Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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  • Tommy Karate
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-12-13
    • 13445

    #2206
    you got something good cookin on these unranked college home favs with RLM.

    nice call going ML on ETenn State
    Comment
    • atthehalf
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-13
      • 4518

      #2207
      2/3/25



      Wizards (+4 to +6.5)
      Hornets-4.5 (-3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY HORNETS-12 O/U 217.5


      Hawks (+4 to +6.5)
      Pistons-3.5 (-3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY PISTONS-5 O/U 232


      Rockets (+4 to +6.5)
      Knicks-3.5 (-3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY PK O/U 220.5


      Spurs (+4 to +6.5)
      Grizzlies-5.5 (-8.5)
      SYNERGY PK O/U 223.5


      Kings (+4 to +6.5)
      T-Wolves (-8.5)
      SYNERGY T-WOLVES-9 O/U 225


      Bucks (+12.5)
      Thunder-10.5 (-10 to -11.5)
      SYNERGY THUNDER-8.5 O/U 219


      Pelicans (+12.5)
      Nuggets-11.5 (-10 to -11.5)
      SYNERGY NUGGETS-2.5 O/U 235


      Pacers-6.5 (-6 to -6.5)
      Jazz (+7) (+8.5)
      SYNERGY PACERS-4.5 O/U 231


      Magic (+1) (+2) (+4 to +6.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
      Warriors-2.5 (-3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY MAGIC-4 O/U 220.5


      Suns-4.5 (-5.5 ML) (-6 to -6.5)
      Blazers (+3 to +4) (+7)
      SYNERGY SUNS-2.5 O/U 240
      Comment
      • atthehalf
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-13
        • 4518

        #2208
        Originally posted by Tommy Karate
        you got something good cookin on these unranked college home favs with RLM.

        nice call going ML on ETenn State
        Thanks! Really the only thing that I do is check for strange favorites with a poor record. Then I look at the defensive stats for home and away to see if the move is warranted. Hopefully the number is short-which of course makes joes see chicken dinner
        Comment
        • atthehalf
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-13
          • 4518

          #2209
          Alright-we've got some amazing chalk on our hands again today. Incarnate Word is getting 77% of the money with the points (17.5) and McNeese State has a rising number (-16.5 to -17.5) with only 23% of the cash. I love big chalk y'all, and I was able to find a pic of their mascot too

          Rot.#306506 McNeese State-17.5
          Comment
          • atthehalf
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-13
            • 4518

            #2210
            I ordinarily don't make moves early in NBA. However the Bucks looked tired and weary last night and after the long road trip and one game sandwiched in between at home they are back on the highway again-this time against the best defense in the league

            Rot.#510 Thunder-11.5 2 UNITS

            Comment
            • atthehalf
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-13
              • 4518

              #2211
              Also no way the Grizzlies beat the Spurs by a large margin after all of the energy that they spent last night beating the Bucks. We get more Wemby tonight also because of the trade and availability factor. the number has already fallen to 4.5 from an opening of 6 with 84% of the money on the Grizzlies

              Spurs+4.5

              Comment
              • atthehalf
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-13
                • 4518

                #2212
                The Warriors are not in their best role-the Magic have been playing like crap lately however since Cole Anthony has been getting Jalen Sugg's minutes while out with injury-he just can't shoot. The three straight losses aren't a good look. Nevertheless it's only a mater of time before i back them this evening because my price point is about to met.

                The Pacers are also headed towards a bad number (8.5) with so much public support from joes.

                Rockets catching 5.5 points? That's absurd. Only the Knicks love affair with the public can substantiate that number. I have this game as a PK so the points look to be a gift-only thing is Sengun may be out
                Comment
                • MisterSack
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-16-19
                  • 597

                  #2213
                  Good call getting thunder number early
                  Comment
                  • atthehalf
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-13
                    • 4518

                    #2214
                    Alright fuckers! Pay attention

                    The Hawks have lost what 8 straight-one of which was to the Pistons. Anyway they are 3-4 ATS against some real ass teams like Rockets, and T-Wolves. The Pistons have the Cavs up next. Which team do you think that they are more motivated for? The Hawks on a 8 game losing streak or the Cavs-the best in the East?

