Mlb props

[calmeat]

9/2/11
No Score 1st inning (90w-49L) 64.75%
Yes Series Chase (65w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 87%
Score First (29-26) 53%
Score First Chase (24-2) Open 0 92%
ML Series Chase (35-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (14-1) Open 0 93%

ML Series Chase
Gm1 - PHI - .5x W
Gm1 - MIL - .5x W


Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm1 - NYY - .25x W
Gm1 - TB - .25x L
Gm1 - ATL - .25x L
Gm1 - TEX - .25x W

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 - Tex/BOS - .5x W
Gm1 - MIL/HOU - .25x L

No Score 1st Inning


Score First
MIN - .5x W

Score First Chase
Gm1 - PHI - .25x W
Gm1 - TEX - .5x W

Leans

Yes Score
NYM/WAS W

No Score
PHI/FLA L
CWS/DET L
BALT/TB L

Score First
NP

[calmeat]

9/3/11
No Score 1st inning (90w-49L) 64.75%
Yes Series Chase (66w-10L-1PPD) Open 1 87%
Score First (30-26) 54%
Score First Chase (26-2) Open 0 93%
ML Series Chase (37-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (16-1) Open 2 94%

ML Series Chase
NP


Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm2 - TB - .5x W
Gm2 - ATL - .5x L


Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 - MIL/HOU - .5x W

No Score 1st Inning
SEA/OAK - 1x W
MIN/LAA - 1x L
ARI/SFG - 2x W

Score First
SDP - .5x L

Score First Chase
NP

Leans

Yes Score
BAL/TB W

No Score
CIN/STL L

Score First
NYM L
CWS W

[Alki]

Thanks Cal. Always checking your thread dialy.

[calmeat]

Sorry was away this weekend on my way home tomorrow only play today was finish my Un ML Chase ATL..Winner! here is what i have for tomorrow i will be traveling and hope to get home before game times but may not. so here it is.

9/5/11
No Score 1st inning (93w-51L) 64.58%
Yes Series Chase (68w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 87%
Score First (30-27) 53%
Score First Chase (26-2) Open 0 93%
ML Series Chase (37-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (18-1) Open 0 95%

ML Series Chase
Gm1 - NYY - .25x W


Unofficial ML Series Chase
NP


Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 - ARI/COL - 1x W
Gm1 - MIL/STL - .5x L
Gm1 - NYM/FLA - .25x W
Gm1 - BAL/NYY - .25x W
Gm1 - BOS/TOR - .25x L

No Score 1st Inning
NP

Score First
PHI W
MIN L

Score First Chase
Gm1 - ARI - .5x W
Gm1 - MIL - .5x W
Gm1 - NYM - .25x L
Gm1 - PHI - .5x W
Gm1 - LAA - .5x

Leans

Yes Score
CWS/MIN
KC/OAK

No Score
TEX/TB L
ATL/PHI L
SFG/SD L
HOU/PIT W

Score First
DET W
LAD W
CWS W
NYM L
LAA

[fitguy67]

BOL, as always, Cal

[robfromsc]

cubs/red score in1st inning, great feeling about that one

[robfromsc]

cubs/red score in1st inning, great feeling about that one

[calmeat]

Nice play robfromsc

[calmeat]

9/6/11
No Score 1st inning (93w-51L) 64.58%
Yes Series Chase (71w-10L-1PPD) Open 2 88%
Score First (31-28) 53%
Score First Chase (29-2) Open 2 94%
ML Series Chase (38-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (18-1) Open 0 95%

ML Series Chase
NP


Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm2 - BOS - 1x
Gm2 - BAL - .25x
Gm2 - TEX - .5x


Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 - MIL/STL - 1x
Gm2 - BOS/TOR - .5x
Gm2 - BAL/NYY - .25x

No Score 1st Inning
SEA/LAA - 1x

Score First
NP

Score First Chase
Gm2 - NYM - .5x
Gm2 - LAA - 1x

Leans

Yes Score
HOU/PIT

No Score
NP

Score First
CIN
ARI

[fitguy67]

BOL on Wednesday's card Cal.

[calmeat]

I made a mistake on here by putting BAL as an unofficial play. Really since the NYY series is a 4 game (game 4 in balt) NYY was still an official play yesterday. The Balt pick is just a play that i am doing to see how betting the dog in a chase would do. I added the ML part under leans to show that. Sorry about that.

9/7/11
No Score 1st inning (94w-51L) 64.83%
Yes Series Chase (73w-10L-1PPD) Open 1 88%
Score First (31-28) 53%
Score First Chase (30-2) Open 1 94%
ML Series Chase (39-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (20-1) Open 0 95%

ML Series Chase
NP

Unofficial ML Series Chase
NP

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 - BAL/NYY - .25x W

No Score 1st Inning
DET/CLE - 1x W
TEX/TB - 1x L

Score First
COL

Score First Chase
Gm3 - LAA - 2x L

Leans

Yes Score
SEA/LAA L
LAD/WAS PPD

No Score
CIN/CHC L
BOS/TOR L

Score First
DET L
CIN W

ML
BAL - .5x W
CIN - .5x L

[slim dog]

I ways play you "no's"! Great job! Thanks!

