UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders (February 03, 2018)

[KingHawkins]

For some reason I dont trust Shevchenko, her opponent is getting almost ZERO love. UPSET???

I showed the EX-crackhead some love by picking her to lose by decision.

[BELM0NT]

I showed the EX-crackhead some love by picking her to lose by decision.

She had 1 Ko loss in her career. I think this might be a contrarian bet for me

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders Picks:
Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Joe Soto Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Morales vs. Figueiredo
Figueiredo ITD (+276) 1.5u
Figueiredo KO/TKO (+525) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #2: Soto vs. Alcantara
No Bet

Fight #3: Viana (DEBUT) vs. Stevenson (DEBUT)
Viana+Stevenson Won’t Start Round 2 (+221) 1u
Stevenson Round 1 (+1450) .25u

Fight #4: Patrick vs. Hadzovic
Patrick Decision (+108) 1u
Patrick -3.5 (+145) 1u

Fight #5: Means vs. Moraes
Means KO/TKO (+265) 2u

Hedge:
Moraes (+180) 1u

Main Card:

Fight #6: Santos vs. Smith
Santos (-150) 7.5u to win 5u

Hedge(s):
Smith KO/TKO (+510) .5u
Smith Round 3 (+1250) .25u

Fight #7: Silva de Andrade vs. Vera
Silva de Andrade (+140) 1u
Silva de Andrade Decision (+265) 1u

Hedge:
Vera Submission (+500) .5u

Fight #8: Golm vs. Johnson
Golm Round 1 (+250) 1.5u
Golm Submission (+798) .5u

Fight #9: Prazeres vs. Green
Prazeres (-120) 1.2u to win 1u
Prazeres -3.5 (+165) .5u
Prazeres Submission (+500) .5u

Fight #10: Shevchenko vs. Cachoeira
Shevchenko Decision (+230) 1u

Hedge:
Cachoeira KO/TKO (+2600) .25u

Fight #11: Anders vs. Machida
Anders Decision (+704) .5u

Hedge:
Machida KO/TKO (+550) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Patrick/Anders (+102) 1u
Golm/Prazeres+Green Over 2.5 (+121) 2u
Figueiredo/Anders (+128) 1u
Figueiredo/Soto/Viana+Stevenson Under 2.5 (+468) .25u

Prop Parlays:
Andrade/Golm -3.5 (+392) .25u
Prazeres/Shevchenko+Cachoeira GD/Anders -5.5 (+572) .25u
Means KO/Santos KO (+608) .25u
Patrick -3.5/Means -3.5/Santos KO (+776) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 5.5 Fights Go Distance (+148) 1.25u
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+409) .5u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+1247) .25u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Bektic -3.5/Anders (-101) 1u to win 0.99u

[Shagdogy]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders Picks:
Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Joe Soto Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

Hugo, I'm on the exact same picks as you except I'm rolling with Green over Prazeres. Good luck!

[JIBBBY]

Tough card to cap and I'm getting cute and hedging a bunch... This is one of those cards where I think most of these fights can go one way or the other.... Not a great card to bet in IMO but I'll give it the ole college try..

My picks... Good luck fellas!!!

1) Figueiredo by decision for small $50...
2) Joe Sotto Straight and Joe Sotto by sub for small
3) Maia Stevenson Straight/ hedge Viana by sub..
4) Patrick by Decision
5) Tim Means ITD
6) Smith KO (very small) and O1.5 rounds..
7) Silva De Andrade KO/ hedged Vera by sub
8) Golm round 1/ hedged Timothy Johnson Straight
9) Green by Decision/Hedged Prazerez by sub
10) O2.5 Shlechenko/Cachoeira
11) Eryk Anders RND 1 finish prop/ hedge Machida KO..

[HurlSweatPants]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders Picks:
Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Joe Soto Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

Looking good bro get that money.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Looking good bro get that money.

Thanks man!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hugo, I'm on the exact same picks as you except I'm rolling with Green over Prazeres. Good luck!

Hell yeah!

[BELM0NT]

Green, Santos, and 1 unit on cachoeira

[KingHawkins]

Is anyone else on Alcantara or am I going to be against everyone? I am about to make $700+ on this Okolie fight, gonna put that, maybe more on Iuri. someone talk me down? or up?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Is anyone else on Alcantara or am I going to be against everyone? I am about to make $700+ on this Okolie fight, gonna put that, maybe more on Iuri. someone talk me down? or up?

He seems pretty shot. Didn't pull the trigger at all in his last fight. Then again, Soto's not very good himself. I don't have a great read on this fight so I No Bet it. Doesn't seem like a great fight to put big $$$ on.

