UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Saint Preux (August 16, 2014)

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  • Jim_Gunn
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-20-13
    • 542

    #351
    My pre-fight bets. Hopefully will be some good live betting opportunities as well.

    UFN 47 Risk $657.50

    Ryan Bader (-160) vs Ovince St. Preux $160.00 for $100.00
    Ross Pearson (-120) vs Gray Maynard $120.00 for $100.00
    Pearson wins in round 1 (+475) $10.00 for $47.50
    Pearson/Maynard Over 2½ (-120) $60.00 for $50.00
    Maynard wins by 3 round decision (+327) $37.50 for $122.63
    Boetsch wins in round 3 (+2700) $5.00 for $135.00
    Alan Jouban (+120) vs Seth Baczynski $25.00 for $30.00
    Jouban wins by 3 round decision (+316) $10.00 for $31.60
    Jack May (+170) vs Shawn Jordan $30.00 for $51.00
    Thiago Tavares wins by 3 round decision (+310) $10.00 for $31.00

    Jussier Formiga +3½ points (+140) vs Zach Makovsky $25.00 for $35.00
    Formiga wins by submission (+625) $10.00 $62.50
    Lauren Murphy (+420) vs Sara McMann $25.00 for $105.00
    Lauren Murphy +3½ points (+115) vs Sara McMann $40.00 for $46.00
    Murphy wins by 3 round decision (+690) $10.00 for $69.00
    Nolan Ticman (+135) vs Frankie Saenz $25.00 for $33.75
    Ticman wins inside distance (+413) $5.00 for $20.65

    Watson/Alvey FOTN award winner (+650) $5.00 for $32.50

    Parlay:
    Murphy/McMann Over 2½ (-245) + Watson/Alvey Over 2½ (-210) $45.00 for $48.54
    Comment
    • JIBBBY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-10-09
      • 83686

      #352
      ^^ Nice Jim, I'm with ya on a bunch of your prop plays!! Good luck man!!!

      OK enough fun and games on this thread.. IT'S GAME TIME!!!! Fox sports 2 has the prelims going on in 20 minutes!!! Pre fight hype on now..

      I miss this shiitt.. LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!!!
      Comment
      • FightFightFight
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-21-11
        • 594

        #353
        Originally posted by ronald s.
        sometimes make these type of calculations on sftc when combining odds from different markets and this type of thing still gets me. In your earlier example +225 feels like a pretty big dog so intuitively, it doesn't feel like it should increase the odds as much when "combined" with the -175 but the math doesn't lie. (175/275 + 100/325 = 1687.5/1787.5)
        sftc?
        Comment
        • THE_LOCKSMITH
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-25-08
          • 7237

          #354
          thread got to 11 pages before the event even started, man you guys are jonesing for a UFC fix
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83686

            #355
            Josh Kos is lost on the panel.. LOL.. Nervous, stuttering, and having a hard time even reading his prompters.. He's got a job though and I honestly don't know how he got it?.. Needed a pure wrestler on the panel I guess.
            Comment
            • marzwoody
              SBR MVP
              • 01-03-14
              • 3902

              #356
              ^ its coz the UFC are derps... theres literally a hundred better choices then kos.
              Comment
              • Jim_Gunn
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-20-13
                • 542

                #357
                Originally posted by marzwoody
                ^ its coz the UFC are derps... theres literally a hundred better choices then kos.
                They use different people all of the time in those slots. Helps keep it from being the same faces every event and I guess throws guys like Kos and Chris Lytle a few extra bucks.
                Comment
                • Dwil125
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-08-12
                  • 2048

                  #358
                  Fox sports 2 I guess im streaming until its on fs1
                  Comment
                  • JIBBBY
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-10-09
                    • 83686

                    #359
                    Let's go Frankie Saenz.....
                    Comment
                    • Sacrelicious
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-29-12
                      • 5984

                      #360
                      Ticman has this one, he just needs to use his kicks.
                      Comment
                      • latarianmilton
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-23-13
                        • 342

                        #361
                        Originally posted by JIBBBY
                        Josh Kos is lost on the panel.. LOL.. Nervous, stuttering, and having a hard time even reading his prompters.. He's got a job though and I honestly don't know how he got it?.. Needed a pure wrestler on the panel I guess.
                        that sucks, i guess he jot the job for being a known trash talker. the same as tito, good at dissing other people, but bad at actually trying to say some rational things
                        Comment
                        • Jim_Gunn
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-20-13
                          • 542

