Ck's 2024 mlb thread

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 06:01 PM

Ok big board is all finished

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 06:57 PM

2 more frames Festa! You got this!

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 07:07 PM

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 07:10 PM

Would be nice to get my Gilbert money back and then some. Whether the Twinkies go on to win this game or not-I sure could use 5 frames with a 3/1 K/W ratio out of him with a 86% of the share split!

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 07:31 PM

Festa 5 frames 6K's and 1 BB. Yep sounds about right

**atthehalf** · 07-30-24, 08:24 PM

Damn Bailey Falter is pitching like a CY Young candidate tonight. I guess history isn't repeating it's self

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 05:57 AM

496-480-26 +76.47 UNITS

Damn...I got smoked in this format last night, and did very well with my streamers!

Rot.#926 Astronauts-1.5 +150 Brown 3 UNITS LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#926 Astronauts Team total OVER 4.5 -115 3 UNITS LOSS -3.45 UNITS
Rot.#927 Rox/Halos UNDER 4.5 -102 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.02 UNIT
Rot.#923 Wanderers/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -104 3 UNITS LOSS -3.12 UNITS
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Fathers UNDER 4.5 -125 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.25 UNITS
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Fathers UNDER 7.5 -106 2 UNITS LOSS -2.12 UNITS
Rot.#912 Orioles Team Total OVER 4.5 -123 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#969 Twinkies+120 Festa 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#917 Bombers/Blunts UNDER 4.5 +105 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#929 Athletics+170 ML Sears 2 UNITS WIN +3.40 UNITS
Rot.#929 Athletics Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 UNIT WIN +1.13 UNIT.
Rot.#912 Orioles (Burnes) OVER 5.5 K's +109 1 UNIT WIN +1.09 UNIT
Rot.#912 Jays/Orioles UNDER 8.5 Bassitt/Burnes 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS

RECORD UPDATE

501-488-26 +68.13 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 06:00 AM

I think the one that pissed me off was Festa doing so well for me in streaming and then it not translating to a win for those following me on this thread. But this is a tough format-much tougher than fantasy streaming and as a result all of us will end up with around .500 records anyway. It's funny how a move that I put almost no research into was one that hit-meanwhile the historical information backfired on me with Bailey Falter and the Astronauts got torched last night much to my chagrin...

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 06:23 AM

Gotta list em this morning. I haven't ranked my arms yet to find a CRUMBS POD

Rot.#975 Rox+120 Freeland 5 UNITS
Rot.#974 Astronauts-1.5 RL-105 Valdez 2 UNITS
Rot.#974 Astronauts Team Total OVER 4.5 -120 2 UNITS (Woodford must start)
Rot.#954 Snakes-1.5 RL+115 Gallen 2 UNITS
Rot.#969 Twinkies-112 Lopez 2 UNITS
Rot.#951 Braves (Sale) OVER 7.5 K's -117 1 UNIT
Rot.#952 Brews (Peralta) OVER 7 K's -120 1 UNIT
Rot.#951 Braves/Brews UNDER 3.5 +105 FF Sale/Peralta 1 UNIT
Rot.#963 Sailors-108 Kirby 2 UNITS
Rot.#963 Sailors Team Total OVER 5 +100 (Bello must start)
Rot.#955 Cubs/Red Leggins UNDER 5 FF -105 Hendricks/Lodolo 1 UNIT
Rot.#976 Halos Team Total OVER 4.5 -109 1 UNIT (Freeland must start)
Rot.#966 Rays-1.5 RL-115 Bradley 2 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 08:36 AM

Ok for streaming today here's my TOP TEN

Braves (Sale#1)
Rays (Bradley#2)
Giants (Webb#3)
Sailors (Kirby#4)
Orioles (Rodriguez#5)
Snakes (Gallen#6)
Twinkies (Lopez#7)
Fathers (Cease#8)
Cardinals (Gray#9) MICHAEL MCGREEVY SUBBED IN FOR HIM
Astronauts (Valdez#10)

And so based on this I should and will get some ( I ain't gonna pay -200 vigorous for ANYTHING)

Rot.#966 Rays-1.5 RL-115 Bradley 2 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 08:43 AM

No CRUMBS POD today as McGreevy doesn't have much information to go on and although Andrew Heaney's slider is legit the ceiling is too low for that one. Nestor Cortes is all over the place and I can't back him vs the Blunters. the Bombers are crushing the ball right now and Chris Sanchez has been making mistakes in the middle of the strike zone lately. Severino is sitting 97 with is cutter, but Royce is back for the Twinkies and yes I fear going against his bat. MacKenzie Gore is a cherry bomb

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 09:34 AM

The Jays fire sale is so harsh that they don't even have a starter in place yet for today's tilt vs the Orioles-and game time is about 2 hours away. it's supposed to be Paolo Espino-a journeyman-but who knows?

