Originally posted by Ty$
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Yeah Calvillo Sub is a prop I'm looking to bet.Comment -
Might be easy Over but it's (-240)Originally posted by Ty$Comment -
Parlay the almost guaranteed OVERS. Why didn't Ray impress me? Zero killer instinct. Thought with how tired Joe was should be able to finish. Also this Lemos girl has literally fought cans w 1 fight almost all 6 of her fights. Leslie should win and just looked good against Aldana who was suppose to be the better striker. Hopefully that fight is set at 1.5. Need to get to my computer to check line.Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Over 2.5 (-220)Originally posted by Ty$Comment -
Felder fight Over with Marshman by KO seems solid AF... you're welcomeComment -
The girls?? That's seems so off... Lemos has seen third round 1 time. I need to find some tape on her.Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Has fought the worst cans in BrazilOriginally posted by Ty$Comment -
Yeah I advise don't fade Leslie SmithComment -
MMA mania - Part 1 and 2.. Prelims only..
135 lbs.: Brett Johns vs. Albert Morales
Wales’ Brett Johns (13-0) earned belts in both Cage Warriors and Titan FC before making the jump to the world’s largest fighting organization back in Nov. 2016. “The Pikey” impressed the Belfast crowd with a decision over the gutsy Kwan Ho Kwak, keeping his undefeated record intact.
He owns four wins by submission and another two by (technical) knockout.
Albert Morales (7-1-1) got no softballs in his first two UFC appearances, drawing with Alejandro Perez in his debut before falling to Thomas Almeida two months later. Another quick turnaround saw him face CES champion Andre Soukhamthath at UFC 209 and take a split decision over the heavy-handed UFC debutant.
“The Warrior” steps in for the injured Mitch Gagnon on two weeks’ notice.
Johns vs. Gagnon was a pretty interesting stylistic match up just based on Gagnon’s physicality and prowess with the guillotine. Johns vs. Morales, while not a bad fight by any stretch of the imagination, lacks that sort of intrigue. Though Morales is a dangerous and effective striker, he doesn’t have the toolset to shut down Johns’ relentless takedowns.
And if you can’t stop those, well, you’re not beating Johns.
“The Pikey” is tough enough to take anything Morales can dish out and skilled enough to put him on his back and keep him there whenever he starts to kindle any momentum. Johns grinds his way to a dominant victory.
Prediction: Johns via unanimous decision
135 lbs.: Leslie Smith vs. Amanda Lemos
After defeating Rin Nakai, Leslie Smith (9-7-1) stepped up in weight to face Cris Cyborg at UFC 198 and came up short against the Brazilian slugger. Still an underdog, she came up big against Invicta prospect Irene Aldana seven months later and earned “Fight of the Night” in the process.
“The Peacemaker” stands five inches taller than Amands Lemos (6-0-1) at 5’9.”
Lemos dispatched her first five opponents inside the first round, knocking out four and earning the Jungle Fight Bantamweight Championship along the way. A draw with Mayra Cantuaria slowed her rise, but Lemos settled the score with a brutal knee in the third round of their rematch. “Amandinha” replaces Lina Länsberg on less than a month’s notice.
Lemos is definitely a quality signing. She’s got legitimate fight-ending power in her hands and knows how to put her weight behind each strike. That said, I have a hard time picking anyone short of “Cyborg” over Leslie Smith in a brawl and I doubt Lemos has the composure to avoid one.
Compounding the Brazilian’s issues is the massive height disparity. Smith isn’t terribly adept at using it, of course, but she can do damage at range and those long limbs let her dig in ferocious body shots. Lemos simply doesn’t have enough firepower to out-slug Smith and that persistent body work will sap her speed edge soon enough. Expect Lemos to find the mark early with her favored straight right and right high kick before Smith’s size and pressure wear her down.
Prediction: Smith via third-round technical knockout
170 lbs.: Danny Roberts vs. Bobby Nash
England’s Danny Roberts (13-2) entered UFC on the heels of a brutal knockout of “Judo” Jim Wallhead and made an immediate impression with a first-round submission of Nathan Coy. He followed that up with a “Fight of the Night” brawl opposite Dominique Steele, but saw his eight-fight win snapped by the heavy hands of Mike Perry.
“Hot Chocolate” has knocked out and submitted five opponents apiece.
Bobby Nash (8-2) squared off against Li Jingliang last January with six consecutive victories under his belt, four of them knockouts. “Nashty” proceeded to put on a terrific war with “The Leech” that ended in the latter’s victory after countless brutal exchanges.
Four of his seven stoppage wins have come in the first round.
The most interesting aspect of this fight may be the respective mindsets. Both men are coming off of brutal knockout losses. Perry and Li hit like trucks, of course, so there’s no real shame in losing to them, but I doubt that’s going to make them feel any better.