                    No points necessary for this

                    Rot.#501 Hawks+155 ML 2 UNITS

                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 4518

                      #2215
                      Originally posted by MisterSack
                      Good call getting thunder number early
                      Right on!
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 4518

                        #2216
                        In this setting- I always think back to advice I was given by pros. Kelso Sturgeon used to say-"Don't bet bad teams as formidable favorites against another bad team"

                        The Pacers are a shitty team as everyone knows-they are only a good team in the role of an underdog with a short number-this is not their best role and y'all know that I love me some Jazz for whatever reason. And get this boys...they are fully healthy. Sprinkle a bit on the robust ML too

                        Rot.#514 Jazz+7
                        Rot.#514 Jazz+230 ML (HALF UNIT)

                        Comment
                        • atthehalf
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-13
                          • 4518

                          #2217
                          Blazers here have won 7 of their last 8 and are also on a 8-0 ATS streak at that. With that said do you really think that if this was a playoff series and both teams are on equal rest and health that they would beat the Suns two games in a row? Well that's what this is with the Suns and Blazers playing two in Portland. Only 33% of the CASH is on the Suns yet the line has gone from -3.5 to -5. Guess joes are buying the Kool-Aide of the Blazers and their hot streak. Part of the problem is that joes don't know shit y'all. It's a bit expensive-but just think of it as a Blackjack card game where you have to put up your money and are holding an ace and a king and the dealer pulled an 8. You'll recoup your money.

                          On the other end of this 2 way are the Pelicans-who are getting healthy and are facing the Nuggets. The Pels only lost by 3 points in their last matchup and everybody who is somebody was out for the Pels. This line has gone down from13.5 to 10. I lined this game at the Nuggets-2.5. Sounds like a good margin? Yep

                          Rot.#517 Suns-200 ML/Pelicans+10 2 WAY PARLAY (+186)

                          Comment
                          • atthehalf
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-13
                            • 4518

                            #2218
                            That's it for tonight boys!

                            Comment
                            • Tommy Karate
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-12-13
                              • 13445

                              #2219
                              Bruins and BYU Heavy tomorrow - Moneyline
                              Comment
                              • atthehalf
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-13
                                • 4518

                                #2220
                                McNeese whores...
                                Comment
                                • atthehalf
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 4518

                                  #2221
                                  2/4/25



                                  Mavs (+1) (+2) (+4 to +5)
                                  Sixers-2 (-3.5 ML)
                                  SYNERGY SIXERS-4 O/U 231


                                  Celtics (+1) (+2) (+4 to +5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                  Cavs-2 (-3.5 ML)
                                  SYNERGY CELTICS-2 O/U 217.5


                                  Rockets-9 (-10 to -11)
                                  Nets (+7) (+8.5)
                                  SYNERGY ROCKETS-2.5 O/U 223


                                  Knicks-4.5 (-5.5 ML) (-6 to -6.5)
                                  Raptors (+3 to +4)
                                  SYNERGY KNICKS-3 O/U 227


                                  Heats-3.5 (-5.5 ML)
                                  Bulls (+3 to +4)
                                  SYNERGY HEATS-10.5 O/U 229


                                  Lakers (+8)
                                  Clippers-8.5 (-8.5) (-10 to -11.5)
                                  SYNERGY CLIPPERS-6.5 O/U 215


                                  Pacers-5 (-6 to -6.5)
                                  Blazers (+3 to +4) (+7)
                                  SYNERGY PACERS-4.5 O/U 232
                                  Last edited by atthehalf; 02-04-25, 09:42 AM.
                                  Comment
                                  • atthehalf
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-13
                                    • 4518

                                    #2222
                                    Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                    Bruins and BYU Heavy tomorrow - Moneyline
                                    I was taking a peek Rot.#614, #363, and #652 for obvious reasons-really like that #652 because it makes absolutely no sense
                                    Comment
                                    • atthehalf
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-13
                                      • 4518

