Wouldnt you know, I missed the COL play and its one of the only chances to get a win.
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Comment -
Who says I compound? We stay at principle- As for if anyone believes me I couldn't care less about that- Your the one with so much time you have to comment on other peoples posts. You are a loser- I could care less what people believe. I just sit back and play my picks. Period. You know nothing about trading or gambling or else you would understand what I was saying. This is the second time I have felt I needed to respond to such a ridiculous statement of yours. I'm glad I could make you laugh because I'm sure your life is very sad.Originally posted by Wilba
wow I feel sorry for the "guys" who give honeyeater 50K to invest on sportsbetting when he calculates that a return of 20% a month = 120% return over a year
20% return a month compounding for 12 months over a year = 1.2 ^ 12 = 8.916 which is a 891.6% return on investment every year (if you invested 50K and made 20% of total roll per month at years end you have 8.916 * 50,000 = $ 445,800 - after two years at that rate you have 4 million $)
AND HIS CLIENTS WHO INVEST 50K WOULD NOT BE SATISFIED WITH 50K --> 1/2 MILLION DOLLARS OVER A YEAR EVEN THOUGH HE CAN "easily make a return of 20% a month"
imagine investing 50K with someone who can't calculate compound interest of making +20% a month over a year
honeyeater you seriously think anyone in this forum believes these ridiculous stories that you make up
I'm actually crying now from laughing so muchComment -
Thanks for mentioning them before, been running the daily play in a 4 line labby since you mentioned them and its doing good.Originally posted by 1gamerComment -
3* Star pick: Arizona Diamondbacks.... Game just started
2* Star pick: Detroit Tigers............. lose
1* Star pick: Baltimore Orioles >>>>>>>lose
1* Star pick: Boston Red Sox>>>>>>>>>Lose
1* Star pick: Cincinnati Reds.........Lose
Are we just treating each star as a unit?
Record 0-4 so far; thats some GrEaT INSIDE INFO !
unit count -5 unitsComment -
Wow, what a shitty day. On to the next one.Comment -
I am serious this time guyz. I am deeply sorry for another loss. keep put, hopefully things turn arround, but for me I am going shopping. see ya later. sorry for all feeling I hurt this morning but it is honest truth you guys are wasting money wake up.Comment -
You're not serious. You're not sorry.Originally posted by ok15533
You're just a douchebag.
I'm slightly up on the night and I think I find you even more annoying after a winning night.Comment -
Hi Guys,
Is been a while....what is going on here ?
Hope G's still posting in Bold.....
Hope my friend Walco99 is in positive zone now........
Hope JM MLB still unbetable this season bcos one lost can cause you season chase......
Hope JM Displine still here with new method trial.........
See you guys later.........Comment -
LOL how does it feel to have lost all your money? I'm surprised you can still pay for internet hahaOriginally posted by ok15533Comment -
Heres the upcoming picks for "the champ selections" for 6/29
We've just had our first losing day in 11 straight days! Good news, however, is that my ultimate inside info pick on Arizona, by far the most surefire pick I've ever had this week, cashed in big time! Although our other wagers didn't come as expected, we still did not lose much momentum after banking in our 3* wager!
Here are my upcoming personal picks:
http://www.thechampselections.com/p/954941.html (Not live yet-Read below)
Important: Please note that the link above is not yet ready as of now. I usually have the picks posted by 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time each day. Check the link at that time and you'll find it live.
Best regards
John Morrison, PhD
SportsBettingChamp.com and SportsPicksBuffet.comComment -
Ya im still here.. People are a bit annoyed with my labby discussions, but we discussed it to the fullest extent i think, so there wont be much more discussion about it. I am always looking for new methods cause so many systems are so inconsistent. Once i have a legit bankroll or im a $50+ unit bettor i will continue to look for the fastest way to build a bankroll. It is just getting a legit starting bankroll that is the problem.Originally posted by lawalahmed
With that said is bet365 american friendly? My thread kinda took a dump on me and i know the system works but i have a small bankroll and actually need to have a lower unit size and rebuild.
I always get too excited about a new system and jump the gun too fast.Comment -
for the fastest way to build a bankroll. search Kelly criteria it's the fastest way given that you can accurately determine you edge.Comment -
Originally posted by BetaB
where:- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (that is, odds are usually quoted as "b to 1")
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
If it is 20% per bet we will lose for sure... If we lost 5 bets in a row our bankroll is bust.
