UFC on Fox 19: April/16th

[PaperTrail07]

Good Odds but I think Randy Brown is going take it....guy is a natural and I dont see Graves giving him problems...

What scores do you need for Chiesa to win that bet?

[PaperTrail07]

He has enough agility and strength to stay on his feet----Where he has a huge advantage IMO

[JoshKnows46]

-600 against a top 5 opponent and one she lost to? Ok

Correct

[JoshKnows46]

What scores do you need for Chiesa to win that bet?

2928 2928 2928 all dariush equals 3 pts for dariush, 2928 chiesa 2928 dariush 3027 dariush equals 3 points in favor of dariush. 2928 dariush, 30 27 dariush, 30 27 chiesa equals 1 point for dariush...those 3 outcomes...the bet is based on a close fight incase a couple judges try to screw me like they did in the Micheal johnson dariush matchup, I'm also on Chiesa straight and by dec.

[Ty$]

2928 2928 2928 all dariush equals 3 pts for dariush, 2928 chiesa 2928 dariush 3027 dariush equals 3 points in favor of dariush. 2928 dariush, 30 27 dariush, 30 27 chiesa equals 1 point for dariush...those 3 outcomes...the bet is based on a close fight incase a couple judges try to screw me like they did in the Micheal johnson dariush matchup, I'm also on Chiesa straight and by dec.

Ok like I thought thanks for the breakdown tho

[JoshKnows46]

Ok like I thought thanks for the breakdown tho

A ko or a sub also cashes the ticket, wouldn't be surprised by a chiesa ko victory, a awkward long southpaw will always give dariush trouble, plus he's more aggressive then Micheal johnson, but I rank chiesa dec most probable. Chiesa ko 2nd most probable and Dariush dec 3rd probable, as the 3 most probable outcomes in that order.

[Shagdogy]

Good Odds but I think Randy Brown is going take it....guy is a natural and I dont see Graves giving him problems...

I'm real impressed by Brown. He fights with a lot of confidence and he wastes very little energy. That said, Graves is fighting like a Tornado lately. Gonna be a big test for him. The key is gonna be the scrambles. Everyone says Brown is inexperienced in the grappling but I see some talent in him. He may look a bit awkward in the grappling exchanges but he has a way of always ending up in a positive position. And if he gets pinned against the cage or stuck defending in the clinch he has a way of delivering surprisingly hard strikes with short elbows and even hands. I really like this guy. BUT, I would want him as a dog in this fight. For now I'm laying off.

[JoshKnows46]

I added Mcgee points handicap, Cezar 1st round finish and fight doesn't start the 2nd, and graves sub.Will update my full card later tonight.

[Shagdogy]

I'm real impressed by Brown. He fights with a lot of confidence and he wastes very little energy. That said, Graves is fighting like a Tornado lately. Gonna be a big test for him. The key is gonna be the scrambles. Everyone says Brown is inexperienced in the grappling but I see some talent in him. He may look a bit awkward in the grappling exchanges but he has a way of always ending up in a positive position. And if he gets pinned against the cage or stuck defending in the clinch he has a way of delivering surprisingly hard strikes with short elbows and even hands. I really like this guy. BUT, I would want him as a dog in this fight. For now I'm laying off.

Something else about Brown. He has those long arms that he can wrap up arm in guillotines and tight front headlocks when guys wouldn't expect he could, just cause o his lankiness. Meanwhile, Graves spent the 3rd rd of his last fight tied up like this from sticking his head out while coming in. He defended well and had the time to do it since he was ahead on cards, but if Brown has worked that position a lot it could come in to play, especially if he's winning on the feet and Graves is forced to shoot from distance with Brown winning standup and controlling range. I'm starting to favor a small play on Brown here.

