Line Movement Plays , An Experiment

[kingofmonash]

4-1 , so far in EXP 1 . cubs game pending . with 2 bases loaded.

[Bengals28]

Man we gotta cash cow here.

[kingofmonash]

very interesting facts with your 2b system play.
I have made another system with your 2b system.
I back tracked it from 6/6 to until today and this is the result.

I did O/U Testing with these the record is 13-3-4 (Win-Push-Loss)

is it the overs record?

[SamWise]

is it the overs record?

no...

this is how i approached.

If your 2b system pick is above .500 against opposing team less than .500, then you play OVER

If your 2b system pick is above .500 against opposing team more than .500, then you play OVER

If your 2b system pick is less than .500 against opposing team less than .500, then you play OVER

If your 2b system pick is less than .500 against opposing team more than .500, then you play Under.

Interestingly, 2b system picks for Cinncinati have LOST BOTH times 2 out of 2.

Also, I think it will be good to filter a no play if the opposing pitcher has ERA Below 1.00 of last 3 starts.

Just some interesting facts.

[SamWise]

also do you mind explaining how you got system 1 picks?

[SamWise]

nvm i just saw u posted.
its kind of confusing. i am gonna try to stick with 2b system pick

[peeiempee]

Line movement the last 4 days according to my perception of line movement has been 16-2. Anyone track this long term and have any results?

[kingofmonash]

peeiempee line movement plays differ from eye to eye. Every person has a certain set of criteria prefitted into his mind and it varies from induvidual to induvidual. Beauty lies in the eye of the beholder! So i believe no 2 peoples line movement plays can be the same over a number of days. Infact I am coming up with EXP 1b) - a variation of my original live movement plays very soon.

Its audit time I guess. Excellent progress goes on With EXPERIMENT 2B) it goes 2-0 now on a 18-4 run

[Bengals28]

You're still waiting till next week to wager real money right?

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 1

Phillies (-164) 1x W
Washington Nationals (-130) 1x W
Colorado Rockies (-130) 1x W
L.A Angels (-127) 2x L
Oakland (+123) 2x W
cubs (+113) 2x L


Games posted a hour in advance. May add more later for the later games, if lines move like wise

4-2 (+0.92)
76-43 (+57.38)

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a)

cleveland indians (+122) 2x l
new york yankees (+126)2x ppd
oakland athletics (+132) 2x w
houston astros (+215) 2x l

1-2 (-1.36)
14-28(-27.54) -------------> fade away run is still on , nice consistency

Exp 2b)

l.a dodgers (+106) 2x
florida marlins (+122) 2x

2-0 (4.56)
18-4 (+32.63)

Exp 2c)

cleveland (+122) 1x l
atlanta braves (-120) 1x w
oakland athletics (+132) 1x w
houston (+215) 1x l
cubs (+127) 1x l
st. Louis (+163) 1x l

2-4 (-1.68)
24-41 (-15.86) fade going on nice here as well

[kingofmonash]

You're still waiting till next week to wager real money right?

yes, 10 bucks a pop initially

[jolmscheid]

Real good numbers here King...will be interesting to see how this plays out the rest of the season!

[kingofmonash]

EXP 2a)

yankees (garcia) 2x
seattle 2x
yankees (gordon) 2x
st. louis 2x
san fransisco giants 2x

EXP 2B)

TEXAS (2x)
ST. LOUIS (2X)

EXP 2C)

NEW YORK YANKEES (GARCIA) 1X
NEW YORK YANKEES (GORDON) 1X
CHICAGO WS 1X
KANSAS CITY 1X

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 1

Cincinnati GM 1 (-116) 2x
Atlanta (-150) 1X
Boston -1 (-127) 1x
Detroit (-105) 2x
Oakland (-107) 2x
Cubs (+164) 1x

more plays later if they qualify

[kingofmonash]

atlanta upgraded to 2x (EXP 1)

[Bengals28]

Starting my tailing with exp 1 today.

[kingofmonash]

added

tampa bay 2x (late line move)
minnesota +117 (2x)
KC (+108) 1X

[Bengals28]

missed tampa and KC..

[Bengals28]

lol first day I tail a losing day

[Cannon]

It always works that way.

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 1

Cincinnati GM 1 (-116) 2x L
Atlanta (-150) 1X W
Boston -1 (-127) 1x (PUSH) RAIN AFFECTED GAME, ALL HANDICAP/TOTAL BETS GRADED AS A PUSH IN MY BOOK
Detroit (-105) 2x W
Oakland (-107) 2x L
Cubs (+164) 1x L
tampa bay 2x (late line move) W
minnesota +117 (2x) L
KC (+108) 1X L

3-5 (-4.66)
79-48(+52.72) ----------------> CORRECTION HAS STARTED AS EXPECTED

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a)

yankees (garcia) 2x w
seattle 2x l
yankees (gordon) 2x l
st. Louis 2x l
san fransisco giants 2x w

