UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez (Dec 29)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #176
    Not really, Garcia/Holloway will probably go distance but I'll wait and see if it improves from -170
    MJ vs MJ going distance at +115 may be worth a play as well
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #177
      In Las Vegas cornering Jim Miller for UFC 155. Jim has to lose 20 pounds by tomorrow. Maybe David Copperfield can help them disappear... - Martin Rooney
      Comment
      • MMAbetMASTA
        SBR MVP
        • 05-24-11
        • 1931

        #178
        Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
        like cariaso at + or even money...
        Cariaso now at +160... yes please, I'll take a gamble on that great value over a guy with a lot of hype but lackluster performances in wins over cans (minus moraga's last win, which was indeed brutal and impressive... but grinding decisions over no namers raises questions for me...).

        Anyone on moraga? Why you like him over such a well rounded guy in cariaso??

        I'll be honest I don't know much about moraga and while I've researched the fight its been hard to find info on him... But cariaso as a decent dog against a guy who has beaten virtually no one and from some footage I've seen isn't too impressive over cans is head scratching to me. From what I've learned I'd cap cariaso at evens if not slightly favored, so +160 is tasty and seems like a gift, but also puzzling to me.. what am I missing here moraga backers???
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #179
          Gaberz...check in pal? Have you recouped your losses from the bouncy castles? Not sure if they are a popular purchase at Christmas time

          Major lulz from this tweet by Gaberz!....

          "I left milk and cookies out for Santa before going to bed last night. He didn't touch them, but he did leave a note calling me a f*g*ot."
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #180
            Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
            Cariaso now at +160... yes please, I'll take a gamble on that great value over a guy with a lot of hype but lackluster performances in wins over cans (minus moraga's last win, which was indeed brutal and impressive... but grinding decisions over no namers raises questions for me...).

            Anyone on moraga? Why you like him over such a well rounded guy in cariaso??

            I'll be honest I don't know much about moraga and while I've researched the fight its been hard to find info on him... But cariaso as a decent dog against a guy who has beaten virtually no one and from some footage I've seen isn't too impressive over cans is head scratching to me. From what I've learned I'd cap cariaso at evens if not slightly favored, so +160 is tasty and seems like a gift, but also puzzling to me.. what am I missing here moraga backers???
            staying away at moment but agree it is Cariaso or nothing. Think most Moraga backers are counting on his wrestling and size advantage to be the difference
            Comment
            • MMAbetMASTA
              SBR MVP
              • 05-24-11
              • 1931

              #181
              yea I here you V... Moraga is the only D1 / high level collegiate wrestler cariaso has faced, so I guess people think he can grind it out.. But while cariaso seems to get tripped down fairly easily, he has some good scrambling ability and can threaten off his back. I can def see moraga grinding it for 3 rounds, but he did so and dindn't look good doing it against some cans he couldn't finish. If cariaso can stuff him I obviously give him a clear stand up advantage and coupled with his scrambling / grappling off his back I think he should make this competitive. Got him small at +150, might double up depending on what I read and research over the next day.
              Comment
              • MMAbetMASTA
                SBR MVP
                • 05-24-11
                • 1931

                #182
                And is moraga that much bigger at flyweight? I know cariaso was a small bw, but was moraga a big bw?
                Comment
                • MMAbetMASTA
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-24-11
                  • 1931

                  #183
                  tempted to pay the -350 on holloway as an auto fade against garcia, surprised they didn't put that line at -1000 lol...
                  Comment
                  • Vaughany
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 03-07-10
                    • 45563

                    #184
                    Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
                    tempted to pay the -350 on holloway as an auto fade against garcia, surprised they didn't put that line at -1000 lol...
                    Will probably get a lot of action after weigh-ins and hours leading up to fight...wont be surprised if it ends up -400 to -475 range
                    Comment
                    • MMAbetMASTA
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-24-11
                      • 1931

