Future Fights Thread

[xagonzx]

Anyone have predictions for UFC 205 bouts? I heard a rumor about Lawler vs. Cowboy. That would be a sick fight.

I heard that too. I think basically Cowboy started that rumor. There was a tweet about Robbie looking for a fight, and Cowboy responded with his trademark "I know a guy" and used the hashtag MSG on twitter. Then he teased an "epic fight against a fan favorite" that he expects the UFC to announce soon during an interview about his contract a few days later. Would be definitely epic, as they are both huge fan-favorites (I love both of their styles).

205 is like 2 months away and no official announcements! You gotta think they go with 2 title fights. Then rule out Flyweight because it's in December. Probably HW since they fight this month. Middle weight since they fight at 204.
Woodley vs Wonderboy? Joanna and KK? Maybe DC vs Rumble? I think Bermeduz vs Frankie makes sense. Weidman might find his way on as well. Him vs Rockhold woulda been nice to have at MSG for a #1 contender fight (after Jacare next), but Rockhold seems to be negotiating a new contract. I read something about him saying he can make more money modeling than fighting and he's negotiating modeling contracts also, so who knows.


Honestly, I think the MSG event is going to be overhyped and probably fall short of expectations (hello, UFC 200).

[Hugo de Naranja]

I heard that too. I think basically Cowboy started that rumor. There was a tweet about Robbie looking for a fight, and Cowboy responded with his trademark "I know a guy" and used the hashtag MSG on twitter. Then he teased an "epic fight against a fan favorite" that he expects the UFC to announce soon during an interview about his contract a few days later. Would be definitely epic, as they are both huge fan-favorites (I love both of their styles).

205 is like 2 months away and no official announcements! You gotta think they go with 2 title fights. Then rule out Flyweight because it's in December. Probably HW since they fight this month. Middle weight since they fight at 204.
Woodley vs Wonderboy? Joanna and KK? Maybe DC vs Rumble? I think Bermeduz vs Frankie makes sense. Weidman might find his way on as well. Him vs Rockhold woulda been nice to have at MSG for a #1 contender fight (after Jacare next), but Rockhold seems to be negotiating a new contract. I read something about him saying he can make more money modeling than fighting and he's negotiating modeling contracts also, so who knows.


Honestly, I think the MSG event is going to be overhyped and probably fall short of expectations (hello, UFC 200).

Would have loved to see Rockhold/Weidman and I think it's still a possibility. Here's my best guesses on the next title fights for each division:
Women's Strawweight: Jedrzejczyk vs. Kowalkiewicz
Women's Bantamweight: Nunes vs. Pena
Flyweight: DJ vs. TUF Champion (scheduled)
Bantamweight: Cruz vs. Garbrandt
Featherweight: Aldo vs. Holloway
Lightweight: Alvarez vs. McGregor
Welterweight: Woodley vs. Thompson
Middleweight: Bisping vs. Henderson (scheduled)
Light Heavyweight: Cormier vs. Johnson
Heavyweight: Miocic vs. Overeem (scheduled)

I think there's a decent chance we see 2/3 titles bolded above contested.

[Hugo de Naranja]

yup i think its done basically, heard rumblings of the fight rumor then donald was on JRE talking about how his next fight contract is almost done and it should be in MSG ... would be a crazy fight that i couldve never expected happening and another thing i wouldnt expect to happen is me thinking cowboy could win this fight because hes looking like a beast at 170 , im hoping hes at some juicy odds to take him since hes a 55er and lawler was just champion... praying this fight comes to fruition thought would be a dream fight

Yeah this would be amazing and probably a decent fight for betting as well.