[calmeat]

Hey Slim dog no problem just hope they hit. I have more confidence in the DET no score today then the Texas one. Friday is a reall juicy matchup with im sure will have lots of juice on it. Kershaw vs Lincecum should be a good one.

[fitguy67]

good call on the No's (including your "spidey sense" about DET/CLE being stronger than the TEX/TAM)...i was too late to catch the first one...and decided to give the TEX play a pass as well

[calmeat]

Thanks Fit, yeah i didnt really like the tex one too much i still played it but ended up going smaller on it then the DET game.


9/8/11
No Score 1st inning (95w-52L) 64.63%
Yes Series Chase (74w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 88%
Score First (31-29) 52%
Score First Chase (30-3) Open 0 91%
ML Series Chase (39-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (20-1) Open 0 95%

ML Series Chase
Gm1 - ARI - .5x W

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm1 - PHI - .5x W

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm3 - LAD/WAS - .25x W
Gm4 - LAD/WAS - .5x (If Neccessary) Not needed

No Score 1st Inning
NP

Score First
NP

Score First Chase
Gm3 - LAD - .5x W
Gm4 - LAD - 1x (If neccesary) Not needed
Gm1 - PHI - .25x L


Leans

Yes Score
KC/SEA W
NYY/BALT L

No Score
SD/ARI W
Gm1 - PHI/MIL - .25x (chasing series for NO) W


Score First
TOR W
KC L

ML
LAD - .5x (chase to game 2 of DH if needed) W
NYY - .5x L
CWS - .25x W
KC - .25x L

[calmeat]

9/9/11
No Score 1st inning (95w-52L) 64.63%
Yes Series Chase (75w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 88%
Score First (31-29) 52%
Score First Chase (31-3) Open 1 91%
ML Series Chase (40-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (21-1) Open 0 95%

ML Series Chase
Gm2 - ARI - .25x (4game Series)

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm2 - PHI - .25x (4game Series)
Gm1 - DET - .25x (Skipping)
Gm1 - TOR - .25x (Skipping)
Gm1 - TEX - .5x
Gm1 - NYY - .25x

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 - FLA/PIT - .5x
Gm1 - BAL/TOR - .25x
Gm1 - BOS/TB - .5x
Gm1 - NYY/LAA - .25x (SKipping)


No Score 1st Inning
Gm1 - LAD/SFG - 2x - Chasing series for NO score

Score First
NP

Score First Chase
Gm2 - PHI - .5x


Leans

Yes Score
KC/SEA
CHC/NYM

No Score
PHI/MIL
OAK/TEX
CIn/COL

Score First
CIN
OAK
SEA

ML
NP

[fitguy67]

appreciatively awaiting the next slate of picks...this is my favorite mlb thread...quality picks and no dumbass trolls cluttering it up...

(same goes for the Bob&Double-Dime thread that this one spun off from)

[calmeat]

Thanks... Just played the next picks in my chase yesterday and did pretty good. NYY ML is the only thing left.
9/11/11
No Score 1st inning (96w-53L) 64.43%
Yes Series Chase (78w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 89%
Score First (31-29) 52%
Score First Chase (32-3) Open 0 91%
ML Series Chase (41-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (25-1) Open 1 95%

ML Series Chase


Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm3 - NYY - 1x

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
NP


No Score 1st Inning
LAD/SFG - 1x

Score First
ARI

Score First Chase
NP


Leans

Yes Score
CIN/COL

No Score
BOS/TB
NYY/LAA


Score First
NP

ML
NP

[sos41]

Cal,
I have followed you as a lurker, and I appreciate the picks, and your approach to bases. Good job, and thank you.

SOS

[Alki]

appreciatively awaiting the next slate of picks...this is my favorite mlb thread...quality picks and no dumbass trolls cluttering it up...

(same goes for the Bob&Double-Dime thread that this one spun off from)

Double ditto from me as well.
two best threads on MLB and now just this one since DD called it a season.

Thanks Cal. May not post much but read every day.

[Alki]

By the way,
Where can we find you for the other fall sports?
Can you post a link for us?

Thanks Cal.

[815Sox]

great thread, thanks

[calmeat]

Hey all thanks for the kind words. I dont have any other threads for any other sports but if i do create one i will make sure i post on here for you guys. Here is what i got for today.

9/12/11
No Score 1st inning (97w-53L) 64.67%
Yes Series Chase (79w-10L-1PPD) Open 0 89%
Score First (31-30) 51%
Score First Chase (32-3) Open 0 91%
ML Series Chase (41-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (26-1) Open 0 96%

ML Series Chase
Gm1 - NYY - .25
Gm1 - PHI - .5x

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm1 - TB - .25x
Gm1 - STL - .25x
Gm1 - ATL - .25x

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 - NYY/SEA - .25x


No Score 1st Inning
NP

Score First
NP

Score First Chase
Gm1 - PHI - .5x
Gm1 - TB - .5x


Leans

Yes Score
WAS/NYM

No Score
SD/SFG


Score First
NP

ML
NP

[fitguy67]

in addition to this thread, LoveTheAction's got a good intelligent and troll-free thing going as well (and it focuses largely on over/under bets...so the two complement each other nicely)

[calmeat]

Here we go again. I am praying for phils win, i went bigger than i should have last night so chasing that now and lots of juice so my phils really need to win tonight to keep me going. I also love the MIL trifecta (MIL score First, MIL/COL Yes score in first, MIL ML) tonight.


