UFC 156: Aldo Vs Edgar (Feb 02. 2013)

**Sacrelicious** · 02-01-13, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by DirtyX

GL Gents. Imo, Aldo is a lock if there ever was such a thing in MMA. You should be pounding Aldo at -220, not Fitch at -200....

Ticket#:85533471 Feb 02 10:15 PM	INTERNET / -1	Jan 29 11:35 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24113] D MAJA +145 (D MAJA vrs J FITCH)	$69 /$100
Ticket#:85687903 Feb 02 11:00 PM	INTERNET / -1	Feb 01 03:26 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24102] J ALDO -220 (F EDGAR vrs J ALDO)	$220 /$100

Not sold either, good luck though. Aldo might cash, at that line it seems like a square play though.

Maia is the worst play on the card.

**DirtyX** · 02-01-13, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

Not sold either, good luck though. Aldo might cash, at that line it seems like a square play though.

Maia is the worst play on the card.

Ya I am not going to lie, I am second guessing myself after reading how everyone is one Fitch. $$$ is coming in on Fitch, and Maia is now at +160, so I should have waited as Maia will no doubt be at better odds come fight night. I think Green is a worse play, but that's just me. Regarding Aldo, he was at -250, now at -220. I don't think the price is going to get much better.. I cap Aldo at -350, so I see value in Aldo at -220 obviously. Call me crazy, but Aldo is on another level. I have been wrong many times tho.

**Sacrelicious** · 02-01-13, 04:41 PM

Ok granted, I will give you that, Green is a significantly worse play then Maia.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 06:06 PM

I pick Maia to win

there are gonna be too many sub opportunities in the fight for a guy like maia and he's one of the best in the world

**DirtyX** · 02-01-13, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

I pick Maia to win

there are gonna be too many sub opportunities in the fight for a guy like maia and he's one of the best in the world

Well it seems that you and I are the only ones in the MMA world picking Maia to win. A year ago, I would have bought out of this fight and taken a slight loss after reading everyone else's opinions on this forum, but now I know better. This happened when Chris Brown fought Bigfoot, Jon Jones fought Shogun, and when Jamie Varner fought Barboza.. I am sticking with my gut, Maia take this.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by DirtyX

Well it seems that you and I are the only ones in the MMA world picking Maia to win. A year ago, I would have bought out of this fight and taken a slight loss after reading everyone else's opinions on this forum, but now I know better. This happened when Chris Brown fought Bigfoot, Jon Jones fought Shogun, and when Jamie Varner fought Barboza.. I am sticking with my gut, Maia take this.

lol chris brown you mean travis browne yea me too man im stickin with my instincts i think if it goes to decision Fitch will probably eek it out but theres also a possibility that they give it to maia if he keeps it somewhat close. But the main thing that pulls me is the fact that Fitch is going to be up against a big guy at 170 that can grapple, fitch had trouble grappling with bj penn, i think demian maia is a rank above bj in terms of a pure jui jitsu skillset. If Fitch wants to win he'll have to put himself in a danger zone with 3 rounds i think maia can submit him.

**Vaughany** · 02-01-13, 07:20 PM

ha Chris Brown is a legit fighter tho brah! Dont forget he's 1-0...

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 07:44 PM

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 07:46 PM

look at the terrified look in the eyes of the black guy on the left i bet he read the shirt wrong lol

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 07:49 PM

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-01-13, 07:53 PM

**MMAbetMASTA** · 02-01-13, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by DirtyX

GL Gents. Imo, Aldo is a lock if there ever was such a thing in MMA. You should be pounding Aldo at -220, not Fitch at -200....

Ticket#:85533471 Feb 02 10:15 PM	INTERNET / -1	Jan 29 11:35 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24113] D MAJA +145 (D MAJA vrs J FITCH)	$69 /$100
Ticket#:85687903 Feb 02 11:00 PM	INTERNET / -1	Feb 01 03:26 PM	MU	STRAIGHT BET [24102] J ALDO -220 (F EDGAR vrs J ALDO)	$220 /$100

Isn't that what you said with benavidez over mighty mo??

Damnnnnnnnnnnnnnn dirty dik....

