Josh is the Frank Underwood of this board. Jibby is turning into Peter Russo.
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Lyoto/henderson start round 2 -127 risking $317.50 to win $250
Lyoto wins in round 2 +450 $50 to win $225Comment -
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Ferguson +165 $500
Ferguson wins by split dec +1355 $50Comment -
Don't see any possible way Kabib or Torres finish these fights, and I see clear paths to finishing ITD for Rose and ferguson, so i placed a couple parlays based around that, 4 units worth...These are SAFE bets, i'm ready for them to open up this undercard for betting, I'm gonna crush they fukin ass with this card, nice and flowey.
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Parlay
Ferguson -250 (scorecards = no Action)
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action)
$625 to win $409.09
Parlay
Ferguson -260 (scorecards = no Action)
Rose -550 (scorecards = no Action)
$600 to win $381.82Comment -
Lotto Ticket Fun:
Ferguson wins by 5 rd split/maj decision +1650*
Chiesa wins by 3 round decision +350
Cormier wins by 5 rd split/maj decision +1030
Belfort wins in round 1 +575
$20 to win $120,113.13Comment -
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Hacran dias +100/-105 put $512.50 down so far, will have more on him.Comment -
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Hacran dias +105 Risking $400 moreComment -
Hi Josh,
Just found this .. after I came up big on Nate Diaz and Tate. I was there at UFC 196. Also hit the parlay on Sanchez and Elkins .. as well as a parlay on latifi and tate.
I lost a few units on UFN 86 mir v hunt.. only because I went against your advice on Magny and went with lombard on my gut and Tehuna also cost me. That being said I did hit on Daniel Kelly, Hunt as well as Leslie smith , I train with her at El Nino in San Francisco. I also used to Train with TY$ in fargo .. so I have an interest in the Timothy Johnson fight ..
Just wanted to say thanks for all the tips , you really know your shit . Looking forward to every fight card even more now that I am betting .Comment -
One question I had josh .. is what site do you do most of your action on ? I'm on Bovada.. and they don't have any of these lines or props available
. They don't release props until like day of the fight .. and there is no live action .Comment -
Hacran Dias has never beat a fighter of Cub's caliber. He beat a lot of Brazilians before going to the UFC. His last fight was a close fight with a Green Levan Makishvilli (who I've watched fight live cage side several times.). Levan is not in Cub's level. I think this line is waaaay off. It's almost a pickem fight.
Cub's back is against the wall here and he needs this win.Comment -
But Cub havent looked like himself, especially in the max holloway fight. He seemed lost and didnt really have that fighter instinct. Thumbs up for technique and potential, thumbs down for fighting spirit. If this was cub swanson before or even after the frankie edgar fight, the line on Cub would have been somewhere -200-250, but since you dont know where hes head at, the line is a lot closer.
So cubs the better fighter, but we dont know if hes going to perform.Comment -
Holloway is just that good.Comment -
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Hacran dias wins by dec +185 $100 (will have another $200 on this prop)Comment -
Probably not. Both Cub and holloway didnt have steller performance against stephans for instance. If Holloway where that good, he should have looked smoother against stephans, but he didnt. Or do you try to sell holloway as much better than cub, just not against stephans? I cant really find a home for such arguments. I just think Cub lost something after that frankie fight. Big fight, a lot of expectations, hopes and dreams of a title shot, that he had very much looked forward to came crashing down. Cub gave up, and that holloway is good doesnt explain that mental lapse, IMO.Comment -
hacran should be the favorite by -220, gross line error, but its on purpose as most of the action will come in on cub, hacran gonna smother him into the mat for 3 straight rounds, and their isn't a damn thing cub can do about that, hacran wins this matchup 68.75 percent of the time. and yea cub was talking of retirement, but it doesnt matter if he's in the right mindset now, or if he was magically in his fukin prime, he still loses this matchup 68.75 percent of the time.Comment -
All things equal, cub loses this fight, but the percentages I have him losing the contest, doesnt determine my confidence and how much I place on a wager. I always judge a fight as if both guys where prime, then I look for short notice, question marks, retirement talks, long layoffs and other outside reason to determine my confidence, if you include the question marks it bring my confidence up to hacran winning this matchup 80 percent of the time..it's a very easy bet to make, and will cash just as easy.Comment -
Your logic is super flawed. Anyone can have a seeming off night, especially against a dangerous power puncher like Stephens. No correlation there. Cub looking terrible against Max was because he couldnt figure his style out. Long combinations, constantly turning, great fundamentals. Cub relies on huge, dynamic techniques, and that just is never going to work against someone like Holloway. And he was much smaller. Holloway is one of the best in the division and his style is all wrong for Cub, him being the dog in that fight was crazy and if you can't see that, we have nothing more to talk about.Comment -
Holloway is champion of that division within 1 to 2 years, cub was never on his level, and that's a horrible matchup for cub. Holloway fought a smart fight against stephans, perfect performance outside of a finish. I'd favor Holloway over aldo or edgar.Comment -
Broner slowing down, Theo taking over, we got this...Comment -
I got ashley up 4 round to 3, how yall have it scored?Comment -
Hey Josh,
Not watching boxing but.. I was wondering. Whats the most lucrative parlay(s) you have ever hit? Most lucrative card? Do you ever hit on your lotto ticket parlays?Comment -
I've won 18,000 on a single card, I've hit a 3 team Parlay for 10,000 before but it wasn't a long shot, it was a even money parlay. I don't play lotto ticket parlays often, and I've never hit anything like I'm playing above before, I've been one play away from winning 30k on a 50 dollar play, but I've never hit anything like that before, maybe if I tryed more often.Comment -
Nice man, that's awesome. How long have you been doing this if you don't mind me asking? Have you always been a big fight fan and studied the game, and have you ever trained or competed yourself>? Just curious. Thanks again for all the sharing of your wisdom and fightgame knowledge.Comment -
No one that knows any good options when it comes to deposit/payout? 5dimes is parting with both skrill and neteller which frankly is the only easy way for people from europe to transfer money. I cant f use **** as communist-norway has a restriction law transfering money to casinos/bookiesComment -
No one that ever used bitcoin for larger transactions?Comment -
Only started watching since the Chuck tito fight, but I've seen all the early ufc and pride cards since then, been gambling on Football for about 14 years, gambling on mma for about 5 and half years. I train in boxing but only for fun to break up the manotony of my cardio training, though I don't care for the sport of boxing, and I've never competed in mma or boxing, I probable wouldn't enjoy getting hit in the face too much, I'd probable get angry and end up biting someone's ear off Ala Mike tyson.Comment -
I've heard nothing but good things about it, why you think it wouldn't be safe? I heard coinbase is a good one to use, theres no fee transferring bitcoin to cash with them...but i admittedly dont know much about it, maybe someone else here could help. i was thinking of starting you use it myself, from what i've heard, seems safer then having your money in a bank.Comment
, and a beer gut in a photo i saw recently, and jon jones legal troubles, i like this parlay even more, i think it has a good chance of hitting, i made a similar one with ferguson by sub instead of split dec.