John Morrison 2011 MLB

[grecycle99]

Thanks everyone for all the good explanations

[Wallco99]

Wallco, any plays today?
That o6 is juiced. I'll put a dime on the under. Let's cash the above plays.

Yes, but there will be that one guy who will ask three different ways, so it is really only 4 people to get me the 6.

[Wallco99]

Disclaimer: For the one person who may take the over/under seriously, it will be paid in "fantasy bucks".

[teecee]

got det and st louis, but still waiting for the yankees/orioles lines at my shop. thanks for the post, wallco.

[clamchowder]

Yes, but there will be that one guy who will ask three different ways

This guy is probably a trial lawyer.

[hagball52]

It does, thanks. The one thing I didn't understand when stevex explained it, he said if a team lost the two games now, they wouldn't be a play next time, but we had to monitor that series and if they swept again, then the next time they would be a play. Well then, why would this series matter at all then, if they sweep the next one they would be a play in the series after that regarless of what happened in this past series, unless of course, the next series is also a two game set, which maybe is what he meant. If it is a three game series, then yesterday's sweeps or non sweeps wouldn't affect that at all, would it? Hope I didn't confuse you, I think I confused me.

You are correct. The present 2 game set would only matter if it's a continuation of a sweep or the next series is only a 2 game set. If it's a 3 game set then it would stand on it's own.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System

2011 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 2-3
(B) 2-1
(C) 1-0
V2 plays 1-0
V3 system 1-0
Unofficial series 3-0

Next Plays

(5/23/2011) Boston @ Cleveland
(5/23/2011) Milwaukee vs Washington

Notes: There are 3 upcoming 2 game sets that need to be tracked. If the teams that were previously swept lose these next 2 games then they will become system plays. They are:
Colorado vs San Francisco (5/16) win
Kansas City vs Cleveland (5/16) loss
Kansas City vs Texas (5/18)
We have one system play as a result of the last 2 days. Kansas City lost both games to Cleveland and now become a play on 7/29 so make sure you mark it down on your JM calenders. Colorado won both games against San Francisco so no future tracking needed now. Today Kansas City faces Texas and we need to track that 2 game set.

[Wallco99]

got det and st louis, but still waiting for the yankees/orioles lines at my shop. thanks for the post, wallco.

I'm sure you are aware, but Yankees aren't official yet.

[teecee]

yes, yes, and i see the line is up now. the yankees are @ +113.

[Wallco99]

This guy is probably a trial lawyer.

And the same guy for which I needed that disclaimer.

[BCC585]

Hopefully there is no Damn rain today haha

[Wallco99]

You are correct. The present 2 game set would only matter if it's a continuation of a sweep or the next series is only a 2 game set. If it's a 3 game set then it would stand on it's own.

Thank you very much, I can see now...

[Wallco99]

Hagball, nice job on that post. Very organized and understandable, you got the hang of it. Good work, and thanks for clearing that up.

[hagball52]

Hagball, nice job on that post. Very organized and understandable, you got the hang of it. Good work, and thanks for clearing that up.

You're welcome. It's been a work in progress for awhile but it's looking good now. Maybe a few more tweaks in the future.

[teecee]

at this point, i'm assuming, if the line stays the same, we will play baltimore on the -1.5. *does your system take math into account at all, wallco? what i'm saying is, the past 9 seasons, the yankees have played @ a .559 clip on the road, while the orioles win at home at a rate of 46.2% of the time. if we go with baltimore, we will not only be expecting a team that does not win even 50% of it's home games to beat a team that has won 56% of it's road games, but to beat them by 2 or more. just wondering. thanks.

* i fully understand that the numbers you have compiled, dictate that this system has been a success over the past 6 years. please take no offense, here.

[dlunc3]

Id be suprised if this phills game happens tonight.. looking pretty ugly outside

[GGPLAYER]

This is the only rain I want to see tonight!

[Wallco99]

at this point, i'm assuming, if the line stays the same, we will play baltimore on the -1.5. *does your system take math into account at all, wallco? what i'm saying is, the past 9 seasons, the yankees have played @ a .559 clip on the road, while the orioles win at home at a rate of 46.2% of the time. if we go with baltimore, we will not only be expecting a team that does not win even 50% of it's home games to beat a team that has won 56% of it's road games, but to beat them by 2 or more. just wondering. thanks.

