Keep checking out the totals on the big board as they come in today. I did add in the move for the Fathers/Orioles as the umpire assignment was just announced on swishanalytics. As the assignments are announced I will either make a move or cancel a move. In other words don't go blasting away only to find that I have cancelled a move based on new information
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Comment -
Ok I added Twinkies/Tigers OVER FF and also for GAME. The umpie assigned for the game has one of the highest RPG averages on the entire board at 9.10 compared to a total of 6.5
I also went UNDER FF for Bombers/Red Sox. Those three updates are on the big board.
I will keep adding on finalized moves as the umpires are assignedComment -
I also added on some Rox/Giants OVER 4 FF. Ump RPG are set at 8.62 and the total is 7.5Comment -
Giants-241 ML/Twinkies/Tigers OVER 6.5 -116/Rox/Giants OVER 7.5 +100 3 WAY PARLAY 1 UNIT TO WIN +5.34 UNITSComment -
Added on Cubs/Royals OVER 8 for 3 UNITS. These moves are going to keep happening boysComment -
CONDENSED VERSION SINCE THE BIG BOARD IS OON ANOTHER PAGE
Giants-241 ML/Twinkies/Tigers OVER 6.5 -116/Rox/Giants OVER 7.5 +100 3 WAY 1 UNIT TO WIN +5.34 UNITS
Rot.#973 Fathers-115 King 2 UNITS
Rot.#973 Fathers/Orioles UNDER 4.5 FF -110 King/Kremer 1 UNIT
Rot.#965 Twinkies (Ryan) OVER 6.5 K's +114 1 UNIT
Rot.#966 Tigers (Skubal) OVER 6.5 K's -125 1 UNIT
Rot.#965 Twinkies/Tigers OVER 3 -115 FF Ryan/Skubal 1 UNIT
Rot.#965 Twinkies/Tigers OVER 6.5 (FULL GAME) 3 UNITS
Rot.#954 Giants-1.5 RL +110 Snell (Game 1) 2 UNITS
Rot.#954 Rox/Giants OVER 4 +105 FF Feltner/Snell 1 UNIT
Rot.#953 Rox Team Total UNDER 2.5 -107 1 UNIT
Rot.#981 Cubs/Royals OVER 8 -105 Imanaga/Lugo 3 UNITS
Rot.#981 Cubs Team Total UNDER 3.5 -106 1 UNIT (Lugo must start)
Rot.#969 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 5.5 -120 FF Stroman/Crawford 1 UNIT
Rot.#967 Sailors/Pale Hose OVER 7.5 +105 Woo/Fedde 2 UNITS
Rot.#958 Cardinals Team Total OVER 4.5 +103 (Irvin must start) 1 UNIT
Rot.#958 Nats/Cardinals OVER 4.5 FF -105 Irvin/Gibson 1 UNIT
Rot.#972 Halos-125 ML Anderson 2 UNITSComment -
And with that I am all set up-enjoy your SaturdayComment -
472-459-25 +80.05 UNITS
Giants ML/MIN/DET OV 6.5/Rox/Giants OV 7.5 +100 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#973 Fathers-115 King 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#973 Fathers/Orioles UNDER 4.5 FF -110 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNIT
Rot.#965 Twinkies (Ryan) OVER 6.5 K's +114 1 UNIT WIN +1.14 UNIT
Rot.#966 Tigers (Skubal) OVER 6.5 K's -125 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNIT
Rot.#965 Twinkies/Tigers OVER 3 -115 FF 1 UNIT PUSH
Rot.#965 Twinkies/Tigers OVER 6.5 (FULL GAME) 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#954 Giants-1.5 RL +110 Snell (Game 1) 2 UNITS WIN +2.20 UNITS
Rot.#954 Rox/Giants OVER 4 +105 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#953 Rox Team Total UNDER 2.5 -107 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNIT
Rot.#981 Cubs/Royals OVER 8 -105 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#981 Cubs Team Total UNDER 3.5 -106 1 UNIT LOSS -1.06 UNIT
Rot.#969 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 5.5 -120 FF 1 UNIT LOSS -1.2 UNIT
Rot.#967 Sailors/Pale Hose OVER 7.5 +105 2 UNITS WIN +2.10 UNITS
Rot.#958 Cardinals Team Total OVER 4.5 +103 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#958 Nats/Cardinals OVER 4.5 FF -105 1 UNIT LOSS -1.05 UNIT