[Hugo de Naranja]

LHW Top 5 has a very linear feel to it:
1. Jon Jones (Beat Cormier, Gustafsson, and Texeira)
2. Daniel Cormier (Beat Johnson, Gustafsson, Lost to Jones)
3. Anthony Johnson (Beat Gustafsson and Texeira, Lost to Cormier)
4. Glover Texeira (Lost to Jones and Johnson, Beat everyone else in division)
5. Alexander Gustafsson (Lost to Jones, Cormier, and Johnson, Beat everyone else in division)

[firekillex]

LHW Top 5 has a very linear feel to it:
1. Jon Jones (Beat Cormier, Gustafsson, and Texeira)
2. Daniel Cormier (Beat Johnson, Gustafsson, Lost to Jones)
3. Anthony Johnson (Beat Gustafsson and Texeira, Lost to Cormier)
4. Glover Texeira (Lost to Jones and Johnson, Beat everyone else in division)
5. Alexander Gustafsson (Lost to Jones, Cormier, and Johnson, Beat everyone else in division)

look at heavyweight its even worse.... the heavier weights one shot can change the whole fight so its much different and just the body types most of them have dont allow for maximum cardio and some techniques are harder for them to perform ... hence jon jones being such a freak since he has all of that ... light heavyweight the rankings really go jon jones GOAT , daniel cormier 2nd champ i think he beats anybody else at LHW , i think hed possibly take out miocic to be honest.. LWH and HW need some new blood to say the least, good thing mma always has new beasts churning out of the blue who knows the next champ could be in the amateurs right now about to head to the UFC in 1-2 years

[firekillex]

also Hugo who you liking for 203?? any early leans

[Hugo de Naranja]

also Hugo who you liking for 203?? any early leans

Waiting for lines to come out but I have some pretty heavy leans and I think there will be good betting opportunities for this card. How about you?

[Hugo de Naranja]

All UFC Results:
UFC Fight Night Barnett vs. Arlovski = -3.7425u
UFC Fight Night Maia vs. Condit = +14.1675u
UFC 202 McGregor vs.Diaz = +4.415u
UFC Fight Night Rodriguez vs. Caceres = +5.2775u
UFC 201 Lawler vs. Woodley = +8.85u
UFC Fight Night Holm vs. Shevchenko = +4.645u
Total UFC Profit/Loss: +33.6125u

Bellator Results:
Bellator 160 = -1u
Total Bellator Profit/Loss = -1u

[firekillex]

Waiting for lines to come out but I have some pretty heavy leans and I think there will be good betting opportunities for this card. How about you?

gotta watch some more tape on the overeem/miocic bout but im starting to lean overeem at the dog price now i think this is a super close bout...

i like gall ITD but the odds are unplayable for me, may go with the sub prop round 1 prop i have to see where the value is i wont pay anything over -150 for gall even though i think he starches cm punk dude has 2 fights against bums hes no world beater or anything but ill still most likely be on some sort of finish prop for him

werdum decision already happened why not again ? happa super tough and werdum likes to keep the distance .. im kinda liking rivera in the faber matchup if the odds are juicy enough , faber has been declining steadily for a bit now and rivera is a beast .. mccall decision i may like , meidoros at 170 debut im liking the itd or tko prop possibly his power may be huge at 170 dudes a tank, cb dolloway decision possibly he needs a win after a string of losses possibly grind an easy decision out ? then possibly brad tavares decision to i like him in a 3 round stand up battle just some early stuff i was looking at tonight

[bjpenn85]

Waiting for lines to come out but I have some pretty heavy leans and I think there will be good betting opportunities for this card. How about you?

Like what, i cant see shit except for Werdum, which i like a lot

[firekillex]

Like what, i cant see shit except for Werdum, which i like a lot

cant bring myself to pay -220 for a heavyweight fight especially coming off a ko and he was dropped in there previous fight
need a prop for this ... decision +170 ( they went all 5 last time this is 3 ) but its heavweight... tko +444 or sub +280

hmmm im liking decision or tko prop here... browne been tkod 2 of last 3 as well id lean 60-70% time he decisions him though so its a tough call +444 is big value even though browne is super tough hes been dropped and hurt a ton and he has questionable defense imo

[Hugo de Naranja]

cant bring myself to pay -220 for a heavyweight fight especially coming off a ko and he was dropped in there previous fight
need a prop for this ... decision +170 ( they went all 5 last time this is 3 ) but its heavweight... tko +444 or sub +280

hmmm im liking decision or tko prop here... browne been tkod 2 of last 3 as well id lean 60-70% time he decisions him though so its a tough call +444 is big value even though browne is super tough hes been dropped and hurt a ton and he has questionable defense imo

I also like either the Decision or KO props. I'm thinking -3.5 to cover every outcome. Should be something like (-140) and maybe even better.

