Winning at Baseball

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  • kingdom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-25-10
    • 10099

    #106
    found a stat similar to this and played with it a bit. came up with this. unders hit more than 70% of the time and win rate is 66%

    Comment
    • kingdom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-25-10
      • 10099

      #107
      if you just fade the angels every time they are a road dog past 3 years you win a lot. they are 38-83. i'm taking a's first 5 -105/tie +500 and full game on the rl +145

      Comment
      • kingdom
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-25-10
        • 10099

        #108
        taking the rockies for revenge in game 2. gomber been hot lately. 5 inning +110/tie +450
        Comment
        • kingdom
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-25-10
          • 10099

          #109
          tigers only +110 with yanks on 2 game losing streak? i'm taking tigers on 3 way 5 inning +140/tie 500. don't remember last time i bet on tigers. go tigers!
          Comment
          • kingdom
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-25-10
            • 10099

            #110
            taking the marlins again. 5 inning +.5 -125 and on 3 way tie +450
            Comment
            • kingdom
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-25-10
              • 10099

              #111
              padres hot winning 9 in a row. darvish winning 6 straight starts. he has lost his last 5 starts against stros even though its been awhile. maybe they can get to him. jake od is pitching but i'm still taking stros 5 inning +160/tie +500
              Comment
              • kingdom
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-25-10
                • 10099

                #112
                adding white sox game 2. 5 inning -115/tie+425
                Comment
                • kingdom
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-25-10
                  • 10099

                  #113
                  got mets +165 on 3 way 5 inning with tie +400. dodgers on 3 way -125 with tie +500
                  Comment
                  • kingdom
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-25-10
                    • 10099

                    #114
                    closing out with cards 3 way -110/tie +600 and mariners 3 way +120/tie +500. both games on 5 inning line
                    Comment
                    • kingdom
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-25-10
                      • 10099

                      #115
                      nascar race started. took hamlin +900 and truex +550 looking for live bet opportunities also.
                      Comment
                      • kingdom
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-25-10
                        • 10099

                        #116
                        taking some dogs early for +money chances. like the rays +135/tie +500 on 3 way line. tigers same way at +265/+475 tie. don't love the tigers, but love the value. same with cubs +145/tie 600. paddack start moved up a day, hoping it effects him. phillies at +120/tie +500 and going for tie first 5 in o's game tie +525. didn't mean to post so late. couldn't get off damn phone lol.
                        Comment
                        • kingdom
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-25-10
                          • 10099

                          #117
                          in nba grizz +6 tonight and series +1200 for .5 if they win tonight gotta chance to get to a game 7.
                          Comment
                          • kingdom
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-25-10
                            • 10099

                            #118
                            feels great to hit the first two games with rays, and o's getting the wonderful +525 tie. adding cleveland 3 way +190/tie +450, Rodon been on fire, but anybody can get got on any given day. cle pitcher sporadic, but has had some good outings. hoping the tigers get rolling to continue the early start.
                            Comment
                            • kingdom
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-25-10
                              • 10099

                              #119
                              barely got these in on time. got giants -.5 -105/tie +500 on 3 way. they offer these live btw. astros +115/tie +550 on 3way. sea +140/+500
                              Comment
                              • kingdom
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-25-10
                                • 10099

                                #120
                                definitely took the nats on the 3 way as the price was better than right. +175/+550 tie. nice to see the tribe comeback. screwed by the bum ass phillies.
                                Comment
                                • kingdom
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-25-10
                                  • 10099

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by kingdom
                                  taking some dogs early for +money chances. like the rays +135/tie +500 on 3 way line. tigers same way at +265/+475 tie. don't love the tigers, but love the value. same with cubs +145/tie 600. paddack start moved up a day, hoping it effects him. phillies at +120/tie +500 and going for tie first 5 in o's game tie +525. didn't mean to post so late. couldn't get off damn phone lol.
                                  4-1 to start on +money bets. loved paddack getting rocked. just like darvish, names and stats don't matter sometime. better than that just going with tie in o's game was perfect. and i bet the tigers 2 days in a row, and won wow. loving this 3 way line stuff so far this season. hardly even want to bet full games. but will when the situation fits.
                                  Comment
                                  • kingdom
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-25-10
                                    • 10099

                                    #122
                                    taking kc 3 way -130/tie +500. i think they are a bit overpriced and wouldn't be surprised if tie hit here.
                                    Comment
                                    • mikmik
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-13-12
                                      • 5457

                                      #123
                                      What does it mean kc 3way
                                      Comment
                                      • kingdom
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-25-10
                                        • 10099