Rot.#972 Halos-125 ML Anderson 2 UNITS LOSS -2.5 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
481-466-26 +87.68 UNITS
Comment -
JUST GONNA HAVE TO LIST THESE BOYS
7/28/24
Rot.#929 Cubs/Royals OVER 9 -115 Assad/Ragans 2 UNITS
Rot.#913 Wanderers/Jays OVER 8.5 Gray/Berrios 2 UNITS
Rot.#925 Fathers/Orioles UNDER 9.5 -120 Vasquez/Suarez 2 UNITS
Rot.#902 Metropolitans (JD Martinez) OVER 1.5 BASES +104 1 UNIT
Rot.#901 Braves/Metropolitans OVER 8 Lopez/Peterson 3 UNITS
Rot.#905 Nats/Cardinals OVER 4.5 -120 FF Herz/Mikolas 1 UNIT
Rot.#915 Twinkies/Tigers OVER 7.5 Ober/Wentz 3 UNITS
Rot.#930 Royals(Ragans) OVER 7.5 K's +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#917 Sailors/Pale Hose OVER 7 Miller/Crochet 3 UNITS
Rot.#907 Rox+163 ML Gomber 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Rot.#923 Guardians/Blunts OVER 9 -115 Cantillo/Allard (BOTH LEFTIES WOW) 2 UNITS
Rot.#919 Athletics (Shea Langeliers) OVER 1.5 BASES +114 1 UNIT
Rot.#919 Athletics/Halos UNDER 9 +100 Harris/Solano 2 UNITS
Rot.#919 Athletics Team Total OVER 4.5 +100 1 UNIT
Rot.#909 Buccos-105 ML Keller 3 UNITS
Rot.#911 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 FF +100 2 UNITS
Rot.#912 Red Sox-110 ML FF Houck 1 UNIT
Rot.#912 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 9 -110 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 07-28-24, 05:10 PM.Comment -
Blunts vs lefties .777 OPS (BEST IN MLB)and Guardians vs lefties .749 OPS (10TH BEST IN MLB); the umpie is averaging 9.54 RPG. It's goldComment -
I am currently shopping for the best Cubs/Royals line. I may have it made at the counter. The ball is carrying out in Kauffman today during batting practice. Hold onComment -
The only reason why I didn't go big on the Blunts/Guardians is that neither of those arms will go 5 frames-so you gott get them runs scored early before the pens get in the mix.
Anyway.. Assad would be lucky to make it 4 frames and the Cubs pen is already overworked-could get ugly boys. Umpie with 9.03 RPG AVG even without any help
Rot.#929 Cubs/Royals OVER 9 -115 Assad/Ragans 2 UNITSComment -
As far as the Athletics/Halos total being on hold-there may be a pitch change from Hogan the Hero for the Athletics. My group gives back totals moves with a pitch change-Hard Rock doesn't do that which stinksComment -
MY TOP TEN STREAMERS FOR TODAY
Royals(Ragans#1)
Pale Hose (Crochet#2)
Twinkies (Ober#3)
Red Leggins (Greene#4)
Braves (Lopez#5)
Sailors(Miller#6)
Bombers (Rodon#7) DON'T DO IT
Red Sox (Houck#8)
Brews (Myers#9)
Buccos (Keller#10) IF YOU'VE GOT HIM-START HIM IN THIS SPOTComment -
Strike the Twinkies/Tigers total-the Tigers switched to Faedo instead of Wentz-ALWAYS REMEMBER TO GO WITH WHO I HAVE AS LISTEDComment -
Rot.#919 Athletics/Halos UNDER 9 +100 Harris/Solano 2 UNITSComment -
Metropolitans (JD Martinez) was a healthy scratch so make sure your book give you back your money. Not sure why when he had these numbers vs Lopez 5-11 2 (2X), 1 BOMB, .455 AVG, .455 OBP, .909 SLG, 1.364 OPS
Demand itComment -
Athletics (Shea Langeliers) Healthy scratch so demand your money back from your book. Again not sue why he was a healthy scratch
Langeliers vs Soriano 3-4, 1 BOMB, .750 AVG, .750 OBP, 1.750 SLG, 2.50 OPSComment -
Ok so for the late game between the Bombers and the Red Sox
Rodon vs red Sox 42 AB; 9K; 5BB; .333 AVG; .404 OBP; .548 SLG; .952 OPS
Houck vs Bombers 61 AB; 9K; 11BB; .164 AVG; .292 OBP; .246 SLG; .538 OPS
