Line Movement Plays , An Experiment

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • kingofmonash
    Restricted User
    • 04-11-10
    • 631

    #176
    EXP 1 (friday)
    Pittsburg (+128) 1x L
    Toronto (-150) 2x L
    New York Mets (+100) 1x L
    Atlanta (-172) 1x W
    Florida (+150) 1x L
    Kansas (+144) 1x L
    Angels (-119) 2x L
    Seattle (-131) 1x W
    2-6 (-7.4)

    EXP 1 (Saturday)
    Phillies (-160) 1x W
    washington (-170) 1x W
    new york mets (+113) 1x L
    cubs (-110) 1x L
    detroit (-170) 2x L
    tampa bay (-120) 1x W
    baltimore (+159) 1x L
    minnesota (+105) 1x L
    3-5 (-4.5)

    5-11 (-11.90) SINCE JULY 1
    Comment
    • kingofmonash
      Restricted User
      • 04-11-10
      • 631

      #177
      OFFICIAL EXPERIMENT 2a) (these plays are the fade of the earlier EXP 2a) you can tail these plays

      florida +155 (2x) L
      dodgers +112 (2x) W

      1-1 (+0.24)

      EXP 2b)

      Pittsburg (+129) 2x
      Texas (-161) 2x

      1-1

      EXP 2c) (these are also a fade of earlier exp 2c) u can tail these

      CWS (-119) 2X
      Detroit Tigers (-120) 2x
      Tampa Bay (-136) 2x
      kansas city (+146) 2x

      1-3 (-5.1)
      Comment
      • kingofmonash
        Restricted User
        • 04-11-10
        • 631

        #178
        EXP 2a) Saturday

        New York Yankees (-120) 2x W
        Atlanta (-174) 2x W
        Oakland (-130) 2x L

        2-1 (+1.40)
        3-2 (+1.64) SINCE july 1

        EXP 2B)

        houston (+133) 2x
        0-1 (-2 units)
        1-2 (-2)SINCE JULY 1

        EXP 2C)

        New York Yankees (-120)2x W
        Florida (+150) 1x W
        2-0 (+3.50)
        3-3 (-1.60)SINCE JULY 1
        Comment
        • kingofmonash
          Restricted User
          • 04-11-10
          • 631

          #179
          For those who intend to tail , tail either EXP 2 or EXP 1 , not both as we may have contradicting plays !!
          Comment
          • kingofmonash
            Restricted User
            • 04-11-10
            • 631

            #180
            EXPERIMENT 2a) SUNDAY

            phillies (-170)2x
            oakland (-114)2x
            florida (+182) 2x

            EXP 2b)
            Detroit (-126) 2x
            toronto (+165) 2x

            EXP 2c)
            cincinnati (-169) 2x
            minnesota (+113) 2x
            boston(-190)2x
            cubs (+119) 2x
            Comment
            • Vin_vermillion
              Restricted User
              • 01-24-11
              • 1537

              #181
              King - have you made any conclusions yet?

              I like Toronto today due to line movement....
              Comment
              • kingofmonash
                Restricted User
                • 04-11-10
                • 631

                #182
                EXPERIMENT 1(Sunday)

                washington (-147) 2x
                tampa (-146) 2x
                minnesota (+111) 1x
                cubs (+122) 1x
                Comment
                • kingofmonash
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-11-10
                  • 631

                  #183
                  Originally posted by Vin_vermillion
                  King - have you made any conclusions yet?