[JoshKnows46]

My Full Card:

Chiesa +170 Risking $450
Chiesa Wins by DEC +340 Risking $150
Chiesa points handicap +3.5 -180 Risking $450
3.5 units invested


Rose Thug Namajunas -175/-165 Risking $2,100
Rose Thug Namajunas finishes in round 3 +1100 Risking $100
Rose Thug Namajunas wins by sub +300 Risking $200
8 units invested


Hacran dias +100/-105 Risking $512.50
Hacran dias +105 Risking $400
Hacran dias wins by dec +185 $100
Hacran dias wins by dec +170 $100
Hacran Dias points handicap +3.5 -215 Risking $537.50
5.33 units invested


Manny Dodson doesn't go 3 round distance +105 $250
Manny Dodson under 2.5 +120 $200
1.5 units invested

Dodson wins by ko +180 $100
Manny wins by sub +1730 $100
0.66 units invested

Ferreira/Bamgbose under 1.5 rds -160/-170/-185/-195 Risking $710
Ferreira/Bamgbose under 1.5 rds -185 Risking $185
Ferreira/bamgbose doesn't start the 2nd round -142 Risking $355
4 units invested


Ferreira wins in round 1 +400 Risking $250
1 unit invested


Court/Santiago over 2.5 -175 Risking $875
3 units invested

Mcgee 3.5 Points Handicap -180 Risking $180
McGee wins in round 3 +2000 Risking $100
1 unit invested

Graves wins in round 3 +1475 Risking $100
Graves (scorecards = no action) +105 Risking $250
Graves wins by sub +405 $50
1.33 units invested

Horcher (scorecards = no action) +575 Risking $50
Horcher wins by TKO/KO +1450 Risking $50
0.33 units invested

Correia points handicap +3.5 -115 Risking $287.50
1 unit invested


Parlay
Ferguson -250 (scorecards = no Action) Canceled
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action) Pending
$625 to win $409.09
Parlay
Ferguson -260 (scorecards = no Action) Canceled
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action) Pending
$600 to win $381.82
4 units invested

[JoshKnows46]

[JoshKnows46]

[JoshKnows46]

[JoshKnows46]

[JoshKnows46]

My Full Card:

Chiesa +170 Risking $450
Chiesa Wins by DEC +340 Risking $150
Chiesa points handicap +3.5 -180 Risking $450
3.5 units invested


Rose Thug Namajunas -175/-165 Risking $2,100
Rose Thug Namajunas finishes in round 3 +1100 Risking $100
Rose Thug Namajunas wins by sub +300 Risking $200
8 units invested


Hacran dias +100/-105 Risking $512.50
Hacran dias +105 Risking $400
Hacran dias wins by dec +185 $100
Hacran dias wins by dec +170 $100
Hacran Dias points handicap +3.5 -215 Risking $537.50
5.33 units invested


Manny Dodson doesn't go 3 round distance +105 $250
Manny Dodson under 2.5 +120 $200
1.5 units invested

Dodson wins by ko +180 $100
Manny wins by sub +1730 $100
0.66 units invested

Ferreira/Bamgbose under 1.5 rds -160/-170/-185/-195 Risking $710
Ferreira/Bamgbose under 1.5 rds -185 Risking $185
Ferreira/bamgbose doesn't start the 2nd round -142 Risking $355
4 units invested


Ferreira wins in round 1 +400 Risking $250
1 unit invested


Court/Santiago over 2.5 -175 Risking $875
3 units invested

Mcgee 3.5 Points Handicap -180 Risking $180
McGee wins in round 3 +2000 Risking $100
1 unit invested

Graves wins in round 3 +1475 Risking $100
Graves (scorecards = no action) +105 Risking $250
Graves wins by sub +405 $50
1.33 units invested

Horcher (scorecards = no action) +575 Risking $50
Horcher wins by TKO/KO +1450 Risking $50
0.33 units invested

Correia points handicap +3.5 -115 Risking $287.50
1 unit invested


Parlay
Ferguson -250 (scorecards = no Action) Canceled
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action) Pending
$625 to win $409.09
Parlay
Ferguson -260 (scorecards = no Action) Canceled
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action) Pending
$600 to win $381.82
4 units invested

added:

Parlay:
Rose Namajunes -175
A.J. Mckee -750 (Bellator)
Risking $2000 to win $1561.90

[iloseagain]

dodson fight was easy...

[JoshKnows46]

dodson fight was easy...

Yeah buddy, we nailed that one, Dodson ko and the under were both easy money.