Could you explain this to me a little further?
If we had a $1,000 bankroll and expect to win 60% of our series, then our maximum risk for total series should be $200?
That or is kelly criterion only based on flat betting? I think many people will disagree with this formula because of the huge variance in sports betting. very common to lose 20 or even 30 units in a week.
--JMDComment -
[quote=adidas-b 88;10615273]Heres the upcoming picks for "the champ selections" for 6/29
We've just had our first losing day in 11 straight days! Good news, however, is that my ultimate inside info pick on Arizona, by far the most surefire pick I've ever had this week, cashed in big time! Although our other wagers didn't come as expected, we still did not lose much momentum after banking in our 3* wager!
Here are my upcoming personal picks:
http://www.thechampselections.com/p/954941.html (Not live yet-Read below)
Important: Please note that the link above is not yet ready as of now. I usually have the picks posted by 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time each day. Check the link at that time and you'll find it live.
Best regards
John Morrison, PhD
Thanks for posting the selections. I had his "champselections" from Nov. 2009 to April 2011 and was posting them in another thread. He was awful. He is very streaky. He just had a win streak so beware. Cost me my whole bankroll one time. The guy has more ways to spin a story and try and sell his garbage. Thanks again. GLComment -
JM MLB System
2011 Official season series record 11-1 (v1)
(A) 8-4
(B) 2-2
(C) 1-1
V2 plays 2-1
V3 system 2-1
Unofficial series 8-0
Next Plays
(7/01/2011) Cincinnati v Cleveland
(7/01/2011) San Diego @ Seattle
(7/01/2011) Minnesota v Milwaukee
Notes: Finally coming to the end of interleague. One more series starting Friday and then back to normal. There are 3 possible sweeps today but there won't be any system plays from it. Will post an updated list of all upcoming plays on Friday. GL allComment -
[QUOTE=hagball52;10616797]So is anyone fading his pick?Originally posted by adidas-b 88Comment -
Hey Wallco, just read your post in G's. Good job. I don't want to comment in his thread cause I don't want him in mine but the asshole is nothing but a self absorbed arrogant douchebag. He is not happy with just posting his plays and talking baseball (like he says) but goes into other threads and pokes people in the ribs with a sharp stick. What do you expect when you stick your nose in other peoples business. His thread has been a dumpster fire for a good part of the season. His conservative chase is nothing short of phenomenal hovering around 1 unit this deep into the season. And yes he is too busy to make a pick but not too busy to post in bold in other threads. The bold posts are one of the most annoying things about him. I just ignore him and move on, like we should all do. GL man.Comment -
Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 113-9
System profit/loss: -2.87 units(finished series)
Since my first post: -23.14 units (98-9) (fin. series)
Current open series: 5 (-7.36 units)
(6/28/11) Minnesota (M/L) (B) – Win
(6/28/11) Minnesota (-1½) (B) – Win
(6/28/11) Colorado (M/L) (A) – Win
(6/28/11) Colorado (-1½) (A) –Loss
(6/28/11) Baltimore (M/L) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Baltimore (-1½) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Milwaukee (M/L) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (A) #1 – Loss
(6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) #2 – Loss
(A) 62-65
(B) 27-34
(C) 14-19
(D) 10-9
Games for (6/29/11):
San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (C) *Official*(8:05 pm EDT)
St. Louis (M/L) @ Baltimore (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
St. Louis (-1 1/2) @ Baltimore (B) *Official*(7:05 pm EDT)
Chicago White Sox @ Colorado (-1 ½) (B) *Official* (8:40 pm EDT)
Milwaukee (M/L) @ N.Y. Yankees (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.Comment -
[quote=knugen;10617151]Chili did that this past NBA season and the asshole went on a mini-run so chili backed off. He did go on a 13 day losing streak at one point. He hovers around a 45% win rate over time. His record for the latest NBA season was 71-84-5 up until April 30th and his MLB through the month of April was 9-17. I just avoid him like the plague.Originally posted by hagball52Comment -
Well, that is true given you can get even odd for such bet.That is why most people apply 1/2 or even 1/4 Kelly to reduce losing due to variance. The most powerful part to kelly is that you do compound your BR after every win/loss.Originally posted by J.M. Disciplehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion
where:- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (that is, odds are usually quoted as "b to 1")
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
If it is 20% per bet we will lose for sure... If we lost 5 bets in a row our bankroll is bust.
