MD's House of Winnerz

[MD]

Prolly, but I can't pull the trigger. So what was the opener?

$250.00

$537.50

Pending

8/31/13 11:59pm Props Fighting 1011 Henderson wins by 5 round decision +215* vs Not Henderson by 5 round decision

Also hit the +190. And Not Bendo ITD.

[Catchn_Picks]

BOL MD on the big bet. Have the fight goes and have Bendo but not together

[Catchn_Picks]

Barnett weighed in 7 pounds heavier than the Cormier fight. Compare his weighin pictures here to every fight before, he looks significantly fatter.

I also think he looked mopey and unmotivated at the weighins, where he's usually doing his pro-wrestler schtick. Others have disagreed with me on this point, but this is the fattest Barnett I've ever seen, in a fight that should be the one he is most motivated for.

yea Nunya...Barnett looks like the kid others picked on in high school when he took his shirt off.

Mir looks great but still bet Barnett.

Oh well, bol to all

[NunyaBidness]

yea Nunya...Barnett looks like the kid others picked on in high school when he took his shirt off.

Just say looks like Grabaka, it's easier.

[TheCalculator]

Barnett weighed in 7 pounds heavier than the Cormier fight. Compare his weighin pictures here to every fight before, he looks significantly fatter.

I also think he looked mopey and unmotivated at the weighins, where he's usually doing his pro-wrestler schtick. Others have disagreed with me on this point, but this is the fattest Barnett I've ever seen, in a fight that should be the one he is most motivated for.

YES -- I agree. My confidence in this selection has dropped significantly. Barnett is a real fawkin warrior though. And might surprise us.

[Grabaka]

Just say looks like Grabaka, it's easier.

Im gonna report you to the principal....

[NunyaBidness]

Sorry pal, I was in the little boob club too!

[Beelzebubzy]

Who has bigger bewbs Sac or Grab?

Or should I just Grab Nunya's Sac? (see what I did there)

[NunyaBidness]

Who has bigger bewbs Sac or Grab?

Or should I just Grab Nunya's Sac? (see what I did there)

Probably MD. Marcus got those weightlifter pecs so all the boys can admire on chatroulette.

[Vaughany]

lol

[Grabaka]

lol
Not me...after a big while im just starting to re-grow them

[Grabaka]

I found Sac recipes too complicated so i started the vaughany diet...not paying off

[MD]

Probably MD. Marcus got those weightlifter pecs so all the boys can admire on chatroulette.

I weightlifted for strength bro. My chest is nothing special. I've got those God-traps though.

[mmaed]

Barnett weighed in 7 pounds heavier than the Cormier fight. Compare his weighin pictures here to every fight before, he looks significantly fatter.

I also think he looked mopey and unmotivated at the weighins, where he's usually doing his pro-wrestler schtick. Others have disagreed with me on this point, but this is the fattest Barnett I've ever seen, in a fight that should be the one he is most motivated for.

I wouldnt imagine barnett wasnt motivated. I mean its possible but it could be something more along the lines of an injury during his training camp that hindered his training ability.

[MD]

Simultaneously the best and worst fight of all time. Cashed Soa ITD +230 though.

Need Kang here, and Kang by sub. He should get the sub pretty easily.

[mmaed]

Simultaneously the best and worst fight of all time. Cashed Soa ITD +230 though.

Need Kang here, and Kang by sub. He should get the sub pretty easily.

Yeah I guess whoever said Soa was a can was right. I'm glad I still won my bet though.

[Vaughany]

I found Sac recipes too complicated so i started the vaughany diet...not paying off

Beans on toast with grated cheese ftw

[Beelzebubzy]

Beans on toast with grated cheese ftw

you staying awake tonight?

[Vaughany]

you staying awake tonight?

trying to so I can look at live-bet opportunities. but Im close to tapping out

[mmaed]

So where do you guys cap Eric Koch?

[Vaughany]

So where do you guys cap Eric Koch?

-1177373585839990.4

[TheCalculator]

So where do you guys cap Eric Koch?

-200 to -225

Got him yesterday at -140. Hard to see value at this price.

[Beelzebubzy]

-1177373585839990.4

dude stop leaking the info from our site

we actually capped it
-177.37585839905

[mmaed]

Yeah I hear you. I already have some money on him at the same. I think ill just let it ride and maybe bet it live if it looks good.

[TheCalculator]

MD -- do you bet live?

IMO -- it's EV+ to bet the other side when the odds are insane (+500 and up) for the guy I bet against. Prevents painful B.S. losses.

[Beelzebubzy]

Thoughts on Bader/Tex not distance -350?