                  I like Toronto today due to line movement....
                  vin the latest line moves are against toronto ( just 2 mins back) it was almost a play for me , but strangely as i started typing the line moved off

                  my conclusions from this are that i am playing the plays as they come with no extra refinement , the only change i made is in experiment 2a) and exp 2c) ---> the plays i am posting from july 1 are an automatic fade of the earlier EXP 2 a and c plays !! so now anyone who wishes to tail wont get confused

                  hope this makes sense, i can explain more if required
                  Comment
                  • kingofmonash
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-11-10
                    • 631

                    #184
                    Originally posted by kingofmonash
                    experiment 2a) sunday

                    phillies (-170)2x l
                    oakland (-114)2xw
                    florida (+182) 2x w
                    2-1(+2.24)
                    5-3(+3.86)

                    exp 2b)
                    detroit (-126) 2x w
                    toronto (+165) 2x w

                    2-0(+5.3)
                    3-2(+3.3)

                    exp 2c)
                    cincinnati (-169) 2x w
                    minnesota (+113) 2x w
                    boston(-190)2x w
                    cubs (+119) 2x w
                    4-0 (+8.64)
                    7-3 (+7.04)
                    Comment
                    • kingofmonash
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-11-10
                      • 631

                      #185
                      Originally posted by kingofmonash
                      experiment 1(sunday)

                      washington (-147) 2x l
                      tampa (-146) 2x w
                      minnesota (+111) 1x w
                      cubs (+122) 1x w
                      3-1 (2.35)
                      4-4(-2.75)
                      Comment
                      • 818z_finest
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-19-11
                        • 178

                        #186
                        any plays for today?
                        Comment
                        • Cranium
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-05-08
                          • 363

                          #187
                          bump
                          Comment
                          • kingofmonash
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-11-10
                            • 631

                            #188
                            sorry guys wasnt able to post on time yesterday. i went 4-2 in exp 2a) but not counting it as i didnt post
                            Comment
                            • kingofmonash
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-11-10
                              • 631

                              #189
                              EXPERIMENT 2a) TUESDAY

                              detroit tigers (-109) 1 unit

                              EXP 2B)
                              DODGERS (-124) 2X
                              TORONTO (+216) 2X

                              EXP2C)
                              MILWUAKEE (-154) 2X
                              DETROIT (-109) 2X
                              Comment
                              • kingofmonash
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-11-10
                                • 631

                                #190
                                i have some more interesting ideas for totals thread ,but i can only post em a few mins before game time as i gotta watch the line move till as late as possible before game time , and a variation on EXP 1 is on the cards as well, may start a new thread for totals or may post them here, but perhaps it might be too confusing and incoherent.
                                Comment
                                • kingofmonash
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-11-10
                                  • 631

                                  #191
                                  EXPERIMENT 1

                                  cubs (+118) 1x
                                  atlanta (-145) 1x
                                  florida (+141) 2x
                                  arizona (+149) 2x
                                  padres (+135) 2x
                                  kansas (+136) 1x
                                  minnesota (+105) 2x
                                  angels(+103) 1x
                                  Comment
                                  • kingofmonash
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-11-10
                                    • 631

                                    #192
                                    EXPERIMENT C - TOTALS PLAYS

                                    pitts over 7 (-102) 1x
                                    cubs under 9 (-113) 1x
                                    nyy under 7.5 (-115) 1x
                                    atlanta under 7 (-116) 1x
                                    florida under 7.5 (-120) 1x
                                    boston under 9.5 (-113) 1x
                                    cws under 8.5 (-120) 1x
                                    detroit over 6 (-115) 1x
                                    seattle over 6.5 (-105) 1x]
                                    Comment
                                    • kingofmonash
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-11-10
                                      • 631

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                      experiment 2a) tuesday

                                      detroit tigers (-109) 1 unit l
                                      0-1 (-1.10)
                                      5-4 (+2.76)

                                      exp 2b)
                                      dodgers (-124) 2x l
                                      toronto (+216) 2x l
                                      0-2 (-4.50)
                                      3-4 (-1.2)

                                      exp2c)
                                      milwuakee (-154) 2x l
                                      detroit (-109) 2x l
                                      0-2 (-5.66)
                                      7-5(+1.38)
                                      Comment
                                      • kingofmonash
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-11-10
                                        • 631