Could you explain this to me a little further?
If we had a $1,000 bankroll and expect to win 60% of our series, then our maximum risk for total series should be $200?
That or is kelly criterion only based on flat betting? I think many people will disagree with this formula because of the huge variance in sports betting. very common to lose 20 or even 30 units in a week.
--JMDComment -
Originally posted by Fitz22
Hope you played it...Winner!Comment -
Thanks for the plays, Wallco!
The Twins got the job done, thank you -- now it's time for the Brew Crew to step up and get some hits off that North Little Rock fart AJ.
I just had an epiphany -- as a White Sox fan, maybe I'm the one who's bringing bad luck when we're betting on the Cubs. I was big on them in the other two series when they were losing to Houston and Milwaukee.
Oh well, let's get that C bet!
--
adidas-b 88, thanks, now we can all make 5.4 BILLION DOLLARS!
This is so much fun, let's keep tracking these picks.Comment -
Cubs do it again, just when you think they couldn't **** us anymore, they find a way! Glad I laid off.Comment -
@ GGPLAYER
Thanks I did!Comment -
Hey Wallco, just wondering, it's BAL -1.5 for sure? As I recall we've never played underdog -1.5 beforeComment -
Originally posted by ken23lau
Yes we have.Comment -
Originally posted by BetaB
Wouldn't that be the same as saying after each series bet 1% of your bankroll?
So say you had a $10,000 bankroll and your unit size was $100 after your first series you win and now your bankroll is $10,100
now your new unit size is $101. Isn't this basically the same thing as kelly criterion? Maybe just use a higher % or something.Comment -
you mean underdog at (+)1.5 right?Originally posted by ken23lauComment -
betus.com currently has Bal at +1.5 (-150 odds) and +110 ML.
Not sure how your going to make this an official play...Comment -
Can someone post Morrison plays for me? I know there is a link above me (i can read), but i can not get it to work correctly for the computer I am on.
Current Record since 6/28
1-4
correct?Comment -
From how I read it the link won't work until 3:15 P.M. Eastern TimeOriginally posted by J.M. DiscipleCan someone post Morrison plays for me? I know there is a link above me (i can read), but i can not get it to work correctly for the computer I am on.
Current Record since 6/28
1-4
correct?Comment -
That is an error, I will repost.Originally posted by J.M. DiscipleComment -
Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 113-9
System profit/loss: -2.87 units(finished series)
Since my first post: -23.14 units (98-9) (fin. series)
Current open series: 5 (-7.36 units)
(6/28/11) Minnesota (M/L) (B) – Win
(6/28/11) Minnesota (-1½) (B) – Win
(6/28/11) Colorado (M/L) (A) – Win
(6/28/11) Colorado (-1½) (A) –Loss
(6/28/11) Baltimore (M/L) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Baltimore (-1½) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Milwaukee (M/L) (A) – Loss
(6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (A) #1 – Loss
(6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) #2 – Loss
(A) 62-65
(B) 27-34
(C) 14-19
(D) 10-9
Games for (6/29/11):
San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (C) *Official*(8:05 pm EDT)
St. Louis (M/L) @ Baltimore (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
St. Louis (-1½) @ Baltimore(B) *Official*(7:05 pm EDT)
Chicago White Sox @ Colorado (-1 ½) (B) *Official* (8:40 pm EDT)
Milwaukee (M/L) @ N.Y. Yankees (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
There was an error on this morning’s post, St Louis is the play today, not Baltimore. I made the change this morning but apparently didn’t save it before I pasted it over. If you already placed the bet, just bet extra on St. Louis to offset the Baltimore bet. Sorry for the inconvenience. I will change it on the earlier post also so there is no more confusion.
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.Comment -
Perhaps the error with the St. Louis/Baltimore game would not have occurred had Wallco not been distracted by the nonsense with G's.
Also, perhaps G's might have been able to come up with some picks from a 16-game slate yesterday had he not been distracted by the same nonsense.Comment -
Double postComment
