UFC on FOX 9: Johnson Vs Benavidez 2 (December 14, 2013)

[Vaughany]

Whos betting who? wheres the juice...tired to look into it need ya guys.

V?! MD!? Dinosaur Ron!?

I maxi bet Chad cuz. Got him in like 53.7 parlays which has made them all plus odds. #ChadTzonga

[Vaughany]

Ok thanks nunya as always

I am riding it out then. Def think he wins 80% of the time

easily. 93.576% I have it

[Beelzebubzy]

My ead is go ng crazee

[Vaughany]

2 remarks from this:

a) Did Lentz seriously say "It's gonna be a cake-walk"!!!!!!?????????????
b) Lentz sounds like Casey Affleck at 50 second mark!!!

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

[Vaughany]

[PunisherIND]

Doesn't sacko generally tail MD for most of his plays?

lol mostly.

[Vaughany]

[NunyaBidness]

lol mostly.

I'm pretty certain they're the same person.

[Vaughany]

haha so MD is an Irishman, a homosexual body builder from England, and a fat Gourmet chef from Montreal!

[NunyaBidness]

haha so MD is an Irishman, a homosexual body builder from England, and a fat Gourmet chef from Montreal!

Yep. Everyone has a double here. Yours is Mirinquads.

[Vaughany]

Haha i thought mine was Gaberz

[Beelzebubzy]

Gabe is Nunya

[Jim_Gunn]

UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

$270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
$140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
$120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
$115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
$145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


$25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

$25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

$25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

$25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


$20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

$20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

[wagerjunkie]

all over MayDay.

he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.

[gabe]

UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

$270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
$140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
$120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
$115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
$145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


$25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

$25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

$25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

$25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


$20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

$20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

I'm guessing you're either going to be +$120 or -$120. Give or take.

[Jim_Gunn]

I'm guessing you're either going to be +$120 or -$120. Give or take.

For the whole night? That's not a bad guess, although a much bigger upside is possible if all of the main card fights and props come through. The last three events which was when I started wagering I was within those parameters + or - on all three.

[Vaughany]

all over MayDay.

he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.

Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!

[MD]

I'm pretty certain they're the same person.

I'm way better than Sac, don't insult me mang (sorry Sac ).

Yep. Everyone has a double here. Yours is Mirinquads.

Yours is MD.

Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!

You're doing it wrong. Pick a position -> contort the facts to fit that position. Hasn't Kushmoney taught you anything? I swear, after you guys learned you could live bet Facebook fights you just stopped listening to him, as if that was the only insightful thing he had to say.

[rosietop]

Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!

You were the one who concluded that GSP would not retire because Firas said so on the Primetime series, so dont give him shit Vaughany

[Thor4140]

all over MayDay.

he just seems way more focused and to want this way more and I think he presents huge match up issues for Urijah.

plus Urijah is more concerned about his outside life and just getting paid so he can run construction business with his father. his head isn't in the game.

im not knocking ur play but ur reasons are borderline ridiculous. Faber has been a beast his last few fights and i don't care for the guy that much to even give someone that kind of credit. This is a great fight and i think if Faber uses a solid gameplan he wins this. He gets into a slugging match it could be lights out. Faber has been in there with some huge hitters and i haven't seen him knocked out yet.

[Vaughany]

You were the one who concluded that GSP would not retire because Firas said so on the Primetime series, so dont give him shit Vaughany

Hmm no, i believe i was responding to somebody tht said people in his camp saying tht gsp is going to retire. I responded by pointing put tht his Head Coach had in fact said the exact opposite! he said it, it wouldnt matter if it was on primetime, or an interview with helwani.... The point is that it was fact because he said it, they didnt edit it to make it look like he said it. faber didnt stand there and say "im more interested in developing my construction business with my dad so fighting is really my focus anymore"! There was simply a 2 minute scene where he went to look around a house he's rebuilding with his dad!! Bit dfferent

[Vaughany]

im not knocking ur play but ur reasons are borderline ridiculous. Faber has been a beast his last few fights and i don't care for the guy that much to even give someone that kind of credit. This is a great fight and i think if Faber uses a solid gameplan he wins this. He gets into a slugging match it could be lights out. Faber has been in there with some huge hitters and i haven't seen him knocked out yet.