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                        EXPERIMENT 1

                                        cubs (+118) 1x L
                                        atlanta (-145) 1x W
                                        florida (+141) 2x L
                                        arizona (+149) 2x W
                                        padres (+135) 2x W
                                        kansas (+136) 1x W
                                        minnesota (+105) 2x W
                                        angels(+103) 1x W
                                        6-2 (+8.5)
                                        10-6 (+5.75) -------------->>>>>>>>>>. BACK TO OUR OLD FORM
                                        Comment
                                        • kingofmonash
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-11-10
                                          • 631

                                          #195
                                          EXPERIMENT 2a) WEDNESDAY

                                          tampa bay (+124) 2x
                                          cleveland indians (-105) 2x
                                          toronto (+112) 2x
                                          atlanta (-190) 2x
                                          dodgers (-117) 2x

                                          EXP2b)
                                          new york yankees (+100) 2x
                                          cubs (+129) 2x

                                          EXP2c)
                                          tampa (+124) 2x
                                          houston (+112) 2x
                                          toronto (+112)2x
                                          atlanta (-190) 2x
                                          st louis (-124) 2x
                                          dodgers (-112) 2x
                                          padres (+142) 2x
                                          Comment
                                          • kingofmonash
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-11-10
                                            • 631

                                            #196
                                            noearly qualificationsfor EXP 1 yet
                                            Comment
                                            • kingofmonash
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-11-10
                                              • 631

                                              #197
                                              exp1

                                              tampa bay(+104)1x
                                              Comment
                                              • kingofmonash
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-11-10
                                                • 631

                                                #198
                                                exp1 contd

                                                royals(+126) 1x
                                                baltimore(+168)1x
                                                florida 2x
                                                Comment
                                                • kingofmonash
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-11-10
                                                  • 631

                                                  #199
                                                  Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                                  EXPERIMENT 2a) WEDNESDAY

                                                  tampa bay (+124) 2x W
                                                  cleveland indians (-105) 2x W
                                                  toronto (+112) 2x L
                                                  atlanta (-190) 2x W
                                                  dodgers (-117) 2x L
                                                  3-2 (+2.14)
                                                  8-6(+4.90) SINCE JULY 1

                                                  EXP2b)
                                                  new york yankees (+100) 2x
                                                  cubs (+129) 2x
                                                  0-2 (-4)
                                                  3-6(-5.2)

                                                  EXP2c)
                                                  tampa (+124) 2x W
                                                  houston (+112) 2x W
                                                  toronto (+112)2x L
                                                  atlanta (-190) 2x W
                                                  st louis (-124) 2x L
                                                  dodgers (-112) 2x L
                                                  padres (+142) 2x L
                                                  3-4 (-1.76)
                                                  10-9(-0.36)

                                                  EXP 2 a doing exactly as it is meant to , suprised with exp 2b (early to call it in yet)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kingofmonash
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-11-10
                                                    • 631

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                                    exp1 contd
                                                    tampa bay(+104)1x w
                                                    royals(+126) 1x w
                                                    baltimore(+168)1x l
                                                    florida 2x
                                                    w
                                                    3-1 (+3.3)
                                                    13-7 (+9.05)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kingofmonash
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-11-10
                                                      • 631

                                                      #201
                                                      exp 2a)

                                                      yankees (-179) 2x
                                                      white sox (-150) 2x
                                                      atlanta (-167) 2x
                                                      san diego (+106) 2x

                                                      exp 2b)
                                                      no qualif

                                                      exp 2c)
                                                      atlanta (-167) 2x
                                                      boston (-155) 2x
                                                      florida (-133) 2x
                                                      oakland (+123) 2x
                                                      white sox (-150) 2x
                                                      kansas (+113) 2x
                                                      arizona (+132) 2x
                                                      new york mets (140) 2x
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kingofmonash
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-11-10
                                                        • 631