[Hugo de Naranja]

For the main event, I've locked in a few bets. Likely won't add anything else in less lines move drastically.

Fight #12: Miocic (C) vs. Overeem:
Overeem ITD (+164) 1u
Overeem Round 1 (+375) 1u
Overeem Round 2 (+750) .75u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Like what, i cant see shit except for Werdum, which i like a lot

Rivera, Magalhaes, and Barroso (small) at the opening prices. Hopefully casuals come in on Faber because I think Rivera has a great chance at decisioning him. The over 2.5 in that fight is my biggest bet for the card so far at (-150).

[Thrilla]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_205

[firekillex]

I also like either the Decision or KO props. I'm thinking -3.5 to cover every outcome. Should be something like (-140) and maybe even better.

will most likely play this if under -150 hugo best option imo, werdum is so solid everywhere he could literally end this fight by sub,tko or decision him again i wouldnt be surprised by any outcome tbh

[Hugo de Naranja]

will most likely play this if under -150 hugo best option imo, werdum is so solid everywhere he could literally end this fight by sub,tko or decision him again i wouldnt be surprised by any outcome tbh

Opened at (-115) so I hit it huge

[firekillex]

Opened at (-115) so I hit it huge

Gonna hit that tonight large as well Hugo lets get that paper

[Hugo de Naranja]

Gonna hit that tonight large as well Hugo lets get that paper

Any other thoughts for this card? Thought for sure we'd get a better price on Rivera but there are a few dogs I like. Waiting for the full 20 props to come out tomorrow since I have a lot of ideas for this card.

[firekillex]

Any other thoughts for this card? Thought for sure we'd get a better price on Rivera but there are a few dogs I like. Waiting for the full 20 props to come out tomorrow since I have a lot of ideas for this card.

been super sick the past 2 days so i havent got to check out the lines yet, i was hoping rivera would be a dog but at -120 i cant really play that, maybe the decision prop if the values there, faber likely isnt getting finished especially in a 3 rounder ...the over may be the play tbh


these are just some stuff i marked down on the weekend, will have to see the value to see which ones ill go with but i like some of the following

got the werdum -3.5
lentz decision
medeiros ITD
tavares decision
eye decison

then i may go with andrade straight i like her in this matchup... and possibly a dolloway decision aka i love the decisions in this card apparently

[Hugo de Naranja]

been super sick the past 2 days so i havent got to check out the lines yet, i was hoping rivera would be a dog but at -120 i cant really play that, maybe the decision prop if the values there, faber likely isnt getting finished especially in a 3 rounder ...the over may be the play tbh


these are just some stuff i marked down on the weekend, will have to see the value to see which ones ill go with but i like some of the following

got the werdum -3.5
lentz decision
medeiros ITD
tavares decision
eye decison

then i may go with andrade straight i like her in this matchup... and possibly a dolloway decision aka i love the decisions in this card apparently

I'm on some of the same stuff. Will post everything tomorrow but there looks to be decent betting value on this card.

[Thrilla]

UFC 204 Sat. Oct. 8, 2016 Bisping vs Henderson Manchester, United Kingdom.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_204

UFC 204

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Ultimate Fighting Championship

October 8, 2016

Manchester Arena

Manchester, England

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2 UFC Fight Night: Lamas vs. Penn

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2 is an upcoming mixed martial arts event held by the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) that will be held on October 8, 2016 at the Manchester Arena in Manchester, England.^[1][2]
Contents

• 1 Background
• 2 Official fight card
• 3 Announced bouts
• 4 See also
• 5 References

Background

This will be the fourth UFC event contested in Manchester and first PPV event held in the European market.

