UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Brunson (October 28, 2017)

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  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83686

    #141
    ^^ I think I'm gonna try a few prop parlays on this card. Try to hit a big payday.. We'll see? Maybe hit parlays in groups of 3 and 4 with big prop + odds for 10 bucks a pop..
    Comment
    • Hugo de Naranja
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-14-16
      • 14140

      #142
      One thing that makes me like Maia here is that Covington is not nearly as good of a defensive wrestler as Woodley. Covington has 50% TDD against worse competition.
      Comment
      • Shagdogy
        SBR MVP
        • 06-16-10
        • 3564

        #143
        Originally posted by PaperTrail07
        #1) UFC Fighting
        Selection : C. Covington 10/28/2017 9:15PM - (PST) Money Line -130 for Game

        #2) UFC Fighting
        Selection : R. Font 10/28/2017 8:45PM - (PST) Money Line -170 for Game

        #3) UFC Fighting
        Selection : T. Santos 10/28/2017 7:45PM - (PST) Money Line +100 for Game

        #4) UFC Fighting
        Selection : N. Price 10/28/2017 6:40PM - (PST) Money Line +105 for Game

        #5) UFC Fighting
        Selection : H. Dias 10/28/2017 5:40PM - (PST) Money Line +145 for Game

        #6) UFC Fighting
        Selection : J. Brooks 10/28/2017 4:35PM - (PST) Money Line -155 for Game

        Risking : 20.00 To Win : 908.73 USD
        What do you like about Dias, paper? I feel like I see a clear advantage for Gordon.
        Comment
        • UncleChael
          SBR MVP
          • 10-30-13
          • 3979

          #144
          Nicooooo Price
          Comment
          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140

            #145
            Originally posted by UncleChael
            Nicooooo Price
            This is spot on. Excellent analysis
            Comment
            • Hugo de Naranja
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-16
              • 14140

              #146
              Originally posted by UncleChael
              Nicooooo Price
              All kidding aside I'm with you on this one
              Comment
              • UncleChael
                SBR MVP
                • 10-30-13
                • 3979

                #147
                Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                This is spot on. Excellent analysis
                You know meee
                Comment
                • PaperTrail07
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-29-08
                  • 20423

                  #148
                  Fought at a much higher level of competition for a much longer time....Stronger....in Brazil...
                  Originally posted by Shagdogy
                  What do you like about Dias, paper? I feel like I see a clear advantage for Gordon.
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #149
                    I like Nico Price late against Luque. This could end very quick but if not I LOVE Price late and by decision. Will def be live betting this one. I also think Max Griffin has a shot at a finish. He has a lot of power and Elizeu is crazy active and tends to take some shots. at +500 or more I'll take a shot. I also suspect Brunson comes right after Machida and finishes him in R1 after playing patty cake vs Silva and getting screwed.
                    Comment
                    • Shagdogy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-16-10
                      • 3564

                      #150
                      Originally posted by TPowell
                      I like Nico Price late against Luque. This could end very quick but if not I LOVE Price late and by decision. Will def be live betting this one. I also think Max Griffin has a shot at a finish. He has a lot of power and Elizeu is crazy active and tends to take some shots. at +500 or more I'll take a shot. I also suspect Brunson comes right after Machida and finishes him in R1 after playing patty cake vs Silva and getting screwed.
                      Disagree with that Max Griffin play. Dos Santos has a serious chin on him and I'm not convinced Griffin's KO record is legit after looking at some older fights. Might be a quality of opponent deal. His one UFC KO is questionable too. If he gets it here I will believe it, but I think we are looking at a guy in Dos Santos who hits harder, and has a better chin. That's a real nice recipe for winning a brawl. I have dos Santos straight and by KO.
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83686

                        #151
                        Originally posted by TPowell
                        I like Nico Price late against Luque. This could end very quick but if not I LOVE Price late and by decision. Will def be live betting this one.
                        I'm taking Niko Straight at + odds. I don't think the 0 goes... Let's go Niko!!!