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 01:09 PM

Perfect example of how this format is so much more different than streaming today.

The Fish are ahead of the Rays 6-2. Taj Bradley goes 5 frames and gets the 3/1 K/W ratio with 6 K's and 1 BB which translates into a small win streaming (because of Bradley's use rate) and a complete loss in this format.

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 01:10 PM

The penalty for a starter in your top ten that doesn't go 5 frames is a heavy toll tho.

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 02:34 PM

Michael McGreevy has ben impressive with his ability to induce the ground ball (8) when he needs, His whiff rate is a little off because he is not creating enough IVB on his fastball; but his secondaries deep into counts are working so far. Just would like to see him challenge a little more earlier in the counts to cut down on the amount of pitches he is making. A bit too many 3-2 counts

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 05:06 PM

Alright-I was talking with the Missus about the latest games this evening to get a fresh perspective on how to approach them. Mind you yesterday I saw a guy wearing a t-shirt and it cashed. So she says-you're thinking too hard-what does the Commish need to cash large this evening? So I text the Commish and sure enough he said that he needs Kyle Freeman of the Rox to overcome his badness. That alone he said would bring him a super big payday because 90% of the money is on the Halos-a team he pointed out that hasn't swept any team at home this year. So he bet it big without a second thought earlier this evening. So be it. I made a large move right along with him

Rot.#975 Rox+120 Freeland 5 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 05:29 PM

Sewald for the Snakes with 3 walks in the top of the 9th to be on his way to blowing a save opportunity, I tell yah-this format is tough as heck to stay over .500 with blown saves, managerial selection, errors, you name it. You can do everything right and still end up wrong-I love it LOL!

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 05:38 PM

A double play

**atthehalf** · 07-31-24, 05:59 PM

Pissers...well I got my 6 frames from Gallen and 6 K's and 1 BB, so although it was a small win because of the use rate at least it lessens the sting of a loss for the RL in this format thanks to relief pitching

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 07:15 AM

There's a need to recalibrate the hitting lineups after the trade deadline after discussing the matter on the discord. Now that some guys are not "the guy" on their new teams they will most certainly be in line for an explosion in production by being protected batting between good hitters. The OVERS are hitting at an alarming rate and I am sure that there will be an adjustment by the books-because everyone takes the over blindly and combines that with their favorites. Hard Rock has a counterperson that I know pretty good. He said that the parlays for a favorite and the over are causing the real damage.

Hmmm. Research day today-I will be back later on with my moves for today and to update my record-in streaming i did decently yesterday and Freeland more than made up for some of the issues yesterday going 7 frames with 6 K's and 0 walks-which is stellar and in the process made for a healthy payout which I should know how much in about an hour

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 08:46 AM

TOP TEN STREAMERS FOR TODAY

Cubs (Imanaga#1) Rostership 96%
Royals (Lugo#2) Rostership 94%
Cardinals (Gray#3) Rostership 95%
Braves (Morton#4) Rostership 66%
Halos (Fulmer#5) Rostership 1%
Guardians (Lively#6) Rostership 35%
Rox (Feltner#7) Rostership 2%
Tigers (Montero#8) Rostership 1%
Orioles (Rogers#9) Rostership 4%
Fish (Meyer#10) OR Shaun Anderson Rostership 0%

Damn the Fish traded away EVERYONE

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 08:51 AM

Feltner, Fulmer, Rogers and Montero seem to be the best bag for the buck in terms of getting big shares paydays for those arms in my league. The Fish are cooked

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 08:53 AM

Today is a good day for everyone to kind of get into my mind when I make my moves

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 02:36 PM

Fantasy wise the most unlikely thing would be for both Feltner and Fulmer to be able to go 5 frames and both have a 3/1 K/W ratio so let's go with. The Tigers are a divisional home underdog with an arm that has not been seen-although Montero isn't the best. Still there's extreme value there.