The umpie averages 8.75 RPG and the total is set at 9. Translated historically he doesn't have many 10 run games. His strike percentage is 22.9% which is matching the highest percentage on the board today for the umpie for the Buccos/Snakes which is 2-1 going into the 8th frame
I go into each day expecting to take losses so when the gain outweighs the risk I say take your chances based on the historical information
Rot.#911 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 FF +100 2 UNITS
Rot.#912 Red Sox-110 ML FF Houck 1 UNIT
Rot.#912 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 9 -110 2 UNITSComment -
481-466-26 +87.68 UNITS
Rot.#913 Wanderers/Jays OVER 8.5 Gray/Berrios 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#925 Fathers/Orioles UNDER 9.5 -120 Vasquez/Suarez 2 UNITS LOSS -2.4 UNITS
Rot.#901 Braves/Metropolitans OVER 8 Lopez/Peterson 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#905 Nats/Cardinals OVER 4.5 -120 FF Herz/Mikolas 1 UNIT LOSS -1.20 UNIT
Rot.#930 Royals(Ragans) OVER 7.5 K's +100 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#917 Sailors/Pale Hose OVER 7 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#907 Rox+163 ML Gomber 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#923 Guardians/Blunts OVER 9 -115 Cantillo/Allard 2 UNITS LOSS -3.45 UNITS
Rot.#919 Athletics/Halos UNDER 9 +100 Harris/Solano 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#919 Athletics Team Total OVER 4.5 +100 1 UNIT WIN +1.0 UNIT
Rot.#909 Buccos-105 ML Keller 3 UNITS WIN +3.0 UNITS
Rot.#912 Red Sox-110 ML FF Houck 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#912 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 4.5 FF +100 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#912 Bombers/Red Sox UNDER 9 -110 2 UNITS LOSS -2.2 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
493-475-26 +81.43 UNITSComment -
Busy morning-will be back later on with the goods.
In the meantime the CRUMBS POD is definitely
Rot.#963 Sailors+105 Gilbert 3 UNITS CRUMBS PODComment -
7/29/24
Umpire Emil Jimenez 8.92 AVG RPG with a total of 7.5
Rot.#961 Guardians/Tigers OVER 7.5 2 Bibee/Brieske 2 UNITS
Woods Richardson vs Metropolitans NO DATA
Quintana vs Twinkies 99 AB; 17K; 6BB; .242 AVG; .286 OBP; .394 SLG; .680 OPS
Rot.#969 Twinkies+100 Woods-Richardson 2 UNITS
Gilbert vs Red Sox 33 AB; 12K; 3 BB; .273 AVG; .333 OBP; .455 SLG; .788 OPS
Pivetta vs Sailors 61 AB; 22K; 10BB; .311 AVG; .417 OBP; .705 SLG; 1.122 OPS
Rot.#963 Sailors+105 ML Gilbert 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Rot.#963 Sailors Team Total OVER 4.5 +114 1 UNIT
Eovaldi vs Cardinals 48 AB; 10K; 1BB; .333 AVG; 347 OBP; .500 SLG; .847 OPS
Pallante vs Wanderers 6 AB; 3K; 0BB; .167 AVG, .167 OBP; .167 SLG; .333 OPS
Rot.#972 Cardinals-105 ML Pallante 2 UNITS
ADDITIONAL TASTIES
Rot.#973 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +114 1 UNIT NO BRAINER
Rot.#973 Buccos/Astronauts OVER 7.5 +100 Skenes/Bloss 2 UNITS
Umpire Bruce Drekman AVG RPG 8.66 for Royals/Pale Hose
Marsh vs Pale Hose 24 AB; 7K; 2BB; .292 AVG; .346 OBP; .333 SLG; .679 OPS
Flexen vs Royals 55 AB; 12K, 2BB; .200 AVG; .302 OBP; .665 OPS
Rot.#965 Royals/Pale Hose UNDER 9.5 Marsh/Flexen 3 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 07-29-24, 03:16 PM.Comment -
No use looking up the numbers for Skenes vs the Astronauts. I do know that Jake Bloss is a gas can and that he won't last more than 4 frames and the bullpens for these teams are shot. I also know that the umpie (Todd Tichenor) averages 8.88 RPG (basically 9 runs) and the total is set at 7.5 with bettors dreaming about Skenes and his ability to shut down teams and the Buccos porous offense. Go the other way and get in the short line