[KingHawkins]

He seems pretty shot. Didn't pull the trigger at all in his last fight. Then again, Soto's not very good himself. I don't have a great read on this fight so I No Bet it. Doesn't seem like a great fight to put big $$$ on.

Appreciate the response. I cannot help but notice that 2/3 or more of the action I believe to be on Soto, but he is no longer being offered anywhere at +110. Line is moving closer to a pick after Soto has been a very slight favorite. These are spots I like to hammer when they appear. Fight likely goes distance, Iuri a Brazilian, fighting in Brasil.

[PhoKing]

which fight is most likely to go the distance?

[Hugo de Naranja]

which fight is most likely to go the distance?

I would say Prazeres vs. Green

[Shagdogy]

I would say Prazeres vs. Green

Patrick vs. Hadzovic too.

[HurlSweatPants]

Appreciate the response. I cannot help but notice that 2/3 or more of the action I believe to be on Soto, but he is no longer being offered anywhere at +110. Line is moving closer to a pick after Soto has been a very slight favorite. These are spots I like to hammer when they appear. Fight likely goes distance, Iuri a Brazilian, fighting in Brasil.

Agree, if this goes to the judges I can see Alcantara pulling out a questionable win.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Sounds like Prazeres vs. Green is in serious jeopardy of not happening. I HATE fight day cancellations.

[Shagdogy]

Santos/Fig parlay +117, 1u
Patrick/Golm parlay +128, .78u
Fig/Morales u2.5 +150, .66u

Expecting very little out of this night. Risking very little. If I win on these I may just let it ride until I'm even up more. If I lose I'll just take the small hit.

[JIBBBY]

Santos/Fig parlay +117, 1u
Patrick/Golm parlay +128, .78u
Fig/Morales u2.5 +150, .66u

Expecting very little out of this night. Risking very little. If I win on these I may just let it ride until I'm even up more. If I lose I'll just take the small hit.

I also don't expect to win big with this event Shag, just trying to win period when all is said and done. Hedging my asss off to make that happen.. Playing it safer tonight...

[Shagdogy]

Morales got hit big on 5dimes. Figueiredo all the way to +115. Hmmmmm... Makes me a bit nervous about my parlay. If Morales is gonna win this, then I hope he does it under 2.5.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Santos/Fig parlay +117, 1u
Patrick/Golm parlay +128, .78u
Fig/Morales u2.5 +150, .66u

Expecting very little out of this night. Risking very little. If I win on these I may just let it ride until I'm even up more. If I lose I'll just take the small hit.

I like these bets. Best of luck my friend!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Morales got hit big on 5dimes. Figueiredo all the way to +115. Hmmmmm... Makes me a bit nervous about my parlay. If Morales is gonna win this, then I hope he does it under 2.5.

Very surprising line movement there. Not sure why there was such a drastic price change here.

[Shagdogy]

I like these bets. Best of luck my friend!

Meant to shout you out... thanks for the input on the parlays! I thought about just using Santos in both instead of Patrick, but ultimately two different parlays was good.

This fight here should be nuts I think!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Booooooommmmm!

[Shagdogy]

Booooooommmmm!

Nice! Under hits and parlay alive!

[Sanity Check]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Morales vs. Figueiredo
Figueiredo ITD (+276) 1.5u
Figueiredo KO/TKO (+525) .5u

Nice hits!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hit Figgy ITD and KO + the exact pick!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice hits!

Thank you sir!

[Sanity Check]

Very surprising line movement there. Not sure why there was such a drastic price change here.

I think its because Figueiredo was moving slowly and tentatively when he stepped on the scale during the official weigh ins.

[MMANick]

Man, this kid is really goooood.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I think its because Figueiredo was moving slowly and tentatively when he stepped on the scale during the official weigh ins.

He looked great on the scale though. I think his slow movement was more about trying to be intimidating.

[JIBBBY]

UFC Fight Night 125: Machida vs. Anders Picks:
Deiveson Figueiredo Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Joe Soto Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Polyana Viana Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Alan Patrick Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Tim Means Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Douglas Silva de Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Valentina Shevchenko Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

Awesome call Hugo!! I saw this... Had to bump it and show RSPK..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Awesome call Hugo!! I saw this... Had to bump it and show RSPK..

Thanks Jibby! I'm glad my boy Deiveson showed up.

[JC2008]

Thanks Hugo. You set me up big with that KO prop as I had it parlayed with Murat Gassiev in Boxing.