UFC 175: Weidman vs. Machida (July 05, 2014)

[forthewin]

In the fight game anything can happen but with Machida refreshed dropping down in weight and having two impressive victories since that time, along with his obviously improved conditioning, I see him winning this fight. His kicks, rapid punches, footwork, speed, takedown defense and awkwardness look to be too much for Weidman. Look on their records aside from a diminished Silva, who has Weidman really fought in comparison to Machida? Another important point to factor in is, Weidman had double Antrhoscopic surgery on both knees in April. It's hard to see him being fully recovered in only three month to be fighting a mobile kicking machine of Machida's caliber.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Picks:

Weidman
Rousey
Struve
Hall
Brimage
Faber
Alcantara
Camozzi
Font
Vasconceios
Casey


Plays:
16 units Weidman/Wittaker/Korobov/Murray/Alexander/Guerrero parlay
02 units Weidman/Faber/Hall/Rousey parlay
27 units Faber/Rousey parlay
09 units Struve/Faber/Rousey parlay
16 units Gaethje/Faber/Rousey parlay
15 units Gaethje/Fitch/Faber/Rousey/Scoggins
03 units Gaethje/Fitch/Faber/Rousey/Scoggins/Drysdale/Dufresne/Martins/Edgar
03 units Camozzi O 2.5/Faber/Rousey/Edgar

And some smaller unit parlays with Brimage, Hall & Camozzi.

Good Luck All!!!!!

[mmaed]

RP, is your bankroll 100 units? Just asking.

[rocky16]

RuPaul brah I like the plays. You gonna purchase a rug to cover that bald dome of yours with those winnings? Post a pic pal.

[Vaughany]

Lol

[Ron_Paul_2012]

RP, is your bankroll 100 units? Just asking.

Yes. I am all in. I have only done this half a dozen times. My biggest play is the Weidman parlay. Weidman is the last leg. If Weidman wins my parlay is for 16 units @ +2.6 (+2.6.41 to be exact).

[Das Jax]

RP... bro... what are you thinking. You're way too over-exposed on those chalky parlays and the value of the great Weidman line is lost entirely if any of those other legs fall apart. I know you've been taking a beating lately and likely want to get it back, but that list of bets looks like they were made by a man on tilt who's about to find himself even deeper in the hole.

[Vaughany]

RP... bro... what are you thinking. You're way too over-exposed on those chalky parlays and the value of the great Weidman line is lost entirely if any of those other legs fall apart. I know you've been taking a beating lately and likely want to get it back, but that list of bets looks like they were made by a man on tilt who's about to find himself even deeper in the hole.

Until we run out of air on this planet he'll never been "too over-exposed"

[JIBBBY]

My bets are all smaller on this card.. 2 or 3 units I think are my largest bets.. I'm playing mostly all the dogs though so those small bets are to be expected.. My bookie balances are getting high now as well..

I'm playing this card a little more conservative compared to the last 2 cards.

A parlay with 16 units on the line is very aggressive unless your overall payroll and bank balance is low.. Good luck with that play anyways Ronster....

[Ron_Paul_2012]

RP... bro... what are you thinking. You're way too over-exposed on those chalky parlays and the value of the great Weidman line is lost entirely if any of those other legs fall apart. I know you've been taking a beating lately and likely want to get it back, but that list of bets looks like they were made by a man on tilt who's about to find himself even deeper in the hole.

You need to work on your reading comprehension. Weidman is the last leg in the big parlay.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Anyone currently watching WSOF. Another Gracie is about to get his but kicked.

[Jim_Gunn]

Anyone currently watching WSOF. Another Gracie is about to get his but kicked.

Yep, this Gracie is in trouble.

[PunisherIND]

My good luck and powers counters both Sackos and Bidgay....no need to worry fellaz

[Jim_Gunn]

Gracie pulls it out. Nice comeback.

