UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs. Mir (February 22, 2015)

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  • lovetobet
    SBR MVP
    • 10-06-08
    • 1294

    #316
    And I got scared and took it down to a 1/2 unit because he wasn't a Brazilian, that was dumb, shouldn't have screwed with the power of the dog. Awesome night no matter what now
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30054

      #317
      Barboza and Silva lines dropping because of this.
      seems stupid if you ask me.
      Comment
      • Kermit
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-27-10
        • 32555

        #318
        Alvey is a Legit striker. I don't know why he was such a big dog in the first place. He should have been the dog, but not that much of one.
        Comment
        • PaperTrail07
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-29-08
          • 20423

          #319
          I don't have a clue either lol....smiling sam lol wow
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83686

            #320
            Originally posted by richie360
            This is why the UFC is so profitable!! Books ain't got a clue!!
            Either do we MMA gamblers on a night like this so far.. LOl..


            Next dog up =

            Pending2/22/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1102 Michael Johnson +135* <small>vs</small> Edson Barboza
            Comment
            • Ghenghis Kahn
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 19734

              #321
              jesus ginger stop sucking up.
              Comment
              • lovetobet
                SBR MVP
                • 10-06-08
                • 1294

                #322
                Does Barboza break it?
                Comment
                • chasetin9
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 01-31-15
                  • 84

                  #323
                  He wants to fight Dan Kelly? hahahahahahaha
                  Comment
                  • fitguy67
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-13-11
                    • 5082

                    #324
                    Originally posted by fitguy67
                    once in a lifetym er decade (got a bit carried away) dog-rich variance-storm...similar to hitting 6 er make that 5...blackjacks in a row
                    i was about to edit this for the benefit of the petty "hyperbole police"...but with Alvey's K'ing TFO of Ferreira...i say fukkitt...

                    good luk waiting for another card with a similar percentage of dogs...throw in the magnitude's of these dogs that are winning (these are, by and large, not modest -175 dogs...most were well over +200, and one was monstrous)...and this night is to improbably dog-rich results what Pele is to soccer, what Gordie Howe is to hockey...
                    in other words you'll be telling your degen grandkids about this night
                    Last edited by fitguy67; 02-23-15, 04:54 AM.
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                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #325
                      Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                      jesus ginger stop sucking up.
                      Does he have a soul is the question? lol

                      Sam is on a roll now. Ko smiling machine. lol again.....
                      Comment
                      • richie360
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-30-11
                        • 680

                        #326
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        Either do we MMA gamblers on a night like this so far.. LOl..


                        Next dog up =

                        Pending2/22/15 10:00pm UFC Fighting 1102 Michael Johnson +135* <small>vs</small> Edson Barboza
                        I've only had 3 bets so far and nothing to write home about, slightly up. But there is no other sport today that the books would be so off on!
                        Comment
                        • lovetobet
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-06-08
                          • 1294

                          #327
                          So if you haven't wagered on the Johnson/Edson fight yet who do you play now that everyone is piling on Johnson and I can get Edson at -130? I know the dogs have been winning but I am feeling like I need to go the other way with Edson here, what do you guys think?
                          Comment
                          • PaperTrail07
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-29-08
                            • 20423

                            #328
                            Been 100% wrong about it all going EB to get even lol...
                            Originally posted by lovetobet
                            So if you haven't wagered on the Johnson/Edson fight yet who do you play now that everyone is piling on Johnson and I can get Edson at -130? I know the dogs have been winning but I am feeling like I need to go the other way with Edson here, what do you guys think?
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83686

                              #329
                              Originally posted by lovetobet
                              So if you haven't wagered on the Johnson/Edson fight yet who do you play now that everyone is piling on Johnson and I can get Edson at -130? I know the dogs have been winning but I am feeling like I need to go the other way with Edson here, what do you guys think?
                              Current odds 5dimes.. RUFF RUFF......

                              <small>UFC Fight Night 61 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Gunasio Gigantinho - Porto Alegre, Brazil - FS1</small>
                              Sun 2/22 1101 Edson Barboza <input id="radiox" value="M1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">-140 <input id="radiox" value="L1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">o2½ -110
                              10:00PM 1102 Michael Johnson <input id="radiox" value="M2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">+120 <input id="radiox" value="L2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">u2½ -110
                              Comment
                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 19734

                                #330
                                anyone hit any parlays tonight?
                                Comment
                                • lovetobet
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-06-08
                                  • 1294

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by Kermit
                                  I think Sam Alvey is a legit dog in this fight tonight. +300 is way too much to pass up on IMO.
                                  Nice Call, before the dog avalanche started tonight!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • PaperTrail07
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-29-08
                                    • 20423

