"Deggs MLB 2011 season plays > including write-ups"

[Deggs]

Yeah the team totals are killing me. The best I've done is a push. All others have lost. Gotta keep on keeping on though!

Yep, we gotta keep doing it. It is a long run in the MLB. I am pleased about my start this season, but I know I have to work and read more in order to be succesful.

!!! Added: LA Angels ML @ 1.7 > gotta go on Weaver in this one.

[Deggs]

Added: Uefa Europa League Final (soccer)

Porto - Braga > Porto over 1.5 goals @ 1.72 > Bet365.com

1-0 Porto 43rd minute

[Deggs]

why did i bet on soccer? i will stick only to MLB from now on. never bet on stupid sports like soccer

[Deggs]

So, final plays for tonight:

1. Texas Rangers ML
2. LA Angels ML
3. St.Louis Cardinals over 4 runs

As usual, I expect to hit both ML's, and lose the TT lol

Best of luck fellas and let's win some $$$ all of us.

[Deggs]

Texas won, Cardinals scored 5 runs. Problem with Angels but no matter what happens there, we are on profit today in the MLB!

[Deggs]

Record: 22-9-3
Profit: +9.68 units > flat stake
Sides: +6.94
Totals: +2.74








Game: New York Mets - Washington Nationals
Pick: over 7.5
Odds: 2
Bookie: Pinnacle

Added: LA Angels ML @ 1.73

Game 2 in this series, in which Mets lead 1-0 after a great defensive performance yesterday,a 3-0 shutdown. Mets and Nationals are teams that I usually don't touch, I think here is some value to bet on. As a team, Mets are batting a poor .243, with a total of 177 runs, 15th place in the MLB. But if you think Mets are batting poorly, just check the Nationals stats: .225 batting average, dead last in the majors, and 157 total runs, 25th place. Washington has some luck with their pitching staff, that makes the most work in this ball club. They have an average of 3.64 ERA (12th place) and a 1.31 WHIP (15th place). On the other hand, Mets are terrible with their pitchers this year (what a surprise), with a 3.97 ERA (20th place) and a 1.41 WHIP (26th place).

Pitchers battle:

Dillon Gee > Young pitcher with a good arm, Gee has a 4.44 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP plus 22 SO's. He started this season on a high note, with 2 W's in a row against Atlanta and Arizona, but was moved in the bullpen since. This season he allowed 15 runs on 24,7 innings of work and is coming in this game after a poor performance against the Astros a week ago, allowing 4 runs in 5 innings of throwing.

Livian Hernandez > The 36 year old veteran, will be the SP for the Nationals today. Former Mets, released in 2009, has played since 6 times against his old team, and stands with a 2-1 record and a 1.95 ERA. Has a 3-5 record, a 3.92 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. He allowed 29 runs in 56.4 innings of work.

A few trends for this game:

• Nationals are 73-156 in their last 229 road games.
• Nationals are 48-111 in their last 159 during game 2 of a series.
• Nationals are 8-21 in Hernandezs last 29 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Mets are 4-0 in Gees last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 20-6-2 in Hernandezs last 28 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Hernandezs last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 15-5-2 in Hernandezs last 22 road starts.
• Under is 6-0 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. Mets.
• Nationals are 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts vs. Mets.
• Nationals are 9-2 in Hernandezs last 11 road starts vs. Mets.

One of the problems for the Nationals is that they are averaging less than 3 runs scored when Hernandez starts on the mound, and were shutdown in 3 of his starts this year. This will be another game between two poor teams, but altough all the signs point in the under direction, Hernandez is due to a bad game against the Mets and Gee has shown flashes of talent at the start of the season, I think that Nationals will come in this one more focused and ready to produce some runs against this young arm.

Best of luck fellas!

[firehoyt]

I usually tail you w/o question but your entire write up points to the under (as I'm sure you're aware). I just can't wager money on someone being "due" to have a day different from their norm. BOL though!

[Deggs]

Yes, I know. All the signs are pointing to the unders here. But today I decided to bet only on my feeling and my feeling is screaming over in this one. I made that write-up for users to see that I think it will be under and help them decide that way. But I will bet on overs. It is just like yesterday with Cardinals TT over. I backed my feeling and I won. I will do the same thing today

[Deggs]

So, i made all that write-up saying that the Mets game will go under, and i bet over

Added: Braves TT over 4 @ 2
Oakland TT over 4 @ 2
Yankees ML @ 1.6
Yankees over 4.5 @ 1.83

That's it fellas. Let's end this day on a high note!

[Deggs]

Final Plays:

Angels ML @ 1.73
Yankees ML @ 1.6
Braves TT over 4 @ 2
Oakland TT over 4 @ 2
Yankees TT over 4.5 @ 1.83

Let's finish the day 5-1

[Deggs]

yankees 5-0. let's go.

[Deggs]

Will update the record and profit tomorrow.
No time for write-ups today.

Plays:
1. Blue Jays over 4.5 runs @ 1.87
2. Yankees TT over 5 @ 2
3. Braves over 3.5 @ 1.88
4. D'backs ML @ 1.6

Best of luck fellas!