MD's House of Winnerz

[Rubber Guard]

It was just odd to see JDS SO inferior last fight. NO defense, terrible footwork, terrible everything. I think Cain wins, but hard to believe JDS looks that bad and forgets every fundamental in the game.

[TheRifleman]

Plays for tonight:

I have Dos Santos KOtN at uh... +700 I think. Velasquez -195, -185, and some other odds, moderate-large. Jordan, and Melendez by decision moderate. Cormier by decision moderate-large. Decent amount on Dodson, although I don't think I did enough work on that, may have to arb out. I really like Velasquez by sub +1455, I think it should be closer to +600. Eye/Kaufman goes distance, uh... lots of other props.

Anyway, I'm confident and expecting a good night. Mostly I hope the main event is good. I'm very excited for it.

you really like Velasquez by sub? Who has he ever subbed? Is he going to sub a Brazilian BB, who is very difficult to take down .. submitting him? A wrestler?



Come on...geez.


JDS by KO....you will see a much more focused fighter this time....he was going through a lot of personal issues last fight...he is going to WAR tonight....

[MD]

you really like Velasquez by sub? Who has he ever subbed? Is he going to sub a Brazilian BB, who is very difficult to take down and then sub him? A wrestler?

Come on...geez.

Your logic is terrible. And yes, I do.

[MD]

Plays for tonight:

I have Dos Santos KOtN at uh... +700 I think. Velasquez -195, -185, and some other odds, moderate-large. Jordan, and Melendez by decision moderate. Cormier by decision moderate-large. Decent amount on Dodson, although I don't think I did enough work on that, may have to arb out. I really like Velasquez by sub +1455, I think it should be closer to +600. Eye/Kaufman goes distance, uh... lots of other props.

Anyway, I'm confident and expecting a good night. Mostly I hope the main event is good. I'm very excited for it.

Oops, should have checked that line when I posted this. It's actually sitting right around +600 now. Oh well, GG, market.

[terpkeg]

Your logic is terrible. And yes, I do.

Yea, I'm sure Velasquez has very quality sub game. He just chooses not to sacrifice position. But, if he is willing to take a risk, or JDS fatigued enough, i can see this. But I don't think +600 is good enough.

Who knows what is camp was really focusing on though, besides a select few. Maybe they see an opportunity then JDS coming back to the feet.

[mmaed]

Plays for tonight:

I have Dos Santos KOtN at uh... +700 I think. Velasquez -195, -185, and some other odds, moderate-large. Jordan, and Melendez by decision moderate. Cormier by decision moderate-large. Decent amount on Dodson, although I don't think I did enough work on that, may have to arb out. I really like Velasquez by sub +1455, I think it should be closer to +600. Eye/Kaufman goes distance, uh... lots of other props.

Anyway, I'm confident and expecting a good night. Mostly I hope the main event is good. I'm very excited for it.

Whats your fear with dodson?

[MD]

Whats your fear with dodson?

No fear, just lack of work put in. I assumed the line would move and that I'd end up liking Dodson anyway, and then I just never got around to watching tape on it. Pretty confident either way as Montague is probably going to need to outpoint Dodson on the feet to win, but hey, stranger things have happened.

[mmaed]

I watched montagues fight with ian mcall. He was getting the better of mcall standing for a good part of the first round. After that mcall took over with the wrestling. Thats the only fight i saw. I figure dodson should take this given how well he has done in the past against top competition.

[Thor4140]

i could see that Cain sub hitting. Not that far fetched. The guy has basically been taunted how he can't finish. Throw in the fact that Dana said that Cain told him and Larenzo that he didn't want the sub the 2nd fight and wanted to just punish him.

[Thor4140]

Cain hits like a girl? He absolutely flatten two of Dos Santos training partners and dropped Dos Santos a couple of times in their fight. No bet for me tho. Just gonna enjoy it. Line to high in my opinion

[DoggyStyle]

KJ Noons -155 book it. 10x unit wager! No way sotowhatever can beat noons n George will be cut after this loss. Id wager on that as well if possible lmao

[DoggyStyle]

Thank you Noons and oddsmakers. EZ $

[mmaed]

Cain has a decent chance of subbing jds because his pace will likely wear jds down and open up the sub a little bit more.

[MD]

Thread play cashed:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/2631642-velasquez-190-a.html

Won 18u on my Twitter plays tonight. Absolutely ridiculous night, +20% bankroll in my documented plays, and added 17% to my own bankroll. Biggest night since that Rashad/Hendo card, I think.