                                                        #202
                                                        exp 1)

                                                        yankees (-180) 1x
                                                        indians (-103) 1x
                                                        cubs (+102) 2x
                                                        houston (+111) 1x
                                                        kansas (+113) 1x
                                                        minnesota (+140) 1x
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kingofmonash
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-11-10
                                                          • 631

                                                          #203
                                                          atlanta gettin exp 2a and c off to a flyer
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 818z_finest
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-19-11
                                                            • 178

                                                            #204
                                                            BOL tonight... if the line keeps moving up/down... like cubs are now -103 and houston is +130... do we still bet? thanks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kingofmonash
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-11-10
                                                              • 631

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by 818z_finest
                                                              BOL tonight... if the line keeps moving up/down... like cubs are now -103 and houston is +130... do we still bet? thanks
                                                              if line moves down more than 0.07c from my posted line add 1 more unit !!

                                                              if line moves up by more than 0.07c from posted line abort play / hedge out
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kingofmonash
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 04-11-10
                                                                • 631

                                                                #206
                                                                Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                                                exp 1)

                                                                yankees (-180) 1x l
                                                                indians (-103) 1x w
                                                                cubs (+102) 2x w
                                                                houston (+111) 1x l
                                                                kansas (+113) 1x l
                                                                minnesota (+140) 1x w
                                                                3-3(+0.64)
                                                                16-10(+9.69)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kingofmonash
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-11-10
                                                                  • 631

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by kingofmonash
                                                                  exp 2a)

                                                                  yankees (-179) 2x l
                                                                  white sox (-150) 2x l
                                                                  atlanta (-167) 2x w
                                                                  san diego (+106) 2x l
                                                                  1-3 (-6.6)
                                                                  9-9 (-1.7)

                                                                  exp 2b)
                                                                  no qualif

                                                                  exp 2c)
                                                                  atlanta (-167) 2x w
                                                                  boston (-155) 2x w
                                                                  florida (-133) 2x w
                                                                  oakland (+123) 2x l
                                                                  white sox (-150) 2x l
                                                                  kansas (+113) 2x l
                                                                  arizona (+132) 2x w
                                                                  new york mets (140) 2x l
                                                                  4-4 (-0.36)
                                                                  14-13 (-0.72)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kingofmonash
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-11-10
                                                                    • 631

                                                                    #208
                                                                    EXP 2a) Friday

                                                                    yankees (-141) 2x
                                                                    phillies (-166) 2x
                                                                    florida (-141) 2x
                                                                    oakland (+141) 2x
                                                                    dodgers (-118) 2x


                                                                    EXP 2b)
                                                                    no qlfrs

                                                                    EXP 2C)
                                                                    BOSTON (-210) 2X
                                                                    FLORIDA (-141) 2X
                                                                    WHITE SOX (-157) 2X
                                                                    CINCINATTI (+125) 2X
                                                                    DODGERS (-118) 2X
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kingofmonash
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 04-11-10
                                                                      • 631

                                                                      #209
                                                                      EXP 1

                                                                      florida (-141) 1x
                                                                      boston (-210) 1x
                                                                      minnesota(+148) 1x
                                                                      milwuakee (-133) 1x
                                                                      kansas (+105) 2x
                                                                      arizona (+107) 1.5x
                                                                      laa (-167) 2x
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • kingofmonash
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 04-11-10
                                                                        • 631

                                                                        #210
                                                                        exp c totals (test phase only)

                                                                        chicago / pitts under 8.5 runs (-117) 1x
                                                                        atlanta / phils under 6.5 runs (-105) 1x
                                                                        tampa / nyy over 9 (-107) 0.5x
                                                                        houston / florida under 8 (-107) 3x
                                                                        cincinni / brewers over 8 (-113) 1x
                                                                        baltimmore / boston under 8.5 (+100) 1x
                                                                        arizona / st louis under 7.5 (-112) 2x
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...