UFC Fight Night 81: January 17th, 2016

[JIBBBY]

Literally can't make this shit up. "Here stranger on a message board, I hope my bet loses so you can win!!".

What is the world coming to these days man.

That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

[JoshKnows46]

That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

He's just being cordial, it's just something nice to say, I've had many people tell me this before, he most likely just has em in long shoot parley for sum change, and isn't really invested in said bet. He obviously will be rooting for pettis.

[PaperTrail07]

100% JIBBBY.....more is all relative----5$ could mean more to Man A than 5K does to man B....

That's incredibly nice... Don't think I've ever seen that posted on the forum.. Sanity must have been sipping on the sauce last night when he posted that.. No one in their right mind would root for someone else to win against your play just because they have more cash riding..

Sanity I love ya man!!! Classic!!!

[PaperTrail07]

but i agree----Nice guy and means well

[JoshKnows46]

This card is full of flaky fighters, so you must implement hedging and probs into Some Of these fights to increase profitability and decrease risk, there are a couple great spots to do this.)

Added:
Browne by sub +600 $300 to win $1800 (hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 for $158 to win $300...basically risking $458 on Browne sub to win $1800, but there is virtually no risk In this play because no way either guy makes the distance, no way meathead subs browne, and no way browne ko's meathead, it's well worth a unit and a half of your money because unlike the odds makers, I see browne by sub as the most probable outcome of this contest.

O'connell +230 risking $300 to win $690
O'connell by ko +615 risking $300 to $1845 (unlike the oddsmakers, I have O'connell winning by dec or ko, put $150 on Latifi by sub at +415 to win $622.50, as that is Latifis only path to victory, so I'm basically risking $750 hedge included on O'connell to win $2535)

Felder wins inside distance +130 risking $300 to win $390
Felder -240 risking $1200 to win $500

[JoshKnows46]

Added:
Font/Gomez wont go the distance -270 risking $1350

Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180 Risking $900

Ross Pearson -150 risking $900
Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700 Risking $100

Tj Dillashaw -140 Risking another $500 (can't help myself, if this fight was 2 more weeks away, i'd probabe have 20k on this one, trying to stay discipline, don't miss out gentlemen.)

[TPowell]

This card is full of flaky fighters, so you must implement hedging and probs into Some Of these fights to increase profitability and decrease risk, there are a couple great spots to do this.)

Added:
Browne by sub +600 $300 to win $1800 (hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 for $158 to win $300...basically risking $458 on Browne sub to win $1800, but there is virtually no risk In this play because no way either guy makes the distance, no way meathead subs browne, and no way browne ko's meathead, it's well worth a unit and a half of your money because unlike the odds makers, I see browne by sub as the most probable outcome of this contest.

O'connell +230 risking $300 to win $690
O'connell by ko +615 risking $300 to $1845 (unlike the oddsmakers, I have O'connell winning by dec or ko, put $150 on Latifi by sub at +415 to win $622.50, as that is Latifis only path to victory, so I'm basically risking $750 hedge included on O'connell to win $2535)

Felder wins inside distance +130 risking $300 to win $390
Felder -240 risking $1200 to win $500

You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights

[JoshKnows46]

You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights

anybody can get knocked out, he does have power, but oconnell is the better striker/kickboxer, latifi will get worked on the feet, he needs to try to get this fight to the ground, i have oconnell the favorite in this fight slighty @ -140, oconnell will have more oppurtunitys to get the KO, and if not i see him taking the dec. the oddsmakers disagree with me, but latifi sub at +415 gives me the best hedge possibility and i see it as more likely than latifi getting a ko stoppage, oconnell has a nice chin and can take sum punishment, and like i said i see him getting the better of latifi on the feet, wrong guy is favored here.

[JoshKnows46]

You don't think Latifi can knock O'Connell out? Latifi has monster power in his hands. Have to say we completely disagree here. I see Latifi firing a counter right that turns out his lights

if your sold out on latifi here, i'd go with wins inside the distance prob at -150 to decrease the juice, i can't see him winning a dec against oconnell, and i believe he is gonna try to stand with oconell because thats what has been working for him lately, he's gonna need a stoppage to win, but I don't think the probability of that happening is too good either. good luck with your decision.