Mike brown did it so dont see why macdonald cant!

[wagerjunkie]

Hahha i like how youve deduced tht conclusion from their 10-15 mins on Road to the Ocatagon!

Bet you didnt know tht Chad Mendes closed on his third house a couple days ago? Didnt get to see tht in Road to the Octagon!

lol! not gonna lie! its the only play i have on the card. I'm not really an MMA "cappper". i tail you guys. but ya that is just my gut feeling.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Mike brown did it so dont see why macdonald cant!

At the time Brown's wrestling was much better than McDonald's is now. Relatively speaking.

[capone1899]

UFC on Fox 9: Total Risk $970

$270.00 to win $100.00 Johnson points handicap +9½ -270* vs Benavidez points handicap
$140.00 to win $100.00 Urijah Faber -140* vs Michael McDonald
$120.00 to win $100.00 McDonald/Faber goes 3 round distance -120* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
$115.00 to win $100.00 Mendes wins by TKO/KO -115* vs Any other result
$145.00 to win $100.00 Pat Healy -145* vs Bobby Green


$25.00 to win $38.37 2-Team Parlay Roger Bowling -125* beats Abel Trujillo + Alptekin Ozkilic -245* beats Darren Uyenoyama

$25.00 to win $22.93 2-Team Parlay Scott Jorgensen -260* beats Zach Makovsky + Sam Stout -260* beats Cody McKenzie

$25.00 to win $40.08 2-Team Parlay Court McGee -105* beats Ryan LaFlare + Edson Barboza -300* beats Danny Castillo

$25.00 to win $18.65 2-Team Parlay Chad Mendes -900* beats Nik Lentz + Joe Lauzon -175* beats Mac Danzig


$20.00 to win $46.97 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195*

$20.00 to win $42.72 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Joseph Benavidez/Demetrious Johnson Over 4½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

$20.00 to win $43.77 3-Team Parlay Ryan LaFlare/Court McGee Over 2½ -205* + Pat Healy/Bobby Green Over 2½ -195* + Scott Jorgensen/Zach Makovsky Over 2½ -240*

You think you have enough bets? You're going to lose your ass with all those stupid parlays

[NunyaBidness]

You think you have enough bets? You're going to lose your ass with all those stupid parlays

This is dumb.

If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.

[capone1899]

This is dumb.

If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.

Parlaying all the favorites on the card isn't +EV, its being a novice donk

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Parlaying all the favorites on the card isn't +EV, its being a novice donk

Way to bring the hate & not much else.

[NunyaBidness]

What if the favorites are undervalued?

[Rubber Guard]

Mike Macdonald hasn't even beat much competition yet. He slapped a triangle on Pickett, who is going to flyweight. Other than that does he even have any good wins? None that I remember. I realize he is 22 and talented, but he isn't there yet. Not as much as people think.

[wagerjunkie]

from the looks of things Cody McKenzie has the chance to start the night off burying ALOT of people, including myself.

[Jim_Gunn]

This is dumb.

If his plays are +EV, it is correct to round robin them in EVERY POSSIBLE COMBINATION, it increases EG maximally.

Also, he has very few plays, IMO. I have 34 currently for the day, expect to close around 120.

Wow, and I thought I had a lot of wagers! Thanks for the comments. I'm a long time fan who just started wagering on MMA and I'm up more than 1.2 units cumulatively on the last three events. I haven't won nor lost a lot on any particular event so far. So I'm not too nervous about "losing my ass" today as that one poster said. I don't always bet on favorites either. But in this case, these are how I see the fights and I think the odds are reasonable. I'm also going to live bet tonight to hedge if necessary against losing if there are any strong underdog performances. We'll know how that works out in several hours!