UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs. Mir (February 22, 2015)

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  • JIBBBY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-10-09
    • 83686

    #421
    I've said in the past Sunday nights are the craziest nights of the week to bet I believe.. From years of gambling I find it to be so... Just so happens this card fell on a Sunday night. Hmmmm???????

    Just saying..

    Comment
    • Thor4140
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-09-08
      • 22296

      #422


      Feb23
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      Dog Day

      Posted by Todd on Feb 23, 2015 in Industry News
      Last night’s UFC event on Fox Sports 1 created a betting phenomenon not often see in the pugilistic arts these days; a card filled with live underdogs. Normally this spells disaster for UFC bettors accustomed to identifying a few favorites worth parlaying for what they deem to be a +EV investment. However last night one bettor at Bet Online took a very different approach to getting an action fix instead of watching the Oscars; he elected to parlay 8 underdogs while risking $2. Typically a bet of this nature keeps you engaged through one fight, maybe 2, but rarely will it leave you glued to the edge of your seat until the bitter end.

      Little did anyone know at the time such a small investment would yield a rather large pay day. When the dust settled on UFC Fight Night 61 in Porto Alegro, Brazil the bettor who shall remain nameless turned his small wager into a $64,616.08 pay day. At least he was smart and hedged a bit of his potential windfall going into the Frank Mir match to close out the evening.
      For those reading this story they know my feelings (along with those of other long time bettors) that parlays are a long term losing proposition. Every now and again we’ll h
      Comment
      • PaperTrail07
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-29-08
        • 20423

        #423
        gLAd to see someone hit it...
        Comment
        • JIBBBY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-10-09
          • 83686

          #424
          ^^^64 grand from 2 bucks.. WOW!!! For $5 that would have paid $150,000...

          That's a score and hit if I ever saw one Thor!!! Hope this lucky guy gets paid from the bookie... That's an adventure in itself when you hit like that online..

          I'm still kicking myself today for not trying a small parlay once I got the vibe it was gonna be a dog night.. Errrrr. Even a 5 teamer on the last leg for 5 bucks would have paid big... Not complaining though...

          I'm a believer in streaks/trends and those types of parlays.... Gotta stick with it and not give up.. It's the cost of a pizza tip or a lotto ticket when you think about it..
          Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-23-15, 07:59 PM.
          Comment
          • THE_LOCKSMITH
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-25-08
            • 7237

            #425
            wow espn front page "UFC costs sportsbook nearly $1M"

            When all was tallied up, Bovada.LV lost nearly $1 million on UFC Fight Night 61 when 10 of 11 underdogs won.



            Frank Mir's victory over Antonio Silva in the main event in Porto Alegre, Brazil, on Sunday night marked the 10th win by an underdog, costing Bovada nearly $1 million, according to the sportsbook's manager.

            Underdogs went 10-1, and as a result, parlay bets, in which gamblers bet between $1 and $5 on all underdogs, hit big.

            According to Bovada sportsbook manager Kevin Bradley, one bettor had a $4 all-underdog parlay that paid $85,000. Another had four $1 parlays that paid $25,000 each.

            "We had at least a dozen of these bets that paid out $10,000 or more," Bradley said.

            When all was tallied up, Bradley said the loss approached nearly $1 million on the single event.
            Comment
            • PaperTrail07
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-29-08
              • 20423

              #426
              WOW insanity...lol
              Comment
              • PaperTrail07
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-29-08
                • 20423

                #427
                THey can afford it
                Comment
                • fitguy67
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-13-11
                  • 5082

                  #428
                  in addition to the Johnson, Alvey, Martins i originally posted here (and then re-posted last night b4 the Mir fight)
                  which had just 4 legs = 1 triple + 3-doubles...(this little ditty hitting accounted for 17.3x units)

                  the morning of the event i decided to add Frank to the mix (after deciding to add him SU, it only seemed right, in the interest of symmetry)...expanding my 7-leg matrix up to 11-legs
                  =1 quadruple + 4 triples + 6 doubles...

                  (each leg was just 0.25u...making 2.75u in all)...

                  when the dust settled my bankroll had a bit more than doubled...meaning that beefing up this little matrix of parlays by one fighter, from 3 to 4 dogs, magnified the haul by a factor of 6...meaning that instead of 17u, a bit more than 100units were netted on the 2.75u risked...

                  ______________

                  the REALLY funny thing is that later in the day, i decided to follow Sider on his Marion Reneau enthusiasm...and i waffled baknforth the rest of the day, till the card started on whether to scratch my urge to complete the symmetry having all my SU-dogs locked into this fun little round-robin project...

                  if i did add Reneau to the round-robin mix it would bring my 4-fighter/11-legger to a 5-fighter/26-legger
                  (which would have taken my little 1u ticket, which i'd already bumped up to 2.75...and would have blasted it all the way up to 6.5u...no longer a cute little lottery ticket...so i said fukk the symmetry, and left Marion unattached,lol)

                  see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossar..._UK_bookmakers

                  section 5 deals with these sorts of enhanced round-robins...i've done them a number of times in MLB, and most of the time they're just donations to the book...remembering that, and the intention of my original little 3-fighter/4-leg flier...i left things as they were...