[mirinquads]

Browne could easily get a TKO victory on the ground over Mitrione.

[TPowell]

if your sold out on latifi here, i'd go with wins inside the distance prob at -150 to decrease the juice, i can't see him winning a dec against oconnell, and i believe he is gonna try to stand with oconell because thats what has been working for him lately, he's gonna need a stoppage to win, but I don't think the probability of that happening is too good either. good luck with your decision.

I think Latifi could easily win any 3 ways in this fight. He could take him down and turn it into a boring fight and win a decision if he wants. He could definitely lock in a sub to get the win and with his power, he could easily land a power shot that drops O'Connell in the pocket.

[Aye J Mac]

Bro can u update your plays in bold letters . Thanks

[Sanity Check]

Anthony Pettis looking sharp as fk.

Eddie Alvarez also looking very sharp.

That's the best technique I've ever seen Alvarez show hitting pads.

edit - Maybe he looks good because the camera is zoomed further in than normal. Its hard to tell.

[JoshKnows46]

Bro can u update your plays in bold letters . Thanks

Here they are, I'm also on amber brown and Souza on Invicta card, and I'm heavy on Seattle to beat carolina.

Final Card:*

TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93
TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575

Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250

Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500

Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500

Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600
Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700

Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300)

O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690
O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50)

Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390
Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500

BTW my base unit is $300, if your unit is $100, and you would like to follow what I bet, then you'd want to put $100 on my $300 play, $300 on my $900 plays, $400 on my $1200 plays, and so on and so on, remember to bet within the means of your bankroll. if your Unit is 100 then divide the amount i'm risking by 3, if your unit is $50 then you'd divide what i'm risking by 6. everytime you increase your bankroll by $5000, you increase your unit by $50 dollars, this insures you will always have a continued bankroll, and never be out the race.

[agendaman]

josh why so heavy on seattle

[JoshKnows46]

josh why so heavy on seattle

Look in my Invicta and nfl thread to the bottom, I breakdown the bet, Seattle gonna embarrass carolina in this game.

[Aye J Mac]

Thanks bro

[JoshKnows46]

Added:
Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 (cote has been leaning more on his wrestling and I believe that's what he will focus on for the majority of this contest, going off of interviews, he seems to believe he can pass saunders guard, he will spend the majority of this fight inside saunders guard as he can take saunders down at will and that is a clear path to victory for him, as if its stays standing killa bee will kill him with knees and outstrike him to win a dec, though killa bee doesn't have the power to ko cote, he would outstrike him standing,saunders is slick on the ground but i dont see him subbing cote as cote hasnt been subbed since 2010, dec is the most likely outcome and who wins will depend on how long saunders can keep it standing or how long saunders stays under cote. theres one risk to this working out, is cote has power and could get a ko, but i see the majority of the fight being on the ground, so i dont see enough risk in the cote ko to warrent a hedge bet here, but if you want extra insurence on this play cote by ko is at +330, so its servicable if you decide to hedge)

Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300

Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 (cruz has terrible striking defense, see a KO early, worth a fraction of a unit.)

Herman +200 Risking $100 (this is based on his opp looking like a fat slob at weigh-ins, herman being rededicated, i think its a coin flip fight, herman is the better striker, also has more submission wins if tim trys to take it to the ground, tim has power advantage and wrestling advantage but i got herman a little better then him where every the fight goes, so i'll take the underdog for a fraction of a unit in what i see at a even money fight.)

[GoBlue77]

Initially I was all about Pettis. Thats a no play for me now. Alvarez looks as good as I've ever seen him. Possible fight of the night material here.

Good luck with your plays

[Tboonepickem]

On these two early..as of January 3rd

Eddie Alvarez Wins By 3 Round Dec +500 Risking $250 to win $1250

TJ Dillashaw -140 Risking $3500 to win $2500

Taking on that much risk, you might as well sprinkle Alvarez wins, does not go the distance at +1047, to de-risk a bit

[JoshKnows46]

Taking on that much risk, you might as well sprinkle Alvarez wins, does not go the distance at +1047, to de-risk a bit

This is alverezs only path to victory, neither guy will finish the other.