In order for the event to be broadcast live during Prime time hours on the east coast of North America, the main card is expected to begin at 3:00 am (October 9) local time in Manchester (GMT), with a full preliminary card beginning at approximately 11:00 pm (October 8) local time.^[2][3] Despite the very late starting time, ticket demand was exceptionally high, as all tickets for the venue sold out in a matter of minutes.^[4]

The event is expected to be headlined by a UFC Middleweight Championship fight between current champion Michael Bisping and the former Pride Welterweight, Pride Middleweight and former Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Champion Dan Henderson. The pairing met previously in July 2009 at UFC 100 with Henderson taking the victory via second round highlight reel knockout.^[5]

A bantamweight bout between Brad Pickett and Iuri Alcântara was previously linked to UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett.^[6] However, it is now expected to be contested at this event.^[7]

Ruslan Magomedov was expected to face Stefan Struve at this event, but pulled out on September 9 due to a staph infection. A replacement is currently being sought.^[8]

Official fight card

Middleweight	Michael Bisping (c)	vs.	Dan Henderson				[a]
Middleweight	Vitor Belfort	vs.	Gegard Mousasi
Light Heavyweight	Ovince Saint Preux	vs.	Jimi Manuwa
Heavyweight	TBA	vs.	Stefan Struve
Lightweight	Leonardo Santos	vs.	Adriano Martins
Bantamweight	Iuri Alcântara	vs.	Brad Pickett
Bantamweight	Damian Stasiak	vs.	Davey Grant
Welterweight	Leon Edwards	vs.	Albert Tumenov
Bantamweight	Ian Entwistle	vs.	Rob Font
Featherweight	Mirsad Bektic	vs.	Arnold Allen

• For the UFC Middleweight Championship.

^[9]
Announced bouts

• Welterweight bout: Danny Roberts vs. Mike Perry^[10]
• Lightweight bout: Reza Madadi vs. Marc Diakiese^[11]

Odds:

https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/ufc-204-bisping-vs-henderson-2-1168

Fight card:

http://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-204#/fight

http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/events/40792-ufc-204

[dhristov211]

I'm on some of the same stuff. Will post everything tomorrow but there looks to be decent betting value on this card.

post in this topic?

[Hugo de Naranja]

post in this topic?

UFC 203 Plays:

Fight #1: Medeiros vs. Spencer:
Medeiros (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Medeiros Round 2 (+675) .5u
Medeiros Submission (+865) .75u
Medeiros Round 3 (+1025) .5u

Fight #2: Dober vs. Gonzalez (DEBUT):
Gonzalez Scorecards = No Action (-107) 1.07u to win 1u
Gonzalez (+150) 1u
Gonzalez Decision (+430) .25u

Hedge:
Dober Decision (+155) .75u

Fight #3: Lentz vs. McBride (DEBUT):
Lentz Decision (-120) 1.2u to win 1u
Lentz Decision (+102) .5u
Lentz Round 3 (+925) .5u

Hedge(s):
McBride Scorecards = No Action (+315) .5u
McBride Submission (+1015) .5u
McBride Submission (+1225) .25u

Fight #4: Tavares vs. Magalhaes:
Magalhaes Scorecards = No Action (+125) 2.5u
Magalhaes (+160) 2u
Magalhaes KO/TKO (+540) 1u
Magalhaes Round 1 (+575) .25u

Hedge:
Tavares Decision (+155) 1u

Fight #5: Eye vs. Correia:
Correia Decision (+195) 1u
Correia Decision (+217) .5u

Fight #6: Andrade vs. Calderwood:
Calderwood Scorecards = No Action (+316) 1u
Calderwood KO/TKO (+1225) .25u
Calderwood Round 3 (+1800) .25u
Andrade/Calderwood Draw (+6000) .125u

Hedge(s):
Andrade Decision (+280) .5u
Andrade Round 1 (+400) .5u

Fight #7: Faber vs. Rivera:
Faber/Rivera Over 2.5 Rounds (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
Rivera (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Rivera Decision (+165) 1u
Rivera -3.5 (+180) 1u