                      #185
                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                      Will probably get a lot of action after weigh-ins and hours leading up to fight...wont be surprised if it ends up -400 to -475 range
                      word I agree.. He's the only fight not up on my book yet, I'd prob take him at the current bestfigtodds average of -350ish if I could..
                      Comment
                      • MMAbetMASTA
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-24-11
                        • 1931

                        #186
                        where do you guys see Jmiller's line closing at?? You think he'll get to -200 or better?
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #187
                          Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
                          where do you guys see Jmiller's line closing at?? You think he'll get to -200 or better?
                          Possibly -175 to -200 range. 10 out of his last 12 fights he's ended up at a better line by fight time than the opening line...for instance opened at -200 against Guillard and could get him at -145 by fight time. Against Olivera he opened at -110 and ended up +145; against Tibau he opened -260 and ended up -120; against Bocek from -430 to -320, against Danzig -215 to -159, against Maynard +137 to +175, against Wiman -115 to -105. Only the Shalorus and Ludwig fights were where his lines got worse by fight time.

                          So that history combined with fact he is coming off a loss and Lauzon is coming off an impressive win makes me think that Miller's line can only get better
                          Comment
                          • MMAbetMASTA
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-24-11
                            • 1931

                            #188
                            Originally posted by Vaughany
                            Possibly -175 to -200 range. 10 out of his last 12 fights he's ended up at a better line by fight time than the opening line...for instance opened at -200 against Guillard and could get him at -145 by fight time. Against Olivera he opened at -110 and ended up +145; against Tibau he opened -260 and ended up -120; against Bocek from -430 to -320, against Danzig -215 to -159, against Maynard +137 to +175, against Wiman -115 to -105. Only the Shalorus and Ludwig fights were where his lines got worse by fight time.

                            So that history combined with fact he is coming off a loss and Lauzon is coming off an impressive win makes me think that Miller's line can only get better
                            great research and good points, thanks amigo!!!
                            Comment
                            • bjpenn85
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-17-11
                              • 5059

                              #189
                              Dana white claims marihuana consumption makes random drug testing difficult;
                              The UFC president discussed a variety of topics, including Gilbert Melendez, drug testing, Nick Newell and more, with the media after the UFC 155 press conference.


                              LoL
                              Comment
                              • rocky mattioli
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-26-10
                                • 1263

                                #190
                                when was the last time garcia legitimately won a fight?...i think it was in 2008 vs a faded jens pulver..it was also his last k.o.......by all accounts,he lost to massouh/roop/jung and phan,winning via bogus split decision or drawing.....that fight he had with huerta was the best thing that ever happened to garcia...or maybe the worst,depending on your p.o.v....totally inflated the guy`s worth way beyond any rational consideration.....

                                after watching holloway with that length and hand speed,this could get really ugly(although i saw one site where 3 of 4 "experts" picked garcia via decsion) ...just looks like a very bad stylistic match-up(barring a a hail mary) ...unfortunately,the oddsmakers aren`t stupid...somebody needs to step in on garcia`s behalf...the guy`s going to end up sitting in a corner somewhere,a dozen bottles short of a six pack...
                                Last edited by rocky mattioli; 12-28-12, 11:02 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Fenster
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 09-03-10
                                  • 145

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by rocky mattioli
                                  when was the last time garcia legitimately won a fight?...i think it was in 2008 vs a faded jens pulver..it was also his last k.o.......by all accounts,he lost to massouh/roop/jung and phan,winning via bogus split decision or drawing.....that fight he had with huerta was the best thing that ever happened to garcia...or maybe the worst,depending on your p.o.v....totally inflated the guy`s worth way beyond any rational consideration.....