                                      #2223
                                      Ok so real quick I made a line for those

                                      Ucla-9.5 O/U 130.5 Vegas Implied Ucla-3.5 O/U 139.5 (A HOME-3.5 wins S/U 56.4% MOV +2.58)

                                      BYU-10.5 O/U 137.5 Vegas Implied BYU-1.5 O/U 152.5 (A HOME-1.5 wins S/U 50.6% MOV -0.85)

                                      However should BYU go to -2 things change considerably with a S/U win% of 66.7% with a MOV of +3.70

                                      Ucla priced at -3 is actually a better number with a S/U win % of 60.5% with a MOV of +2.57

                                      Those look nice! I see where you're going with them-fading top 25's on the road catching points. I like that BYU a lil better because it's against a less than 15th ranked team
                                      Comment
                                      • atthehalf
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-13
                                        • 4518

                                        #2224
                                        Ok for NBA I am liking the Bulls and Raptors if at my buy in price of +3 to +4, Mavs and Celtics at my buy in numbers of +1, +2. We've got a long way until game time tho!
                                        Comment
                                        • Tommy Karate
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-12-13
                                          • 13445

                                          #2225
                                          Originally posted by atthehalf
                                          Ok so real quick I made a line for those

                                          Ucla-9.5 O/U 130.5 Vegas Implied Ucla-3.5 O/U 139.5 (A HOME-3.5 wins S/U 56.4% MOV +2.58)

                                          BYU-10.5 O/U 137.5 Vegas Implied BYU-1.5 O/U 152.5 (A HOME-1.5 wins S/U 50.6% MOV -0.85)

                                          However should BYU go to -2 things change considerably with a S/U win% of 66.7% with a MOV of +3.70

                                          Ucla priced at -3 is actually a better number with a S/U win % of 60.5% with a MOV of +2.57

                                          Those look nice! I see where you're going with them-fading top 25's on the road catching points. I like that BYU a lil better because it's against a less than 15th ranked team
                                          yup - you'd be surprised how many of these small favorites win but don't cover. That's why i will mostly take the ML up to around 150.
                                          Comment
                                          • atthehalf
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-13
                                            • 4518

                                            #2226
                                            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                            yup - you'd be surprised how many of these small favorites win but don't cover. That's why i will mostly take the ML up to around 150.
                                            Got it and I found a good one for us also. I am gonna grab me some BYU and afraid of Ucla in this spot.

                                            Ok so here we have a team in Central Michigan (10-11)favored over a 16.5 team in Miami (OH). So I lined it up and came up with

                                            Central Michigan-8 O/U 140.5. Works for me and here are the others. You already know that I like me some big chalk. Houston disappointed me by going down from 22.5 to 21.5. So I am gonna chill on that one. Ok so here goes my CBB list for today

                                            Rot.#618 Central Michigan-1 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#614 VCU-19 2 UNITS
                                            Rot,#652 Auburn-18 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#664 BYU-155 2 UNITS THANKS DEX!


                                            Comment
                                            • matt711
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-09-12
                                              • 2282

                                              #2227
                                              You guys are Rollinnn!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • atthehalf
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-13
                                                • 4518

                                                #2228
                                                Originally posted by matt711
                                                You guys are Rollinnn!!!
                                                You have TWO of the old SBR Underground on this thread now.

                                                Ok so

                                                Rot.#521 Celtics+1
                                                Rot.530 Bulls+3.5

                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                  • 13445

                                                  #2229
                                                  getting on CM Live - No value on VCU up 20 - already on the Tigers
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atthehalf
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                    • 4518

                                                    #2230
                                                    Central Michigan whores started off slow and couldn't make up the ground....pissers. Anyway here are my lines for tomorrow in NBA

                                                    2/5/25



                                                    Bucks-8.5 (-10 to -11)
                                                    Hornets (+8.5) (+11.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                                    SYNERGY HORNETS-5 O/U 223.5


                                                    Cavs-5.5 (-5.5 ML) (-6 to -6.5)
                                                    Pistons (+3 to +4) (+7)
                                                    SYNERGY PK O/U 229