ADDED MOVE
Rot.#973 Buccos/Astronauts OVER 7.5 +100 Skenes/Bloss 2 UNITSComment -
Man Gilbert stunk up the joint last night-and my loss for my stream with him was much worse than the losses I took in this format because of how high I had him ranked...oh well onward and upward
493-475-26 +81.43 UNITS
Rot.#961 Guardians/Tigers OVER 7.5 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#969 Twinkies+100 Woods-Richardson 2 UNITS LOSS -2.0 UNITS
Rot.#963 Sailors+105 ML Gilbert 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD LOSS -3.0 UNITS
Rot.#963 Sailors Team Total OVER 4.5 +114 1 UNIT WIN +1.14 UNITS
Rot.#972 Cardinals-105 ML Pallante 2 UNITS LOSS -2.10 UNITS
Rot.#973 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 7.5 K's +114 1 UNIT LOSS -1.0 UNIT
Rot.#973 Buccos/Astronauts OVER 7.5 +100 2 UNITS WIN +2.0 UNITS
Rot.#965 Royals/Pale Hose UNDER 9.5 Marsh/Flexen 3 UNITS LOSS -3.0 UNITS
RECORD UPDATE
496-480-26 +76.47 UNITS
Comment -
I am snatching up positions EARLY
Rot.#926 Astronauts-1.5 +150 Brown 3 UNITS
Rot.#926 Astronauts Team total OVER 4.5 -115 3 UNITS
Rot.#927 Rox/Halos UNDER 4.5 -102 FF Quantrill/Canning 1 UNIT
Rot.#923 Wanderers/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -104 Scherzer/Lynn 3 UNITS
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Fathers UNDER 4.5 -125 FF Glasnow/Waldron 1 UNIT
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Fathers UNDER 7.5 -106 Glasnow/Waldron 2 UNITS
Rot.#912 Orioles Team Total OVER 4.5 -123 2 UNITS
Rot.#901 Cubs-128 Steele 2 UNITS
Rot.#902 Red Leggins+112 Martinez 2.56 UNITS
Rot.#969 Twinkies+120 Festa 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Rot.#917 Bombers/Blunts UNDER 4.5 +105 FF Cole/Nola 1 UNIT
Rot.#929 Athletics+170 ML Sears 2 UNITS
Rot.#929 Athletics Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 UNIT
Rot.#912 Orioles (Burnes) OVER 5.5 K's +109 1 UNIT
Rot.#912 Jays/Orioles UNDER 8.5 Bassitt/Burnes 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 07-30-24, 06:00 PM.Comment -
Bailey Falter is in for the Buccos today-I doubt that he makes it 5 frames-but until he is chased look at these numbers in a minimal amount of AB's
Falter vs Astronauts 13 AB; 1K; 3BB; 1 (2X); 1 BOMB; .615 AVG; .688 OBP; .923 SLG; 1.611 OPS
Translated when he will be called upon to eat up some innings it could spell disaster if history repeats it's self
As far as the CRUMBS POD Festa is a arm that I positively love to watch and I may end up kicking myself for ranking him at #19 today. He has a 4 seamer/slider/changeup mix that is nothing short of brilliant-especially when he uses his 4 seamer 44% of the time-it has induced vertical break and you can hear a mitt pop from outside of the stadium when it's caught. I fully expect for his use rate to be very low-which would and should give me a sweet payday in streamingComment -
My TOP TEN Studs for today
Dodgers (Glasnow#1)
Orioles (Burnes#2)
Giants (Ray#3) I may end up being blasted for this)
Sailors (Castillo#4)
Blunts (Nola#5)
Bombers (Cole#6)
Wanderers (Scherzer#7)
Cubs (Steele#8)
Guardians (Williams#9)
Astronauts(Brown#10)
On this list only Cole is an underdog-however he is up against another arm appearing on the list in Nola so that would mean that I will go with the FF UNDER for that one and live with the results
Rot.#917 Bombers/Blunts UNDER 4.5 +105 FF Cole/Nola 1 UNITComment -