                        FS2




                        Vicente
                        Luque
                        "The Silent Assassin"
                        vs
                        Niko
                        Price
                        "The Hybrid"

                        UNITED STATES
                        Country
                        UNITED STATES

                        11-6-1
                        Record
                        10-0-0, 1NC

                        45%
                        KO/TKO
                        70%

                        45%
                        SUB
                        20%

                        0%
                        DEC
                        10%

                        71 in
                        Height
                        72 in

                        170 lbs
                        Weight
                        170 lbs

                        75 in
                        Reach
                        76 in

                        38 in
                        Leg Reach
                        42 in
                        Comment
                        • Hugo de Naranja
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-14-16
                          • 14140

                          #152
                          UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida Picks:
                          Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                          Jarred Brooks Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                          Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Round 3 TKO (Punches)
                          Jared Gordon Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                          Antonio Carlos Junior Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                          Niko Price Round 3 TKO (Punches)
                          John Lineker Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26 x2)
                          Jack Hermansson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                          Francisco Trinaldo Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                          Rob Font Round 2 TKO (Knees and Punches)
                          Demian Maia Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
                          Derek Brunson Round 1 KO (Punches)
                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #153
                            UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida

                            Fight Pass Prelims:

                            Fight #1: Golm (DEBUT) vs. Colombo
                            Golm Submission (+650) .5u

                            Fight #2: Brooks vs. Figueiredo
                            Figueiredo ITD (+450) 2u
                            Figueiredo Submission (+1050) .5u

                            Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

                            Fight #3: Zaleski Dos Santos vs. Griffin
                            Zaleski Dos Santos KO/TKO (+340) .5u
                            Zaleski Dos Santos Round 3 (+1263) 1u

                            Hedge:
                            Griffin Round 1 (+680) .5u

                            Fight #4: Gordon vs. Dias
                            No Bet

                            Fight #5: Carlos Junior vs. Marshman
                            Carlos Junior Round 2 (+425) .25u
                            Carlos Junior Round 3 (+875) .25u

                            Hedge:
                            Marshman KO/TKO (+825) 1u

                            Fight #6: Price vs. Luque
                            Price (+110) 1u
                            Price ITD (+210) 1u
                            Price Submission (+508) .25u
                            Price Round 3 (+1100) .25u

                            Hedge:
                            Luque Round 1 (+350) .5u

                            Main Card:

                            Fight #7: Lineker vs. Vera
                            Lineker Decision (+200) 1u

                            Hedge:
                            Vera Submission (+1050) .5u

                            Fight #8: Hermansson vs. Santos
                            Hermansson (+100) 2u
                            Hermansson Round 1 (+325) .5u
                            Hermansson Decision (+425) .5u

                            Hedge:
                            Santos Decision (+600) .5u

                            Fight #9: Trinaldo vs. Miller
                            Trinaldo -3.5 (+135) 1u

                            Hedge:
                            Miller Submission (+775) .5u

                            Fight #10: Font vs. Munhoz
                            Font -3.5 (+125) 1u
                            Font KO/TKO (+315) .5u
                            Font Submission (+1200) .25u

                            Hedge:
                            Munhoz Submission (+705) 1u

                            Fight #11: Maia vs. Covington
                            Maia (+130) 1.5u
                            Maia ITD (+400) 1u
                            Maia+Covington Draw (+7000) .2u

                            Hedge(s):
                            Covington Decision (+130) .5u
                            Covington -3.5 (+185) .5u
                            Covington Round 3 (+1825) .5u

                            Fight #12: Brunson vs. Machida
                            Brunson Round 1 (+350) 2u

                            Hedge:
                            Machida KO (+300) 1u

                            Straight Parlays:
                            Golm/Zaleski Dos Santos (+107) 1u
                            Lineker/Font (+120) 2u
                            Carlos Junior/Font (+125) 2u
                            Lineker/Brunson+Machida Under 2.5 (+133) 2u
                            Golm ITD/Zaleski Dos Santos (+145) 1u
                            Covington+Maia Over 2.5/Brunson+Machida Under 2.5 (+188) 1u

                            Prop Parlays:

                            Golm/Carlos Junior+Marshman WGD (+155) 1u
                            Golm Round 1/Brooks/Gordon (+561) .25u
                            Zaleski -3.5/Carlos Junior+Marshman WGD/Luque (+602) .25u
                            Munhoz Decision/Covington (+631) .5u
                            Munhoz/Maia/Brunson (+776) .25u
                            Lineker Decision/Santos/Trinaldo -3.5 (+1329) .25u

                            Full Card Props:
                            Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+248) 1.25u
                            Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+644) .5u
                            Zaleski Dos Santos+Griffin FOTN (+750) .5u
                            Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2043) .25u

                            Multi-Event Parlays:

                            None
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83686

                              #154
                              ^^I see you are hedging quite a bit now Hugo.. I remember a time where you weren't hedging at all...

                              I think on some fights it's a great idea as insurance when the value is right on the hedge Prop.. It's a small price to pay to basically cover your asss..

                              After all it is a fight and anything can happen..
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83686

                                #155
                                Hugo not sure where you came up with Golm by sub?????? All his wins have come by KO....

                                I got Golm by KO in the first fight for small.. No hedge..

                                $64.00 $64.00 Pending 10/28/17 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2133 Golm wins by TKO/KO +100* vs Any other result

                                UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



                                Marcelo
                                Golm
                                vs
                                Christian
                                Colombo
                                "Godzilla"

                                BRAZIL
                                Country
                                DENMARK

                                5-0-0
                                Record
                                8-2-1

                                100%
                                KO/TKO
                                75%

                                0%
                                SUB
                                0%

                                0%
                                DEC
                                25%

                                76 in
                                Height
                                77 in

                                247 lbs
                                Weight
                                265 lbs

                                75 in
                                Reach
                                80 in

                                42 in
                                Leg Reach
                                48 in
                                Comment
                                • Demonata
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 07-12-11
                                  • 25829

                                  #156
                                  Jared brooks $100 to win $66.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                    ^^I see you are hedging quite a bit now Hugo.. I remember a time where you weren't hedging at all...

                                    I think on some fights it's a great idea as insurance when the value is right on the hedge Prop.. It's a small price to pay to basically cover your asss..

                                    After all it is a fight and anything can happen..
                                    Yeah I think on this card basically all the dogs have a very legit path to victory.
                                    Comment
                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-14-16
                                      • 14140

                                      #158
                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                      Hugo not sure where you came up with Golm by sub?????? All his wins have come by KO....

                                      I got Golm by KO in the first fight for small.. No hedge..

                                      $64.00 $64.00 Pending 10/28/17 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2133 Golm wins by TKO/KO +100* vs Any other result

                                      UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



                                      Marcelo
                                      Golm
                                      vs
                                      Christian
                                      Colombo
                                      "Godzilla"

                                      BRAZIL
                                      Country
                                      DENMARK

                                      5-0-0
                                      Record
                                      8-2-1

                                      100%
                                      KO/TKO
                                      75%

                                      0%
                                      SUB
                                      0%

                                      0%
                                      DEC
                                      25%

                                      76 in
                                      Height
                                      77 in

                                      247 lbs
                                      Weight
                                      265 lbs

                                      75 in
                                      Reach
                                      80 in

                                      42 in
                                      Leg Reach
                                      48 in
                                      He actually has solid TDs/wrestling. I think he gets it to the mat here, where he has a big advantage. Also, both of Colombo's career losses come by sub.
                                      Comment
                                      • JIBBBY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-10-09
                                        • 83686

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                        He actually has solid TDs/wrestling. I think he gets it to the mat here, where he has a big advantage. Also, both of Colombo's career losses come by sub.
                                        Fair enough.. Odds for that prop are good.. Let's see what happens?
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #160
                                          Jim Miller as a dog I like.. Sub prop is legit Hugo too... I got him straight and by sub..