All things being equal, Roberts seems like he’s got the edge. He showed against Steele and Perry that he’s both willing and able to wrestle when needed, an aspect of the game that Nash has struggled with before. I’m not sure Nash has an equivalent Plan B, nor am I certain he can apply Perry-esque pressure with his recent loss fresh on his mind. Roberts uses regular takedowns to take the decision.
Prediction: Roberts via unanimous decision
125 lbs.: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Neil Seery
Alexandre Pantoja’s (17-2) RFA title and submission over LFC champ Damacio Page earned him the top rank on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 24, where he reached the semifinals before dropping a decision to Hiromasa Ogikubo as the last Team Cejudo member standing. He went on to face fellow semifinalist Eric Shelton at UFC on FOX 23 and walked away with his tenth consecutive victory.
He has knocked out and submitted seven opponents each during his decade-long professional career.
Luck has not been on the side of Neil Seery (16-2) recently. The Irish slugger was twice booked to fight Ian McCall in a farewell match, only for “Uncle Creepy” to pull out at the last minute the first time due to illness and Seery himself to pull out because of a death in the family the second time.
Seery has been stopped just once since 2009.
“Crafty” is an overused term, but it’s still the best one to describe Seery. He’s deceptively savvy on the feet and excels at exploiting small opportunities in transitions. Where he struggles is against ironclad fundamentals, especially in the wrestling and grappling. Pantoja, unfortunately, has got those in spades. The Brazilian has never been stopped, is nearly a full decade younger, and is downright dangerous on the mat.
Simply put, Pantoja isn’t going to give Seery even the minute openings he needs to work his magic. Strong top control carries Pantoja to his eleventh consecutive pro victory.
Prediction: Pantoja via unanimous decision
170 lbs.: Charlie Ward vs. Galore Bofando
The 36-year-old Charlie Ward (3-2) was originally scheduled to debut stateside against Randy Brown at UFC Fight Night 102, but **** issues led him to instead face Abdul Razak Alhassan in Belfast. There would be no triumphant homecoming, as “Judo Thunder” buried him beneath an onslaught of power punches in 53 seconds.
He owns one stoppage victory, the knockout that ultimately ended Joao Carvalho’s life last year.
Galore Bofando (4-2) first hit fans’ radars with his stunning knockout of Wendell Lewis in 2012, one of his three stoppage victories. After his second disqualification loss in October of that year, he returned in Feb. 2015 to knockout Kes Mamba less than halfway into the first round.
This will be his first fight in more than two years.
This fight was not made for those in my line of work. Ward’s got essentially zero footage out there besides the Carvalho disaster and was too busy getting pounded into ground meat by Alhassan to give me any data in his UFC debut. Bofando, meanwhile, has fought just once under mixed martial arts (MMA) rules in almost five years.
As a result, the analysis here won’t be terribly scientific.
Bofando is an incredibly adept range striker, packing a variety of outlandish kicks that would make Raymond Daniels proud, but he’s had issues in the past with those who can close the distance and tie up. Ward, though fragile, has a clear path of victory and the training partners to prepare him for its pursuit. Unless Bofando can land something brutal very quickly, expect Ward to grind him down for a decision win.
Prediction: Ward via unanimous decision
155 lbs.: Danny Henry vs. Daniel Teymur
Danny Henry (10-2) made the move to South Africa’s EFC promotion in 2014 and quickly took over its Featherweight division, racking up a 6-1 record. During that span, he won the promotion’s Featherweight title and, last March, regained it by avenging his loss to Igeu Kabesa via first-round submission.
This will be his first fight at Lightweight since 2014.
Daniel Teymur (6-0) — brother of TUF veteran and contender David Teymur — made his professional debut in 2013 with a 92-second knockout and has remained extremely efficient. All six of his professional fights have ended in the first round, three by (technical) knockout and three by submissions.
He trains alongside his brother and other Nordic standouts at Allstars Training Center.
Henry, based on what I can piece together from his highlight reel, is an aggressive and well-rounded finisher with quality power and some issues with dedicated takedown artists. Teymur is reminiscent of his brother, packing quick, powerful hands and strong leg kicks.
I’m leaning toward Teymur. Though he’s not likely to exploit Henry’s takedown troubles, his edge in speed and fluidity looks dramatic. There’s also Henry’s long run at Featherweight to consider — Teymur will almost certainly be the biggest hitter he’s faced in some time. And while Teymur has a team of great fighters to prepare him for Henry’s style, the opposite may not be true. Teymur tags him early for the finish.
