UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs. Mir (February 22, 2015)

**JIBBBY** · 02-23-15, 06:38 PM

I've said in the past Sunday nights are the craziest nights of the week to bet I believe.. From years of gambling I find it to be so... Just so happens this card fell on a Sunday night. Hmmmm???????

Just saying..

**Thor4140** · 02-23-15, 07:14 PM

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Dog Day

Posted by Todd on Feb 23, 2015 in Industry News
Last night’s UFC event on Fox Sports 1 created a betting phenomenon not often see in the pugilistic arts these days; a card filled with live underdogs. Normally this spells disaster for UFC bettors accustomed to identifying a few favorites worth parlaying for what they deem to be a +EV investment. However last night one bettor at Bet Online took a very different approach to getting an action fix instead of watching the Oscars; he elected to parlay 8 underdogs while risking $2. Typically a bet of this nature keeps you engaged through one fight, maybe 2, but rarely will it leave you glued to the edge of your seat until the bitter end.

Little did anyone know at the time such a small investment would yield a rather large pay day. When the dust settled on UFC Fight Night 61 in Porto Alegro, Brazil the bettor who shall remain nameless turned his small wager into a $64,616.08 pay day. At least he was smart and hedged a bit of his potential windfall going into the Frank Mir match to close out the evening.
For those reading this story they know my feelings (along with those of other long time bettors) that parlays are a long term losing proposition. Every now and again we’ll h

**PaperTrail07** · 02-23-15, 07:23 PM

gLAd to see someone hit it...

**JIBBBY** · 02-23-15, 07:42 PM

^^^64 grand from 2 bucks.. WOW!!!

For $5 that would have paid $150,000...

That's a score and hit if I ever saw one Thor!!! Hope this lucky guy gets paid from the bookie... That's an adventure in itself when you hit like that online..

I'm still kicking myself today for not trying a small parlay once I got the vibe it was gonna be a dog night.. Errrrr. Even a 5 teamer on the last leg for 5 bucks would have paid big... Not complaining though...

I'm a believer in streaks/trends and those types of parlays.... Gotta stick with it and not give up.. It's the cost of a pizza tip or a lotto ticket when you think about it..

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 02-23-15, 08:42 PM

wow espn front page "UFC costs sportsbook nearly $1M"

Online sportsbook takes hit with UFC upsets

http://espn.go.com/chalk/story/_/id/12369499/online-sportsbook-bovadalv-takes-beating-ufc-fight-night-61

When all was tallied up, Bovada.LV lost nearly $1 million on UFC Fight Night 61 when 10 of 11 underdogs won.

Frank Mir's victory over Antonio Silva in the main event in Porto Alegre, Brazil, on Sunday night marked the 10th win by an underdog, costing Bovada nearly $1 million, according to the sportsbook's manager.

Underdogs went 10-1, and as a result, parlay bets, in which gamblers bet between $1 and $5 on all underdogs, hit big.

According to Bovada sportsbook manager Kevin Bradley, one bettor had a $4 all-underdog parlay that paid $85,000. Another had four $1 parlays that paid $25,000 each.

"We had at least a dozen of these bets that paid out $10,000 or more," Bradley said.

When all was tallied up, Bradley said the loss approached nearly $1 million on the single event.

**PaperTrail07** · 02-23-15, 08:45 PM

WOW insanity...lol

**PaperTrail07** · 02-23-15, 08:49 PM

THey can afford it

**fitguy67** · 02-23-15, 09:13 PM

in addition to the Johnson, Alvey, Martins i originally posted here (and then re-posted last night b4 the Mir fight)
which had just 4 legs = 1 triple + 3-doubles...(this little ditty hitting accounted for 17.3x units)

the morning of the event i decided to add Frank to the mix (after deciding to add him SU, it only seemed right, in the interest of symmetry)...expanding my 7-leg matrix up to 11-legs
=1 quadruple + 4 triples + 6 doubles...

(each leg was just 0.25u...making 2.75u in all)...

when the dust settled my bankroll had a bit more than doubled...meaning that beefing up this little matrix of parlays by one fighter, from 3 to 4 dogs, magnified the haul by a factor of 6...meaning that instead of 17u, a bit more than 100units were netted on the 2.75u risked...

______________

the REALLY funny thing is that later in the day, i decided to follow Sider on his Marion Reneau enthusiasm...and i waffled baknforth the rest of the day, till the card started on whether to scratch my urge to complete the symmetry having all my SU-dogs locked into this fun little round-robin project...

if i did add Reneau to the round-robin mix it would bring my 4-fighter/11-legger to a 5-fighter/26-legger
(which would have taken my little 1u ticket, which i'd already bumped up to 2.75...and would have blasted it all the way up to 6.5u...no longer a cute little lottery ticket...so i said fukk the symmetry, and left Marion unattached,lol)

see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossar..._UK_bookmakers

section 5 deals with these sorts of enhanced round-robins...i've done them a number of times in MLB, and most of the time they're just donations to the book...remembering that, and the intention of my original little 3-fighter/4-leg flier...i left things as they were...

IF i had decided differently on that...my account would have MUCH more than doubled...on the other hand, Murphy's Law being the way it is...IF i had escalated it up to a 6.5unit-baby...dogs mighta' done sweet fraak all

__________________
as it is...it was by far my single biggest sports-betting haul: doubling my roll with a novelty bet...