Hedge(s):
Faber Scorecards = No Action (+103) 1u
Faber ITD (+388) .5u
Faber Submission (+585) .5u

Fight #8: Punk vs. Gall:
Gall Submission (+110) .75u
Gall Submission (+135) .5u

Hedge:
Punk Round 1 (+1300) .25u

Fight #9: Werdum vs. Browne:
Werdum -3.5 (-115) 4.6u to win 4u
Werdum Decision (+175) .5u
Werdum Decision (+185) .25u
Werdum Decision (+220) .5u
Werdum KO/TKO (+515) .5u
Werdum Round 3 (+1025) .25u

Hedge:
Browne Round 1 (+400) 1u

Fight #10: Miocic (C) vs. Overeem:
Overeem ITD (+164) 1u
Overeem ITD (+170) 2u
Overeem Round 1 (+375) 1u
Fight Goes Distance (+400) 1u
Overeem Round 2 (+750) .75u

Hedge(s):
Miocic Decision (+845) .25u
Miocic Split/Majority Decision (+1925) .25u

Straight Parlays:
Werdum/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+108) 1u
Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

Prop Parlays:
Eye+Correia Over 2.5/Faber+Rivera Over 2.5 (+125) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+129) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Werdum (+132) 1u
Gall+Punk Won’t Start R2/Henderson+Bisping Won’t Go Distance (+135) 1u
Gall Submission/Werdum -3.5 (+339) .5u
Dober Decision/Tavares Decision (+492) .5u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision (+678) .25u
Spencer Decision/Correia Decision (+796) .5u
Browne KO/Overeem ITD (+872) .5u
Brown KO/Overeem KO (+967) .25u
Correia Decision/Faber ITD (+1339) .25u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision/Tavares Decision (+1984) .25u
Correia Decision/Rivera Decision/Werdum Decision (+2014) .25u
Browne Round 1/Overeem Round 1 (+2525) .25u

Full Card Props:
Magalhaes Wins Fastest KO (+1200) .5u

[dhristov211]

Miocic = no tap

[Hugo de Naranja]

Miocic = no tap

No tap indeed. As much as I wanted Overeem to win and get the first round finish, it was a clean win for Stipe.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 203 Plays:

Fight #1: Medeiros vs. Spencer:
Medeiros (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
Medeiros Round 2 (+675) .5u
Medeiros Submission (+865) .75u
Medeiros Round 3 (+1025) .5u

Fight #2: Dober vs. Gonzalez (DEBUT):
Gonzalez Scorecards = No Action (-107) 1.07u to win 1u
Gonzalez (+150) 1u
Gonzalez Decision (+430) .25u

Hedge:
Dober Decision (+155) .75u

Fight #3: Lentz vs. McBride (DEBUT):
Lentz Decision (-120) 1.2u to win 1u
Lentz Decision (+102) .5u
Lentz Round 3 (+925) .5u

Hedge(s):
McBride Scorecards = No Action (+315) .5u
McBride Submission (+1015) .5u
McBride Submission (+1225) .25u

Fight #4: Tavares vs. Magalhaes:
Magalhaes Scorecards = No Action (+125) 2.5u
Magalhaes (+160) 2u
Magalhaes KO/TKO (+540) 1u
Magalhaes Round 1 (+575) .25u

Hedge:
Tavares Decision (+155) 1u

Fight #5: Eye vs. Correia:
Correia Decision (+195) 1u
Correia Decision (+217) .5u

Fight #6: Andrade vs. Calderwood:
Calderwood Scorecards = No Action (+316) 1u
Calderwood KO/TKO (+1225) .25u
Calderwood Round 3 (+1800) .25u
Andrade/Calderwood Draw (+6000) .125u

Hedge(s):
Andrade Decision (+280) .5u
Andrade Round 1 (+400) .5u

Fight #7: Faber vs. Rivera:
Faber/Rivera Over 2.5 Rounds (-150) 1.5u to win 1u
Rivera (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Rivera Decision (+165) 1u
Rivera -3.5 (+180) 1u