Last time that I checked Trevor Rogers is indeed a lefty-the Guardians blast lefties

Rot.#909 Rox+110 ML Feltner 2 UNITS
Rot.#909 Rox/Halos UNDER 8.5 +105 1 UNIT
Rot.#909 Rox+110/UNDER 8.5 +105 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT to win 3.31 UNITS
Rot.#910 Rox/Halos UNDER 4.5 FF -105 Feltner/Fulmer 2 UNITS
Rot.#908 Tigers+1.5 RL -120 Montero 3 UNITS
Rot.#908 Tigers (McKinstry) OVER 1.5 BASES +104 1 UNIT
Rot.#901 Fish+0.5 +110 FF RL Meyer 1 UNIT
Rot.#906 Guardians Team Total OVER 4.5 -102 1 UNIT

**Conqueror** · 08-01-24, 04:58 PM

Really like that Guardians TT play.

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 08:07 PM

Alright so let's get into the evening tilt between the Rox and the Halos. The most unlikely thing is for the Rox to pull off another win to make two in a row-the Commish is all over this one and siding with Feltner and of course for both arms to have a good start-translated he likes the UNDER like I do.

Alright fellow degens-let's go for it. Make the moves only the books are taking action on

Rot.#909 Rox+110 ML Feltner 2 UNITS
Rot.#909 Rox/Halos UNDER 8.5 +105 1 UNIT
Rot.#909 Rox+110/UNDER 8.5 +105 2 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT to win 3.31 UNITS

**atthehalf** · 08-01-24, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by Conqueror

Really like that Guardians TT play.

Thanks!

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 06:24 AM

Well damn-the Rox got it done-but unfortunately they went over the total full game and spoiled our 2-WAY. But was weird is that both of the arms gave me 6 frames and 3/1 K/W ratios which gave me some hefty payouts on 98% and 99% shares. Translated I made a ton of money on that game streaming guys with 1 and 2% use rate. Now I see how the Commish makes big bucks off of us on certain games. The payouts for Imanaga, Gray and Lugo were shorter than a midget on his knees. Morton was just ok to say the least.

I just hate that seemingly no one following me in this thread is prospering the way that I am streaming frames K's and walks. Oh well on to today

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 07:04 AM

Fedde#14 vs Cubs 57 AB; 20K; 2BB; .263 AVG; .316 SLG; .604 OPS
Assad#21 vs Cardinals 68 AB; 15K; 12BB; .265 AVG; .375 OBP; .544 SLG; .919 OPS

Rot.#951 Cardinals-109 Fedde 2 UNITS

Pfaadt#9 vs Buccos 32 AB; 5K; 1BB; .281 AVG; .294 OBP; .531 SLG; .825 OPS
Ortiz#15 vs Snakes 21 AB; 5K; 3BB; .286 AVG; .375 OBP; .524 SLG; .899 OPS
Snakes vs lefties .777 OPS (WHOA!)

Rot.#953 Snakes Team Total OVER 4.5 -108 2 UNITS

Ragans#3 vs Tigers 23 AB; 11K; 4BB; ..043 AVG; .185 OBP; .130 SLG, .316 OPS
Skubal#1 vs Royals 107 AB; 32K; 4BB; .252 AVG; .279 OBP; .421 SLG; .700 SLG
Royals vs lefties .720 OPS
Tigers vs lefties .674 OPS

~~Rot.#963 Ragans OVER K's NO LINE 1 UNIT~~
Rot.#963 Royals+102 ML Ragans 2 UNITS

Montas#24 (DNS) vs Nats 31 AB; 5K; 1BB; .290 AVG; .312 OBP; .484 SLG; .796 OPS
Irvin#4 vs Brews 41AB; 6K; 6BB; .317 AVG; .404 OBP, .585 SLG; .990 OPS
Brews (William Contreras) vs Irvin 3-7; 2 BOMBS; .429 AVG, .556 OBP; 1.429 SLG; 1.984 OPS