                  IF i had decided differently on that...my account would have MUCH more than doubled...on the other hand, Murphy's Law being the way it is...IF i had escalated it up to a 6.5unit-baby...dogs mighta' done sweet fraak all


                  __________________
                  as it is...it was by far my single biggest sports-betting haul: doubling my roll with a novelty bet...
                  Last edited by fitguy67; 02-23-15, 09:33 PM.
                  Comment
                  • Bava
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-25-14
                    • 342

                    #429
                    Originally posted by fitguy67
                    in addition to the Johnson, Alvey, Martins i originally posted here (and then re-posted last night b4 the Mir fight)
                    which had just 4 legs = 1 triple + 3-doubles...(this little ditty hitting accounted for 17.3x units)

                    the morning of the event i decided to add Frank to the mix (after deciding to add him SU, it only seemed right, in the interest of symmetry)...expanding my 7-leg matrix up to 11-legs
                    =1 quadruple + 4 triples + 6 doubles...

                    (each leg was just 0.25u...making 2.75u in all)...

                    when the dust settled my bankroll had a bit more than doubled...meaning that beefing up this little matrix of parlays by one fighter, from 3 to 4 dogs, magnified the haul by a factor of 6...meaning that instead of 17u, a bit more than 100units were netted on the 2.75u risked...

                    ______________

                    the REALLY funny thing is that later in the day, i decided to follow Sider on his Marion Reneau enthusiasm...and i waffled baknforth the rest of the day, till the card started on whether to scratch my urge to complete the symmetry having all my SU-dogs locked into this fun little round-robin project...

                    if i did add Reneau to the round-robin mix it would bring my 4-fighter/11-legger to a 5-fighter/26-legger
                    (which would have taken my little 1u ticket, which i'd already bumped up to 2.75...and would have blasted it all the way up to 6.5u...no longer a cute little lottery ticket...so i said fukk the symmetry, and left Marion unattached,lol)

                    see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossar..._UK_bookmakers

                    section 5 deals with these sorts of enhanced round-robins...i've done them a number of times in MLB, and most of the time they're just donations to the book...remembering that, and the intention of my original little 3-fighter/4-leg flier...i left things as they were...

                    IF i had decided differently on that...my account would have MUCH more than doubled...on the other hand, Murphy's Law being the way it is...IF i had escalated it up to a 6.5unit-baby...dogs mighta' done sweet fraak all


                    __________________
                    as it is...it was by far my single biggest sports-betting haul: doubling my roll with a novelty bet...

                    lol
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #430
                      Originally posted by Bava
                      lol
                      Fitguy is laughing too......all the way to the bank...

                      Congrats Fit... Keep it up....
                      Comment
                      • JIBBBY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-10-09
                        • 83686

                        #431
                        Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                        THey can afford it
                        I won't be trying to cash out anytime soon.. A million is alot even for Bovada if all those winners start cashing out all at once... Eeeeeks...
                        Comment
                        • fitguy67
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-13-11
                          • 5082

                          #432
                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                          Fitguy is laughing too......all the way to the bank...

                          Congrats Fit... Keep it up....
                          save your effort Jibs...you can talk to that guy till you're blue in the face...er, till HE's blue in the face...won't do any good...
                          Comment
                          • fitguy67
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-13-11
                            • 5082

                            #433
                            damn...look at Bava's last post...he's kidnapped Vaughany...advanced textual analysis confirms it at the 95% confidence level...no-one else can type that expression in just that way

                            now if anyone cared enough to report the degen buttertooth missing, interpol could act on the intel
                            Comment
                            • bjpenn85
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-17-11
                              • 5059

                              #434
                              There are def a couple of card during the year that you go...oh..fakk, its a dog night.
                              Comment
                              • PaperTrail07
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-29-08
                                • 20423

                                #435
                                Could it happen Again? LMFAO #1) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : C. Zingano (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +605 for Game

                                #2) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

                                #3) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                #4) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

                                #5) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                #6) MMA Fighting
                                Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

                                Risking : 4.00 To Win : 20,987.72 USD
                                Comment
                                • PaperTrail07
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-29-08
                                  • 20423

                                  #436
                                  #1) MMA Fighting
                                  Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

                                  #2) MMA Fighting
                                  Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                  #3) MMA Fighting
                                  Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

                                  #4) MMA Fighting
                                  Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                  #5) MMA Fighting
                                  Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

                                  Risking : 7.00 To Win : 5,203.71 USD
                                  Comment
                                  • PaperTrail07
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 20423

                                    #437
                                    Its really not though....1M...come on....Change to a company like that....casino, poker tables running..."zone" poker bc it didnt come fast enough...come on....they are 100% fine lol...
                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                    I won't be trying to cash out anytime soon.. A million is alot even for Bovada if all those winners start cashing out all at once... Eeeeeks...
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #438
                                      Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                                      #1) MMA Fighting
                                      Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

                                      #2) MMA Fighting
                                      Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                      #3) MMA Fighting
                                      Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

                                      #4) MMA Fighting
                                      Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

                                      #5) MMA Fighting
                                      Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

                                      Risking : 7.00 To Win : 5,203.71 USD
                                      Lightening doesn't strike twice in the same place and this soon apart... Favs are gonna land on this card..
                                      Comment
                                      • PaperTrail07
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-29-08
                                        • 20423

                                        #439
                                        JIBBBY Mythbusters called that out sir!@ http://stormhighway.com/lightning_ne...twice_myth.php anything can happen at any time...
                                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                        Lightening doesn't strike twice in the same place and this soon apart... Favs are gonna land on this card..
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #440
                                          Originally posted by PaperTrail07
                                          JIBBBY Mythbusters called that out sir!@ http://stormhighway.com/lightning_ne...twice_myth.php anything can happen at any time...

                                          What about the law of averages?????
                                          Comment
                                          • PaperTrail07
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-29-08
                                            • 20423

                                            #441
                                            LOL...nice....shit just happens sometimes
                                            Comment
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