[iloseagain]

what did you see about that mcgee fight that would possibly get to the 3rd round? All they did was stand up and brawl.. Those fights never go more than 2 rounds. I know nothing about those fighters, but if youre supposed to be some UFC guru, this under should have been obvious.. That fight had 0 chance of getting past round 2

name should be joshknowsdickaboutufc

[KalouKalou]

what did you see about that mcgee fight that would possibly get to the 3rd round? All they did was stand up and brawl.. Those fights never go more than 2 rounds. I know nothing about those fighters, but if youre supposed to be some UFC guru, this under should have been obvious.. That fight had 0 chance of getting past round 2

name should be joshknowsdickaboutufc

wow..right you can judge with one fight
It's all about the long term, but you're probably new with betting.

[JoshKnows46]

what did you see about that mcgee fight that would possibly get to the 3rd round? All they did was stand up and brawl.. Those fights never go more than 2 rounds. I know nothing about those fighters, but if youre supposed to be some UFC guru, this under should have been obvious.. That fight had 0 chance of getting past round 2

name should be joshknowsdickaboutufc

mcgee should have mixed in his takedowns, he usually is very durable, and almost always goes to the distance, he was the better striker as you saw through out the 1st till the point he got caught, and he's also the better grappler, he neglected to uses his grappling, and got caught, anyone can get caught, if your not comfortable with that, then you shouldn't be betting on mma, we are betting on fist fights. lol Josh Knows...you don't understand what your talking about, but thats cool, u said your new to betting on this, varience will happen, people that are winning will get ko'd or subbed on occasion. if your following me, don't worry, the nights still young bro, you'll be thanking me by the end of the night.

[iloseagain]

haha im jus messin around man.. i know you been killing it

[iloseagain]

wow i thought chiesa looked absolutely awful in that first round.. looked like he was toast.. took chiesa +150, u2.5 +170 and parlayed them for a nice 5.5:1 payout.. Nice pick there!

[JoshKnows46]

wow i thought chiesa looked absolutely awful in that first round.. looked like he was toast.. took chiesa +150, u2.5 +170 and parlayed them for a nice 5.5:1 payout.. Nice pick there!

he's always a slow starter, wasn't a terrible first round, but he did lose that 1st, hacran dias is next..

[iloseagain]

he's always a slow starter, wasn't a terrible first round, but he did lose that 1st, hacran dias is next..

he just looked physically slower. i was laughing watching it because it looked like he was in slow motion. he better have a chin of granite if he thinks he can move up any higher in that division..

i took u2.5 in this dias fight too. and parlayed dias with under. all these heavily juiced overs seem to be losing. might as well keep playing the big + money unders. GL

[mackave]

Hmmmm

[Z-Fly]

I apologize. I haven't had much time to read through this. Nothing on the main even?

[JoshKnows46]

I apologize. I haven't had much time to read through this. Nothing on the main even?

No prefight bet on the main event, Rose is my main event, I'm gonna wait to see how the 1st goes in the rashad text fight and may live bet it, too many question marks going in

[Z-Fly]

Thanks Josh

[iloseagain]

wtf happened in the mckee fight? i cant find it anywhere

[JoshKnows46]

wtf happened in the mckee fight? i cant find it anywhere

I cashed it, they graded the wager already, i don't know how he won yet, most likely another 1st round finish, kids gonna be a star.

They'll have a replay of it on spike tv tonight.

[Kermit]

I see that Anastasia Yankova won her 3rd pro fight via submission. This is probably the hottest girl in mma. These are pics before she got all tattooed up.

[Kermit]

I cashed it, they graded the wager already, i don't know how he won yet, most likely another 1st round finish, kids gonna be a star.

They'll have a replay of it on spike tv tonight.

He won by TKO.

[JoshKnows46]

I see that Anastasia Yankova won her 3rd pro fight via submission. This is probably the hottest girl in mma. These are pics before she got all tattooed up.

you ain't lieing, she's perfection

[JoshKnows46]

[Kermit]

you ain't lieing, she's perfection

I am not against tats as I have a few myself, but I don't think she should have got the ones that she did.