Hated to see Junior go out like that, though.

[Grabaka]

Congrats amigo!
I got me ~+11units today between college football, boxing and ufc.

[Mercersux]

MD. MAH DUDE !!! up 5 units myself. congrats to you, Grabaka, all Cain backers !!!

[Grabaka]

MD. MAH DUDE !!! up 5 units myself. congrats to you, Grabaka, all Cain backers !!!

Congratz tooo
This kinda felt too easy. Hope we dont get surprised next week...does it start early?

[MD]

Congrats amigo!
I got me ~+11units today between college football, boxing and ufc.

That's great, man. I'm glad to hear it. It's nice to see the nice guys have good nights.

MD. MAH DUDE !!! up 5 units myself. congrats to you, Grabaka, all Cain backers !!!

mah bro <3 Thanks man, you too.

[MD]

Congratz tooo
This kinda felt too easy. Hope we dont get surprised next week...does it start early?

I always have a pretty good feel for how I'm going to do on a card and, sadly, I'm almost always right. Logically I can't take anything from it, obviously, so I have to ignore it, but it sucks to see half my yearly profit wiped out on Brazil cards when I feel in advance that I'll finish down, despite thinking that all of my plays are +EV.

[Grabaka]

I always have a pretty good feel for how I'm going to do on a card and, sadly, I'm almost always right. Logically I can't take anything from it, obviously, so I have to ignore it, but it sucks to see half my yearly profit wiped out on Brazil cards when I feel in advance that I'll finish down, despite thinking that all of my plays are +EV.

So how are you gonna do in the next card? Good?

Seems like a prop heavy card for me...but no idea how am gonna do

[MD]

I think I'll do well, but I'll have a better sense of it once I start watching tape. There are a couple of plays I love right now that I think are insanely overvalued, expecting to have a lot down on the card by the time it rolls around.

[Grabaka]

Which ones?
do you like Tuck?

[Noleafclover]

I always have a pretty good feel for how I'm going to do on a card and, sadly, I'm almost always right. Logically I can't take anything from it, obviously, so I have to ignore it, but it sucks to see half my yearly profit wiped out on Brazil cards when I feel in advance that I'll finish down, despite thinking that all of my plays are +EV.

Kinda same boat. Been trying to be extra-careful on the Brazil cards, stay away if there's any doubt etc.

[mmaed]

Brazil cards are usually good for mismatches, who knows how long that will last though. On the nxt card im looking at jimmo, machida, and lineker.

[mmaed]

Any opinion on Akop Stepanyan vs Mike Richman? It was recently added to the Bellator PPV. I think Stepanyan should be the better striker and will probably be the dog given that his bellator record isn't as good as Richmans. Pretty much all of Stepanyans losses can be attributed to his takedown defense. Richman doesn't seem like on to wrestle. I will have to watch some tape of course.

[MD]

Any opinion on Akop Stepanyan vs Mike Richman? It was recently added to the Bellator PPV. I think Stepanyan should be the better striker and will probably be the dog given that his bellator record isn't as good as Richmans. Pretty much all of Stepanyans losses can be attributed to his takedown defense. Richman doesn't seem like on to wrestle. I will have to watch some tape of course.

Haven't 'capped it yet. Doubt either is a big dog, though.

[mmaed]

I am thinking Akop will open as the dog given he is 1-3 in bellator and richman is 4-2.

[Vaughany]

I am thinking Akop will open as the dog given he is 1-3 in bellator and richman is 4-2.

Gaberz will be maxing the fuuck out of Stepancan so you'll get Richmann as a dog eventually anyway!

[mmaed]

Gaberz will be maxing the fuuck out of Stepancan so you'll get Richmann as a dog eventually anyway!

Why will he be maxing him? I was hoping to get stepanyan. I still have to watch some tape though.

[Vaughany]

Why will he be maxing him? I was hoping to get stepanyan. I still have to watch some tape though.

Because he's Armenian

[MD]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/2639608-cole-miller-170-a.html

Thread play cashed. Small winning night on my Twitter plays, finished up small myself, too, but hey, it'll pay for that Kindle I've been wanting.

[reigle9]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...ler-170-a.html

Thread play cashed. Small winning night on my Twitter plays, finished up small myself, too, but hey, it'll pay for that Kindle I've been wanting.

Post something so I can say hi.

[MD]

Post something so I can say hi.

? wat

[reigle9]

? wat

On twatter. I followed you earlier.

[Vaughany]

lol