UFC on FOX 9: Johnson Vs Benavidez 2 (December 14, 2013)

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  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #106
    Originally posted by Sato
    Whos betting who? wheres the juice...tired to look into it need ya guys.

    V?! MD!? Dinosaur Ron!?
    I maxi bet Chad cuz. Got him in like 53.7 parlays which has made them all plus odds. #ChadTzonga
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #107
      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
      Ok thanks nunya as always

      I am riding it out then. Def think he wins 80% of the time
      easily. 93.576% I have it
      Comment
      • Beelzebubzy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-06-11
        • 6995

        #108
        My ead is go ng crazee
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #109
          2 remarks from this:

          a) Did Lentz seriously say "It's gonna be a cake-walk"!!!!!!?????????????
          b) Lentz sounds like Casey Affleck at 50 second mark!!!

          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #110
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #111
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #112




                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #113




                  Comment
                  • PunisherIND
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-24-11
                    • 4979

                    #114
                    Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                    Doesn't sacko generally tail MD for most of his plays?
                    lol mostly.
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #115
                      Comment
                      • NunyaBidness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-26-09
                        • 9345

                        #116
                        Originally posted by PunisherIND
                        lol mostly.
                        I'm pretty certain they're the same person.
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #117
                          haha so MD is an Irishman, a homosexual body builder from England, and a fat Gourmet chef from Montreal!
                          Comment
                          • NunyaBidness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-26-09
                            • 9345

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                            haha so MD is an Irishman, a homosexual body builder from England, and a fat Gourmet chef from Montreal!
                            Yep. Everyone has a double here. Yours is Mirinquads.
                            Comment
                            • Vaughany
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 45563

                              #119
                              Haha i thought mine was Gaberz
                              Comment
                              • Beelzebubzy
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-06-11
                                • 6995

                                #120
                                Gabe is Nunya
                                Comment
                                • Jim_Gunn
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-20-13
                                  • 542

                                  #121
                                  UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

                                  $270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
                                  $140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
                                  $120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
                                  $115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
                                  $145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


                                  $25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

                                  $25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

                                  $25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

                                  $25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


                                  $20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

                                  $20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                  $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                  $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*
                                  Comment
                                  • wagerjunkie
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-24-13
                                    • 4105

                                    #122
                                    all over MayDay.

                                    he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

                                    plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.
                                    Comment
                                    • gabe
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 7405

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by Jim_Gunn
                                      UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

                                      $270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
                                      $140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
                                      $120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
                                      $115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
                                      $145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


                                      $25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

                                      $25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

                                      $25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

                                      $25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


                                      $20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

                                      $20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                      $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                      $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*
                                      I'm guessing you're either going to be +$120 or -$120. Give or take.
                                      Comment
                                      • Jim_Gunn
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-20-13
                                        • 542

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by gabe
                                        I'm guessing you're either going to be +$120 or -$120. Give or take.
                                        For the whole night? That's not a bad guess, although a much bigger upside is possible if all of the main card fights and props come through. The last three events which was when I started wagering I was within those parameters + or - on all three.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                                          all over MayDay.

                                          he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

                                          plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.
                                          Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

                                          Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!
                                          Comment
                                          • MD
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-31-12
                                            • 9728

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                            I'm pretty certain they're the same person.
                                            I'm way better than Sac, don't insult me mang (sorry Sac ).

                                            Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                            Yep. Everyone has a double here. Yours is Mirinquads.
                                            Yours is MD.

                                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                                            Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

                                            Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!
                                            You're doing it wrong. Pick a position -> contort the facts to fit that position. Hasn't Kushmoney taught you anything? I swear, after you guys learned you could live bet Facebook fights you just stopped listening to him, as if that was the only insightful thing he had to say.
                                            Last edited by MD; 12-14-13, 04:21 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • rosietop
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-08-13
                                              • 200

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                              Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

                                              Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!
                                              You were the one who concluded that GSP would not retire because Firas said so on the Primetime series, so dont give him shit Vaughany
                                              Comment
                                              • Thor4140
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-09-08
                                                • 22296

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by wagerjunkie
                                                all over MayDay.

