agree on almost everything. I agree DJ edged second fight and Cejudo def didn't win clear enough to take belt away from P4P champ and double-digit defending champ. I think Dillishaw should be -200 and -150 ish at 135 and 125 lbs respectively. You think he should be a clearer fav in each.

                                              What happened about plans to get rid of flyweight? When DJ switched organisations the rumour was one of the main reasons Dana allowed it was he planned to abolish flyweight. That, and the fact in his second DJ fight post-fight interview Cejudo called out Dillishaw, and I thought he called him out at bantamweight, made me think this fight was happening at 135.
                                              I think they are still planning to close Flyweight but will reserve judgement until after this fight.
                                              Comment
                                              • bjpenn85
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 5059

                                                #24
                                                i like Sandhagen a lot, could be a close fight but i think i favour sandhagen. i do think sandhagen has the movement and striking variety mixed with a good enough ground game to dillashaw lineker a bit. I maybe wrong here. i am however not going to bet it as my money is tied up in dillashaw.

                                                Im just throwing it out there...
                                                Comment
                                                • Thrilla
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-10-15
                                                  • 13809

                                                  #25
                                                  Joe Rogan experience



                                                  Comment
                                                  • Thrilla
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-10-15
                                                    • 13809

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ichiro4thehall
                                                    I think Cejudo has huge value here. I thought the fight was at 135lbs at first but being at flyweight this is a big advantage for Cejudo. If this was bantamweight these odds would be reasonable, but I'd be shocked if Cejudo's odds don't shorten a lot by fight night.
                                                    According to mr. Rogan: Cejudo is a huge 125er. Struggles alot cutting down weight to 125.

                                                    Edit:

                                                    Dude watch both JRE videos posted above and hear what they have to say. I think Cejudo fighting at 125 could even be a disadvantage.
                                                    Last edited by Thrilla; 01-05-19, 09:40 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                      • 14140

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                      According to mr. Rogan: Cejudo is a huge 125er. Struggles alot cutting down weight to 125.

                                                      Edit:

                                                      Dude watch both JRE videos posted above and hear what they have to say. I think Cejudo fighting at 125 could even be a disadvantage.
                                                      Cejudo has struggled to make weight in the past but Dillashaw will definitely have a bigger cut. When they both fought at UFC 227, Dillashaw weighed 150 pounds on fight day while Cejudo weighed 141 pounds.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CasaBonita
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-09-18
                                                        • 122

                                                        #28
                                                        I guess u guys convince me im all over TJ now lets go Snake!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • firekillex
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-18-13
                                                          • 6420

                                                          #29
                                                          am i the only one here who believes TJ Dillashaw has/ is using steroids?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                            • 14140

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by firekillex
                                                            am i the only one here who believes TJ Dillashaw has/ is using steroids?
                                                            "All these motherfuckers are on steroids"
                                                            -Nick Diaz

                                                            Yeah I think there's a good chance he's using SARMs of something of that sort.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • firekillex
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-13
                                                              • 6420

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                              "All these motherfuckers are on steroids"
                                                              -Nick Diaz

                                                              Yeah I think there's a good chance he's using SARMs of something of that sort.
                                                              i think its 99% chance hes on something tbh...
                                                              funny because Diaz called out Mcgregor and everybody for steroids but i think Mcgregor is one of the guys who doesnt use steroids lmao
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83691

                                                                #32
                                                                So much time between UFC events now ...

                                                                Not impressed with this card by the way. I'm looking forward to the Prelims more then the Main. Cap it next week..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • UncleChael
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-30-13
                                                                  • 3979

                                                                  #33
                                                                  You're crazy if you don't think Henry Cejudo doesn't have a chance.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • firekillex
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-18-13
                                                                    • 6420

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                                    You're crazy if you don't think Henry Cejudo doesn't have a chance.
                                                                    id put his chances at 15% max
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                                      • 14140

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by UncleChael
                                                                      You're crazy if you don't think Henry Cejudo doesn't have a chance.
                                                                      I’m confused by this wording. What do you mean?
                                                                      Comment
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