Hedge(s):
Faber Scorecards = No Action (+103) 1u
Faber ITD (+388) .5u
Faber Submission (+585) .5u

Fight #8: Punk vs. Gall:
Gall Submission (+110) .75u
Gall Submission (+135) .5u

Hedge:
Punk Round 1 (+1300) .25u

Fight #9: Werdum vs. Browne:
Werdum -3.5 (-115) 4.6u to win 4u
Werdum Decision (+175) .5u
Werdum Decision (+185) .25u
Werdum Decision (+220) .5u
Werdum KO/TKO (+515) .5u
Werdum Round 3 (+1025) .25u

Hedge:
Browne Round 1 (+400) 1u

Fight #10: Miocic (C) vs. Overeem:
Overeem ITD (+164) 1u
Overeem ITD (+170) 2u
Overeem Round 1 (+375) 1u
Fight Goes Distance (+400) 1u
Overeem Round 2 (+750) .75u

Hedge(s):
Miocic Decision (+845) .25u
Miocic Split/Majority Decision (+1925) .25u

Straight Parlays:
Werdum/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+108) 1u
Lapilus/Gall (+126) 2u

Prop Parlays:
Eye+Correia Over 2.5/Faber+Rivera Over 2.5 (+125) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Hillary Clinton Wins Election (+129) 1u
Faber+Rivera Over 2.5/Werdum (+132) 1u
Gall+Punk Won’t Start R2/Henderson+Bisping Won’t Go Distance (+135) 1u
Gall Submission/Werdum -3.5 (+339) .5u
Dober Decision/Tavares Decision (+492) .5u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision (+678) .25u
Spencer Decision/Correia Decision (+796) .5u
Browne KO/Overeem ITD (+872) .5u
Brown KO/Overeem KO (+967) .25u
Correia Decision/Faber ITD (+1339) .25u
Dober Decision/Spencer Decision/Tavares Decision (+1984) .25u
Correia Decision/Rivera Decision/Werdum Decision (+2014) .25u
Browne Round 1/Overeem Round 1 (+2525) .25u

Full Card Props:
Magalhaes Wins Fastest KO (+1200) .5u

Results posted in event thread.

[Hugo de Naranja]

All UFC Results:
UFC 203 Miocic vs. Overeem = +13.405u
UFC Fight Night Arlovski vs. Barnett = -3.7425u
UFC Fight Night Maia vs. Condit = +14.1675u
UFC 202 McGregor vs.Diaz = +4.415u
UFC Fight Night Rodriguez vs. Caceres = +5.2775u
UFC 201 Lawler vs. Woodley = +8.85u
UFC Fight Night Holm vs. Shevchenko = +4.645u

Total UFC Profit/Loss: +47.0175u

All Bellator Results:
Bellator 160 = -1u

Total Bellator Profit/Loss = -1u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Any early thoughts on the Poirier/Johnson card?

[Hugo de Naranja]

Rockhold vs. Souza II announced as the headliner for UFC Fight Night 101 in Melbourne.

[getlucky2win]

No big plays for me yet. Waiting on a few lines to be released, that I think will be playable. Keep up the good work hugo

[Hugo de Naranja]

No big plays for me yet. Waiting on a few lines to be released, that I think will be playable. Keep up the good work hugo

Thanks man, you too!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Placed 2u on Lineker (+100). I think Dodson might try to throw hands with him at some point and could get put out.

[xagonzx]

Any early thoughts on the Poirier/Johnson card?

I'm on Porier straight for 4 units, plus have a few units with a Porier-Bisping parlay. I'm leaning Brunson, but debating the bet.

I like Muhammad over Montano, but don't think the line is out. I also probably like Randy Brown over Montano (his brother). Of course, these depend on what the lines are, but those are some of my initial thoughts.

[xagonzx]

Rockhold vs. Souza II announced as the headliner for UFC Fight Night 101 in Melbourne.

Great fight, but I have that it "eliminates" one of them from the title picture for the time being-- meanwhile Hendo is fighting for the title.