Ive hit several times now

[NunyaBidness]

MD -- do you bet live?

IMO -- it's EV+ to bet the other side when the odds are insane (+500 and up) for the guy I bet against. Prevents painful B.S. losses.

Only if the current live odds are mispriced.

[MD]

Thoughts on Bader/Tex not distance -350?

Ive hit several times now

It probably has some value. Wouldn't go big on it, though. If Bader wins, I think it's often a decision, as I don't think he has the cardio to break Teixeira down for a late finish very often.

I have Bendo by decision here, along with Pettis KO of the Night and a bit on Bendo sub at some ridiculous >+1200 line. Bendo winning by decision will give me a good night I think.

[MD]

I'm running pretty cold at the moment, on a pretty big downswing. Part of it is variance (though I was running ahead of EV previously, so I can't complain too much), as there have been at least six decisions that were either 50/50 or should definitely have gone my way in the last few cards. Made some -EV plays, too, though, so I probably need to step my game up. I have a lot of growing room as a handicapper, so I'm not too worried about it, as I know I've improved significantly since January, but it does suck. I definitely have room to work hard; lately, I've been putting in half the time I normally do, and it shows. Some of this is due to personal issues, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't a lazy Dark Souls-playing degen. Luckily I have good bankroll management so I could suffer 3x this downswing without breaking a sweat. The next card doesn't look like a good rebound card, though.

Just an update. Gonna start putting more work in and stop wasting so much of my time.

[MD]

Also, semi-controversial opinion time. My lightweight top 10:

10. Pat Healy
9. Rafael Dos Anjos
8. Eddie Alvarez
7. Gray Maynard
6. Josh Thomson
5. TJ Grant
4. Gilbert Melendez
3. Ben Henderson
2. Anthony Pettis
1. Michael Chandler

Gonna take a couple of really solid wins for Pettis to displace Chandler I think.

[The iron sheik]

Sorry to hear about your night. I ended up in profit but then again I was mostly just on Barnetto.

I think the most valuable fumble play belongs to me either way, despite that. Somehow managed to think I was playing a parlay with Palelei ITD combined with Barnetto-san. It's 9am, sitting here with a cup of coffee and breakfast before gym and wondering what kind of a moron can't even place bets right, as it turns out I played Krylov ITD with Barnett, and failed to notice. I guess it's time to start actually paying attention.

Well, I guess this happens to everyone some time. Goddamn.

[MD]

Sorry to hear about your night. I ended up in profit but then again I was mostly just on Barnetto.

I think the most valuable fumble play belongs to me either way, despite that. Somehow managed to think I was playing a parlay with Palelei ITD combined with Barnetto-san. It's 9am, sitting here with a cup of coffee and breakfast before gym and wondering what kind of a moron can't even place bets right, as it turns out I played Krylov ITD with Barnett, and failed to notice. I guess it's time to start actually paying attention.

Well, I guess this happens to everyone some time. Goddamn.

I told everyone to play Sonnen points handicap against Shogun. Wanted to go pretty big on it. Posted it on my Twitter. Then of course, I forgot to play it myself. Would have been significantly in profit for the night if I had played it. It happens, and it sucks.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Sorry to hear about your night. I ended up in profit but then again I was mostly just on Barnetto.

I think the most valuable fumble play belongs to me either way, despite that. Somehow managed to think I was playing a parlay with Palelei ITD combined with Barnetto-san. It's 9am, sitting here with a cup of coffee and breakfast before gym and wondering what kind of a moron can't even place bets right, as it turns out I played Krylov ITD with Barnett, and failed to notice. I guess it's time to start actually paying attention.

Well, I guess this happens to everyone some time. Goddamn.

I was going to leave a smart ass comment. But honestly there was nothing more I could say that would make you look anymore foolish than what you have already done to yourself. On a more positive note. It looks like you took my words to heart Mr. Chubby Lumpkins. I give you credit for not being a lazy lump anymore. I have an old photo of you & your mother. You can use it as a before & after photo.

[The iron sheik]

Hey, at least I admitted I made an error. I did it in retrospect, too. Nothing to gain from admitting it. Ended up a winning night either way.
I guess I could be a dishonest liar like you, and claim I didn't bet the things I said I was betting. Only to look good on the internet, too.


By the way, ron paul mentioned in some other thread that he is 6% BF. That's pretty humorous. Not only do you lie about your betting, you also lie about your appearance. It's hilarious. Talk about low self esteem... almost feel bad for making fun of you and embarrassing you.

[Vaughany]

Need to have more chalky -500 plays MD, all about the chalk!