2-3 (-1.64)
16-31 (-29.18)

exp 2b)

texas (2x) l
st. Louis (2x) l

0-2 (-5.80)
18-6 (+26.80)

exp 2c)

new york yankees (garcia) 1x w
new york yankees (gordon) 1x l
chicago ws 1x w
kansas city 1x l

2-2 (+0.16)
26-43(-15.70)

[kingofmonash]

Experiment 2 a) Thursday

Oakland Athletics (+124) 2x
Kansas City Royals (+104) 2x

EXP 2B)

San Fransisco Giants (-170) 2x

EXP 2C)

Oakland (+124) 1x

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1

St. Louis (-110) 2x
Kansas City (+104) 1x
Minnesota (+155)2x
Washington (+110)1x

[kingofmonash]

adding Oakland A's (+122) 1x to SYSTEM 1

plays are now final

[kingofmonash]

exp 1

st. Louis (-110) 2x w
kansas city (+104) 1x l
minnesota (+155)2x l
washington (+110)1x w
oakland a's (+122) 1x l

2-3 (+0.10)
81-51(+52.82)

[kingofmonash]

Experiment 2 a) Thursday

Oakland Athletics (+124) 2x L
Kansas City Royals (+104) 2x L

0-2 (-4)
16-33(-33.18)

EXP 2B)

San Fransisco Giants (-170) 2x W
1-0 (+2)
19-6(+28.80)

EXP 2C)

Oakland (+124) 1x L

0-1 (-1)
26-44(-16.70)

FADING EXP 2a) and 2c) ------------> INTELLIGENT CASH COWS ???

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIEMENT 1 (Friday)

cleveland (+109) 1x L
Minnesota (+125) 2x L
Texas (-160) 2x W
colorado (+119)2x w
arizona (+130) 1x W
Florida (+130) 1x L
LA DODGERS (+117) 2x L

3-4 (-0.40)
84-55 (+52.41)

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 2 a)

boston (-160) 2x L
CWS (-110) 2x L
Atlanta (+105) 2x L
San Fran (-116) 2x W
kansas (+101) 2x L

1-4 (-7.4)
17-37 (-40.58) ----------------> GREAT GOING BY FADE INC.

EXP 2b) NO QUALIFIERS

EXP 2c)

phillies (-160)1x W
cws (-110) 1x L
kansas (+101) 1x L
atlanta (+105) 1x L
florida (+130) 1x L
san fran (-116) 1x W

2-4 (-2.1)
28-48 (-18.80) -----------------> intellegent cash cow on a roll

[kingofmonash]

todays

EXPERIMENT 1 (Saturday)

New York Yankees (-240) 2x
LA Angels (+125) 1x
CWS (-150) 2X
New York Mets (+151) 1x
Baltimore (-104) 2x
Detroit (-180) 1x
Pittsburg (+120) 2x
kansas (-110) 2x
Florida (+122) 1x

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 2a)

Washington (+145) 2x
L.A.A (+125) 2X
Arizona (+170)2X
Oakland (+173) 2X
Boston (-125) 2X
Tampa Bay (+111) 2x
Minnesota (+142) 2x

EXP 2b)

washington nats (+145) 2x
oakland (+172) 2x

EXP 2c)

laa (+125) 1x
baltimore (-110) 1x
arizona (+170) 1x
tampa bay (+110) 1x
boston (-125) 1x
florida (+122) 1x
milwuakee (-150) 1x

[kingofmonash]

todays

EXPERIMENT 1 (Saturday)

New York Yankees (-240) 2x W
LA Angels (+125) 1x W
CWS (-150) 2X W
New York Mets (+151) 1x W
Baltimore (-104) 2x L
Detroit (-180) 1x W
Pittsburg (+120) 2x W
kansas (-110) 2x W
Florida (+122) 1x W

PHENOMENAL 8-1 !!!! (+12.38)

92-56 (+64.79) !! -----------------------> FANTASTIC RUN IS ON

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 2a)

Washington (+145) 2x L
L.A.A (+125) 2X W
Arizona (+170)2X L
Oakland (+173) 2X W
Boston (-125) 2X L
Tampa Bay (+111) 2x W
Milwuakee (-142) 2x W
4-3 (+3.7)
21-40 (-36.90)


EXP 2b)

washington nats (+145) 2x L
oakland (+172) 2x W
1-1 (+1.45)
20-7(+30.25)

EXP 2c)

laa (+125) 1x W
baltimore (-110) 1x L
arizona (+170) 1x L
tampa bay (+110) 1x W
boston (-125) 1x L
florida (+122) 1x W
milwuakee (-150) 1x W

4-3 (+1.22)
32-51 (-17.58)

Lets see whats today got in store for us. Exciting times for this system

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 1 (Sunday) gonna be a fun day

phillies (-240) 1x
boston (-145) 2x
tampa (-135) 1x
cws (-158)1x
milwuakee (-165) 2x
st. louis (100) 1x
florida (-115) 1x