Prediction: Teymur via first-round technical knockout
Current UFC "Prelims" Prediction Record for 2017: 82-43 (1 NC)Comment -
Film of Daniel Teymur looks pretty good. Solid striking. Killer instinct. Decent scrambles and aggressive GnP.Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
Anyone been able to find any tape of Danny Henry? Can't find any fight vids.Comment -
Me too. Calvillo can fight. Her scrambles are top notch. Creative, good instincts, and opportunistic with the finishes. Haven't capped this fight but I know going in that it's almost definitely a bet on Calvillo or no bet. Gonna be tough to convince me to bet against her.Originally posted by Ty$Comment -
Ok Daniel Teymur is not undefeated. Just watched a video of him getting starched. Then restarted the fight and he gets a choke?!?!? WTF!!!! Dude got KTFO BAD!!! Go YouTube Danny Henry mma. Guy looks well rounded and likes the ground. This fight goes OVER 1.5 and Danny Henry prolly finds a submission. This dog barks !!Comment -
Check out Teymur's fight with Emerick Youmbe. Weird stuff thereOriginally posted by ShagdogyComment -
Big movement on Main Event. Pretty sure Luca Fury and his zombies are betting PonzinibbioComment -
"Always bet the over"Originally posted by Ty$
-Ty$Comment -
Free roll opp: Ponze is (+170) on Bovada, Nelson is (-150) on 5DsComment -
Hugo have you seen that fight they start over for Teymur? And no not always bet over homie. Like that Fitch fight
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Capping hard atm... I'm gona kill this card jus watchComment -
Dam. Gunni dropped 50 in 30 minsComment -
Yeah against that Black dude from Switzerland. Bad stoppage and then restart it lolOriginally posted by Ty$Hugo have you seen that fight they start over for Teymur? And no not always bet over homie. Like that Fitch fightComment -
I'm telling ya it's that tout and his followersOriginally posted by Ty$Comment -
Bah Bad stoppage? Wow home crowd refs and judges... I hope he loses just for that. I'm on Danny Henry. Never been stopped twice the fights as Teymur. Not as fast and hard a hitter but way more well rounded. Line should be much closer even if Teymur was still the fave.Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Wtf are you talking about? Fight took place at Lions FC 6, in Switzerland, Youmbe's home country...Originally posted by Ty$
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Well then why the F did they rob him like that? Daniel Teymur should have a LOSS on his record is all I'm getting at. Just figured it was in Sweden idk. I'm tired to homie idk what other people on this forum do but I work all Fn day.Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Yeah... saw that one. All that shows me is that Teymur's chin can get cracked. That was a solid shot though. Looking through the rest of his fights, and the absurdly restarted portion of that fight, he has some good skills. I don't know where your confidence in Henry is coming from. Have you found actual fight vids or just highlights? Even in his highlight videos he doesn't look like he has the power to match Teymur, especially moving up in weight class.Originally posted by Ty$Comment -
I'm just saying check the facts before you start poppin off haha. But yeah very weird that they re-started the fight after Teymur was "finished." Never seen something like that beforeOriginally posted by Ty$Comment -
Yeah I favor Teymur here but won't go huge on himOriginally posted by ShagdogyComment -
Gunnar down to -143 on Pinnacle. People really liking Ponz. I like Ponz as a bigger dog, dont' think I'd bet either way here. Gunnar has shown weakness in his standup in the past, and Ponz has great standup, probably better than Gunnar's.Comment -
No I haven't found full fights. This just seems like the lines should be closer or sumthing. Danny Henry has about 20-25 ROUNDS of mma fighting without being finished. Teymur has about 9-10 MINUTES in the cage. I say very live dog that's all nite boys.Comment -
No shit Ponz has the stand up Gunni has the ground. Classic matchup. I always favor the grappler especially when there as talented as Gunni.Originally posted by Rich BenjaminsComment -
Charlie Ward is a total can. Galore Bofando has one hell of a name and a style that's just as unique. I have no idea what he was doing between 2012 and 2015 that he had zero fights, and no clue why he hasn't fought since then, but I'm not sure I care. Charlie Ward is so bad and Bofando is obviously an athlete. That alone should be enough to get him the win in this one... Ward is awful.
I don't think there's any need to hedge. Bofando straight should be good, but Ward round 1 is the hedge if you must.Comment -
Hmm I was gona skip this fight but now interested. Galore has 2 Ls by DQ funny af! How did this guy get signed??? They're hoping for a Ward win is all it's Conor's buddy. I gotta try to find a vid on this guy.Originally posted by ShagdogyComment -
Seems like a pure striker vs. grapplerOriginally posted by Rich BenjaminsComment -
Two DQ losses due to Illegal Knees which is strange but I definitely agree Ward is a bumOriginally posted by ShagdogyComment -
Galore is sooooo flashy with his striking that I think it's the other way around... they are hoping Ward loses so they can be done with him and start marketing the much flashier Galore. Galore has speed, power, athleticism advantage. Ward is trash. He will either land a round 1 bomb or lose big. If it hits round 2, Galore will run circles around the big oaf.Originally posted by Ty$Comment