                                          FS1 Main Card



                                          Francisco
                                          Trinaldo
                                          "Massaranduba"
                                          vs
                                          Jim
                                          Miller

                                          BRAZIL
                                          Country
                                          UNITED STATES

                                          21-5-0
                                          Record
                                          28-10-0, 1NC

                                          33%
                                          KO/TKO
                                          14%

                                          24%
                                          SUB
                                          50%

                                          43%
                                          DEC
                                          39%

                                          69 in
                                          Height
                                          68 in

                                          155 lbs
                                          Weight
                                          155 lbs

                                          70 in
                                          Reach
                                          71 in

                                          40 in
                                          Leg Reach
                                          40 in

                                          Significant Strikes
                                          Comment
                                          • rsynweap84
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-24-16
                                            • 622

                                            #161
                                            1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida* +140 vs Derek Brunson
                                            2. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1202 Rob Font* -165 vs Pedro Munhoz
                                            3. 10/28/2017 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1601 Niko Price* +110 vs Vicente Luque
                                            4. 10/28/2017 8:30 PM UFC Fighting 1802 Elizeu Zaleski* -240 vs Max Griffin
                                            5. 10/28/2017 7:30 PM UFC Fighting 2002 Jarred Brooks* -155 vs Deiveson Figueiredo
                                            Risking $20.00 To Win $357.31
                                            1. 10/28/2017 7:30 PM UFC Fighting 2002 Jarred Brooks* -155 vs Deiveson Figueiredo
                                            2. 10/28/2017 9:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1729 Marshman wins by TKO/KO* +750 vs Any other result
                                            3. 10/28/2017 7:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 2109 Golm wins inside distance* -144 vs Not Golm inside distance
                                            Risking $10.00 To Win $226.95
                                            1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida* +140 vs Derek Brunson
                                            2. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1101 Demian Maia* +120 vs Colby Covington
                                            3. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1202 Rob Font* -165 vs Pedro Munhoz
                                            4. 10/28/2017 9:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1729 Marshman wins by TKO/KO* +750 vs Any other result
                                            Risking $10.00 To Win $710.80
                                            1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida* +140 vs Derek Brunson
                                            2. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1101 Demian Maia* +120 vs Colby Covington
                                            3. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM UFC Fighting 1202 Rob Font* -165 vs Pedro Munhoz
                                            4. 10/28/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1527 Vera wins by submission* +975 vs Any other result
                                            Risking $10.00 To Win $901.60
                                            1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1127 Maia wins by submission* +334 vs Any other result
                                            2. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 1227 Munhoz wins by submission* +517 vs Any other result
                                            3. 10/28/2017 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1327 Miller wins by submission* +550 vs Any other result
                                            4. 10/28/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1527 Vera wins by submission* +975 vs Any other result
                                            Risking $5.00 To Win $9,350.49
                                            1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM UFC Fighting 1001 Lyoto Machida* +140 vs Derek Brunson
                                            2. 10/28/2017 9:30 PM UFC Fighting 1601 Niko Price* +110 vs Vicente Luque
                                            3. 10/28/2017 7:30 PM UFC Fighting 2002 Jarred Brooks* -155 vs Deiveson Figueiredo
                                            4. 10/28/2017 7:00 PM UFC Fighting 2102 Marcelo Golm* -245 vs Christian Colombo
                                            Risking $30.00 To Win $320.28

                                            Some plays so far...
                                            Comment
                                            • JIBBBY
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-10-09
                                              • 83686

                                              #162
                                              ^^ This one below is interesting... The power of the prop parlays, you hit one of those above and you hit big RSYN... GL

                                              Copy and paste from above...


                                              1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1127 Maia wins by submission* +334 vs Any other result
                                              2. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 1227 Munhoz wins by submission* +517 vs Any other result
                                              3. 10/28/2017 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1327 Miller wins by submission* +550 vs Any other result
                                              4. 10/28/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1527 Vera wins by submission* +975 vs Any other result
                                              Risking $5.00 To Win $9,350.49
                                              Last edited by JIBBBY; 10-28-17, 05:37 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-14-16
                                                • 14140

                                                #163
                                                Added:
                                                Price+Luque Draw (+10000) .1u
                                                Comment
                                                • rsynweap84
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-24-16
                                                  • 622

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                  ^^ This one below is interesting... The power of the prop parlays, you hit one of those above and you hit big RSYN... GL

                                                  Copy and paste from above...