Glasnow vs Fathers 52 AB; 17K; 10BB; .135 AVG; .274 OBP; .231 SLG; .505 OPS
Waldron vs Dodgers 25 AB; 7K; 7BB; .040 AVG; .250 OBP; 0.40 SLG; .290 OPS
Quantrill vs Halos 55 AB; 10K; 2BB; .255 AVG; .281 OBP; .400 SLG; 0681 OPS
Canning vs Rox 14 AB; 3K; 0BB; .071 AVG; .067 OBP; .214 SLG; .281 OPS
Festa NO DATA
Manaea vs Twinkies 52 AB; 14K; 8BB; .308 AVG; .400 OBP; .481 SLG; .881 OPS
Bassitt vs Orioles 39 AB; 10K; 2BB; .359 AVG; .390 OBP; .692 SLG; 1.083 OPS
Steele vs Red Leggins 98 AB; 29K; 6BB; .276 AVG; .317 OBP; 0408 SLG; .725 OPS
Martinez vs Cubs 34 AB; 10K; 1BB; .206 AVG; 229 OBP; .294 SLG; .523 OPS
So since the Red Leggins countered with Martinez I am BETTING OUT of this by taking
Rot.#902 Red Leggins+112 Martinez 2.56 UNITSLast edited by atthehalf; 07-30-24, 10:08 AM.Comment -
Tyler Holton is in for the Tigers today-he's a kitchen sink dude with a cutter (26%), sinker (21%), changeup (20%), slider (17%), 4 seamer (14%), curveball (2%). He is a lefty however and the Guardians have no mercy for them. It's going to be really interesting to see how this plays out-Gavin Williams has a line of 38 AB; 10K; 4BB; .237 AVG; .310 OBP; .237 SLG; .546 OPS.
Home plate umpire Gabe Morales has a notoriously low BB % with 7.9% walk percentage and the highest K percentage of any of the umpires today with 22.6% K's. Looks like and smells like an under until you get to his RPG AVG of 9.31 which is the second highest RPG just slightly under Adrian Johnson's 9.37.
He's gonna induce guys to want to swing that bat. Holton won't be around too long-as this is a bullpen game for the Tigers and yes he is a reliever by trade. The bullpen for the Tigers? 4.10 ERA ,375 K's 147 BB
There's your primer-good luck degenerates!Comment -
There ae 2 DNS arms facing one another in Joe Ross (is he really coming back? Really?) and Bryce Elder who is too much of a wildcard to back. There's a reason why the total hasn't been set for this one LOL!Comment -
Ok so the Red Leggins have swapped out Nick Martinez for Tony Santillan-so no need to perform the bet out again-your bet should be CANCELLED for both Steele and Martinez. Demand that your book refunds you your money for both LISTED pitchers for the eventComment -
I am heavily into signs of things. I was walking in downtown today and this dude had a bright red t-shirt that had in big white capital letters ROBBIE IS A F*G!
So I grabbed my phone and went to Hard Rock and blindly made a move on the most unlikely move on the board that no one in their right mind other than the books would take the action on.... something I didn't even think about logically
Rot.#929 Athletics+170 ML Sears 2 UNITS
Comment -
Speaking of a move that no one is taking-the cation on the OVER is HEAVY for the Jays/Orioles with 76% of the money on the OVER and Jonathan Parra is behind the dish. In 15 games this season he has averaged games at 7.13 RPG which is absurd. Any pitch just inside of the parking lot is being called a strike. So with that in mind-I haven't taken a K's with Burnes this entire season, because he's not a high k's guy.
Rot.#912 Orioles (Burnes) OVER 5.5 K's +109 1 UNIT
Rot.#912 Jays/Orioles UNDER 8.5 Bassitt/Burnes 2 UNITS
Comment -
Athletics Team Total OVER 3.5 +113 1 UNITComment -
One more
Scherzer vs Cardinals 156 AB; 61K; 9BB; .205 AVG; .248 OBP; .288 SLG; .537 OPS
Lynn vs Wanderers 76 AB; 26K; 5BB; .237 AVG; .284 OBP; .329 SLG; .613 OPS
Umpire Alex MacKay 7.75 RPG AVG
Rot.#923 Wanderers/Cardinals UNDER 8.5 -104 Scherzer/Lynn 3 UNITSComment