**Grabaka** · 02-01-13, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by DirtyX

I can't knock you for playing Edgar around +200, but I think Aldo steam rolls Frankie here. If you honestly see Frankie winning this fight amigo, I would love to hear your thoughts of how the fight will go down....

I personally think Aldo is just simply too fast and too skilled. Leg kicks will be key here, and I don't see Frankie avoiding them throughout the duration of a five rounder.. Frankie's boxing and footwork are his strengths and those will be nulified once Aldo starts kicking the shit outta Edgars knobby knees... Aldo ITD / TKO round 2 or 3 is what I predict. Wouldn't be surprised to see Aldo finish him early in the first either. Aldo will make this look easy, watch it happen.

What if he never gets that distance/rhythm going. Will Frankie be able to enter the pocket and keep the distance? I honestly wouldnt be surprised if Aldo kicks Frankie and ends him in the 1st or 2nd. But his footwork has to be ON POINT. Way easier to have Edgar strategy. I think Aldo round 2 is a good prediction indeed and i think it will be clear in 3 minutes which was the right side.
IDK frankie can set amazing TDs and if he gets one fast its just downhill for Aldo unless he darts up.
Did not meant to knock your plays with my comment but of course i disagree Aldo is lock.
GL amigo!

**Grabaka** · 02-01-13, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA

Isn't that what you said with benavidez over mighty mo??

Damnnnnnnnnnnnnnn dirty dik....

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-01-13, 11:58 PM

If you're gonna play a Maia by sub prop, just play Maia SOTN. Dana hates Fitch. He'd gladly send $75k Maia's way if he makes that muthaf*cka tap.

**Hannibal** · 02-02-13, 01:52 AM

Any Tibau backers?
i like him to muscle dunham to the mat
on the feet you could give it to either guy.. but dunham doesnt have the ability to starch him before he gets clinched and taken down
he's just not that kind of striker. He doesnt have the power

so 50/50 on a fight where if it goes to the ground, Tibau will be on top, and on the feet neither guy has a significant advantage
sounds good to me

**Sacrelicious** · 02-02-13, 01:54 AM

If I were going to bet that fight, and let me make it clear that I am not, I would be on Dunham.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-02-13, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by Hannibal

Any Tibau backers?
i like him to muscle dunham to the mat
on the feet you could give it to either guy.. but dunham doesnt have the ability to starch him before he gets clinched and taken down
he's just not that kind of striker. He doesnt have the power

so 50/50 on a fight where if it goes to the ground, Tibau will be on top, and on the feet neither guy has a significant advantage
sounds good to me

Tibau should win a decision IMO

**Dwil125** · 02-02-13, 01:59 AM

Is Bigfoot kotn +1500 a good hedge for reem? Or would big foot by tko/ko be better, last time I checked silva by ko was like +475 and dropped from +750

**Bradbatross** · 02-02-13, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by Hannibal

Any Tibau backers?
i like him to muscle dunham to the mat
on the feet you could give it to either guy.. but dunham doesnt have the ability to starch him before he gets clinched and taken down
he's just not that kind of striker. He doesnt have the power

so 50/50 on a fight where if it goes to the ground, Tibau will be on top, and on the feet neither guy has a significant advantage
sounds good to me

Sounds good to me too.

**getlucky2win** · 02-02-13, 02:27 AM

this article says aldo has bad cut over the eye. i thought aldo would win easily but now im goin2 lay off this fight

UFC 156: Jose Aldo Injured Above Left Eye, Still Plans to Fight Frankie Edgar

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1510547-ufc-156-jose-aldo-injured-above-left-eye-still-plans-to-fight-frankie-edgar

Although Jose Aldo claims to have had one of his best training camps yet, the UFC featherweight champion is walking into his match an injured man...

**Hannibal** · 02-02-13, 02:29 AM

funny i thought the cut over frankie's left eye was more obvious

**Bradbatross** · 02-02-13, 02:34 AM

Anyone have Jay Heiron over Woodley?