                          #362
                          I'm on Ticman & Ticman ITD.
                          Comment
                          • latarianmilton
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-23-13
                            • 342

                            #363
                            i decided to put 300 on pearson instead of bader as i originally planned, if pearson loses and bader wins im gonna be so mad
                            Comment
                            • Sacrelicious
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-29-12
                              • 5984

                              #364
                              Ticman needs to start using his kicks more, his corner is giving him terrible advice here.
                              Comment
                              • JIBBBY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-10-09
                                • 83686

                                #365
                                Saenz dominating thru 2.. Might finish him off in this 3rd.. Hoping for a decision win!!!
                                Comment
                                • mirinquads
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-22-13
                                  • 3927

                                  #366
                                  Is live betting usually only for the main card, or the prelims as well? Nothing up on bookmaker so far - but i guess theres nothing for the FP prelims?
                                  Comment
                                  • marzwoody
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-03-14
                                    • 3902

                                    #367
                                    THE penetrate IS THIS RETARDED CRICKET STILL ON MY TV???? BT SPORTS
                                    Comment
                                    • Jim_Gunn
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-20-13
                                      • 542

                                      #368
                                      Originally posted by mirinquads
                                      Is live betting usually only for the main card, or the prelims as well? Nothing up on bookmaker so far - but i guess theres nothing for the FP prelims?
                                      Bookmaker live betting has been up right now and most of this fight. And 5Dimes as well between rounds. They don't always have odds for the prelims though.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dwil125
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-08-12
                                        • 2048

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by Jim_Gunn
                                        Bookmaker live betting has been up right now and most of this fight. And 5Dimes as well between rounds. They don't always have odds for the prelims though.
                                        5D is up for these prelims? I thought it was only main card
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #370
                                          Nice win Frankie!!!.. Hit my first fight and prop bet of the night... Damn, I miss these UFC events!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • mirinquads
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-22-13
                                            • 3927

                                            #371
                                            Originally posted by Jim_Gunn
                                            Bookmaker live betting has been up right now and most of this fight. And 5Dimes as well between rounds. They don't always have odds for the prelims though.
                                            Oh shit youre right
                                            Comment
                                            • Kermit
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 09-27-10
                                              • 32555

                                              #372
                                              WTF is wrong with Kenny Florian's hair?
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83686

                                                #373
                                                Live betting... Damn, I need to hit that.... Next event...

                                                Sam Alvey small in this one....
                                                Comment
                                                • Sacrelicious
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-29-12
                                                  • 5984

                                                  #374
                                                  Watson should win here, Alvey is the better fighter in many ways but his strategic kicking game is pretty much non existant.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83686

                                                    #375
                                                    Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                    Watson should win here, Alvey is the better fighter in many ways but his strategic kicking game is pretty much non existant.
                                                    The wrestling advantage for Watson makes me nervous... If this stays standing Alvey should win though.. He's a bruiser...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sacrelicious
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-29-12
                                                      • 5984

                                                      #376
                                                      Watson really kicking the hell out of alvey here.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • marzwoody
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-03-14
                                                        • 3902

                                                        #377
                                                        Where the penetrate are the fights???? still cricket on BT SPORTS!!! UK PEOPLE WHERE YOU AT????
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83686

                                                          #378
                                                          UFC jitters or something.. Alvey is looking like crap.. He's not even throwing like he normally does.. He better pick it up..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Karmaphobia
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-24-14
                                                            • 115

                                                            #379
                                                            It's odd when the Brit isn't the whitest guy in the cage...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Dwil125
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-08-12
                                                              • 2048

                                                              #380
                                                              parlayed watson live -300 with jordan -184 after r1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-30-08
                                                                • 81450

                                                                #381
                                                                Alvey is just a punching bag.

                                                                Or a kicking bag.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dwil125
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-08-12
                                                                  • 2048

                                                                  #382
                                                                  It looks like hes just sitting back and trying to counter with one hard shot but its not working at all lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jim_Gunn
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-20-13
                                                                    • 542

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by Dwil125
                                                                    parlayed watson live -300 with jordan -184 after r1
                                                                    Had no idea there was a book that allowed you to parlay a live bet!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • richie360
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-30-11
                                                                      • 680

                                                                      #384
                                                                      BT Sport sort it out!! Cricket, really!!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dwil125
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-08-12
                                                                        • 2048

                                                                        #385
                                                                        hopefully that gassed alvey out
                                                                        Comment
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