                                  after watching holloway with that length and hand speed,this could get really ugly(although i saw one site where 3 of 4 "experts" picked garcia via decsion) ...just looks like a very bad stylistic match-up(barring a a hail mary) ...unfortunately,the oddsmakers aren`t stupid...somebody needs to step in on garcia`s behalf...the guy`s going to end up sitting in a corner somewhere,a dozen bottles short of a six pack...
                                  I was hanging at Jackson's MMA last week and saw Garcia dominating Shawn Jordan on the feet and on the ground. GARCIA IS A BEAST. $$$$$$$$$$$$$

                                  Ha
                                  Comment
                                  • Sacrelicious
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-29-12
                                    • 5984

                                    #192
                                    Okay boy,

                                    On JDS, Miller, Boetsch, Belcher, Wineland.

                                    Anyone else think Duffee might not be bad for a small play?

                                    Good luck everyone.
                                    Comment
                                    • fattytrellis
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 02-16-12
                                      • 18

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                      Okay boy,

                                      On JDS, Miller, Boetsch, Belcher, Wineland.

                                      Anyone else think Duffee might not be bad for a small play?

                                      Good luck everyone.
                                      What % chance do you give him of winning the fight?
                                      Comment
                                      • Vaughany
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 03-07-10
                                        • 45563

                                        #194
                                        ha Guillard lookin and acting like a massive douche in his little tight blue panties!
                                        Comment
                                        • Mercersux
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 1516

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by Vaughany
                                          ha Guillard lookin and acting like a massive douche in his little tight blue panties!
                                          He was rocking the Captain America garb. I will admit tho, loved the fire out of this guy this time. Usually he's all smiles and being a puss. I truly hope Myles Jury beats the snot out of Michael Johnson. Johnson seems like such a douche.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by Mercersux
                                            He was rocking the Captain America garb. I will admit tho, loved the fire out of this guy this time. Usually he's all smiles and being a puss. I truly hope Myles Jury beats the snot out of Michael Johnson. Johnson seems like such a douche.
                                            yeah I know but still looked like a shwonz acting all big time! Him being fired up could be a good thing but could also mean Guillard rushes in hands down and gets caught early on!

                                            yeah Johnson does come across as a bit of a douche. I think him and Jury were play acting a bit with the mouthing off and Johnson getting in his face. They both used to train with and also live with Lil Heathen (during his camp for Marcus Davis) so unless something went down in training and they fell out but I doubt tht as both seem like pretty laid back guys. Think it was all for the cameras
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #197
                                              Wineland looks like he has a slight size advantage
                                              Comment
                                              • Sacrelicious
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-29-12
                                                • 5984

                                                #198
                                                Originally posted by fattytrellis
                                                What % chance do you give him of winning the fight?
                                                Several perce nts worth.
                                                Comment
                                                • fattytrellis
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 02-16-12
                                                  • 18

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by Sacrelicious
                                                  Several perce nts worth.
                                                  That's useful lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sacrelicious
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-29-12
                                                    • 5984

                                                    #200
                                                    Bro I'm hammered as shit.

                                                    Play the percents yo.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MMAbetMASTA
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-24-11
                                                      • 1931

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                      ha Guillard lookin and acting like a massive douche in his little tight blue panties!
                                                      LOL for sure what a clown... his heads not in the game and that's not good for an already questionable fight iq, makes my play on varner feel a bit better.

                                                      Glad to see Rogan rockin the pride shirt
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MMAbetMASTA
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-24-11
                                                        • 1931

                                                        #202
                                                        paid too much for my sprinkles on cain and brunson, should have waited got them at +160 and +120 but now they're at +170 and +140 on my book and prob gonna continue to get better. Like the odds I got for cariaso and varner tho.

                                                        No lines for holloway / garcia on my book yet

                                                        How many of you guys willing to pay that juice on holloway at -400, still think its worthy? Been a long time since I've paid that kind of juice str8 up, but I'm tempted.

                                                        Hoping miller gets under -200 and I might take it small, and might play half lines on boetch and/or okami if they get to dog or even odds. But my gut is telling me to stay away from those as they're true coin flips.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Educ8d Degener8
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-12-10
                                                          • 3177

                                                          #203
                                                          I sprinkled a little Holloway + Patriots. Belichick will go for the throat. Albeit, Holloway on short notice, but whatever, this is just hooker money.