[Kermit]

Eddie and Felder my only 2 bets tonight.

[JoshKnows46]

Well you threw away money betting against Pettis I see

Stupid fuk

[GoBlue77]

Initially I was all about Pettis. Thats a no play for me now. Alvarez looks as good as I've ever seen him. Possible fight of the night material here.

Good luck with your plays

guess again tool boy.

enjoy your 10 grand down the shitter

[capone1899]

Someone needs to eat crow. What did you go down, about 11-12k the last two days?

Time to get off coc.ky, high-horse and stop telling people how dumb they are for not agreeing with you

[JoshKnows46]

guess again tool boy.

enjoy your 10 grand down the shitter

Fuk you fa.ggot

[JoshKnows46]

Someone needs to eat crow. What did you go down, about 11-12k the last two days?

Time to get off coc.ky, high-horse and stop telling people how dumb they are for not agreeing with you

Fuk u bitch

[capone1899]

Fuk u bitch

LOL

Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 L -600

Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300 L -300

Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 L -100

Herman +200 Risking $100 L -100

Invicta:
Amber Brown -705 Risking $1762.50 to win $250 W +250
Livia Renata Souza +105 $238.10 to win $250 W +250

NFL:
Seattle ml +105 Risking $2500 to win $2625 L -2500 LOL


TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93 Lol -7500
TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575 L -500

Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250 W +1250

Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500 W +500

Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500 L -900

Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600 L -900
Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700 L -100

Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300) L and L -458

O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690 L -300
O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50) L and L -450

Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390 W +500
Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500 W +500



-$11,058

[JoshKnows46]

LOL

Cote/Saunders starts rounds 3 -147 Risking $600 L -600

Cote/Saunders goes to 3 round dec -110 Risking $300 L -300

Dillashaw wins in Round 1 +850 Risking $100 L -100

Herman +200 Risking $100 L -100

Invicta:
Amber Brown -705 Risking $1762.50 to win $250 W +250
Livia Renata Souza +105 $238.10 to win $250 W +250

NFL:
Seattle ml +105 Risking $2500 to win $2625 L -2500 LOL


TJ Dillashaw -140/-145..................................... . $7500 to win $5270.93 Lol -7500
TJ Dillashaw wins inside 5 round distance +315...$500 to win $1575 L -500

Eddie Alvarez Wins by Dec +500............................. $250 to win $1250 W +1250

Font/Gomez WON'T go the distance -270..................... $1350 to win $500 W +500

Browne/Mitrione Under 1.5 Rounds -180.................. $900 to win $500 L -900

Ross Pearson -150..................................... ....$900 to win $600 L -900
Ross Pearson Wins in round 3 +1700............. $100 to win $1700 L -100

Browne by sub +600............................ $300 to win $1800*(hedged with Mitrone by ko at +190 $158 to win $300) L and L -458

O'connell +230.................................... $300 to win $690 L -300
O'connell by ko +615.......................... $300 to $1845 (hedged withLatifi by sub at +415 $150 to win $622.50) L and L -450

Felder wins inside distance +130.......... $300 to win $390 W +500
Felder -240 ........................................ $1200 to win $500 W +500



-$11,058

Suk my dick

[capone1899]

Suk my dick

Good night, bro. Joshknows....

[Sykes]

well een though im Irish and I speak English in a foreign country. Ill say BkofAma noite to yaz all. Getting a bit out of hand childish for me to be honest. Spelling mistakes and all. Think Mir and Josh is solid, all the people talking shit outside them is doing exactly that. Talking shit. BkofAma Noite. Feb 29 I get back to Europe Normal place... - Roll on see yous for the next one. : )

[capone1899]

Originally Posted by JoshKnows46 Dillashaw up 3 rounds to 1, cruz needs a finish to win. This ticket is already cashed

Laugh out f-ing loud. Post of the year!!!!!

[JoshKnows46]

Good night, bro. Joshknows....

Suck my dick some more first

[JoshKnows46]

Laugh out f-ing loud. Post of the year!!!!!

He won, Tony weeks gave 4th and 5th to cruz, mfer was drunk, u stupid cu.nt

[SEKTAUR]

Fukkin ouch