Rot.#955 Brews/Nats OVER 9.5 +100 2 UNITS
Rot.#955 Brews(William Contreras) OVER 1.5 BASES -101 1 UNIT

Kremer#23 (DNS) vs Guardians 26 AB; 5K; 2BB; .308 AVG; .345 OBP; .500 SLG; .845 OPS
Carrasco#28 (DNS) vs Orioles 64 AB; 15K; 3BB; .219 AVG; .254 OBP; .391 SLG; .644 OPS

Rot.#968 Guardians+113 Carrasco 2 UNITS

Harrison#19 vs Red Leggins 26 AB; 10K; 6BB; .154 AVG; .312 OBP; .192 SLG; .505 OPS
Abbott#10 vs Giants 26 AB; 8K; 4BB; .192 AVG; .300 OBP; .038 SLG; .608 OPS

Rot.#957 Giants/Red Leggins UNDER 4.5 FF -105 Harrison/Abbott 1 UNIT

Baz#12 vs Astronauts NO DATA
Kikuchi#6 vs Rays 58 AB; 23K; 6BB; .241 AVG; .312 OBP; .431 SLG; .744 OPS
Rays vs lefties .754 OPS

Rot.#971 Rays+142 ML Baz 1 UNIT

Blackburn#22 (DNS) vs Halos 47 AB; 7K; 2BB; .234 AVG; .265 OBP; .553 SLG; .818 OPS
Anderson#13 vs Metropolitans 59 AB; 6K; 1BB; .254 AVG; 267 OBP; .441 SLG; .707 OPS
Metropolitans vs lefties .769 OPS

Rot.#975 Metropolitans Team Total OVER 4.5 -125 1 UNIT
Rot.#975 Halos+1.5 RL-130 Anderson 1 UNIT

Gomber#27 (DNS) vs Fathers 121 AB; 10K; 10 BB; .256 AVG; ..313 OBP; 405 SLG; .718 OPS
Vasquez#20 (DNS) vs Rox 25 AB; 1K; 3BB; .440 AVG, .500 OBP; .480 SLG; .980 OPS

Rot.#961 Rox+145 ML FF Gomber 2 UNITS
Rot.#970 Wanderers+100 ML Urena 2 UNITS

Rot.#965 Jays/Bombers UNDER 9.5 Gausman/Stroman 2 UNITS<strong>

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 07:49 AM

I will be back with the Ragans K's information once it's available. Historically he is damn near K'ing up 50% of the Tigers hitters he faces.

I have Anderson ranked higher than Blackburn and he is a home underdog-gotta roll with the percentages

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 10:41 AM

Uh yeah....Hard Rock wants -182 for Ragans OVER 6.5 K's-I think that I will pass on that. I haven't risked vigorous of over -140 the entire season and I won't start doing that now

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 11:09 AM

Brews (William Contreras) vs Irvin 3-7; 2 BOMBS; .429 AVG, .556 OBP; 1.429 SLG; 1.984 OPS

Of course I went with the OVER 1.5 BASES-it's already been added to the big board

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 11:17 AM

I have so much pause with Jose Urena (Wanderers). On one hand I have identified this as being a good move-on the other hand he rarely goes more than 4 frames so he is of no use streaming and the bullpen for the Wanderers isn't the best and is 4th from the absolute bottom with an ERA of 4.46....still aesthetically it is a really good look for the Wanderers in this spot

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 11:32 AM

Tyler Phillips of the Blunts just went a full nine against the Guardians. I have to preach some caution as he doesn't carry an electric arsenal. Already at 32% rostered is kind of wild-I don't often see adds that fast in fantasy for guys without massive K's upside but 15 scoreless frames on a very public winning team will do that. Since coming back off the IL Woo doesn't go past 4 frames much either. This however in my opinion os the must see TV moment of the evening slate of events

**atthehalf** · 08-02-24, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by atthehalf

I have so much pause with Jose Urena (Wanderers). On one hand I have identified this as being a good move-on the other hand he rarely goes more than 4 frames so he is of no use streaming and the bullpen for the Wanderers isn't the best and is 4th from the absolute bottom with an ERA of 4.46....still aesthetically it is a really good look for the Wanderers in this spot

Although I won't be using this as a stream I am not going to fight my gut feeling on this

Rot.#970 Wanderers+100 ML Urena 2 UNITS