[mirinquads]

My bets are all smaller on this card.. 2 or 3 units I think are my largest bets.. I'm playing mostly all the dogs though so those small bets are to be expected.. My bookie balances are getting high now as well..

I'm playing this card a little more conservative compared to the last 2 cards.

A parlay with 16 units on the line is very aggressive unless your overall payroll and bank balance is low.. Good luck with that play anyways Ronster....

Wut?

[JIBBBY]

Wut?

When online account bookie balances are low, 16 percent of almost nothing is no biggy..

[MD]

Liking these props:

Casey fastest sub +2500
Caceres fastest KO +2550 (+2300 now)
Davis by sub +1675 (+1453 now)
Santos wins by decision +660 (+575 now)

Still value on all of those.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Liking these props:

Casey fastest sub +2500
Caceres fastest KO +2550 (+2300 now)
Davis by sub +1675 (+1453 now)
Santos wins by decision +660 (+575 now)

Still value on all of those.

By Caceres fastest KO do you mean he get's KO'd the fastest on the card?

[Das Jax]

Liking these props:

Casey fastest sub +2500
Caceres fastest KO +2550 (+2300 now)
Davis by sub +1675 (+1453 now)
Santos wins by decision +660 (+575 now)

Still value on all of those.

I like the Davis and Santos props, but the "fastest" props never appeal to me because it's essentially a three leg parlay. First, they have to win, 2nd they have to win in the specified manner, and 3rd they have to do it faster than anyone else on the card. It's lucrative if it hits, but the odds are just too long.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I like the Davis and Santos props, but the "fastest" props never appeal to me because it's essentially a three leg parlay. First, they have to win, 2nd they have to win in the specified manner, and 3rd they have to do it faster than anyone else on the card. It's lucrative if it hits, but the odds are just too long.

Tremendous value in Casey fastest sub @ +2500.

[Das Jax]

Not Rousey by Sub +174

[Beelzebubzy]

Zingano said she would accept at 176

[MD]

Tremendous value in Casey fastest sub @ +2500.

That's exactly what I thought.

That's one of the best props on the card; personally 'capped it around +700ish.

[Educ8d Degener8]

Liking these props:

Casey fastest sub +2500
Caceres fastest KO +2550 (+2300 now)
Davis by sub +1675 (+1453 now)
Santos wins by decision +660 (+575 now)

Still value on all of those.

MD, ill buy u lunch if caceres wins fastest KO...

[mirinquads]

What is this kicking off? Hit Casey and Alcantara fastest sub

[KalouKalou]

Liking these props:

Casey fastest sub +2500
Caceres fastest KO +2550 (+2300 now)
Davis by sub +1675 (+1453 now)
Santos wins by decision +660 (+575 now)

Still value on all of those.

Thanks MD, I will tail as usual. Who do you like for tonight?

[Ron_Paul_2012]

That's exactly what I thought.

That's one of the best props on the card; personally 'capped it around +700ish.

...

[JIBBBY]

Alot of micro prop bets I'm playing today..

Looking at props now - Rousey by decision +645 and also Davis wins by decision + 1850 probably aren't bad prop bets either.. Both are tough girls that are very hard to stop and or finish...

[MD]

Thanks MD, I will tail as usual. Who do you like for tonight?

Alcantara, Weidman. Especially Weidman.

[marzwoody]

Yes. I am all in. I have only done this half a dozen times. My biggest play is the Weidman parlay. Weidman is the last leg. If Weidman wins my parlay is for 16 units @ +2.6 (+2.6.41 to be exact).

Dayyyyyym son. i legit wish you all the best. mainly because im on weidman aswell.

[JIBBBY]

Ok that was just enough time in between bouts to get some grub! LET'S GET READY TO RUMBLE!!!!!!

Being such a couch potato today... Eeeeeks...

[shabang]

gL all..

[spurginobili]

Bush/Casey under 1.5

[JIBBBY]

Small on this guy Bubba Bush in this first one...

[bruins35]

chris weidman is the man but why is the line so low? he should be like -400