9/13/11
No Score 1st inning (97w-53L) 64.67%
Yes Series Chase (79w-10L-1PPD) Open 1 89%
Score First (31-30) 51%
Score First Chase (34-3) Open 0 92%
ML Series Chase (42-0-1) Open 1 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (27-1) Open 2 96%

ML Series Chase
Gm2 - PHI - 1x L

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm2 - STL - .5x W
Gm2 - ATL - .5x W
Gm1 - MIL - .5x W


Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 - NYY/SEA - .5x L
Gm1 - TOR/BOS - .25x W
Gm1 - COL/MIL - .25x L


No Score 1st Inning
ARI/LAD - 2x L
SD/sFG - 1x L

Score First
TB L
MIL L

Score First Chase
Gm1 - MIL - .25x L


Leans

Yes Score
WAS/NYM L

No Score
DET/CWS W

Score First
TB L
MIL
DET

ML
NP

[fitguy67]

Condolences on the Phils, Cal...hope that the rest of the card softens the blow a bit.

[calmeat]

Thanks Fit unfortunately my bad choice has cost me. I had a small BR to begin with so that loss hurt a lot. It was a stupid bet, a stupid choice and stupid money management, all a bad recipe for a BR. If i would have just played it my normal way i would probably be around even or up a little since i would have been able to play the rest of the card. Unfortunately i was not able to play the card so with only 20 in the BR not sure if ill be playing ball anymore. I def wont be spending nearly the same time on it. I may only play my ML chases but also may turn my focus to NFL. Ill post any plays for MLB here that i am going to play.

[shipsn2010]

I hope you do keep on posting your mlb plays, they r money. We all get caught up in the moment don't beat yourself up over it. I think it has happened to us all at one point. You are a good capper when it comes to your mlb, keep it up. I hope you'll be back next year. I followed some of your plays this year with my own and did very well. Thank you for your help and your posts. We appriciate it.

[fitguy67]

fitguy's "two" rules

rule #1. stick to your system (especially your bet-sizing...when in doubt underbet but NEVER overbet)
rule #2. repeat rule #1

ships hit the nail right on the coffin...don't beat yourself up over it...reload when you can and vow to follow rule#1 and rule#2 religiously henceforth (btw, i've crashed several times and each time it's from violating the "two" rules above)

i, and many others here echo ships sentiment...we hope you continue...but according to your schedule...we all need time to "lick our wounds" when--as they say in the military--things get FU (effed up) seemingly BAR (beyond all repair)

[calmeat]

Thanks guys. Yeah it sucks luckily i still had 23 dollars left in the account so its back to betting to win a dollar for now. I am done with First inning no scores, Score First and SF chase (unless there is something i see). I think i am going to keep playing the ML chases and focus more on them. Hope it all works out.

Not only was i stupid with real money i pissed away about 550 worth of SBR points. double whammy.

[shipsn2010]

Lets get it today there is still a few weeks left.

[calmeat]

Alright back at it today. Note I am primarily playing ML chases. No Score first innings are out of officials and now going to post them as leans instead.

9/15/11
No Score 1st inning (97w-55L) 63.82%
Yes Series Chase (81w-11L-1PPD) Open 0 88%
Score First (31-30) 51%
Score First Chase (35-3) Open 0 92%
ML Series Chase (43-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (31-1) Open 0 97%

ML Series Chase
Gm1 - PHI - .25x W
Gm2 - PHI - .5x (if needed) W

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm1 - DET - .25x

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm1 - TB/BOS - .25x L
Gm1 - SFG/COL - .25x W

Score First Chase
NP


Leans

Yes Score
Gm1 - FLA/PHI
CWS/KC

No Score
DET/OAK -2x

Score First
TB
CIN
CWS

ML
NP

[fitguy67]

keep polishing up the tools (and the "discipline & patience"), Cal...the BR and the SBR points will creep up naturally...

[Alki]

Thanks for posting Cal. Appreciate it and GL.

[calmeat]

9/16/11
No Score 1st inning (97w-55L) 63.82%
Yes Series Chase (82w-11L-1PPD) Open 1 88%
Score First (31-30) 51%
Score First Chase (35-3) Open 0 92%
ML Series Chase (44-0-1) Open 0 100% (started 6/22)
Unofficial ML Series Chase (31-1) Open 1 97%

ML Series Chase
NP

Unofficial ML Series Chase
Gm2 - DET - .5x
Gm1 - LAA - .5x L
Gm1 - ARI - .25x
Gm1 - TEX - .5x

Yes Score 1st Inning Chase
Gm2 - TB/BOS - .5x W
Gm1 - NYY/TOR - .25x W
Gm1 - MIL/CIN - .25x W

Score First Chase
NP