                                    #332
                                    Let me hit one JIBBBY lol....come on EB..
                                    Comment
                                    • JIBBBY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-10-09
                                      • 83686

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by richie360
                                      I've only had 3 bets so far and nothing to write home about, slightly up. But there is no other sport today that the books would be so off on!
                                      Doing better then I my friend.. I'll be ok if Mir wins..
                                      Comment
                                      • PaperTrail07
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-29-08
                                        • 20423

                                        #334
                                        Agree-Very nice call Kermit....I thought he was out of his league
                                        Comment
                                        • Sykes
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 06-23-12
                                          • 2714

                                          #335
                                          Bet Johnson itd a few days ago, wishing I just put a lil on every dog now.
                                          Comment
                                          • Karmaphobia
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 06-24-14
                                            • 115

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by lovetobet
                                            So if you haven't wagered on the Johnson/Edson fight yet who do you play now that everyone is piling on Johnson and I can get Edson at -130? I know the dogs have been winning but I am feeling like I need to go the other way with Edson here, what do you guys think?
                                            Barboza at -130 is great value
                                            Comment
                                            • lovetobet
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-06-08
                                              • 1294

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                              Current odds 5dimes.. RUFF RUFF......

                                              <small>UFC Fight Night 61 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Gunasio Gigantinho - Porto Alegre, Brazil - FS1</small>
                                              Sun 2/22 1101 Edson Barboza <input id="radiox" value="M1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">-140 <input id="radiox" value="L1_1" name="radiox" type="radio">o2½ -110
                                              10:00PM 1102 Michael Johnson <input id="radiox" value="M2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">+120 <input id="radiox" value="L2_1" name="radiox" type="radio">u2½ -110
                                              Reduced odds were -130 at 5D
                                              Comment
                                              • chasetin9
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 01-31-15
                                                • 84

                                                #338
                                                Johnson got chicken legs
                                                Comment
                                                • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 19734

                                                  #339
                                                  both swinging for the fences. holy shit.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-11-11
                                                    • 29268

                                                    #340
                                                    based on Bookmaker's closing odds, had you parlayed the last 8 dogs, $1 would've paid $46,721.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PaperTrail07
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-29-08
                                                      • 20423

                                                      #341
                                                      holy shit lol....I was wondering that...
                                                      Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                      based on Bookmaker's closing odds, had you parlayed the last 8 dogs, $1 would've paid $46,721.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fitguy67
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                        • 5082

                                                        #342
                                                        here's the crux...Johnson, the dog widely seen pre-card as the most likely to "surprise"...is coming up...

                                                        but with six (seven, I lost count) moderately/heavily-fave-weighted coins all coming up on the unlikely (and hi-payout) "dog" side in succession...hmmm

                                                        ___________________

                                                        when this card is over...google "bayesian" probability to see why the lines on these last two fights are being affected...
                                                        Last edited by fitguy67; 02-22-15, 10:22 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #343
                                                          Johnson is pressing and swinging!!! Good fight
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lovetobet
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-06-08
                                                            • 1294

                                                            #344
                                                            Now I can get Edson as the dog +135, maybe now I should play him
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lovetobet
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-06-08
                                                              • 1294

                                                              #345
                                                              Originally posted by lovetobet
                                                              Now I can get Edson as the dog +135, maybe now I should play him
                                                              +150
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83686

                                                                #346
                                                                I got MJ up 2 rounds so far.. Never know with those judges in Brazil though if it goes the distance..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PaperTrail07
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                                  • 20423

                                                                  #347
                                                                  somewhat clear 2-0 though
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lovetobet
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-06-08
                                                                    • 1294

                                                                    #348
                                                                    And now between 2nd round +240
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fitguy67
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-13-11
                                                                      • 5082

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                                                                      based on Bookmaker's closing odds, had you parlayed the last 8 dogs, $1 would've paid $46,721.
                                                                      I'm sure, modern-era...you'd never find another 8-fight stretch even ballpark close to this...it's not just the number of dogs in succession...it's the size of these dogs that makes this night truly EXTRA-special (and runs that $ number through the roof)

                                                                      ______________________

                                                                      the corresponding $-value of even the biggest winning 8 dogs (even if they not be consecutive) of that previous dog-rich card of several months back would be large, of course, but not as mind-numbingly so as tonight's night of the large lightning bolts striking again and again and again
                                                                      Last edited by fitguy67; 02-23-15, 04:56 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PaperTrail07
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-29-08
                                                                        • 20423

                                                                        #350
                                                                        not so special when im losing lol
                                                                        Comment
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