                                                    Spurs-4.5 (-5.5 ML) (-6 to -6.5)
                                                    Hawks (+3 to +4) (+7)
                                                    SYNERGY SPURS-6.5 O/U 231.5


                                                    Wizards (+1) (+2) (+4 to +6.5)
                                                    Nets-1.5 (-3.5 ML)
                                                    SYNERGY NETS-8 O/U 233


                                                    Heats-1.5 (-2)
                                                    Sixers (+3 to +4)
                                                    SYNERGY HEATS-4 O/U 223


                                                    Grizzlies-6.5 (-6 to -6.5) (-7.5)
                                                    Raptors (+7) (+8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                                    SYNERGY RAPTORS-5 O/U 235


                                                    Bulls (+12.5)
                                                    T-Wolves (-10 to -11.5)
                                                    SYNERGY T-WOLVES-12.5 O/U 229


                                                    Pelicans (+12.5)
                                                    Nuggets-10.5 (-10 to -11.5)
                                                    SYNERGY NUGGETS-3 O/U 235


                                                    Suns (+12.5)
                                                    Thunder-12.5 (-10 to -11.5) (-14.5)
                                                    SYNERGY THUNDER-11 O/U 221


                                                    Magic (+4 to +6.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                                    Kings-5.5 (-8.5)
                                                    SYNERGY MAGIC-6 O/U 222
                                                    Comment
                                                    • atthehalf
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 4518

                                                      #2231
                                                      Right off the top the Pistons, Magic, Raptors are a good look for POINTS. For chalk Thunder may blast the Suns off the face of the earth because they are on short rest and playing the #1 defense in the league. The Heats have a good look only priced at -2; the Sixers had to go the complete distance to beat the Mavs!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • atthehalf
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                        • 4518

                                                        #2232
                                                        In CBB for tomorrow I like #719. It's already rising too
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tommy Karate
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-12-13
                                                          • 13445

                                                          #2233
                                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                          yup - you'd be surprised how many of these small favorites win but don't cover. That's why i will mostly take the ML up to around 150.
                                                          Case in point - UCLA by 2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • atthehalf
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 4518

                                                            #2234
                                                            Alright boys here's what I unearthed for CBB today

                                                            Rot.#682 East Carolina-7.5
                                                            Rot.#687 South Alabama-7.5
                                                            Rot.#690 Georgia State-7
                                                            Rot.#719 Duke-17.5 2 UNITS
                                                            Rot.#749 SMU-5.5


                                                            Comment
                                                            • atthehalf
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-13
                                                              • 4518

                                                              #2235
                                                              Had to make all of my moves earlier than I like-our runner has some domestic stuff to take care of this evening

                                                              Rot.#537 Bucks-10.5
                                                              Rot.#536 Pistons+5
                                                              Rot.#545 Grizzlies-10.5
                                                              Rot.#548 T-Wolves-11.5
                                                              Rot.#555 Magic+5.5
                                                              Rot.#555 Magic+180 ML

                                                              Comment
                                                              • atthehalf
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 4518

                                                                #2236
                                                                I was really trying to hold out on the Heats and see if they would go to -2... I may end up having to do that one on the Hard Rock app in the event that number comes up. Anyway this should be enough to keep everyone busy
                                                                Comment
                                                                • atthehalf
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                                  • 4518

                                                                  #2237
                                                                  Added move because the Spurs aren't fully jelled-and a road favorite

                                                                  Rot.#542 Hawks+4

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atthehalf
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                                    • 4518

                                                                    #2238
                                                                    I would prefer to take a loss like with East Carolina by 10 or so than to get the backdoor treatment like the Hornets did with all of the unnecessary fouling after the game was already out of reach...pissers.

                                                                    Anyway i will be updating my record at the conclusion of tonight's stuff
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                                      • 13445

                                                                      #2239
                                                                      got off OKC, what happened CK? thats my heaviest play of the night.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • atthehalf
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                                        • 4518

                                                                        #2240
                                                                        Lay off of SMU at the half boys. They are either going to do it or they're not
                                                                        Comment
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