At least ONE home series win 364-13 record

hhsilver · 03-04-10, 12:26 AM

just one thing -- you said if you used TB (and the others) in 2008 and 2009, then you would have won a lot......

didn't TB come from nowhere to have a great '08? Did they have the kind of record in '06 and '07 so that you would have really used them in '08?

spankmythighs · 03-04-10, 10:52 PM

I like teams who in the prior couple of years have shown substantial improvement year over year.

TheCommish · 03-05-10, 09:07 AM

Looking forward to this. I use a similar home team chase system. I'll be playing yours along side. As well as the system outlined in the "system integrity" thread. Followed that last year and did well.

BoL all

keijo32 · 03-05-10, 12:19 PM

so basicly you play the series till the first win(and get the two units) and that's it?if they win the first game you move onto the next homestand?

Stealinhome · 03-05-10, 01:25 PM

YEA!

dvb02 · 03-05-10, 01:47 PM

Spank, sounds interesting. I may follow along with you this year. Good luck and looking forward to it.

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 03:53 PM

This does sound good. I will be following along as well! And all of these picks are on the moneyline for sure right? Thanks!

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 03:53 PM

Oh...and do any of you think this could work for any sport????

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:02 PM

For sure it could work for all sports as long as a strong team in the past continues their trend. Like this year if you chase WASH and CHI at home in NHL you would have cleaned up. Usually you can chase the best teams at home, usually 4 or 5 and on the flip side of things, bet against the worst teams on the road with any opponent, usually 2-4 teams. Same with NBA, I think the Cavs are 26-4 at home or something but when you bet them straight up at home it is usually -600 or -700, so its important to have a good size bank roll. If you are betting $700 to win $100 with the Cavs and they lose one, which by the way would have been the most they would have lost in a row at home, you want to make sure you have enough to double up the next home game and still make your $100. So bet accordingly. I would recommend 5% or less of bankroll per bet. I like baseball the best cuz the SU lines never get too crazy. Later

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 05:06 PM

Yeah that makes sense...do you think this could be profitable betting ATS???

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 05:17 PM

And also, you are going to be wagering AGAINST the Orioles and Pirates.....what about the Nationals and Royals? Thanks

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by keijo32

so basicly you play the series till the first win(and get the two units) and that's it?if they win the first game you move onto the next homestand?

Yes exactly.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:26 PM

Betting ATS you just gotta find trends. Betting comes down to trends, you find it, you ride it! Kind of like this "live" roulette I'm playin right now, looking for trends and betting.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by jolmscheid

And also, you are going to be wagering AGAINST the Orioles and Pirates.....what about the Nationals and Royals? Thanks

Definitely!

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:31 PM

Betting doesn't have to be hard or a roll of the dice. You just gotta do your homework and research. Hours of crunching stats and numbers.

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 05:55 PM

Ok...one more question...I am assuming that each "chase" series is when they are playing the same team home or away for at least 3 games in a row correct?

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 05:59 PM

Yes. 3 or 4. Not 1 or 2.

jolmscheid · 03-05-10, 06:04 PM

Awesome...and if they play say 9 games in a row at home, against one team the first 3 games, another the next 3, and another the last 3....so then I would have 3 seperate chases for each series? I hope that's not confusing...thanks for your help!!

Red_Army32 · 03-05-10, 06:08 PM

Question..... Say you win the first game of the series.... Do you now stop? Don't bet any more and wait for the next series?

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 06:36 PM

Yes, but because you are playing several of the top best teams ie. LAD, NYY, BOS, PHI, MINN, you should have games always on the go.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 06:46 PM

And then playin the worst on the road to lose ie. PITT, SD, TOR, NATS, O's, should also keep u busy.

OSUCOWBOYS · 03-05-10, 07:03 PM

Can I book this please?

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 07:57 PM

Hunh, book this?

whatsgood5 · 03-05-10, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Hunh, book this?

He's saying you're gonna lose $$$$...

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 08:08 PM

Don't think so. Its almost impossible to lose with a big bankroll and gd management.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 08:09 PM

Especially when the best have their home games strung together and the worst have their away series' strung together.

reno cool · 03-05-10, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Betting ATS you just gotta find trends. Betting comes down to trends, you find it, you ride it! Kind of like this "live" roulette I'm playin right now, looking for trends and betting.

OSU, I'd like to book this, you can have the baseball action.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 08:55 PM

Little hobby of mine. If you can't get to the casino, play at one that is a live feed. NEVER play RNG tables. Live online is the same as being at the casino without the people and in the comfort of your own home. I just sit back and play dozens, waiting till it hasn't hit one in 6 spins or so and then bet. Progressive betting. It seems like stealing sometimes.

spankmythighs · 03-05-10, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Little hobby of mine. If you can't get to the casino, play at one that is a live feed. NEVER play RNG tables. Live online is the same as being at the casino without the people and in the comfort of your own home. I just sit back and play dozens, waiting till it hasn't hit one in 6 spins or so and then bet. Progressive betting. It seems like stealing sometimes.

Way off topic but a money maker nonetheless. Got help fund the sportsbetting.

dvb02 · 03-05-10, 10:02 PM

So if I got this right, you will be posting the games to play and the ones to fade. That means there will be a lot of action at one time. A good bankroll will be important.

chisox19 · 03-06-10, 01:50 AM

Originally posted by Bones402

Im thinking teams for 2010 as Yankees, Red Sox, St. Louis, Tampa Bay, and Minnesota. What do you think of these teams?

Sorry this is a little late but i'd be careful of Minnesota if Liriano doesn't step up their starting rotation stinks. Not to mention there losing wins by moving out of the metrodome.

reverend · 03-06-10, 01:53 AM

have you thought about playing these home favs on the -1 run line? that would greatly reduce your juice. although you would probably have more pushes, your wins would be bigger due to the lower juice.

just a thought...

i like how this system is setting up

Jones10 · 03-06-10, 08:59 AM

Like What you have going on here

The HOFF · 03-06-10, 09:45 AM

Originally posted by chisox19

Sorry this is a little late but i'd be careful of Minnesota if Liriano doesn't step up their starting rotation stinks. Not to mention there losing wins by moving out of the metrodome.

This is a very good point. Minnesota is losing some of their homefield advantage by moving to an outdoor stadium this year. It was a big advantage knowing how to play on that concrete field and having opposing players lose the ball in the white roof.

spankmythighs · 03-06-10, 11:16 AM

Let me look into the runline stats for the home series wins. I'll go back 2 years on the 8 best teams for that period.