                                        #124
                                        for the last 2 games taking mets 3 way -120/tie +450. dbacks had a great price, but i think a tie is their best chance here. taking the cards over dodgers 3 way +190/tie +450. bauer has been dominant but team is just 5-6 in his starts and cards are 9-1 when flaherty starts.
                                        Comment
                                        • kingdom
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-25-10
                                          • 10099

                                          #125
                                          3 way 5 inning line. kind of like soccer bets mik
                                          Comment
                                          • kingdom
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-10
                                            • 10099

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by kingdom
                                            barely got these in on time. got giants -.5 -105/tie +500 on 3 way. they offer these live btw. astros +115/tie +550 on 3way. sea +140/+500
                                            hit all 3 to secure a good day. missed the nats. they made it close.
                                            Comment
                                            • kingdom
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-10
                                              • 10099

                                              #127
                                              it's crazy how often cleveland has alternated wins and losses this year. they are on a 12-0 run after scoring 6 runs or more in previous game. mostly dominating bad teams scoring only 1.67 runs on average in these games. pen is 2.58 on the road. lopez has been fighting hard for o's but team has scored 2 runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts.

                                              Comment
                                              • kingdom
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-25-10
                                                • 10099

                                                #128
                                                Tigers are 1-7 in sunday games. wsox are 19-9 vs. losing teams. Cease has struggled in a few road starts but has 1.99 era at home and team is 5-1. away dogs off a 1 run win lose over 64% of the time next road game.

                                                Comment
                                                • kingdom
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-25-10
                                                  • 10099

                                                  #129
                                                  i'm not a fan of streaks, but rays are 0-15 under when starter went less than 4 innings his last start. rays are giving up 2.7 runs last 7 games. texas is batting .176 last 7. Dunning has a 2.33 era in home starts and tex pen has 3.16 home era.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • kingdom
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-25-10
                                                    • 10099

                                                    #130
                                                    Kuhl hasn't been very good for the pirates with a 6.41 era, but team is 3-2 in his starts. his bounce back numbers at home after an L are really good. on a 10-0 streak and team scores avg of 6.7 while giving up 1.90, and 9-1 on rl. fish have lost 8 in a row giving up average of almost 6 runs. pirate pen has 3.0 era at home.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • mikmik
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-13-12
                                                      • 5457

                                                      #131
                                                      Looking forward to the plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kingdom
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-25-10
                                                        • 10099

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by mikmik
                                                        Looking forward to the plays
                                                        i know. i gotta get to work mik. lot of 1 pm games..be back soon with something.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kingdom
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-25-10
                                                          • 10099

                                                          #133
                                                          i haven't been paying attention, but the dodgers are 26-12 over the last 1.5 months scoring 5.5 and giving up 4.3. last 7 games avg of 6.9 scored and braves giving up avg of 6.6. dodgers pen 4.78 on road and braves 4.5 at home. 2 good starters so intersting to see how many innings they go. braves are 15-8 over as a home dog giving up 5.92 on avg.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • pimike
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-23-08
                                                            • 37139

                                                            #134
                                                            All great info right here.


                                                            Thanks for sharing!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kingdom
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-25-10
                                                              • 10099

                                                              #135
                                                              well i am in on the cle line +110/tie +525 3 way. i got pirates at +130/tie +500. i saw this line posted on pinny at +165 lol. if true i may have to move to another country lol. i don't like either side in phillies game so going for tie at +600.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kingdom
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-25-10
                                                                • 10099

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by pimike
                                                                All great info right here.


                                                                Thanks for sharing!
                                                                it's what it should be boss. vegas not on our side. someone has to be.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kingdom
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-25-10
                                                                  • 10099

                                                                  #137
                                                                  going for the tie in hou game +575 on 3 way. just don't like either side or the price. hope i get at least one of 2 ties between this and phils.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pimike
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-23-08
                                                                    • 37139

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by kingdom
                                                                    it's what it should be boss. vegas not on our side. someone has to be.
                                                                    Agree
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • kingdom
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-25-10
                                                                      • 10099

                                                                      #139
                                                                      taking the wsox -.5 -135 5 inning and +600 small for tie just to cover.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • kingdom
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-25-10
                                                                        • 10099

                                                                        #140
                                                                        reds are on a hot streak winning 5 of 6 and cards lost 6 of 7. if you been here a minute you know i'm a cards guy when it comes to betting. i'm loyal as i win with them. +110 3 way and +500 .5 for tie
                                                                        Comment
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