**Bava** · 02-23-15, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

in addition to the Johnson, Alvey, Martins i originally posted here (and then re-posted last night b4 the Mir fight)
which had just 4 legs = 1 triple + 3-doubles...(this little ditty hitting accounted for 17.3x units)

the morning of the event i decided to add Frank to the mix (after deciding to add him SU, it only seemed right, in the interest of symmetry)...expanding my 7-leg matrix up to 11-legs
=1 quadruple + 4 triples + 6 doubles...

(each leg was just 0.25u...making 2.75u in all)...

when the dust settled my bankroll had a bit more than doubled...meaning that beefing up this little matrix of parlays by one fighter, from 3 to 4 dogs, magnified the haul by a factor of 6...meaning that instead of 17u, a bit more than 100units were netted on the 2.75u risked...

______________

the REALLY funny thing is that later in the day, i decided to follow Sider on his Marion Reneau enthusiasm...and i waffled baknforth the rest of the day, till the card started on whether to scratch my urge to complete the symmetry having all my SU-dogs locked into this fun little round-robin project...

if i did add Reneau to the round-robin mix it would bring my 4-fighter/11-legger to a 5-fighter/26-legger
(which would have taken my little 1u ticket, which i'd already bumped up to 2.75...and would have blasted it all the way up to 6.5u...no longer a cute little lottery ticket...so i said fukk the symmetry, and left Marion unattached,lol)

see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glossar..._UK_bookmakers

section 5 deals with these sorts of enhanced round-robins...i've done them a number of times in MLB, and most of the time they're just donations to the book...remembering that, and the intention of my original little 3-fighter/4-leg flier...i left things as they were...

IF i had decided differently on that...my account would have MUCH more than doubled...on the other hand, Murphy's Law being the way it is...IF i had escalated it up to a 6.5unit-baby...dogs mighta' done sweet fraak all

__________________
as it is...it was by far my single biggest sports-betting haul: doubling my roll with a novelty bet...

lol

**JIBBBY** · 02-23-15, 10:20 PM

Originally posted by Bava

lol

Fitguy is laughing too......all the way to the bank...

Congrats Fit... Keep it up....

**JIBBBY** · 02-23-15, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

THey can afford it

I won't be trying to cash out anytime soon.. A million is alot even for Bovada if all those winners start cashing out all at once... Eeeeeks...

**fitguy67** · 02-23-15, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Fitguy is laughing too......all the way to the bank...

Congrats Fit... Keep it up....

save your effort Jibs...you can talk to that guy till you're blue in the face...er, till HE's blue in the face...won't do any good...

**fitguy67** · 02-23-15, 10:52 PM

damn...look at Bava's last post...he's kidnapped Vaughany...advanced textual analysis confirms it at the 95% confidence level...no-one else can type that expression in just that way

now if anyone cared enough to report the degen buttertooth missing, interpol could act on the intel

**bjpenn85** · 02-23-15, 10:57 PM

There are def a couple of card during the year that you go...oh..fakk, its a dog night.

**PaperTrail07** · 02-24-15, 10:56 AM

Could it happen Again? LMFAO #1) MMA Fighting
Selection : C. Zingano (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +605 for Game

#2) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

#3) MMA Fighting
Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#4) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

#5) MMA Fighting
Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#6) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

Risking : 4.00 To Win : 20,987.72 USD

**PaperTrail07** · 02-24-15, 10:57 AM

#1) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

#2) MMA Fighting
Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#3) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

#4) MMA Fighting
Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#5) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

Risking : 7.00 To Win : 5,203.71 USD

**PaperTrail07** · 02-24-15, 11:26 AM

Its really not though....1M...come on....Change to a company like that....casino, poker tables running..."zone" poker bc it didnt come fast enough...come on....they are 100% fine lol...

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I won't be trying to cash out anytime soon.. A million is alot even for Bovada if all those winners start cashing out all at once... Eeeeeks...

**JIBBBY** · 02-24-15, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

#1) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Pennington (w) 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +565 for Game

#2) MMA Fighting
Selection : J. Koscheck 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#3) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Walsh 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +315 for Game

#4) MMA Fighting
Selection : G. Tibau 2/28/2015 7:00PM - (PST) Money Line +170 for Game

#5) MMA Fighting
Selection : R. Salazar 2/28/2015 5:00PM - (PST) Money Line +270 for Game

Risking : 7.00 To Win : 5,203.71 USD

Lightening doesn't strike twice in the same place and this soon apart... Favs are gonna land on this card..

**PaperTrail07** · 02-24-15, 02:20 PM

JIBBBY Mythbusters called that out sir!@ http://stormhighway.com/lightning_ne...twice_myth.php anything can happen at any time...

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Lightening doesn't strike twice in the same place and this soon apart... Favs are gonna land on this card..

**JIBBBY** · 02-24-15, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by PaperTrail07

JIBBBY Mythbusters called that out sir!@ http://stormhighway.com/lightning_ne...twice_myth.php anything can happen at any time...

What about the law of averages?????

**PaperTrail07** · 02-24-15, 05:55 PM

LOL...nice....shit just happens sometimes