                                                he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

                                                plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.
                                                im not knocking ur play but ur reasons are borderline ridiculous. Faber has been a beast his last few fights and i don't care for the guy that much to even give someone that kind of credit. This is a great fight and i think if Faber uses a solid gameplan he wins this. He gets into a slugging match it could be lights out. Faber has been in there with some huge hitters and i haven't seen him knocked out yet.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vaughany
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                  • 45563

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by rosietop
                                                  You were the one who concluded that GSP would not retire because Firas said so on the Primetime series, so dont give him shit Vaughany
                                                  Hmm no, i believe i was responding to somebody tht said people in his camp saying tht gsp is going to retire. I responded by pointing put tht his Head Coach had in fact said the exact opposite! he said it, it wouldnt matter if it was on primetime, or an interview with helwani.... The point is that it was fact because he said it, they didnt edit it to make it look like he said it. faber didnt stand there and say "im more interested in developing my construction business with my dad so fighting is really my focus anymore"! There was simply a 2 minute scene where he went to look around a house he's rebuilding with his dad!! Bit dfferent
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by Thor4140
                                                    im not knocking ur play but ur reasons are borderline ridiculous. Faber has been a beast his last few fights and i don't care for the guy that much to even give someone that kind of credit. This is a great fight and i think if Faber uses a solid gameplan he wins this. He gets into a slugging match it could be lights out. Faber has been in there with some huge hitters and i haven't seen him knocked out yet.
                                                    Mike brown did it so dont see why macdonald cant!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wagerjunkie
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-24-13
                                                      • 4105

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                      Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

                                                      Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!
                                                      lol! not gonna lie! its the only play i have on the card. I'm not really an MMA "cappper". i tail you guys. but ya that is just my gut feeling.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Ron_Paul_2012
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-31-13
                                                        • 3953

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                        Mike brown did it so dont see why macdonald cant!
                                                        At the time Brown's wrestling was much better than McDonald's is now. Relatively speaking.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • capone1899
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-16-11
                                                          • 1054

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by Jim_Gunn
                                                          UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

                                                          $270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
                                                          $140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
                                                          $120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
                                                          $115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
                                                          $145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


                                                          $25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

                                                          $25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

                                                          $25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

                                                          $25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


                                                          $20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

                                                          $20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                                          $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

                                                          $20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*
                                                          You think you have enough bets? You're going to lose your ass with all those stupid parlays
                                                          Comment
                                                          • NunyaBidness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 07-26-09
                                                            • 9345

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by capone1899
                                                            You think you have enough bets? You're going to lose your ass with all those stupid parlays
                                                            This is dumb.

                                                            If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

                                                            Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • capone1899
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-16-11
                                                              • 1054

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                              This is dumb.

                                                              If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

                                                              Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.
                                                              Parlaying all the favorites on the card isn't +EV, its being a novice donk
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ron_Paul_2012
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-31-13
                                                                • 3953

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by capone1899
                                                                Parlaying all the favorites on the card isn't +EV, its being a novice donk
                                                                Way to bring the hate & not much else.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • NunyaBidness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-26-09
                                                                  • 9345

                                                                  #137
                                                                  What if the favorites are undervalued?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rubber Guard
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-22-11
                                                                    • 1550

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Mike Macdonald hasn't even beat much competition yet. He slapped a triangle on Pickett, who is going to flyweight. Other than that does he even have any good wins? None that I remember. I realize he is 22 and talented, but he isn't there yet. Not as much as people think.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wagerjunkie
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-24-13
                                                                      • 4105

                                                                      #139
                                                                      from the looks of things Cody McKenzie has the chance to start the night off burying ALOT of people, including myself.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jim_Gunn
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-20-13
                                                                        • 542

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by NunyaBidness
                                                                        This is dumb.

                                                                        If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

                                                                        Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.
                                                                        Wow, and I thought I had a lot of wagers! Thanks for the comments. I'm a long time fan who just started wagering on MMA and I'm up more than 1.2 units cumulatively on the last three events. I haven't won nor lost a lot on any particular event so far. So I'm not too nervous about "losing my ass" today as that one poster said. I don't always bet on favorites either. But in this case, these are how I see the fights and I think the odds are reasonable. I'm also going to live bet tonight to hedge if necessary against losing if there are any strong underdog performances. We'll know how that works out in several hours!
                                                                        Comment
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