LTA's MLB Plays

[No coincidences]

Glad to have you back bro, more so because it means your son is out of the woods.

Locking in some early plays here.....each small for the moment.....may add or even buy out depending further looks in the morning.

Phillies -107
Pit/Clev U 8
Col +154
Zona +125
Giants -110

I might put 10 units on the Phils Red.

[Redscot]

I might put 10 units on the Phils Red.

All kidding aside, I do like the play a good deal....decided tonight to finally try to take advantage of the 5Dimes overnight lines which I seem to beat the closer on more than not. Still, playing it cautious and going small for the time being. GL if you go large on it NoCo

[scoon1976]

LTA, greatly appreciate everything you do, have learnt so much from you can't thank you enough.....never post on here but going to start more.
Great to hear your family is OK.......

[aussieH]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 6/15/2012

Play #1

White Sox/Dodgers under (5.5)(+100) 3x (Locked)

My little guy got a ton of antibiotics and is starting to feel better. I don't have to worry about work until 6am. I really appreciate everyone's well wishes. I'm having a beer, feeling good and loving this under so I am rolling that way for 3x. Good luck.

This game is u/o 7.5???

Also good to hear your son is okay. At that age when they get a high fever they get Lifeless and is can be worrisome.

[taxe91]

This game is u/o 7.5???

Also good to hear your son is okay. At that age when they get a high fever they get Lifeless and is can be worrisome.

his play was in reference to the previous game

[Redscot]

I might put 10 units on the Phils Red.

Ump Schrieber should help this play imo. He's got one of the stingiest strike zones and while Lee has pinpoint control, wildness continues to be Romero's bugaboo.

[hey buddy]

Ump Schrieber should help this play imo. He's got one of the stingiest strike zones and while Lee has pinpoint control, wildness continues to be Romero's bugaboo.

Ruiz is out for the Phillies so that depletes their offense even more. GL with the play but just wanted to let you know in case you didn't know.

[Redscot]

Ruiz is out for the Phillies so that depletes their offense even more. GL with the play but just wanted to let you know in case you didn't know.

Thanks buddy.

[Les_Nuts]

I really like zona and Saunders today too red, missed that +125 overnight though . Can still get +120

[Redscot]

Looks like a probable buy out in Cleveland. High chance of rain and wind blowing out pretty strong.

[pacocn]

Lta, happy to hear the "little man" is on the mend.
Can't beat anti biotics when needed.

[Vasco]

Thanks for everyone's well wishes. My little guy should be feeling better soon. Not sure if I will have time for games tomorrow, but I'm feeling good right now so I'm playing the under and wanted to drop in and say hi and thank everyone for their well wishes. It's great to feel a sense of community. Thanks and good luck to all.

LTA, great to hear that your son is doing better. Hopefully it's a speedy recovery.

[EXhoosier10]

Looks like a probable buy out in Cleveland. High chance of rain and wind blowing out pretty strong.

Wunderground only shows 10% chance of rain and 6mph wind?

[Derty D]

Nothing is more important than the health of your family...NOTHING! I am relieved to read your son is doing better. The fact that we are virtually all strangers at SBR means little, but the common denominator of the understanding of having a sick child bridges us together which I think is really uplifting. All too often people trash one another for what, a lost bet? In comparison, it's not even close. LTA, you are a great contributor to this site and let all the well wishers (including myself) be a sign we appreciate you.

I wish you continued success and a full recovery for your son.

Derty D

[Vasco]

Glad to have you back bro, more so because it means your son is out of the woods.

Locking in some early plays here.....each small for the moment.....may add or even buy out depending further looks in the morning.

Phillies -107
Pit/Clev U 8 -110
Col +154
Zona +125
Giants -110

I leaned AZ the last 2 days as underdogs, but didn't pull the trigger. Definitely like them again, can it be 3 days in a row? I like the value of Colorado, now down to +142. Will Cliff Lee ever win a game? In the Pitt/Cle game, I like the Pirates at +122 instead of the under. I was also leaning over in the Angels/DBacks, but missed the move to 8.5. Good luck with your plays.

[Redscot]

Wunderground only shows 10% chance of rain and 6mph wind?

http://www.wunderground.com/sports/MLB/hometeam/Cleveland:Indians.html?st=1339938300

Was going by this. Tomorrow's game, lol. Thanks for pointing that out Hoosier. Today looks like 10mph blowing out game time.

[Redscot]

Ruh-Roh on that Phillie line movement, looking like a bad play......

[OzLand]

Go Phillies... I am with you Red, it just started moving late! Lee will get it done...

[Trivial]

Heya Red - I am tailing you today brother. BOL.

[Redscot]

Heya Red - I am tailing you today brother. BOL.

Would of liked a better start that is for sure. Up 5-2 and couldn't hold it.....let's hope for better luck as the day moves on.