**getlucky2win** · 02-02-13, 02:42 AM

i got not woodely itd -350

**Bradbatross** · 02-02-13, 02:47 AM

I want to bet on Heiron but I see Woodley clipping him and ending the fight.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-02-13, 03:01 AM

i lean towards woodley he's more athletic and explosive

**getlucky2win** · 02-02-13, 03:22 AM

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-02-13, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

i lean towards woodley he's more athletic and explosive

He did look a lil darker than Hieron at the weigh in so I tend to agree.

**Bagalut** · 02-02-13, 04:32 AM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

i lean towards woodley he's more athletic and explosive

Woodley will destroy him.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 02-02-13, 04:33 AM

reem to bigfoot at 5:20 "you're a dead man" " a dead man"

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-02-13, 08:22 AM

Originally posted by Bradbatross

Anyone have Jay Heiron over Woodley?

I played him at +130. If you can hang with Askren for 5 rounds you can deal with woodley on short notice

**DirtyX** · 02-02-13, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

ha Chris Brown is a legit fighter tho brah! Dont forget he's 1-0...

That's Epic V. Well done

**DirtyX** · 02-02-13, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA

Isn't that what you said with benavidez over mighty mo??

Damnnnnnnnnnnnnnn dirty dik....

LOL, whats up my dude...? Maia is at +180 now should have waited on that line.. FML.. Listen here you meat-headed shit stack; I never said Benavidez was a

... I have been cold as ice lately, so you guys would be wise to autofade all of my plays. However, I honestly have yet to hear anybody breakdown this fight in terms of how Edgar is going to pull this off... The only way I see Edgar winning besides a fluke injury or DQ is if he does a Clay Guida or a Jon Fitch for all five rounds, avoiding the stand up at all costs... If Frankie stands with Aldo, he will lose, quickly imo. Round 2-3 TKO for Aldo is what I am calling.

You coming to town today or are you hanging out at the losers lounge with the rest of the desert trash? If you want to watch them at mi casa, I will buy the card, or we can roll to DTF wild wings and watch them with Aaron and Boozer.. Holla at me my *****..

**Thor4140** · 02-02-13, 12:00 PM

i guess since since Aldo kicked a few guys who have trouble getting out of the way of kicks his kicks should work on anyone. I wonder why Bendo didn't kick Frankies legs into oblivion? Surely a great kicker like Bendo could have had a field day doing it.
When Frankie catches Aldo's third kick and throws him down on the matt with a few elbows following, i think Aldo might rethink throwing kicks like Bendo did when Frankie made an adjustment. Aldo is fast with his hands just like Swick is. They throw looping shots. Frankie will pick him apart on the feet. He just has to be smart and not get caught which seems to be his Achilles heel.

**DirtyX** · 02-02-13, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by Thor4140

i guess since since Aldo kicked a few guys who have trouble getting out of the way of kicks his kicks should work on anyone. I wonder why Bendo didn't kick Frankies legs into oblivion? Surely a great kicker like Bendo could have had a field day doing it.
When Frankie catches Aldo's third kick and throws him down on the matt with a few elbows following, i think Aldo might rethink throwing kicks like Bendo did when Frankie made an adjustment. Aldo is fast with his hands just like Swick is. They throw looping shots. Frankie will pick him apart on the feet. He just has to be smart and not get caught which seems to be his Achilles heel.

A "Few Guys"....

So.... Faber has trouble getting out of the way of kicks, forgot how to wrestle and this is why he got his ass handed to him by Aldo...? Chad Mendes (Better wrestler than Edgar) just forgot how to catch a kick and Aldo's flying knee was a fluke...? Cub Swanson and Matt Brown are just cans who Aldo was given as easy fights...?

Now I'll be serious for one minute. I think you are correct about the potential takedowns from Edgar. Frankie is smart (He proved that to me in the second fight with Benson), and if he sticks to a takedown/layNPray/Clay Guida game plan, he has a path to victory using his wrestling.. I personally don't think Edgar will do this.. Edgar's speed also concerns me as he is prob the second fastest fighter behind Aldo, however I think Aldo will be faster.. I don't think Frankie will "pick apart" Aldo standing.. Frankie is also having to cut weight for the first time and if it goes into the deeper rounds, he could fade.. I think you are underestimating how fast Aldo is. Frankie's strengths are his speed and footwork, and Aldo has him on both of those imo.

I do appreciate your opinion, no disrespect.