                                                          GL all
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DirtyX
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-05-11
                                                            • 686

                                                            #204
                                                            I am on JDS but I can't pull the trigger at -200.. I like Varner also, but hoping $$$ will come in on Melvin.. I also am tempted to put a sprinkle on Brunson. I know absolutely nothing about him, but Leben is pretty much an auto fade for me. GL fellas...



                                                            Open Wagers
                                                            GameDate User/Phone Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win
                                                            Ticket#:82609542
                                                            Dec 29 10:35 PM
                                                            INTERNET / -1 Dec 25 10:04 PM MU STRAIGHT BET
                                                            [24013] A BELCHER -110
                                                            (A BELCHER vrs Y OKAMI)
                                                            138 / 125
                                                            Ticket#:82610842
                                                            Dec 29 11:25 PM
                                                            INTERNET / -1 Dec 25 10:18 PM MU STRAIGHT BET
                                                            [24005] J LAUZON +180
                                                            (J LAUZON vrs J MILLER)
                                                            28 / 50
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GunShard
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-05-10
                                                              • 10027

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                              Possibly -175 to -200 range. 10 out of his last 12 fights he's ended up at a better line by fight time than the opening line...for instance opened at -200 against Guillard and could get him at -145 by fight time. Against Olivera he opened at -110 and ended up +145; against Tibau he opened -260 and ended up -120; against Bocek from -430 to -320, against Danzig -215 to -159, against Maynard +137 to +175, against Wiman -115 to -105. Only the Shalorus and Ludwig fights were where his lines got worse by fight time.

                                                              So that history combined with fact he is coming off a loss and Lauzon is coming off an impressive win makes me think that Miller's line can only get better
                                                              Good info.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bradbatross
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 06-27-12
                                                                • 201

                                                                #206
                                                                All wagers have action if bout takes place in 2012.
                                                                (1007) Alan "The Talent" Belcher -105 Sat@8:30p
                                                                Competitor1006) Yushin "Thunder" OkamiMixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline
                                                                UFC 155 - MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
                                                                UFC Heavyweight Championship

                                                                All wagers have action if bout takes place in 2012.
                                                                (1000) Junior "Cigano" Dos Santos -175 Sat@11:00p
                                                                Competitor1001) Cain VelasquezRisk CA$ 203.00 to win CA$ 419.81

                                                                Both Must Fight For Action.
                                                                (6000) Hector "Lightning" Lombard -210 Fri@9:10p
                                                                Competitor6001) Rousimar "Toquinho" PalharesMixed Martial Arts (Game) Moneyline
                                                                UFC 155 - MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
                                                                All wagers have action if bout takes place in 2012.
                                                                (1007) Alan "The Talent" Belcher EVEN Sat@8:30p
                                                                Competitor1006) Yushin "Thunder" OkamiRisk CA$ 100.00 to win CA$ 195.24
                                                                Comment
                                                                • beermankirk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-17-09
                                                                  • 1512

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Why has the line for main event , doesnt go the distance gone from -1200 to -550 at 5dimes....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nlin
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-09-12
                                                                    • 111

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by beermankirk
                                                                    Why has the line for main event , doesnt go the distance gone from -1200 to -550 at 5dimes....
                                                                    it was at -750 earlier in the week.

                                                                    ...quite odd
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • El Nino
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-03-12
                                                                      • 18426

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                                      Harley Davidson have been a sponsor for a long time and they have done it before, usually for TUF winners...Colton Smith got one I believe. Best thing is I dont think they are actually allowed to ride them!
                                                                      Yep, never understood them giving away a Harley, especially after the Mir debacle. I also find it funny that Harley Davidson was the official motorcycle of the UFC, then they are also pimping Spirit motorcycles as well.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                        • 45563

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...