[Donkeys2012]

Baseball is an absolute joke this year. Just lost another ******* under with 2 outs in the ******* 9th again for the 50th time this year. Im done with these donkey ass relievers. **** U Nick Hagone u ******* smuck.

[Trivial]

Baseball is an absolute joke this year. Just lost another ******* under with 2 outs in the ******* 9th again for the 50th time this year. Im done with these donkey ass relievers. **** U Nick Hagone u ******* smuck.

I hear you. Unreal these under losses in the 9th when the team that scores is leading by a lot or the team that has no chance is trying to save face.

[Redscot]

Wow, brutal start. Lost connection here for a while with a big storm. Phillies up 5-2 in 8th, and Pirate game lost in the ninth. Colorado was always a speculative play and had the closer beat. Very frustrating indeed.

[Redscot]

Not recommending a tail here, but gonna increase my stakes on the S.F. Game. Probably a bit of chase here, but I feel confident that even a limping Lincecum, and a hot Giants team, is better than Millwood who is coming off a groin injury. Gonna try and get a little more value here and go with the -1 RL at +121. GL fellas, and if anyone was tailing the Phil's and Pirates game, I feel your pain.

[Catchn_Picks]

I agree Red FWIW...here is a write-up from someone I respect. Not nearly as detailed as you and LTA with advance stats but he comes to the same conclusion. GL

****

The Mariners lost again last night. They’ve now lost six straight, all at home and during that stretch they’ve been outscored 32-13 while hitting a combined .212. The Giants have hit .274 over their past six games and will now face Kevin Millwood. Millwood is a 10-year veteran and is certainly pitching better this year than he has in recent seasons but at the age of 37, it’s unwise to expect it to last. He was a non-roster invitee to the M’s and barely made the team out of spring training. Millwood is just 1-2 at Safeco with a 5.47 ERA. Tim Lincecum has all the skills to dominate a lineup and could get hot at any time. He has 77 K’s in 72 innings but has been hurt hard by a poor strand rate and too many walks. On the positive side, his groundball//line-drive/fly-ball splits are fine and along with his xERA, all numbers still attest to a very good 27-year-old starting pitcher who should see better results coming months. It's just that the walks and low strand rate have at least temporarily dinged his once-unquestioned ace status. Lincecum spotting a small number against Millwood and the reeling Mariners is a high percentage play.

[Redscot]

Wow, I can't remember taking such a beating in recent memory. Terrible day. Gotta put it in the rear view mirror and move on. This would be a good time to ride in on a white horse LTA and rescue me, .

[Catchn_Picks]

Wow, I can't remember taking such a beating in recent memory. Terrible day. Gotta put it in the rear view mirror and move on. This would be a good time to ride in on a white horse LTA and rescue me, .

Yea, that didn't exactly work out as planned. I just hate Billingsly. But even more clear is that something is really wrong with Lincecum. He is so young to have fallen off so dramatically.

[meader99]

Happy Fathers Day to all the Daddys out there. GL with all yoru plays.

[TC Woods]

Since LTA has taken a leave of absence, can ya recommend someone I can tail?

I suck at picking my own winners

[Les_Nuts]

Red, surely you are all over your man Williams for the angels tonight. Going against Cain off a no-hitter, just grabbed him at -105

[H1Cypher]

Since LTA has taken a leave of absence, can ya recommend someone I can tail?

I suck at picking my own winners

Check out LTProfits daily threads 31 games above .500 in 231+ picks up over 34 units.
Here is his thread today in the SBR baseball forums:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-betting/1771784-mlb-tuesday-6-19-12-a.html

[CappinTerp]

Check out LTProfits daily threads 31 games above .500 in 231+ picks up over 34 units.
Here is his thread today in the SBR baseball forums:
http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-b...6-19-12-a.html

LT is a good steady capper,but in baseball w/l records mean little.

[H1Cypher]

LT is a good steady capper,but in baseball w/l records mean little.

Herp derp, I was answering a question. Herp derp, guh ugh....

What are you talking about again? Are you just upset I didn't direct him to your +28 unit thread that was down 20 units at some point. Nice way getting back up in the black varying your unit amounts so much when you were down with bad handicappinng after the preseason heater.

[CappinTerp]

Herp derp, I was answering a question. Herp derp, guh ugh....

What are you talking about again? Are you just upset I didn't direct him to your +28 unit thread that was down 20 units at some point. Nice way getting back up in the black varying your unit amounts so much when you were down with bad handicappinng after the preseason heater.

Varying my unit amounts so much.??? I am one of the most Conservative cappers here,what are you talking about,?? I went out of my way to give LT a congrats on a good job.................and YES in baseball W/L records do not mean much. Ask anyone who has been betting baseball 10+ years.!! Good luck to ya.

[Jpag]

Is lta on a break or something