* i fully understand that the numbers you have compiled, dictate that this system has been a success over the past 6 years. please take no offense, here.

No offense at all, but by winning 46% ,that means they do win some of the time, and lucky for us, that time is this week. If Baltimore does become the system play for the criteria I use, then it will remain a play regardless of historical facts. If they lost their last 237 games at home, and criteria are met to make them a play tonight, then they will be highlighted blue. Don't take the gambler approach and over analyze what could happen, not to mention, I'm sure the handicappers will be factoring that in when they set the line so the +money should be pretty good for a (-1 1/2) bet. This is of course all moot if Baltimore isn't the play, which I won't know for a while. The line is one ingredient, but there are several more factors which need to be verified. Thanks.

[teecee]

thanks, for the response. i know i was probably over analyzing things, but i'll still be following, as usual. for some reason, i felt compelled to ask the question.

[Wallco99]

thanks, for the response. i know i was probably over analyzing things, but i'll still be following, as usual. for some reason, i felt compelled to ask the question.

That's why we are all here.

[MemTigers]

I hope the play stays NY -1.5 because I apparently saw a phantom "official" when there was not one. I got it at +180 though on the alternate line. If you change the play I guess I should bet it the other way to hedge that bet?

[Fitz22]

o's game will be rained out, raining now in bmore.

[MemTigers]

o's game will be rained out, raining now in bmore.

Awesome, now I can quit worrying about my mistake.

[jcygts6]

Line movement suggests o's will win

[teecee]

Line movement suggests o's will win

well, baltimore is now favored, but i think it was a pitching change that triggered this "movement" of the line. i have been known to be wrong on occasion, so......

[ghislaine]

any idea when the games became official Wallco

[vb]

Good luck all for tonight

[Wallco99]

any idea when the games became official Wallco

Check in at 6:30, unless afew things become certain before then.

[Luckyme]

I`ll do better !!!
When I said Chilidog, I meant his thread wich hosts Hagball`s picks wich I tail !!
So here we go again
MY SYSTEMS ( doing a labby with these, reshuffling the lines everyday to make bets equal 5-5-5-5 with two losses 5-5-5-5-10-10
now add up and divide we get my new line 8-8-8-8-8 )

JM MLB
Wallco`s MLB PLUS
Hagball`s picks http://forum.sbrforum.com/sports-pro...ystem-p75.html
Opening game favorites ( a lotta action, great labby explanation, and occasionally 5-0 nights. very stressing for the bankroll when hits a losing streak, so for no following, but thinking this over )

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/1012179-opening-game-home-favorite-chase-246-7-last-year-p11.html

DaBa`s 1st Inning dogs ( a new love !! all dogs, so great value, don`t need as many winners, but still hitting hard)

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p206.html

You can find me on all these threads talking like I even know something, but just sharing the love !!
Hope this helps, man

Thank You for your time and i wish you luck with all that plays

[mikepep21]

GL tonight. Lets avenge our losses!

[Wallco99]

Wallco MLB PLU$$$ - Plays for 5/18/11
2011 System to date: 57-1
System profit/loss: +67.72 units (finished series)
Since my first post: +47.45 units (42-1) (fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-7.00 units)


Detroit (M/L) @ Boston (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Houston @ St Louis (-1½) (C) *Official* (8:15 pm EDT)
N.Y. Yankees @ Baltimore (-1½) (C) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Atlanta @ Arizona (M/L) (A) *Official* (9:40 pm EDT)
Colorado @ Philadelphia (M/L) (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Colorado @ Philadelphia (-1½) (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Tampa Bay @ Toronto (M/L) (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)

** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines on ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM

[Fede_Gu]

Thank you Wallco... Huge +money on the O's tonight... Fingers crossed!

[ColdBeerHere]

I'm likin' that BAL bet

[Maxi_EV]

GL ALL

[dee_jas]

liking the plays tonight guys, best of luck