                                                  1. 10/28/2017 11:59 PM MMA Props Fighting 1127 Maia wins by submission* +334 vs Any other result
                                                  2. 10/28/2017 11:30 PM MMA Props Fighting 1227 Munhoz wins by submission* +517 vs Any other result
                                                  3. 10/28/2017 11:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1327 Miller wins by submission* +550 vs Any other result
                                                  4. 10/28/2017 10:00 PM MMA Props Fighting 1527 Vera wins by submission* +975 vs Any other result
                                                  Risking $5.00 To Win $9,350.49
                                                  Thanx jibbers, I had to have one but these guys all got a shot...well...Vera...well lets just say Linny has 3 sub losses...but...yea...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83686

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by rsynweap84
                                                    Thanx jibbers, I had to have one but these guys all got a shot...well...Vera...well lets just say Linny has 3 sub losses...but...yea...
                                                    Smart going RSYN...

                                                    I get lazy and just simply forget to play parlay props with every card and I sure it's cost me over the years. I so wish I played them every event for the last 5 years.. I can't tell you how many times I rattled off 4 or 5 prop wins in a row.. I think if I parlay'd those up even for $10 bucks I would have won thousands.. I tried a few on this card, win or lose I'm gonna start trying them on every card.. All you need is one good prop parlay hit and you strike it rich.. Why not try 5 of them for 10 bucks each on every card I say.. I think it's money well spent over time if you got prop skills..Sooner or later you will hit..

                                                    I know guys like me and Hugo can hit 3 and 4 teamers every once in a while if we played them with every card.. I know it!!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                      • 14140

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                      Smart going RSYN...

                                                      I get lazy and just simply forget to play parlay props with every card and I sure it's cost me over the years. I so wish I played them every event for the last 5 years.. I can't tell you how many times I rattled off 4 or 5 prop wins in a row.. I think if I parlay'd those up even for $10 bucks I would have won thousands.. I tried a few on this card, win or lose I'm gonna start trying them on every card.. All you need is one good prop parlay hit and you strike it rich.. Why not try 5 of them for 10 bucks each on every card I say.. I think it's money well spent over time if you got prop skills..Sooner or later you will hit..

                                                      I know guys like me and Hugo can hit 3 and 4 teamers every once in a while if we played them with every card.. I know it!!!!
                                                      Let's get it!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JIBBBY
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-10-09
                                                        • 83686

                                                        #167
                                                        OK here we go, good luck fellas let's win that money!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KingHawkins
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-18-13
                                                          • 1311

                                                          #168
                                                          5d down for anyone else?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-14-16
                                                            • 14140

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by KingHawkins
                                                            5d down for anyone else?
                                                            It's working just find for me
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shagdogy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-16-10
                                                              • 3564

                                                              #170
                                                              Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                              Me so far:

                                                              Golm -200, 3u
                                                              Gordon -160, 3u
                                                              Font -150, 2u
                                                              Added:
                                                              Hermansson -125, 1.25u
                                                              dos Santos -225, 2.33u
                                                              dos Santos TKO/KO +335, .66u
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-14-16
                                                                • 14140

                                                                #171
                                                                Boom! Golm Sub to start the night!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shagdogy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 06-16-10
                                                                  • 3564

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Great hit by sub Hugo!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rsynweap84
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 06-24-16
                                                                    • 622

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Hugo you badd ass mofo
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                                      • 83686

                                                                      #174
                                                                      GREAT CALL ON THAT SUB HUGO!! WIsh I tailed and saw it like you did... That's awesome prop calling right there!!!

                                                                      Fight #1: Golm (DEBUT) vs. Colombo
                                                                      Golm Submission (+650) .5u
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 04-14-16
                                                                        • 14140

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                        GREAT CALL ON THAT SUB HUGO!! WIsh I tailed and saw it... That's awesome prop calling right there!!!
                                                                        Thanks guys!
                                                                        Comment
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